SOLAR FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS FOR THE WESLEY UNITED METHODIST CHURCH - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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SOLAR FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS FOR THE WESLEY UNITED METHODIST CHURCH - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

SOLAR FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS FOR THE WESLEY UNITED METHODIST CHURCH WPI 2009 Meet the Team: Brian Bates, CS major from Westport, MA Dillon Buchanan, ECE major from Marstons Mills, MA Stephen Mueller, ECE major from Freetown, MA


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SOLAR FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS FOR THE WESLEY UNITED METHODIST CHURCH

WPI – 2009

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Meet the Team:

 Brian Bates, CS major from Westport, MA  Dillon Buchanan, ECE major from Marstons Mills, MA  Stephen Mueller, ECE major from Freetown, MA  Thomas Parenteau, CE major from Scarborough

Maine

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The Project

 Church is burdened by high electricity bills  IQP – Group of students work on a community

related project

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The Project

 Problem Statement: To determine the economic

feasibility of a solar panel installation at Wesley United Methodist Church and to explore its societal benefits.

 Site Analysis  Economic Incentives  Scenarios  Social Benefits  Recommendations

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Solar Panel

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Site Analysis

 Average monthly electricity usage: 9,500 kWh, or

$1,300

 Total usable space: 4,400 sq ft of flat roof  The flat roof has mostly southern exposure  Maximum roof weight is 35lb/sqft

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Site Analysis

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Site Analysis

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Economic Incentives Available

 Most incentives take the form of tax breaks:

 No sales tax on purchase of components  Deductions from property tax

 However, there are rebates available through

Commonwealth Solar

 $3.25 per Watt deduction for systems under 25kW  Extra $0.25 if components made in MA

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How much sunlight is available to work with?

Available Sunlight

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Massachusetts Weather

 New England Weather is mixed  Solar panel orientation

 South Facing

 Solar panel tilt

 42 degrees

Account for the site location:

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Solar Insolution

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Worcester's Solar Insoluation

3.50 4.23 4.75 5.05 5.68 5.51 5.75 5.61 5.10 4.45 3.51 3.18 4.15 4.93 5.93 6.41 7.37 7.47 7.77 7.60 6.93 5.95 4.52 4.01

Mean Daily Insolation per m2

Worceseter, MA Sacramento, CA

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What are the affects of a moderately sized array vs. a large array?

Solar Array Scenarios

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Scenarios

 Small capital cost after

rebates

 $49,000.00

 47 Solar panels  Minimal roof area

 125 m2

 19 years to break even  $66,000.00 generated

in the array’s lifespan

 $15,000.00 total profit

 Large capital cost after

rebates

 $110,750.00

 108 Solar panels  Maximum roof area

 290 m2

 19 years to break even  $152,000.00 generated

in the array’s lifespan

 $41,250.00 total profit

10 kW System 23 kW System

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Energy Production

2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 kWh Month

Energy Usage and Production

Energy Used 23kW System 10kW System

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System Cash Flow

  • 120.00
  • 100.00
  • 80.00
  • 60.00
  • 40.00
  • 20.00

0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 Thousands of Dolars Years

Cash Flow over Time

10kW System 23kW System

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Will it be cheaper in the future?

Future Prices

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Future Prices

 Earliest technology

 $1800 / Watt.

 Currently

 $5.00 / Watt.

 Future  $1.00 /

Watt?

Graph from: http://www.solarbuzz.com/statsCosts.htm

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 Boasts of a

breakthrough technology.

 Thin film solar panels.  ―Print‖ semiconductor

  • nto a metal foil.

 Expected to sell $1.00

/ Watt panels soon!

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1366 Technologies

 Named after the amount

  • f power hitting the

earth per m2.

 Traditional (multi-

crystalline) panels.

 Breakthrough levels of

efficiency.

 Expect to sell panels for

$1.00 / Watt by 2012.

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Other Factors

 Demand increases by 50% per year.  Supply increases by 80% per year.  Downward pressure one prices.  Expect prices to fall by 1/3rd.

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What would a system be like if the costs do come down?

A future system

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Future Analysis

 Cost-per-watt of solar cells reduced from $4.30 to $2.00  Solar cell efficiency grows from 15% to 20%

If we assume in 5 years: Then a 23kW system will:

 Require only 81 solar panels (Down from 108)  Require only 9 years to break-even  From right now, it will take 14 years to pay off  Waiting 5 years will save 5 years

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Payback Versus Cost per Watt

5 10 15 20 25 30 $5.00 $5.50 $6.00 $6.50 $7.00 $7.50 $8.00 $8.50 $9.00 Break Even Point (years) Cost per Watt

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What would a 20kW system be like?

Planting 1800 trees. Driving 420,000 less miles.

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Green Stewardship

 Highlights ―green‖

passages.

 A green bible index.  ―The Green Bible sets

  • ut an urgent agenda

for the Christian community.‖

—Eugene H. Peterson, professor emeritus of Spiritual Theology, Regent College

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“You shall not strip your vineyard bare, or gather the fallen grapes of your vineyard; you shall leave them for the poor and the alien: I am the Lord your God.“

  • Leviticus 19:2
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“The earth is the LORD’s and everything in it, the world, and all who live in it.”

  • Psalm 24:1
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What would a 20kW system be like?

Planting 1800 trees. Driving 420,000 less miles.

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Final Recommendations

1.

Decide whether this should be pursued now or later.

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Final Recommendations

1.

Decide whether this should be pursued now or later.

2.

Get 3 – 5 bids from installers.

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Payback Versus Cost per Watt

5 10 15 20 25 30 $5.00 $5.50 $6.00 $6.50 $7.00 $7.50 $8.00 $8.50 $9.00 Break Even Point (years) Cost per Watt

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Final Recommendations

1.

Decide whether this should be pursued now or later.

2.

Get 3 – 5 bids from installers.

3.

Use our tools to project payback period.

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Final Recommendations

1.

Decide whether this should be pursued now or later.

2.

Get 3 – 5 bids from installers.

3.

Use our tools to project payback period.

4.

Choose an installer.

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Final Recommendations

1.

Decide whether this should be pursued now or later.

2.

Get 3 – 5 bids from installers.

3.

Use our tools to project payback period.

4.

Choose an installer.

5.

Enjoy clean, alternative energy!

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Questions?