Secure Income REIT Plc
8 September 2016
www.SecureIncomeREIT.co.uk
Secure Income REIT Plc 8 September 2016 www.SecureIncomeREIT.co.uk - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Secure Income REIT Plc 8 September 2016 www.SecureIncomeREIT.co.uk Disclaimer The information contained in these slides and communicated verbally to you, including the speech(es) of the presenter(s) and any materials distributed at or in
8 September 2016
www.SecureIncomeREIT.co.uk
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The information contained in these slides and communicated verbally to you, including the speech(es) of the presenter(s) and any materials distributed at or in connection therewith (together the “Presentation”) is confidential. Reliance upon the Presentation for the purpose of engaging in any investment activity may expose an individual to a significant risk of losing all of the property or other assets
Act 2000, as amended (the “FSMA”) or otherwise suitably authorised if in another jurisdiction and who specialises in advising on investments of this kind. Any investment decision should not be made based on the content of the Presentation but be made solely on the basis of the announcement of the transaction to be published by Secure Income REIT Plc (the “Company”). The contents of the Presentation shall not be taken as any form of commitment on the part of any person to proceed with any transaction. The Presentation has been prepared by, and is the sole responsibility of, the Company. No undertaking, representation, warranty or other assurance, expressed or implied, is made or given by or on behalf
them for any such information or opinions. Notwithstanding the aforesaid, nothing in this paragraph shall limit or exclude liability for any representation or warranty made fraudulently. The Presentation has not been approved by the Financial Conduct Authority (the “FCA”) and does not constitute, or form part of, an admission document, listing particulars, a prospectus or a circular relating to the Company, nor does it constitute, or form part of, any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for any ordinary shares in the Company (the “Ordinary Shares”). Further, neither the Presentation nor any part of it, or the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, or act as any inducement to enter into, any contract for Ordinary Shares. Any investment in Ordinary Shares should only be made on the basis of definitive documentation in final form. The Presentation contains illustrative returns based on certain assumptions relating to an extended future period and, accordingly, there is no guarantee that actual returns, if any, can be achieved at or near the levels set out in this Presentation. The estimates and assumption underlying the illustrative returns are inherently uncertain, are based on events that have not taken place and are subject to economic, competitive and other uncertainties and contingencies beyond the Company’s control. The illustrative returns have been prepared by the Company and should be read in conjunction with the assumptions included in this Presentation. It is emphasised that the illustrative returns, which are unaudited, do not constitute any form of forecast, whether of cash, profit or otherwise. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. The value of shares or income from them may go down as well as up. The Presentation may not be copied, reproduced or further distributed, in whole or in part, to any other person, or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose without the prior written consent of the Company and is being made available on a strictly confidential basis. This Presentation has been prepared in relation to, and may only be considered in connection with, the proposed transaction that is outlined in this Presentation and more fully in the announcement made by the Company on 8 September 2016. The Presentation is being distributed in the United Kingdom only to, and is directed only at persons whose ordinary activities involve them in acquiring, holding, managing and disposing of investments as principal or agent for the purposes of their business and who have professional experience in matters relating to investments and are “qualified investors” as defined in section 86(7) of FSMA being persons falling within the meaning of Article 2(1)(e) of the Prospectus Directive (Directive 2003/71/EC) and who are also persons that: (i) have professional experience in matters relating to investments, being “Investment Professionals” (as defined in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order (the “FPO”)) or (ii) are “High Net Worth Companies” (as defined in Article 49(2) of the FPO). Persons who do not fall within either of these definitions should not rely on the Presentation nor take any action based upon it but should instead return it immediately to the Company. The Presentation is exempt from the general restriction in section 21 of the FSMA relating to the communication of invitations or inducements to engage in investment activity on the grounds that it is made only to certain categories of persons. The distribution of the Presentation in jurisdictions other than the United Kingdom may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession the Presentation comes should inform themselves about and
Canada, Japan, Australia or the Republic of South Africa. The Presentation should not be distributed in or into the United States of America (or any of its territories or possessions) (together the “US”). The Ordinary Shares have not been, and will not be, registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended or under the securities laws of any other jurisdiction, and are not being offered or sold (i) directly or indirectly, within or into the US, Canada, Japan, Australia or the Republic of South Africa or (ii) to, or for the account or benefit of, any US persons or any national, citizen or resident of the US, Canada, Japan, Australia or the Republic of South Africa.
