SHERRITT THE NAME IN NICKEL Investor Presentation October 2019 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

sherritt
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

SHERRITT THE NAME IN NICKEL Investor Presentation October 2019 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

SHERRITT THE NAME IN NICKEL Investor Presentation October 2019 1 Forward-looking statements This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by the use of statements that


slide-1
SLIDE 1

1

SHERRITT

THE NAME IN NICKEL

Investor Presentation

October 2019

slide-2
SLIDE 2

2

Forward-looking statements

Non-GAAP Measures Management uses combined results, Adjusted EBITDA, average-realized price, unit operating cost (NDCC), adjusted earnings, adjusted operating cash flow, free cash flow and to monitor the financial performance of the Corporation and its operating divisions and believes these measures enable investors and analysts to compare the Corporation’s financial performance with its competitors and evaluate the results of its underlying business. These measures do not have a standard definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. As these measures do not have a standardized meaning, they may not be comparable to similar measures provided by other companies. For additional information and reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable IFRS measure. See Sherritt’s Management’s Discussion and Analysis for further information and reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable IFRS measure This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by the use of statements that include such words as “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “plan”, “forecast”, “likely”, “may”, “will”, “could”, “should”, “suspect”, “outlook”, “potential”, “projected”, “continue” or other similar words or phrases. Specifically, forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not limited to, statements set out in the “2019 Guidance”” section of this presentation and certain expectations regarding production volumes, operating costs and capital spending; supply, demand and pricing outlook in the nickel and cobalt markets; demand in the stainless steel and electric vehicle markets; anticipated payments of outstanding receivables; future distributions from the Moa Joint Venture, funding of future Ambatovy Joint Venture cash calls; equipment availability, drill plans and results on exploration wells; the impact of Title III of the Helms-Burton Act on operations; and amounts of certain other commitments. Forward looking statements are not based on historical facts, but rather on current expectations, assumptions and projections about future events, including commodity and product prices and demand; the level
  • f liquidity and access to funding; share price volatility; production results; realized prices for production; earnings and revenues; development and exploration wells and enhanced oil recovery in Cuba;
environmental rehabilitation provisions; availability of regulatory approvals; compliance with applicable environmental laws and regulations; debt repayments; collection of accounts receivable; and certain corporate objectives, goals and plans. By their nature, forward looking statements require the Corporation to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. There is significant risk that predictions, forecasts, conclusions or projections will not prove to be accurate, that those assumptions may not be correct and that actual results may differ materially from such predictions, forecasts, conclusions or projections. The Corporation cautions readers of this presentation not to place undue reliance on any forward looking statement as a number of factors could cause actual future results, conditions, actions or events to differ materially from the targets, expectations, estimates or intentions expressed in the forward looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to, changes in the global price for nickel, cobalt, oil and gas, fertilizers or certain other commodities; security market fluctuations and price volatility; level of liquidity; access to capital; access to financing; risks related to the liquidity and funding of the Ambatovy Joint Venture; the risk to Sherritt’s entitlements to future distributions from the Moa and Ambatovy joint ventures; risk of future non-compliance with debt restrictions and covenants and mandatory repayments; uncertainty of exploration results and Sherritt’s ability to replace depleted mineral and oil and gas reserves; risks associated with the Corporation’s joint venture partners; variability in production at Sherritt’s operations in Cuba and Madagascar; risks related to Sherritt’s operations in Cuba; risks related to the U.S. government policy toward Cuba, including the U.S. embargo on Cuba and the Helms-Burton legislation; potential interruptions in transportation; uncertainty of gas supply for electrical generation; the Corporation’s reliance on key personnel and skilled workers; the possibility of equipment and other failures; risks associated with mining, processing and refining activities; uncertainty of resources and reserve estimates; the potential for shortages of equipment and supplies; risks related to environmental liabilities including liability for reclamation costs, tailings facility failures and toxic gas releases; risks related to the Corporation’s corporate structure; political, economic and other risks of foreign
  • perations; risks related to Sherritt’s operations in Madagascar; risks associated with Sherritt’s operation of large projects generally; risks related to the accuracy of capital and operating cost estimates; foreign
exchange and pricing risks; compliance with applicable environment, health and safety legislation and other associated matters; risks associated with governmental regulations regarding climate change and greenhouse gas emissions; risks relating to community relations and maintaining the Corporation’s social license to grow and operate; credit risks; competition in product markets; future market access; interest rate changes; risks in obtaining insurance; uncertainties in labour relations; uncertainty in the ability of the Corporation to enforce legal rights in foreign jurisdictions; uncertainty regarding the interpretation and/or application of the applicable laws in foreign jurisdictions; legal contingencies; risks related to the Corporation’s accounting policies; identification and management of growth opportunities; uncertainty in the ability
  • f the Corporation to obtain government permits; risks to information technologies systems and cybersecurity; failure to comply with, or changes to, applicable government regulations; bribery and corruption
risks, including failure to comply with the Corruption of Foreign Public Officials Act or applicable local anti-corruption law; the ability to accomplish corporate objectives, goals and plans for 2019; and the Corporation’s ability to meet other factors listed from time to time in the Corporation’s continuous disclosure documents. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive and should be considered in conjunction with the risk factors described in this presentation and in the Corporation’s other documents filed with the Canadian securities authorities, including without limitation the Annual Information Form of the Corporation dated February 13, 2019 for the period ending December 31, 2018, which is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. The Corporation may, from time to time, make oral forward-looking statements. The Corporation advises that the above paragraph and the risk factors described in this presentation release and in the Corporation’s documents filed with the Canadian securities authorities should be read for a description of certain factors that could cause the actual results of the Corporation to differ materially from those in the
  • ral forward-looking statements. The forward-looking information and statements contained in this presentation are made as of the date hereof and the Corporation undertakes no obligation to update publicly or
revise any oral or written forward-looking information or statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable securities laws. The forward-looking information and statements contained herein are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement.
slide-3
SLIDE 3

