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SHERRITT
THE NAME IN NICKEL
Investor Presentation
October 2019
SHERRITT THE NAME IN NICKEL Investor Presentation October 2019 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SHERRITT THE NAME IN NICKEL Investor Presentation October 2019 1 Forward-looking statements This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by the use of statements that
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THE NAME IN NICKEL
Investor Presentation
October 2019
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Forward-looking statements
Non-GAAP Measures Management uses combined results, Adjusted EBITDA, average-realized price, unit operating cost (NDCC), adjusted earnings, adjusted operating cash flow, free cash flow and to monitor the financial performance of the Corporation and its operating divisions and believes these measures enable investors and analysts to compare the Corporation’s financial performance with its competitors and evaluate the results of its underlying business. These measures do not have a standard definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. As these measures do not have a standardized meaning, they may not be comparable to similar measures provided by other companies. For additional information and reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable IFRS measure. See Sherritt’s Management’s Discussion and Analysis for further information and reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable IFRS measure This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by the use of statements that include such words as “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “plan”, “forecast”, “likely”, “may”, “will”, “could”, “should”, “suspect”, “outlook”, “potential”, “projected”, “continue” or other similar words or phrases. Specifically, forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not limited to, statements set out in the “2019 Guidance”” section of this presentation and certain expectations regarding production volumes, operating costs and capital spending; supply, demand and pricing outlook in the nickel and cobalt markets; demand in the stainless steel and electric vehicle markets; anticipated payments of outstanding receivables; future distributions from the Moa Joint Venture, funding of future Ambatovy Joint Venture cash calls; equipment availability, drill plans and results on exploration wells; the impact of Title III of the Helms-Burton Act on operations; and amounts of certain other commitments. Forward looking statements are not based on historical facts, but rather on current expectations, assumptions and projections about future events, including commodity and product prices and demand; the level3
Agenda 1 2 3 4
Financial results and balance sheet initiatives Nickel/cobalt market and outlook Near-term outlook and upcoming catalysts Sherritt’s operations and recent progress
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Nickel is the best performing metal YTD Gains driven by strong market fundaments and Indonesian ore export ban
(60%) (40%) (20%) 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
2-Jan 1-Feb 3-Mar 2-Apr 2-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 31-Jul 30-Aug
Nickel +72%
Copper -1% Gold +18% Cobalt -11% Zinc -6%
Indonesian ore export ban News of Mutanda shutdown
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Demand for nickel is growing*
*Source: Wood Mackenzie
growth per year growth per year growth per year
EV batteries Stainless steel Special alloys
Nickel consumption to grow to 2.4MT in 2019 and 2.5MT in 2020
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Change to taxes and incentives to achieve zero or low emission 2025 China targets 5M EVs on the road by 2020 and production of 7M EVs by 2025. EVs with range > 400km see increase in subsidies 2020, 2025 Ban all fossil fuel passenger car sales Change to taxes and incentives to achieve only zero-emission sales 2025 Ban on the sale of petrol and diesel cars Ban on the sale of cars emitting greenhouse gases 2030 2030 2040
Year Initiative
Ban on the sale of all petrol and diesel cars and vans 2040
China Norway Holland Germany India France U.K.
Electric vehicles trend is a global phenomenon
Regulators in China and Europe are paving the way for electrification
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Auto industry is undergoing dramatic changes
production quotas at 10% of all vehicles
fleet will be electric
semi trucks begins
2019 2020 2022
Land Rover’s fleet will be electric
models for Chinese market
vehicles take effect
sales will be electric
2025
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, UBS
Pace of EV revolution is driving favorable outlook for battery metals
all-electric SUV + 24 hybrid and 16 full EVs as a result of $11B investment
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100 200 300 400 500 600 China Europe US Japan ROW H1 2019 H1 2018
Nickel demand will accelerate with EV revolution
EV sales and forecasted sales are led by China and Europe
Global EV sales actuals(1) EV production forecasts(2)
(1) Source: EV Volumes (2) Source: McKinsey ’000s +66% +35% +22%
+25%
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 China Europe USA RoW Million vehicles produced/Yr 2016 2020 2025 2030
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EV batteries will increasingly rely on nickel Changes driven by:
constraints
environment
demand
Source: Bernstein Research; CRU Group
Sherritt well positioned for growing EV battery demand
NMC-111 NMC-622 NMC-811 NCA Nickel Manganese Cobalt Lithium
Metal content by battery
19.8% 19.9% 18.5% 7.8% 36.2% 12.1% 11.3% 7.3% 7.2% 5.6% 6.0% 48.2% 48.8% 9.2% 7.4%
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Not all nickel is the same
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2025 supply 2025 demand Mt
Differences in nickel supply and uses
Class II – Nickel Pig Iron & Ferro-nickel Class I – High purity nickel Stainless steel Stainless steel with high purity nickel Non-stainless exc. batteries Batteries
Of all nickel supply is unsuitable for EV battery market
High purity Low purity
Sherritt produces 100% Class I nickel in powder and briquette forms
Source: Bernstein, CRU, Wood Mackenzie Non- Cathode Cathode
30%
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Class 1 nickel supply deficit is accelerating
Source: LME, SHFE
No new nickel mines currently in development
Decline in inventory since Jan 1 2018
100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000
Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19
Tonnes LME SHFE
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(1) On a 100% basis
Cobalt sources Mine production by country (2018): total = 149 kt
Cuba: 3% (2% Sherritt) DRC: 72% Russia: 3% Australia: 4% Philippines: 3% Madagascar: 2% Canada: 3%
Sherritt produces steady supply from safe jurisdictions
Source: CRU, Sherritt
Other: 10%
(1)
Cobalt supply marked by jurisdictional risk
(1)
73% 25% 2%
Copper mines, by-product Nickel mines, by-product Primary cobalt mines and other
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Increasing demand from the battery sector
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total battery demand EV battery demand
Cobalt demand by battery types
EVs will consume over 40% of the world’s cobalt by 2025
Source: CRU
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Operations & recent results
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Sherritt is completing a transformation
Metals Oil and Gas Power Commercial operations developed with Sherritt technologies
Recent progress & momentum:
production increases at Moa JV due to investments in mining equipment and operational excellence initiatives
shows potential to increase Moa mine life beyond 15 years
a payment plan to reduce overdue energy receivables
metres at Block 10
Focused on balance sheet strength; nickel production leadership and Cuban energy opportunities
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Ranked as peer-leading for employee health and safety
Committed to best in class ESG
*Over 3-year period
Progress in 2018:
injury frequency rate*
frequency rate*
house emissions
consumption
in communities with operations
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Moa Joint Venture
Cuba Fort Saskatchewan, Alberta
Moa Refinery
enterprise
lateritic ore bodies
intermediary product ready for refining
sulphides
briquette and powder forms
storage facilities
25 years of collaborative production
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Moa JV and Fort Site - collaborative production
Moa JV contributed $13.5M dividend distributions in Q2 2019
NDCC costs (US$/lb) Production (50%, tonnes)
Low cost nickel HPAL operation
refining enterprise
Highlights of Q2 2019 results
prices
Potential upside
3,749 3,969 Q2 2018 Q2 2019
Nickel
388 415 Q2 2018 Q2 2019
Cobalt
$1.68 $4.53 $3.83 Q2 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019
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1,821 1,523 Q2 2018 Q2 2019
Oil and Gas operations
Largest independent oil producer in Cuba
Impacts on Q2 2019 results
and lower volume
Potential upside
Cuba unit operating costs ($/bbl) Total production (NWI, boepd)
Block 10 drilling provides upside potential
$16.10 $19.93 Q2 2018 Q2 2019
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204 180 Q2 2018 Q2 2019
Power operations
Power business provides consistent cash flow contributions
Unit operating costs ($/MWh) Power generation (331/3% basis, GWh)
Largest independent power producer in Cuba
facilities: Varadero West, Puerto Escondido and Boca de Jaruco
Steady financial results in Q2 2019
Potential upside
$18.57 $16.35 Q2 2018 Q2 2019
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Financial results & balance sheet initiatives
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Q2 was not impacted by cobalt provisional pricing adjustments
Adjusted EBITDA
(1) waterfall from Q1 2019 to Q2 2019 1. For additional information see Non-GAAP measures section
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Change in consolidated cash in Q2 2019
Cash position impacted by working capital changes and timing of Capex spend
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2021
debentures due Q4(1)
Reducing debt remains a key strategic priority 2023 2025
debentures due Q3(1)
partner loan due Q3(2)
debentures due Q4(1)
Balance sheet initiatives achieved 2014 - 2018
$946M and repaid $425M in debentures - Q2 2014
at a discount - Q2 2016
years with first maturity now due in 2021 (from 2018) - Q2 2016
eliminated $1.4B of debt - Q4 2017
at a discount - Q1 2018
Q2 2018
2+ year runway before major liabilities are due
Balance sheet initiatives and upcoming debt maturities
(1) Outstanding debentures at face value (2) Sherritt has the option to repay the loan in shares or a combination of cash and shares at 105% of the amount then due, or elect to repay in 10 equal semi- annual principal installments (plus interest) commencing in December 2024, at an interest rate of LIBOR +5% applied from the original maturity date
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Overdue receivables agreement with Cuban partners
Maps not to scale
1. Pays Sherritt US$2.5M monthly on behalf of Energas 2. Provides approximately US$7.5M per month for local purchases from offshore account 3. Pays Sherritt 50% of available distributions up to US$68M 4. Pays Sherritt 100% of available distributions once US$68M exceeded
Moa JV
A. Transfers $2.5M of local currency monthly to Moa JV for local payments B. Pays Sherritt monthly when foreign currency is available
Energas
Moa Nickel Energas Havana
B MOA JV
Offshore account
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Agreement improves collaboration among joint ventures
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Upcoming catalysts
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Update on Block 10
lined
technical challenges were encountered
gross working interest basis
Prudent drilling and capital spending driven by complex geological formation
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2019 guidance summary*
Production and unit costs estimates are based on conservative assumptions Production Unit Costs Capital Spend
(2)
Moa JV Ambatovy JV Oil & Gas Electricity
* - Nickel and cobalt production are in tonnes and are on a 100% basis.
(1) Updated at June 30, 2019 (2) Based on Sherritt’s interest
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Upside leverage to improving nickel and cobalt prices Well positioned to capitalize on electric vehicle battery demand Energy assets add cash flow diversity Balance sheet and liquidity initiatives are transforming Sherritt Low cost producer of high purity nickel and cobalt
Sherritt investment highlights
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Sherritt International Corporation Bay Adelaide Centre East Tower 22 Adelaide West, 42nd Floor Toronto, Ontario, Canada M5H 4E3 Joe Racanelli Telephone: (416) 935-2457 Toll-Free: 1 (800) 704-6698 Email: investor@sherritt.com Website: www.sherritt.com