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The Company has not been approved by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA) as a foreign collective investment scheme pursuant to Article 120 of the Swiss Collective Investment Schemes Act of June 23, 2006 (“CISA”). The securities proposed to be sold will be distributed in, into or from Switzerland (i) exclusively to regulated qualified investors as defined in Article 10(3)(a) and (b)
manner which constitutes a public offering within the meaning of Article 652a or 1156 of the Swiss Code of Obligations (“CO”). The securities proposed to be sole will not be listed on the SIX Swiss Exchange (“SIX”) or on any other stock exchange or regulated trading facility in Switzerland. This Presentation has been prepared without regard to the disclosure standards for prospectuses under the CISA. Article 552a or 1158 CO or the listing rules of SIX or any other exchange or regulated trading facility in Switzerland. This Presentation may be distributed or made available in, into or from Switzerland (i) only to Regulated Qualified Investors and/or otherwise in a manner which does not constitute distribution within the meaning of the CISA, its implementing ordinance and guidelines, and (ii) not in a manner which constitutes a public offering within the meaning of Article 652A or 1156 CO
Investors and/or otherwise in a manner which does not constitute distribution within the meaning of the CISA, its implementation, ordinance and guidelines, and (ii) not in a manner which constitutes a public offering within the meaning of Article 652A or 1156 CO. Neither this Presentation nor any other offering or marketing material relating to the Company securities proposed to be sold have been or will be filed with, or approved by, any Swiss regulatory authority. The investor protection offered to investors of interests in collective investment schemes under the CISA does not extend to acquirers of the securities proposed to be sold. The securities proposed to be sold shall not be offered, sold, transferred or delivered, directly or indirectly, in the Netherlands, except to qualified investors (gelwalificaerde beleggers) within the meaning of section 1.1 of the Financial Supervision Act (Wet op het financiael toezicht) as amended from time to time. The Company is under no obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this Presentation or to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent, and any opinions expressed in or are subject to change without notice. Neither the Company nor any of its directors, officer, employees or advisers accept any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this Presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. The Presentation contains forward looking statements. These statements relate to the future prospects, developments and business strategies of the Company. Forward looking statements are identified by the use of such terms as “believe”, “could”, “envisage”, “estimate”, “potential”, “intend”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “predict”, “target” or variations or similar expressions, or the negative thereof. The forward looking statements contained in the Presentation are based on current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by those statements. If one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or if any underlying assumptions prove incorrect, the Company’s actual results may vary materially from those expected, estimated or projected. Given these risks and uncertainties, certain of which are beyond the Company’s control, potential investors should not place any reliance
update or revisions to the forward looking statements contained in the Presentation to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based after the time they are made. Stifel, which is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the FCA, is acting as bookrunner and nominated adviser connection with the matters referred to herein, and will not be responsible to anyone other than the Company for providing the protections afforded to its clients, nor for providing advice in relation to the contents of the Presentation or any transaction or arrangement referred to herein. Apart from the responsibilities and liabilities, if any, which may be imposed on Stifel by the FSMA or the regulatory regime established thereunder Stifel accepts no responsibility whatsoever, and makes no representations or warranty, express or implied, in relation to the contents of the Presentation, including the accuracy, completeness or verification or for any other statement made or purposed to be made by it, or on behalf of it, the Company, the directors, the Investment Adviser or any other person in connection with the Company, the Ordinary Shares or the matters referred to herein, and nothing in the Presentation is or shall be relied upon as a promise or representation in this respect, whether as to the past or future. Stifel accordingly disclaims all and any liability whether arising in tort, contract or
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¹External valuation of existing portfolio at 30 June 2016 (GBP/EUR exchange rate of €1:£0.8278 on £85.6m of German Investment Property)
degearing and lower financing costs
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30 June 2016 Unaudited 31 December 2015 Audited % change
EPRA Net Asset Value £541.5m £510.1m ↑ 6.2% EPRA Net Asset Value per share 300.2 282.8p ↑ 6.2% Adjusted EPRA EPS¹ 5.4p 2.6p Net Loan to Value ratio 59.5% 61.0% ↓ 2pp