3

Agenda 1 2 3 4

Financial results and balance sheet initiatives Nickel/cobalt market and outlook Near-term outlook and upcoming catalysts Sherritt’s operations and recent progress

slide-4
SLIDE 4

4

Nickel is the best performing metal YTD Gains driven by strong market fundaments and Indonesian ore export ban

(60%) (40%) (20%) 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

2-Jan 1-Feb 3-Mar 2-Apr 2-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 31-Jul 30-Aug

Nickel +72%

Copper -1% Gold +18% Cobalt -11% Zinc -6%

Indonesian ore export ban News of Mutanda shutdown

slide-5
SLIDE 5

5

Demand for nickel is growing*

*Source: Wood Mackenzie

+4% +2% +33%

growth per year growth per year growth per year

EV batteries Stainless steel Special alloys

Nickel consumption to grow to 2.4MT in 2019 and 2.5MT in 2020

slide-6
SLIDE 6

6

Change to taxes and incentives to achieve zero or low emission 2025 China targets 5M EVs on the road by 2020 and production of 7M EVs by 2025. EVs with range > 400km see increase in subsidies 2020, 2025 Ban all fossil fuel passenger car sales Change to taxes and incentives to achieve only zero-emission sales 2025 Ban on the sale of petrol and diesel cars Ban on the sale of cars emitting greenhouse gases 2030 2030 2040

Year Initiative

Ban on the sale of all petrol and diesel cars and vans 2040

China Norway Holland Germany India France U.K.

