SIPEF
Consumer Goods Seminar Degroof Petercam - Brussels
June 20, 2019
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture 1
SIPEF Consumer Goods Seminar Degroof Petercam - Brussels June 20, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SIPEF Consumer Goods Seminar Degroof Petercam - Brussels June 20, 2019 The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture 1 Summary 1. SIPEF Group Company profile 2. SIPEF Group Palm oil in the world 3. SIPEF Group - Expansion
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture 1
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture 2
SIPEF group - Company profile
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
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SIPEF group - Company profile
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
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Continuous production
Diversified in product
energy)
Diversified in
market
SIPEF group - Company profile
Worldwide
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SIPEF group - Company profile
Indonesia
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SIPEF group - Company profile
Papua New Guinea
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SIPEF group - Company profile
Planted hectares summary 100% – 31 December 2018
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Palm Rubber Tea Bananas Other Total % Group share Indonesia 58 035 6 275 1 763 66 073 82% 59 572 PNG 13 687 13 687 17% 13 687 Ivory coast 749 31 780 1% 780 Total 71 722 6 275 1 763 749 31 80 540 100% 74 039 % 89% 8% 2% 1% 0% 100% Group share 66 291 5 376 1 591 749 31 74 039
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture 9
previous 10 000 years put together
SIPEF group – Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Population growth
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huge impact on future food demands
changes in developing countries
becoming scarcer
SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Oil and fat consumption
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67,32 72,58 27,55 18,29 54,95 26,07 15,15 49,47 29,93 59,43 55,77 25,52 15,57 35,54 21,46 14,04 39,05 25,86 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 EU-28 USA China India Indonesia Pakistan Nigeria Brazil World
Oil and fat consumption per capita (in Kg)
2018 2012
+55% Source: Oilworld
SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Land input
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meat/fat/processed foods
capita
developing countries
SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Comparison to other oils
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SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Vegetable oils
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Palm oil 16% Soya oil 21% Rape oil 11% Sunflower oil 9% Palm kernel and coconut oil 6% Other oils/animal fats 37%
Palm oil Soya oil Rape oil Sunflower oil Palm kernel and coconut oil Other oils/animal fats
1994/95: 93,1 million tonnes
Palm oil 32% Soya oil 24% Rapeseed oil 11% Sunflower oil 8% Palmkernel oil + coconut oil 5% Other oils/animal fats 20%
2018: 231 million tonnes
Palm oil Soya oil Rapeseed oil Sunflower oil Palmkernel oil + coconut oil Other oils/animal fats Source: Oilworld
SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Palm oil production
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Indonesia 57% Malaysia 27% Thailand 4% Middle & South America 6% Africa 2% Other countries 3%
2018 Palm oil production Total of 72,61 Mn tonnes
Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Middle & south america Africa Oceania Other countries
Source: Oilworld
SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Palm oil consumption
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
16 11% 2% 2% 6% 65% 14% 0%
2014/15 World palm oil consumption per region
Europe Russia North America South America Asia and the middle east Africa Oceania
SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Sustainability
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SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Sources for deforestation
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SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world – Commodity commitment
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SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Sustainable palm oil
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2,81 Million Ha RSPO certified production area
SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world Number of certified production and/or operational units
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SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Biodiesel in Europe
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SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Biodiesel worldwide
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35% 26% 17% 1% 7% 4% 10%
Biodiesel worldwide 2018 Total of 40,7 Mn tonnes
Palm oil Soya Rapeseed oil Sunflower oil Tallow Coconut oil Other oils and fats Used cooking oil
31% 27% 19% 1% 7% 4% 10%
Biodiesel worldwide 2017 Total of 35,8 Mn tonnes