258.5p 275.3p 282.8p 300.2p
220 240 260 280 300 320
Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 69.7% 61.5% 61.0% 59.5%
55% 60% 65% 70% 75%
Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16
EPRA NAV per share Net LTV Adjusted EPRA EPS
¹ Adjusted to exclude the increase in rental income above cash rents received as a result of the accounting requirement to spread the impact of fixed rental uplifts over the lease term ² Pro forma figures adjusted for completion of the sale of Madame Tussauds and the refinancing of the Group’s entire debt, both of which occurred after the relevant balance sheet date
² ²
(0.3p) 2.9p 5.4p
(2.0p) 0.0p 2.0p 4.0p 6.0p
H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016
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reviews
Management and Board investing £5.4m at the Placing Price
term; credit approved and in advanced stages of documentation
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dividend increasing by 14% from 3.9% to 4.5%¹ yield on 30 June EPRA NAV and the Placing Price respectively distributions anticipated to grow at 6.5%¹ CAGR over six years total shareholder return over six years estimated at c. 11%¹
12% of pro forma gross asset value
¹See assumptions on page 23 of this presentation
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Travelodge Hotels Limited
December 2015
year ended 31 December 2015 showing:
hotel market of 4.2%
all hotels in the target portfolio and substantial investment in yield management system,
customer satisfaction
completely refinancing existing group debt at lower cost
Capital Group and Goldman Sachs Group with certain members of the Travelodge management team holding 10.4% of the company via its equity incentive programme
UK hotels market
RevPAR over the last decade, notwithstanding the 2007-9 recession
compared to c. 24% in France and c. 33% in US, implying scope for further growth
Edinburgh Central
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1 Employs RPI swap curve at 30 August 2016 2 By number of rooms and hotels operated
yield of 7.0% 1 expected to rise to 7.3% 1 in October 2017
hotel brand2 and its biggest independent brand with 525 hotels and over 39,000 rooms
4.2% to 6.0% (analysis overleaf)
Freehold 60% 999 yrs 9% 100-165 yrs 7% 80-95 yrs 17% 40-80 yrs 7%
Tenure (by value) Property type (by value)
City centre 30% Edge of town 18% City roadside 24% Roadside 28%
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Sale Type Rooms Reported sale price (£m) Yield (%)
Jul-16 Travelodge London Liverpool Street Investment 142 42.3 4.6 Jun-16 Travelodge Royal Scot - Kings Cross Investment 408 70.0 4.2 Apr-16 Travelodge Sites Portfolio (Weston-super-Mare, Andover, Stirling, Kings Lynn) Forward Funding 302 19.8 6.0 Mar-16 Travelodge Hackney Investment 80 13.5 5.9 Jan-16 Travelodge Crawley Investment 110 42.5 5.8 Dec-15 Travelodge Sunbury M3 Hotel Investment 131 13.0 4.7 Dec-15 Travelodge Teddington Investment 113 13.7 4.6 Proposed Acquisition 3,096 192.6 7.0 This table includes a sample of illustrative Travelodge transactions that the Company is aware of. It does not purport to show all the transactions involving Travelodge properties.
North 5% East Midlands 9% West Midlands 4% South East 35% South West 16% North West 15% Scotland 16%
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Lot size (by value) Location (by value) Location (by rent)
£14-20m 26% £5-8m 25% £3-5m 27% £0-3m 22%
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Six year portfolio IRR¹,² estimate RPI Assumptions RPI Curve +1% Base case: RPI curve RPI curve –1% Zero or lower RPI 6% 16.3% 15.1% 13.9% 11.3% 6.5% 14.8% 13.5% 12.3% 9.7% 7.0% 13.3% 12.1% 10.8% 8.2% 7.5% 12.0% 10.7% 9.5% 6.8%
There is no certainty that these estimated returns will be achieved
1 Above analysis is of portfolio level returns before central and administrative costs 2 See assumptions 1, 4 and 6 on page 23 of this presentation
Assumed net initial yield at 30 September 2022 valuation
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Manchester Central Glasgow Central Oxford Peartree Nottingham Riverside
40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,600 1,700 1,800 1,900 Sep-16 Sep-17 Sep-18 Sep-19 Sep-20 Sep-21 Sep-22
£m
Portfolio Valuation (£m) Net LTV (%)
15 There is no certainty that these illustrative projections will be achieved
c.50% Net LTV by March 2020 - accelerated by c.24 months
Illustrative Portfolio Valuation and Net LTV at Constant Valuation Yield¹
Impact of transaction
LTV from June 2016 59.5% to 56.0%
achieve c.50% net LTV by c.24 months
to be fixed at drawdown – estimated at 2.75% reducing weighted average fixed rate from 5.2% pa to 5.1% pa
consistent with existing facilities
process with strong interest from institutional and bank lenders
1 See assumptions 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 on page 23 of this presentation
10 12 14 16 18 20 Sep-16 Sep-17 Sep-18 Sep-19 Sep-20 Sep-21 Sep-22
Distributions per share (pence) RPI Swap Curve Zero or lower RPI growth RPI Swap Curve + 100 bps
7.0% 6.5% 4.3%
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Distribution Policy
acquisition, distribution to increase to annualised 13.3p per share: first increased payment in Q1 2017
income, dividend yield of c.4.5% on Placing Price of 298.6p
(2016-2022) of 6.5% on base case assumptions¹
and minimum REIT pay-out²
There is no certainty that these illustrative returns will be achieved
6 yr CAGR Oct 2016 – 22 Source: RPI swap curve, company data
