012‐2022
TEGY
TRATEGY 20
R STRAT LABOR ST NK’S D LABOR
TION AND L
LD BAN ION AND ‐2022
L PROTECT
E WORL ROTECT 2012‐
K’S SOCIAL
TH
OCIAL PR
ORLD BANK
SO
THE WO
Social Protection and Labor Social Protection and Labor Social - - PDF document
LD B AN ORLD B ANK T H E W ORL T HE W O KS S OCIAL L P ROTECT TION AND L L ABOR S T NKS TRATEGY 20 0122022 S O OCIAL P R D L ABOR R S TRAT ROTECT ION AND TEGY 2012 2022 Core Messages Core Messages 0122022 Social
012‐2022
TEGY
TRATEGY 20
R STRAT LABOR ST NK’S D LABOR
TION AND L
LD BAN ION AND ‐2022
L PROTECT
E WORL ROTECT 2012‐
K’S SOCIAL
OCIAL PR
ORLD BANK
THE WO
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
L PROTECT
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
2
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
and lower‐income countries, and fragile contexts
Loans and grants
TION AND L
– Loans and grants – Knowledge and analysis – Policy advice
L PROTECT
Policy advice – Technical assistance – Capacity‐building
K’S SOCIAL
– Social assistance (safety nets)
ORLD BANK
– Pensions and social insurance – Labor market reforms (including youth employment) Di bilit d d l t
THE WO
3
– Disability and development
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
13% IBRD Social Protection and Middle‐income
LABOR ST
10% 12% 11% IDA FFF Crisis Labor’s Share in World Bank New Lending Commitments Lower‐income
TION AND L
9% 10% 10% 8% Asian Crisis
L PROTECT
7% 8% 7% 7% 5%
K’S SOCIAL
3% 4% 3% 4% 5% LAC/
ORLD BANK
2% 2% 1% 3% LAC/ ECA Crisis
THE WO
4 FY92 FY93 FY94 FY95 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
L PROTECT
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
5
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
L PROTECT
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
6
012‐2022
P l i
TRATEGY 20
People in
below $2/day (2010) Average number of
LABOR ST
(2010) 2006‐10
TION AND L
L PROTECT
K’S SOCIAL
Number of
(over 60)
ORLD BANK
(2011) (over 60) in 2050 compared to 2010
THE WO
7
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
Insuring against Promoting human capital and access to productive work
L PROTECT
Insuring against impacts of different shocks work
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
8
Protecting against dire poverty a nd loss of human capital
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
Transfers and school L PROTECT Transfers/public work for poor women empowers them and improves capabilities Increased resources for poor families reduce hunger and malnutrition feeding helps meet implicit and opportunity costs of education, boosting enrollment and K’S SOCIAL Programs provide Improved nutrition in first attendance ORLD BANK improved access to education for girls/maternal care for women Improved nutrition in first 1000 days of life have huge impact on future incomes/productivity Transfers during shocks preserve human capital
THE WO
9
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST National level National level
‐ Promotes social cohesion, enables reform
TION AND L
‐ Stimulates aggregate demand
Community level Community level
L PROTECT
Community level Community level
‐ Creates productive assets ‐ Improves functioning of labor markets
K’S SOCIAL
‐ Creates local spillovers from increased demand
Household level Household level
Fosters accumulation of assets
ORLD BANK
‐ Fosters accumulation of assets ‐ Increases entrepreneurial activity ‐ Increases/preserves human capital
THE WO
10
Source: Alderman and Yemtsov (2012)
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
L PROTECT
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
11
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
L PROTECT
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
12
012‐2022 TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
L PROTECT
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
13
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
Pregnancy/ early Child‐ Youth Work ‐ing Old
LABOR ST
Employm‐ ent Youth Nutrition/
early childhood hood Youth ing age age
TION AND L
ent services, entrepre‐ neurship, skills employ‐ ment programs, skills CCTs for (girls’) education ECD, CCTs for pre‐ school, health
Opportunity Opportunity
L PROTECT
Social skills Cash & in‐ kind t f Public Child allowances OVC programs,
Equity Equity
K’S SOCIAL
pensions transfers, public works works school feeding p g , child allowances
Equity Equity
ORLD BANK
Old‐age pensions, disability Unemploy‐ ment, disability
Resilience Resilience THE WO
14
insurance insurance
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
Administration level:
Aim: Building basic subsystems to support one or more programs for
TION AND L
Program
security, equity or opportunity
Program level:
L PROTECT
Program
Program
Admin. sub‐ systems
Aim: Improving design of existing programs and harmonizing across portfolio of programs
K’S SOCIAL
Program
Policy Level:
Aim: Ensuring overall policy coherence
ORLD BANK
across programs and levels of government
THE WO
15
Source: Robalino, Rawlings and Walker (2012)
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
Fragmentation: LABOR ST Cash transfers in Sub-Saharan Africa are fragmented across ministries and donors Fragmentation:
Different
ministries/donors
TION AND L
Social welfare Outside
implement similar programs Some beneficiaries have
L PROTECT
35% Outside govern- ment 45% Some beneficiaries have