Palm oil Soya Rapeseed oil Sunflower oil Tallow Coconut oil Other oils and fats Used cooking oil Source: Oilworld
SIPEF group - Palm oil in the world
Palm oil use for biodiesel EU
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EU 27% NON EU 73%
2018 Palm oil use for Biodiesel Total of 14,2 Mn tonnes
EU NON EU 3,8 Mn tonnes 10,4 Mn tonnes EU 35% Non EU 65%
2017 Palm oil use for Biodiesel Total of 11,0 Mn tonnes
EU Non EU 3,8 Mn tonnes 7,2 Mn tonnes Source: Oilworld
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SIPEF group - Expansion
Strategy & expansion
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SIPEF group= 100.000 Ha planted (group’ share)
Focus on core-business Focus on ‘Sustainable Agriculture’ (RSPO) Expansion of existing activities Acquisition of new investments Balanced leverage
SIPEF group - Expansion
Planted area (in hectares) – 100%
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10.000 20.000 30.000 40.000 50.000 60.000 70.000 80.000 90.000 100.000 2005 2008 2016 2017 2018 2023 2028 North Sum North Sum expansion Bengkulu Bengkulu expansion PNG PNG expansion Musi Rawas Dendy Marker Ivory Coast Ivory Coast expansion
48 093Ha 56 811Ha 69 439 Ha 78 213 Ha 80 540Ha 94 265Ha 94 470Ha
SIPEF group - Expansion
Supply base (in hectares): own ha and outgrowers ha – 100%
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80 540 87 408 91 203 93 296 94 099 94 265 94 331 94 329 94 441 94 462 94 470 19 656 20 538 21 286 21 652 21 786 21 786 21 786 21 786 21 786 21 786 21 786 20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 140 000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Own ha Outside ha
SIPEF group - Expansion
Planted hectares and production of CPO (sale of FFB not included) (BI)
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100% 110% 120% 130% 140% 150% 160% 170% 180% BI hectares BI production
+ 74% + 23%
SIPEF group - Expansion
100% CPO production (including plasma and outgrowers – NO FFB)
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100.000 200.000 300.000 400.000 500.000 600.000 700.000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Outgrowers Own
2028 Own: 480 Kton Outg: 119 Kton Total: 599 Kton
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
SIPEF group - Expansion Musi Rawas expansion
SIPEF group - Expansion
Musi Rawas – South Sumatra summary of project status
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Latest update Musi Rawas Musi Rawas II Dendymarker DIL Newplant Total
Izin Lokasi HGU
24.607 17.793 42.400
Expansion Izin Lokasi
8.594 8.594
TOTAL HGU/IZIN
24.607 8.594 17.793 50.994
Planted /Cleared
11.111 8.986 20.097
Identified
7.396 4.297 1.604 13.297
Potential development
18.507 4.297 8.986 1.604 33.394
INTI
15.423 3.581 6.205 1.604 26.812
PLASMA
3.085 716 2.781 6.582
SIPEF group - Expansion
Musi Rawas – progress April 2019
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MUSI RAWAS Acquired Ha Secured Ha
PT AKL
4.746 4.328 91%
PT ARU
3.395 2.325 68%
PT AMR
7.658 4.458 58%
Total OLD
15.799 11.111 70%
Potential Ha
18.507 85%
AMR III
33 0%
AMRS
121 0%
AKLE
92 0%
Total NEW
246 0%
Potential Ha
4.297 6%
GRAND TOTAL
16.045 11.111 69%
Potential HA
22.804 22.804 100%
% of total
70% 49%
SIPEF group - Expansion
Musi Rawas – progress April 2019
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Compensation Ha Cleared/Planted Ha Planted Cleared Planted/ Area YTD 2018 Apr/19 TOTAL YTD 2018 Apr/19 Apr/19 TOTAL compensated AKL 4.077 92 4.169 3.646 54 78 3.778 90,6% ARU 2.861 23 2.884 1.816 105 38 1.959 67,9% AMR 6.226 195 6.421 3.640 236 268 4.144 64,5% AMR 3 23 10 33 AMR S 39 82 121 AKL E 50 42 92 Plasma 2.266 59 2.325 1.171 59 1.230 52,9% TOTAL 15.542 503 16.045 10.273 454 384 11.111 69,2%
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SIPEF group – Productions & prices
Production Palm Oil April 2019
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Palm Oil April 2019 April 2018 Variance Own Tolan Tiga Group 20 332 22 247
Umbul Mas Wisesa Group 12 245 13 237
Agro Muko Group 23 421 26 716
South Sumatra Group 3 522 1 251 181,53% Hargy Oil Palms 23 581 27 009
Total own 83 101 90 460
Outgrowers Umbul Mas Wisesa Group 43
978 1 031
South Sumatra Group 146 64 128,13% Hargy Oil Palms 14 822 15 437
Total outgrowers 15 989 16 532
Total Palm Oil 90 088 106 992
SIPEF group – Productions & prices Production Rubber April 2019
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Rubber April 2019 April 2018 Variance Own Tolan Tiga Group 547 741
Melania 1 245 1 336
Agro Muko 760 921
Total Rubber 2 551 2 998
SIPEF group – Productions & prices Production Tea & Bananas April 2019
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Tea April 2019 April 2018 Variance Melania 925 821 12,64% Total Tea 925 821 12,64% Bananas April 2019 April 2018 Variance Azaguie 1 1 864 1 681 10,89% Azaguie 2 3 499 3 279 6,71% Agboville 2 986 2 894 3,18% Motobe 3 413 2 204 54,85% Total Bananas 11 762 10 058 16,94%
SIPEF group – Productions & prices
Bull & Bear
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Rating Bullish inputs Bearish inputs
Palm Oil
July 500 Aug 505 Sept 510 OND 525 Neutral
PALM SUPPLY & DEMAND
destination stocks to traditional market. Low prices attract demand.