Illustrative growth in distributions on range of RPI assumptions
¹ See all assumptions on page 23 of this presentation
2 IFRS rent smoothing currently flatters earnings so is excluded from cover calculation
Merlin 34% Ramsay 49% Orpea 2% Travelodge 15% Merlin UK assets 28% Ramsay Hospitals 52% Orpea: London Psychiatric Hospital 3% Travelodge Hotels 12% 17
Enlarged portfolio total rent £92.4m from key operating assets with income security from strong operating businesses underpinning £1.57bn1 of property value
market capitalisation ASX 50 company and one of the top 5 private hospital operators in the world
company with £5.0bn market capitalisation: second largest visitor attractions company in the world and largest in Europe
capitalised business with 2015 revenues of £560m and £105.1m EBITDA; one of the UK’s top two budget hotel brands
specialists, listed on Euronext with £4.1bn market capitalisation
Post Acquisition: £1.57bn Portfolio Value1
Sources: Bloomberg market data as at 07 September 2016 using GBP/AUD exchange rate of A$1:£0.5729 and GBP/EUR exchange rate of €1:£0.8425
1 External valuation of existing portfolio at £1,378.5m at 30 June 2016 (GBP/EUR exchange rate of €1:£0.8278 on £85.6m of German Investment Property) plus £192.6m
Travelodge acquisition at cost excluding purchase costs Merlin German assets 5%
Post Acquisition: £92.4m rent
298.6 320.3 338.3 357.2 379.0 405.4 431.1 12.3 27.2 42.9 59.5 77.3 96.8
100 200 300 400 500 600 Pro forma 30-Sep-17 30-Sep-18 30-Sep-19 30-Sep-20 30-Sep-21 30-Sep-22 Accumulated dividends (pence) EPRA NAV per share (pence)
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¹See all assumptions on page 23 of this presentation Pence per share NET LTV 56% 54% 53% 51%
49% 48% 46%
Estimated Base Case TSR assuming constant valuation yields and base case RPI curve¹
There is no certainty that these illustrative projections will be achieved
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TSR (Sept 2016 – Sep 2022)1 Property Valuation Yield (net) RPI Curve +1% Base case: RPI curve RPI curve –1% Zero or lower RPI
14.3% 13.7% 13.0% 11.4%
12.9% 12.3% 11.5% 9.9% Base case 5.4% 11.5% 10.9% 10.1% 8.4% +25bps 10.2% 9.5% 8.7% 7.0% +50 bps 8.9% 8.2% 7.4% 5.6% Base Case
price and final valuation at EPRA NAV
There is no certainty that these illustrative returns will be achieved
1 See all assumptions on page 23 of this presentation
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Strong, growing dividend at c.4.5%¹ annualised yield on Placing price On steady state, highly predictable illustrative six year annual Total Shareholder Return of c. 11%¹ Defensive portfolio underpinned by high quality long term income Strongly aligned management team with a long term proven track record and experienced board Firm intention to seek further growth opportunities
¹See assumptions on page 23 of this presentation
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Issuer
Secure Income REIT Plc Ticker: SIR UK REIT, traded on AIM
Placing Price
Placing of up to 46,885,466 ordinary shares raising gross proceeds of £140.0 million Placing Price of 298.6 pence per share in line with pro forma NAV per share
Timetable
Placing opens: 8 September 2016 Placing closes: 1pm on 3 October 2016 Admission and settlement: 6 October 2016
Offer Structure
Non pre-emptive placing to qualified institutional investors Outside the US in reliance on Regulation S Following Admission, the Placing Shares will rank pari passsu with existing shares
Contact Details
Stifel Nicolaus Europe Limited Mark Young 020 7710 7633 David Arch 020 7710 7616 Peter Lees 020 7710 7490 Tom Yeadon 020 7710 7480 Neil Winward 020 7710 7460 Rob Tabor 020 7710 7669
1. Employs RPI swap curve at 30 August 2016, averaging increases of 3.1% per annum over the period 2. Constant valuation yield at 30 June 2016 external valuation for existing portfolio and valuation yield at purchase for Travelodge portfolio 3. Only fixed uplifts on Ramsay leases, ignores potential for open market uplifts 4. Completion of Travelodge acquisition on 30 September 2016 otherwise no purchases or sales of properties or lease variations 5. Constant Euro exchange rate of €1:£0.8278 6. Fixed rate of Travelodge acquisition debt assumed at 2.75% p.a – to be fixed at completion on basis of 7 year swap rate assumed for these purposes to be 0.75% 7. Incentive fee arrangements currently in place are not amended at the Independent Directors’ 2017 review 8. Valuation shift on sensitised valuation scenarios occur on last day of calculation period 9. Management contract continues on current terms for four months from expiry in June 2022 10. Earnings cover based on the adjusted earnings to exclude increase in rental income from rental smoothing IFRS adjustment 11. Completion of placing on 30 September and revaluation at EPRA NAV on 30 September 2022 12. The Placing comprises the issue of 46,885,466 ordinary shares at 298.6 pence per share If the gross proceeds of the Placing total less than £140 million, but exceed £117.1 million the Company may consider completing the Transaction using existing cash reserves. In these circumstances the illustrative returns in this announcement would change. On the basis of a Placing size of £117.1m and using the assumptions above, the illustrative pro forma EPRA NAV on completion
years would be 11.2% whilst the expected dividend yield on the Placing Price would increase to 4.6% and the dividend would be expected to grow at a compound rate of 6.3% over the six years following completion of the Transaction.