Electric vehicles trend is a global phenomenon

Regulators in China and Europe are paving the way for electrification

slide-7
SLIDE 7

7

Auto industry is undergoing dramatic changes

  • China begins EV

production quotas at 10% of all vehicles

  • 100% of Volvo’s

fleet will be electric

  • r hybrid
  • Production of Tesla

semi trucks begins

2019 2020 2022

  • 100% of Jaguar

Land Rover’s fleet will be electric

  • GM will have 10 EV

models for Chinese market

  • Norway’s ban of ICE

vehicles take effect

  • 30% of Audi vehicle

sales will be electric

2025

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, UBS

Pace of EV revolution is driving favorable outlook for battery metals

  • Ford will launch an

all-electric SUV + 24 hybrid and 16 full EVs as a result of $11B investment

slide-8
SLIDE 8

8

100 200 300 400 500 600 China Europe US Japan ROW H1 2019 H1 2018

Nickel demand will accelerate with EV revolution

EV sales and forecasted sales are led by China and Europe

Global EV sales actuals(1) EV production forecasts(2)

(1) Source: EV Volumes (2) Source: McKinsey ’000s +66% +35% +22%

  • 15%%

+25%

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 China Europe USA RoW Million vehicles produced/Yr 2016 2020 2025 2030

slide-9
SLIDE 9

9

EV batteries will increasingly rely on nickel Changes driven by:

  • Cobalt supply

constraints

  • Commodity pricing

environment

  • Surging end-product

demand

Source: Bernstein Research; CRU Group

Sherritt well positioned for growing EV battery demand

NMC-111 NMC-622 NMC-811 NCA Nickel Manganese Cobalt Lithium

Metal content by battery

19.8% 19.9% 18.5% 7.8% 36.2% 12.1% 11.3% 7.3% 7.2% 5.6% 6.0% 48.2% 48.8% 9.2% 7.4%

slide-10
SLIDE 10

10

Not all nickel is the same

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2025 supply 2025 demand Mt

Differences in nickel supply and uses

Class II – Nickel Pig Iron & Ferro-nickel Class I – High purity nickel Stainless steel Stainless steel with high purity nickel Non-stainless exc. batteries Batteries

>70%

Of all nickel supply is unsuitable for EV battery market

High purity Low purity

Sherritt produces 100% Class I nickel in powder and briquette forms

Source: Bernstein, CRU, Wood Mackenzie Non- Cathode Cathode

30%

slide-11
SLIDE 11

11

Class 1 nickel supply deficit is accelerating

Source: LME, SHFE

No new nickel mines currently in development

56%

Decline in inventory since Jan 1 2018

100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000

Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19

Tonnes LME SHFE

slide-12
SLIDE 12

12

(1) On a 100% basis

Cobalt sources Mine production by country (2018): total = 149 kt

Cuba: 3% (2% Sherritt) DRC: 72% Russia: 3% Australia: 4% Philippines: 3% Madagascar: 2% Canada: 3%

Sherritt produces steady supply from safe jurisdictions

Source: CRU, Sherritt

Other: 10%

(1)

Cobalt supply marked by jurisdictional risk

(1)

73% 25% 2%

Copper mines, by-product Nickel mines, by-product Primary cobalt mines and other

slide-13
SLIDE 13

13

Increasing demand from the battery sector

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total battery demand EV battery demand

Cobalt demand by battery types

EVs will consume over 40% of the world’s cobalt by 2025

Source: CRU

slide-14
SLIDE 14

14

Operations & recent results

slide-15
SLIDE 15

15

Sherritt is completing a transformation

Metals Oil and Gas Power Commercial operations developed with Sherritt technologies

Recent progress & momentum:

  • Eliminated $2B of debt since 2014
  • 2019 YTD nickel and cobalt

production increases at Moa JV due to investments in mining equipment and operational excellence initiatives

  • Updated 43-101 technical report

shows potential to increase Moa mine life beyond 15 years

  • Cuban partners ratified agreement on

a payment plan to reduce overdue energy receivables

  • Drilled 5,300 meters of planned 5,700

metres at Block 10

Focused on balance sheet strength; nickel production leadership and Cuban energy opportunities

slide-16
SLIDE 16

16

Ranked as peer-leading for employee health and safety

Committed to best in class ESG

*Over 3-year period

Progress in 2018:

  • 63% reduction in total recordable

injury frequency rate*

  • 71% decline in lost time injury

frequency rate*

  • 5% decline in Scope 1 green

house emissions

  • 11% decrease in energy

consumption

  • $1B in economic benefits created

in communities with operations

slide-17
SLIDE 17

17

Moa Joint Venture

Cuba Fort Saskatchewan, Alberta

Moa Refinery

  • 50/50 partnership with Cuban state-owned

enterprise

  • Mines and processes nickel and cobalt from

lateritic ore bodies

  • Uses Sherritt’s HPAL process to produce

intermediary product ready for refining

  • 15+ years of proven reserve life
  • Refines Moa JV and third-party mixed

sulphides

  • Produces finished nickel and cobalt in

briquette and powder forms

  • Includes fertilizer business, utilities and

storage facilities

  • 60+ years of HPAL experience

25 years of collaborative production

slide-18
SLIDE 18

18

Moa JV and Fort Site - collaborative production

Moa JV contributed $13.5M dividend distributions in Q2 2019

NDCC costs (US$/lb) Production (50%, tonnes)

Low cost nickel HPAL operation

  • A vertically integrated mining, processing and

refining enterprise

  • High cobalt-to nickel production ratio

Highlights of Q2 2019 results

  • Nickel production was up 6%
  • Growth driven by new mining equipment and
  • perational excellence initiatives
  • NDCC impacted by 64% decline in realized cobalt

prices

Potential upside

  • On track for 2019 production and unit cost targets

3,749 3,969 Q2 2018 Q2 2019

Nickel

388 415 Q2 2018 Q2 2019

Cobalt

$1.68 $4.53 $3.83 Q2 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

slide-19
SLIDE 19

19

1,821 1,523 Q2 2018 Q2 2019

Oil and Gas operations

Largest independent oil producer in Cuba

  • 20+ year history in the country
  • 209 wells drilled since 1992, 86% found oil
  • > 210 million barrels produced
  • Vertically integrated, own and operate 2 rigs

Impacts on Q2 2019 results

  • Natural reservoir declines
  • Unit costs negatively impacted by stronger $U.S.

and lower volume

Potential upside

  • Block 10 drilling results expected in Q4 2019
  • Block 10 is targeting a new 20-year reservoir

Cuba unit operating costs ($/bbl) Total production (NWI, boepd)

Block 10 drilling provides upside potential

$16.10 $19.93 Q2 2018 Q2 2019

slide-20
SLIDE 20

20

204 180 Q2 2018 Q2 2019

Power operations

Power business provides consistent cash flow contributions

Unit operating costs ($/MWh) Power generation (331/3% basis, GWh)

Largest independent power producer in Cuba

  • Operates through a 33⅓% interest in Energas S.A.
  • Cuba’s cleanest power producer
  • Aggregate net power capacity of 506MW with 3

facilities: Varadero West, Puerto Escondido and Boca de Jaruco

Steady financial results in Q2 2019

  • $7.1M in adjusted EBITDA
  • $11.5M in free cash flow
  • Production impacted by reduced gas availability

Potential upside

  • Cuba’s power consumption is growing

$18.57 $16.35 Q2 2018 Q2 2019

slide-21
SLIDE 21

21

Financial results & balance sheet initiatives

slide-22
SLIDE 22

22

Q2 was not impacted by cobalt provisional pricing adjustments

Adjusted EBITDA

(1) waterfall from Q1 2019 to Q2 2019 1. For additional information see Non-GAAP measures section

slide-23
SLIDE 23

23

Change in consolidated cash in Q2 2019

Cash position impacted by working capital changes and timing of Capex spend

slide-24
SLIDE 24

24

2021

  • $170M in 8.00%

debentures due Q4(1)

Reducing debt remains a key strategic priority 2023 2025

  • $198M in 7.50%

debentures due Q3(1)

  • $141M in Ambatovy

partner loan due Q3(2)

  • $221M in 7.875%

debentures due Q4(1)