assessed.
3 mln mt SOY MARKET - PRICING
be severely reduced….but it is a big IF as soybeans are a resilient crop and can recover well.
to a lesser extent.
STOCK SITUATION IN ASIA
under better control
cycle
spot during Q4 2018
CHINA-US TRADE WAR – EXTERNAL MACRO
took soybeans to a 12-year low
planting…..unless June stays wet.
Rubber
RSS3 1814 SIR10 1529 Neutral
back.
Sumatra
Tea
Neutral at best
impact crop, but was short-lived
peak production
SIPEF group – Productions & prices
CPO prices CIF Rotterdam 2018-2019
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
40 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 J F M A M J J A S O N D Crude Palm Oil in $/mt CIF Rotterdam 2018 2019
Source: Oilworld ∆ 145 USD/ton
SIPEF group – Productions & prices
Spread crude palm oil – soybean oil
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Source: Worldbank
400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 2010M01 2010M03 2010M05 2010M07 2010M09 2010M11 2011M01 2011M03 2011M05 2011M07 2011M09 2011M11 2012M01 2012M03 2012M05 2012M07 2012M09 2012M11 2013M01 2013M03 2013M05 2013M07 2013M09 2013M11 2014M01 2014M03 2014M05 2014M07 2014M09 2014M11 2015M01 2015M03 2015M05 2015M07 2015M09 2015M11 2016M01 2016M03 2016M05 2016M07 2016M09 2016M11 2017M01 2017M03 2017M05 2017M07 2017M09 2017M11 2018M01 2018M03 2018M05 2018M07 2018M09 2018M11 2019M01 2019M03
Spread CPO - Soybean oil
CPO Soybean oil
SIPEF group – Productions & prices
Rubber prices CIF Rotterdam 2018-2019
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
42 1 300 1 400 1 500 1 600 1 700 1 800 J F M A M J J A S O N D RSS3 in $/mt FOB Singapore 2018 2019
Source: Worldbank
SIPEF group – Productions & prices
Tea prices CIF Rotterdam 2018-2019
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Source: Worldbank
2 000 2 200 2 400 2 600 2 800 3 000 3 200 J F M A M J J A S O N D Tea in $/mt Average auction Mombasa 2018 2019
Source: Worldbank
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SIPEF group – Financial performance
Consolidated balance sheet (management presentation)
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In KUSD (condensed) DEC 2018 DEC 2017 Biological assets (depreciated costs) - bearer plants 283 712 268 086 Goodwill 104 782 103 008 Other fixed assets 375 593 361 408 Net assets held for sale 12 010 Net current assets, net of cash 91 932 65 316 Net cash position
Total net assets 734 576 726 131 Shareholders' equity, group share 644 509 634 636 Non controlling interest 34 250 33 140 Provisions and deferred tax liabilities 55 817 58 355 Total net liabilities 734 576 726 131
SIPEF group – Financial performance
Gross margin – Results before tax (management presentation)
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In KUSD (condensed) DEC 2018 DEC 2017 %change Gross margin per product Palm 62 731 108 941
Rubber
2 879
Tea 584 1 043
Bananas and flowers 2 669 3.653
Total gross margin 64 707 116 516
General and administrative expenses + other GM
Other operating income/(charges) 2 417 1 133 Financial income/(charges)
Discounting Sipef-CI 2 031 1 636 Exchange differences
1 258 Result before tax 35 860 88 552
SIPEF group – Financial performance
Net profit after tax (management presentation)
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
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In KUSD (condensed) DEC 2018 DEC 2017 Result before tax 35 860 88 551 Tax expense
Effective tax rate
Insurances 1 723 Recurring result after tax 22 713 66 409 Correction PT AM @ 44,9273% in Jan-Feb
Correction PT AM fair value of assets 75 182 Gain on sale BDM-ASCO 7 376 Consolidated result 30 089 139 663
SIPEF group – Financial performance