access to multiple programs, others excluded
K’S SOCIAL
Other
p g ,
Few Integrated Systems imply:
Incentive incompatibility
ORLD BANK
Social security/ labor , 9% Other 11% Incentive incompatibility Financing inadequate and
non‐transparent
THE WO
16
Source: Garcia and Moore (2012)
p
Unclear institutional roles
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
SOEs
Security
LABOR ST
Civil Servants
SOEs
Security Forces
Pensions
GENEROSITY
TION AND L
Private Sector
Social Pensions Social Pensions
L PROTECT
Social Pensions Social Pensions LOW INCOME HIGH INCOME
Y
K’S SOCIAL
Fuel subsidies Food subsidies
Social Assistance
GENEROSITY
ORLD BANK
Cash transfers Public works Cash
THE WO
17 Universal child benefits transfers LOW INCOME HIGH INCOME
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
No transfer Only social insurance
Lowcoverage concentrated LABOR ST
13 13 23
Only social assistance Labor market programs
Low coverage concentrated among:
low‐income countries and
fragile contexts
TION AND L
12 17 9 23 27 46 33
t
fragile contexts
poor populations and
vulnerable groups, including women
L PROTECT
75 70 65 21 22 43
Percent
g
informal sector
Meeting the challenge
K’S SOCIAL
70 65 46 32 22
Meeting the challenge
Fiscally sustainable
inclusion I i i hi h
ORLD BANK
SS Africa MENA SAR LAC EAP ECA % of households receiving transfers Innovation in reaching the
excluded
Institutional capacity
b ildi f THE WO
18
Source: World Bank ASPIRE database
building, performance management
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
The world of work is not a world of wage earners
Lowproductivity concentrated
LABOR ST
self‐ self‐
East Asia and the Pacific Middle East and North Africa
Low productivity concentrated
Lowincome countries and fragile contexts
Poor populations and vulnerable
TION AND L
wage 43% employe d 23% wage 47% employe d 27%
p p groups
Informal, rural sectors
L PROTECT
farmers 34% farmers 26%
South Asia Sub‐Saharan Africa
Meeting the challenge
Investment in human capital, especially among children
I t b i i i
K’S SOCIAL
self- employe d 21% wage 19% self- employe d
South Asia Sub‐Saharan Africa
education, health and nutrition
Improving productivity and access to jobs
ORLD BANK
wage 50% farmers 29% 21% farmers 48% 33%
access to jobs
to enable access to higher productivity work
THE WO
19
Source: WDR 2013 Calculations
capacity building
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
The need for effective risk management
LABOR ST
management
Against both individual shocks and systemic crises
Crises are increasingly frequent
Average number of
TION AND L
Crises are increasingly frequent, widespread, severe and concentrated in poor regions among poor people
Average number of
2006‐10
L PROTECT
Meeting the challenge
Ensure that appropriate programs are in place before shocks hit
1991‐95
K’S SOCIAL
Enhance existing programs to capture the newly vulnerable
Add programs to the social protection and labor portfolio that can be scaled
ORLD BANK
and labor portfolio that can be scaled up during crises
Strengthen programs to help the most vulnerable in times of crisis
THE WO
20
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
L PROTECT
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
21
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
L PROTECT
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
22
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
Tailoring operations to
LABOR ST
Tailoring operations to country context, and to evidence of “what works”;
TION AND L
L PROTECT
and learning from South‐South sharing of practice
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
23
sectors and actors
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
L PROTECT
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
24
012‐2022 TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L L PROTECT K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
25
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
Quality of World Bank activities to Changes in SPL outcomes and Country progress on key
LABOR ST
Quality of World Bank activities to support partner countries Changes in SPL outcomes and
to World Bank support Country progress on key development outcomes Percentage of satisfactory Percentage of World Bank SPL Poverty gap at $1.25 per day
TION AND L
projects (IEG Ratings) Percentage of projects with satisfactory M&E (ICRs) Number of downloads of lending operations supporting SPL systems Number of countries with World Bank SPL engagement (PPP) Percentage of population in the poorest quintile covered by SPL programs
L PROTECT
SP&L knowledge products Number of countries involved in World Bank sponsored South‐South learning events Number of beneficiaries of World Bank supported SSN programs in IDA countries* Number of beneficiaries of Share of working age population accruing pensions rights Pension beneficiaries to
K’S SOCIAL
Percentage of SPL staff time spent on cross‐support to countries in other regions Percentage of lending World Bank supported labor market programs* elderly (>65) population ratio (old age, survivor, disability and social pensions) Percentage of children (7‐14)
ORLD BANK
having co‐financing partners employed Labor productivity: GDP per person employed Youth/adult unemployment
THE WO
26 rate
012‐2022
TRATEGY 20
LABOR ST
TION AND L
L PROTECT
K’S SOCIAL
ORLD BANK
THE WO
27