Balance sheet initiatives achieved 2014 - 2018

  • Sold non-core coal assets for

$946M and repaid $425M in debentures - Q2 2014

  • Repurchased $30M of debentures

at a discount - Q2 2016

  • Extended debenture maturities by 3

years with first maturity now due in 2021 (from 2018) - Q2 2016

  • Restructured Ambatovy JV &

eliminated $1.4B of debt - Q4 2017

  • Repurchased $120M of debentures

at a discount - Q1 2018

  • Repurchased $10M of debentures –

Q2 2018

2+ year runway before major liabilities are due

Balance sheet initiatives and upcoming debt maturities

(1) Outstanding debentures at face value (2) Sherritt has the option to repay the loan in shares or a combination of cash and shares at 105% of the amount then due, or elect to repay in 10 equal semi- annual principal installments (plus interest) commencing in December 2024, at an interest rate of LIBOR +5% applied from the original maturity date

slide-25
SLIDE 25

25

Overdue receivables agreement with Cuban partners

Maps not to scale

  • Holds cash primarily in offshore accounts

1. Pays Sherritt US$2.5M monthly on behalf of Energas 2. Provides approximately US$7.5M per month for local purchases from offshore account 3. Pays Sherritt 50% of available distributions up to US$68M 4. Pays Sherritt 100% of available distributions once US$68M exceeded

Moa JV

  • Holds cash in local account

A. Transfers $2.5M of local currency monthly to Moa JV for local payments B. Pays Sherritt monthly when foreign currency is available

Energas

Moa Nickel Energas Havana

B MOA JV

Offshore account

1 2 A 4 3

Agreement improves collaboration among joint ventures

slide-26
SLIDE 26

26

Upcoming catalysts

slide-27
SLIDE 27

27

Update on Block 10

  • Approximately 5,300 meters drilled and

lined

  • Drilling has traversed zones where previous

technical challenges were encountered

  • Target drilling depth is 5,700 metres
  • Completion is expected in Q4
  • Potential production of 25,000 BOPD on

gross working interest basis

Prudent drilling and capital spending driven by complex geological formation

slide-28
SLIDE 28

28

2019 guidance summary*

Production and unit costs estimates are based on conservative assumptions Production Unit Costs Capital Spend

(2)

Moa JV Ambatovy JV Oil & Gas Electricity

  • 31,000 – 33,000 Ni
  • 3,300 – 3,600 Co
  • 40,000 – 45,000 Ni
  • 3,500 – 4,000 Co
  • 1,600 – 1,800(1)
  • 650 - 700
  • US$4.00 - US$4.50/lb(1)
  • US$4.80 - US$5.30/lb(1)
  • C$23.00 - $24.50/bbl(1)
  • C$20.00 - $23.75/MWh(1)
  • US$30M(1)
  • US$10M
  • US$21M
  • US$1M

* - Nickel and cobalt production are in tonnes and are on a 100% basis.

  • Oil production is in barrels of oil per day for Cuba on based on net working-interest.
  • Electricity production is in gigawatt hours and are on a 33⅓ basis.

(1) Updated at June 30, 2019 (2) Based on Sherritt’s interest

  • Unit costs at Moa JV impacted by prevailing cobalt, sulphur and energy prices
  • Capital spend at Oil and Gas linked to ability to collect on overdue receivables
slide-29
SLIDE 29

29

1 2 3 4

Upside leverage to improving nickel and cobalt prices Well positioned to capitalize on electric vehicle battery demand Energy assets add cash flow diversity Balance sheet and liquidity initiatives are transforming Sherritt Low cost producer of high purity nickel and cobalt

Sherritt investment highlights

slide-30
SLIDE 30

30

Sherritt International Corporation Bay Adelaide Centre East Tower 22 Adelaide West, 42nd Floor Toronto, Ontario, Canada M5H 4E3 Joe Racanelli Telephone: (416) 935-2457 Toll-Free: 1 (800) 704-6698 Email: investor@sherritt.com Website: www.sherritt.com