Value per hectare
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Sensitivity 31/12/2018 Stock price @ USD per hectare 43,00 7 493 50,00 8 721 55,00 9 510 60,00 10 298 65,00 11 086 70,00 11 874 75,00 12 663
SIPEF group – Financial performance
Dividend history
49
0,30 0,30 0,40 0,80 0,80 1,10 1,50 1,70 1,70 1,25 1,25 0,60 1,25 1,60 0,55 17% 23% 22% 24% 21% 25% 25% 25% 32% 32% 30% 31% 31% 30% 30% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 0,00 0,20 0,40 0,60 0,80 1,00 1,20 1,40 1,60 1,80 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Dividend History Sipef
EUR/share Pay-out
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture 50
Peer review
Disclaimer
The information contained in this section is provided for your general information only and is not designed nor intended to offer anything more than information only. The information with respect to the companies included in the Peer Review was retrieved from publicly available information being annual reports and company websites on the one hand and from analyst reports we received on the other hand. In some cases we had to give our own interpretation to the available information in order to get comparable indicators. As a consequence of using different sources combined with giving our own interpretation to the available information, the information may not always be correct and SIPEF does not accept any liability for loss and damage that may arise from relying upon this information.
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Peer review
Principle assumptions
price of the year
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Tons CPO own production benchmark (2017) 10.972.924 Worldwide production (Oilworld 2017) 66.860.000
Peer review
Own planted Oil Palm Hectares in KHa (2017)
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37 39 44 65 83 89 96 126 131 144 180 225 174 211 240 248 342 400 603 69 MP Evans Socfinasia R.E.A. Holdings Anglo Eastern Plantations SIPEF Sampoerna Agro Socfinaf London Sumatra Indon Eagle High Plantations Bumitama Genting Plantations IOI Corporation First Resources Kuala Lumpur Kepong Astra Agro Lestari Wilmar International Salim Ivomas Pratama Felda Global Ventures Golden Agri-Resources Sime Darby
Plantation Integrated Sipef
Peer review
Age Profile: Average age planted hectares (2017)
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7,0 8,4 8,9 10,0 10,0 10,0 10,0 10,8 11,1 14,1 15,0 15,2 11,0 12,4 13,2 14,5 14,5 15,0 16,0 10,3 MP Evans Eagle High Plantations Bumitama Anglo Eastern Plantations First Resources Genting Plantations Sampoerna Agro SIPEF Socfinaf Wilmar International R.E.A. Holdings Kuala Lumpur Kepong Sime Darby Socfinasia IOI Corporation Felda Global Ventures London Sumatra Indon Salim Ivomas Pratama Astra Agro Lestari Golden Agri-Resources
Plantation Integrated Sipef
2016 2017 Var % Average 11,74 11,97 1,9% Sipef 9,91 10,26 3,5%
Peer review
FFB Yield – MT/ha (2017)
55
* Sipef excluding PT Dendymarker acquired per 1 August 2017
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
2016 2017 Var % Average 16,9 17,8 5,2% Sipef 22,4 23,9 6,6% 9,3 13,1 14,1 14,9 15,6 16,1 17,5 18,2 18,4 19,1 19,9 24,1 14,8 15,4 19,0 19,4 20,5 21,4 21,7 23,9 Eagle High Plantations Sampoerna Agro Socfinaf Salim Ivomas Pratama London Sumatra Indon Felda Global Ventures R.E.A. Holdings Bumitama Anglo Eastern Plantations First Resources Genting Plantations Wilmar International Astra Agro Lestari Sime Darby MP Evans Golden Agri-Resources Kuala Lumpur Kepong IOI Corporation SIPEF* Socfinasia Plantation Integrated Sipef
Peer review
Extraction rate from FFB to CPO (2017)
