Session 16: Wrap up 1 1. Strategic commitment (from Session 15). - - PDF document

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Session 16: Wrap up 1 1. Strategic commitment (from Session 15). - - PDF document

P1 SepOct 2012 Timothy Van Zandt Prices & Markets Page 1 Session 16 Wrap up Session 16: Wrap up 1 1. Strategic commitment (from Session 15). 2. Entry as a congestion game. 3. Wrap up. Part of An entry deterrance


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P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets Session 16 • Wrap up Page 1

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Session 16: Wrap up

1. ➥ Strategic commitment (from Session 15).

  • 2. Entry as a congestion game.
  • 3. Wrap up.

2

An entry deterrance game

Part of Exercise 15.1

The figure below illustrates the following strategic situation involving Sony, which currently has a monopoly in the Discman, and JVC, which may enter the market. JVC Sony Enter ( 5 , -2 )

High

  • utput

( 6 , 6 )

Low

  • utput

Sony Stay out ( 12 , 0 )

High

  • utput

( 8 , 0 )

Low

  • utput
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P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets Session 16 • Wrap up Page 2

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Suppose Sony is making plans to build a new plant

Sony JVC Large plant Sony Enter ( 4 , -2 )

High

  • utput

( 3 , 6 )

Low

  • utput

Sony Stay out ( 11 , 0 )

High

  • utput

( 5 , 0 )

Low

  • utput

JVC Small plant Sony Enter ( 5 , -2 )

High

  • utput

( 6 , 6 )

Low

  • utput

Sony Stay out ( 12 , 0 )

High

  • utput

( 8 , 0 )

Low

  • utput

4

Pricing game from Session 12

Firm B Low Med High Low 19 20 18 25 10 33 Firm A Med 24 23 28 31 22 38 High 30 15 40 27 34 42

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P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets Session 16 • Wrap up Page 3

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Suppose that Firm B can commit to its price first

Firm B Firm A

( 24 , 23 )

Low ( 19 , 20 ) Low ( 24 , 23 ) Med

( 30 , 15 )

High

( 28 , 31 ) Firm A

Med ( 18 , 25 ) Low

( 28 , 31 )

Med ( 40 , 27 ) High

( 34 , 42 ) Firm A

High

( 10 , 33 )

Low ( 22 , 38 ) Med ( 34 , 42 ) High

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Summary: What are Stackelberg games?

From these ingredients: two players: 1 and 2 player 1 chooses action A1 and player 2 chooses action A2 We can have three different strategic situations, depending on the timing: Simultaneous moves Sequential game in which player 1 moves first Sequential game in which player 2 moves first Such sequential games are called Stackelberg games. Player who moves first is the leader; other player is the follower.

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P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets Session 16 • Wrap up Page 4

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Summary: What about Stackelberg games?

They let us see how timing and strategic commmitment matter. Who is behaving differently in Stackelberg vs. Nash? Follower? Leader?

8

Preemptive investments

Your firm is first to develop the next generation memory chip. You thus will be the first firm to install capacity. What are you thinking?

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P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets Session 16 • Wrap up Page 5

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Wrap up on strategic commitment

When you have the chance to commit, think about:

  • 1. In what way you want to influence the other players’ actions.
  • 2. How you can achieve this.

10

Session 16: Wrap up

1. ✓ Strategic commitment (from Session 15). 2. ➥ Entry as a congestion game.

  • 3. Wrap up.
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P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets Session 16 • Wrap up Page 6

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Congestion games

What do these situations have in common?

  • 1. Entering a market.
  • 2. Going to study at the INSEAD library.
  • 3. Entering a random draw for free tickets to a concert.
  • 4. Deciding whether to focus on the finance job market.

12

Congestion games — simple version

Simplification: “How many” not “who”. Each player cares about how many other players are in, but not on their identities.

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P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets Session 16 • Wrap up Page 7

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Example

Value of being in, excluding entry cost

  • 14

Session 16: Wrap up

1. ✓ Strategic commitment (from Session 15). 2. ✓ Entry as a congestion game. 3. ➥ Wrap up.

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P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets Session 16 • Wrap up Page 8

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What is this course about?

Consumers

Firms Markets

Prices Quantities

Our focus is on Firms. And the topics differ according to how we treat firms.

16

Main structure

(Sessions 1–6)

(Firms’ decisions & equilibrium)

Firms are price-takers (Perfect competition) Firms have market power (Imperfect competition)

(Sessions 7–11)

Firms’ decisions

(Sessions 12–15)

Equilibrium

In each case: fixed firms in the market, then entry/exit

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P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets Session 16 • Wrap up Page 9

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Imperfect competition

Perfect competition

Fixed firms in market

MC = MR = P ⇓ s i (P) Firms’ decisions s(P) = d(P) Equili- brium

Entry & exit

VΠ > FC? P > AC u ? Firms’ decisions

Each active firm has economic profit ≥ 0 . No potential entrant could make economic profit > 0 by entering.

Equilibrium

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Perfect competition

Imperfect competition

Fixed firms in market

MC = MR ⇓ P, Q Firms’ decisions Nash eqm. Equili- brium

Entry & exit

VΠ > FC? Firms’ decisions

Each active firm has economic profit ≥ 0 . No potential entrant could make economic profit > 0 by entering.

Equilibrium

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P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets Session 16 • Wrap up Page 10

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More economics by economists

  • Macroeconomics in Global Economy

(P3 core)

Interest rates, exchange rates, employment, …

  • Advanced Game Theory

(P4)

Applied, but for those who find rigorous modeling useful.

  • Economics and Management of Developing Countries

(P4 elective)

Title says it all.

  • Business and Public Policy

(P4 mini)

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20

More microeconomics-related courses

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Including Corporate Financial Policy (P2 core)

  • Pricing Strategies and Tactics

(P5 elective)

More pricing!

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(P5 elective)

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(P4 & P5 elective)

Much more applied but similar frameworks as in P&M.

  • Negotations (elective)

Incomplete information, behavioral biases, commitment problems