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20,5% 20,6% 21,4% 21,5% 22,0% 22,2% 22,7% 22,8% 22,9% 22,9% 23,4% 23,6% 19,8% 20,4% 21,3% 21,3% 21,7% 21,9% 22,2% 23,4% Felda Global Ventures Wilmar International Anglo Eastern Plantations Astra Agro Lestari IOI Corporation Sime Darby Genting Plantations Sampoerna Agro Kuala Lumpur Kepong Salim Ivomas Pratama Socfinaf Golden Agri-Resources First Resources Bumitama R.E.A. Holdings London Sumatra Indon Socfinasia SIPEF* Eagle High Plantations MP Evans
Plantation Integrated Sipef
* Sipef excluding PT Dendymarker acquired per 1 August 2017
Peer review
CPO Yield – MT/ha (2017)
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2,17 2,82 3,11 3,41 3,56 3,59 3,66 3,94 3,94 4,04 4,70 5,53 3,06 3,25 3,88 4,14 4,55 4,61 4,64 5,58 Eagle High Plantations Sampoerna Agro Felda Global Ventures Socfinaf Salim Ivomas Pratama London Sumatra Indon R.E.A. Holdings Anglo Eastern Plantations Bumitama Wilmar International Astra Agro Lestari Genting Plantations First Resources Sime Darby Golden Agri-Resources IOI Corporation Kuala Lumpur Kepong MP Evans Socfinasia SIPEF*
Plantation Integrated Sipef
* Sipef excluding PT Dendymarker acquired per 1 August 2017
Peer review
Market Cap in MUSD (2017)
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134 293 327 353 446 466 635 741 826 1 805 1 890 1 939 623 1 339 3 022 5 985 6 588 13 501 13 630 750 R.E.A. Holdings Sampoerna Agro Socfinaf Anglo Eastern Plantations Socfinasia MP Evans Salim Ivomas Pratama Eagle High Plantations London Sumatra Indon SIPEF Bumitama Felda Global Ventures Genting Plantations First Resources Astra Agro Lestari Golden Agri-Resources Kuala Lumpur Kepong IOI Corporation Sime Darby Wilmar International
Plantation Integrated Sipef
Peer review
Dividend Yields (based on average market cap 2017)
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0,0% 0,0% 0,5% 0,6% 1,2% 2,4% 2,6% 3,1% 3,5% 3,7% 3,7% 5,0% 1,9% 2,0% 2,1% 2,1% 2,7% 2,8% 2,9% 2,5% Eagle High Plantations R.E.A. Holdings Anglo Eastern Plantations Socfinaf Sampoerna Agro Salim Ivomas Pratama Kuala Lumpur Kepong IOI Corporation Golden Agri-Resources Genting Plantations SIPEF Bumitama Sime Darby Felda Global Ventures Wilmar International London Sumatra Indon Astra Agro Lestari First Resources MP Evans Socfinasia
Plantation Integrated Sipef
Peer review
Price Earning Ratio (based on average market cap 2017)
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0,0 0,0 9,4 9,8 12,9 13,0 13,1 13,6 13,7 15,8 19,3 26,0 45,4 11,2 16,3 23,8 25,9 38,1 40,8 12,4 Eagle High Plantations * R.E.A. Holdings * Bumitama Anglo Eastern Plantations Wilmar International SIPEF Astra Agro Lestari London Sumatra Indon Socfinaf Sampoerna Agro First Resources Socfinasia Salim Ivomas Pratama MP Evans Sime Darby Kuala Lumpur Kepong Genting Plantations IOI Corporation Golden Agri-Resources Felda Global Ventures Plantation Integrated Sipef
* Not included as irrelevant (profit close to break-even or loss for the year)
Peer review
Net financial position/Equity Ratio (2017)
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* Cash surplus at the end of the year
20% 21% 43% 53% 63% 77% 79% 134% 3% 24% 40% 48% 69% 76% 86% 13% Anglo Eastern Plantations* Socfinasia* London Sumatra Indon* MP Evans* Sime Darby SIPEF Astra Agro Lestari First Resources Kuala Lumpur Kepong Salim Ivomas Pratama Genting Plantations Felda Global Ventures Bumitama Sampoerna Agro Golden Agri-Resources Wilmar International R.E.A. Holdings Socfinaf IOI Corporation Eagle High Plantations Plantation Integrated Sipef
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
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