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19 private hospitals valued at £809.6m at 30 June 2016 representing 59% of current portfolio value generating £45.6m
Well located throughout England Key operating assets representing 61%1 of Ramsay’s UK
Let on individual fully repairing and insuring leases with a current term to expiry of 21 years without break clauses Rent increases by a fixed 2.75% per annum throughout the lease term in May each year and potential open market rent catch up at landlord’s option in 2017 and 5 yearly thereafter Guaranteed by Ramsay Health Care Limited
Ramsay
Healthcare Portfolio Net Initial Yield of 5.2% as at 30 June 2016
1 By number of UK assets: Ramsay operates 36 medical facilities in the UK (Annual Report 2015) of which 5 are treated as forming part of a single hospital in the
company’s portfolio.
Let to a UK subsidiary of Groupe Sinoué on a fully repairing and insuring lease for 28 years Central London’s only private psychiatric hospital – located in Lisson Grove, near Marylebone station Rent increase of 3.0% in May each year Guaranteed by Orpea SA Valued at £40.0m at 30 June 2016, representing 3% of current portfolio value generating £1.9m of passing rent
London Psychiatric Hospital
Ashtead Hospital Duchy Hospital Euxton Hall Hospital Fitzwilliam Hospital Fulwood Hospital Mount Stuart Hospital Nightingale Hospital North Downs Clinic 2 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 Oaklands Hospital Oaks Hospital Pinehill Hospital Reading Hospital Renacres Hospital Rivers Hospital Rowley Hospital Springfield Hospital 10 9 11 12 13 14 15 16 West Midlands Hospital Winfield Hospital Woodland Hospital Yorkshire Clinic 18 17 19 20
Ramsay Health Care Portfolio London Psychiatric Hospital
20 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 1 7 Liverpool Manchester Sheffield London Leeds Cambridge Bristol United Kingdom Birmingham
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4 Germany Hamburg Berlin Munich Hanover Düsseldorf Frankfurt Nuremberg Alton Towers Theme Park and Alton Towers Hotel Thorpe Park Warwick Castle 1 2 3 Heide Park Theme Park and Heide Park hotel 4
Overview
Valued at £528.8m1 at 30 June 2016 valuation representing 38% of current portfolio generating £31.2m of passing rent2.
− Alton Towers Park and Hotel, Thorpe Park, Warwick Castle − Alton Towers and Thorpe Park are 2 of top 3 theme parks in the UK3
− Heide Park attractions and hotel
hotels 18% Individual fully repairing and insuring leases with:
June for the UK portfolio
properties Guaranteed by Merlin Entertainments Plc
1 Includes £85.6m of German assets valued in Euros and translated at €1 : £0.8278 2 Includes £5.7m of rent from German assets denominated in Euros and translated at €1 : £0.8278 3 The Global Attractions Attendance Report 2014.
Leisure Portfolio Pro forma Net Initial Yield of 5.5%
1 2 3 Liverpool Manchester Sheffield London Leeds Bristol United Kingdom Birmingham Cambridge
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identified the following key business strengths:
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Years ended 31 December 2013 2014 2015
Revenue £432.6m £497.2m £559.6m EBITDA before IFRS rent smoothing £40.5m £66.2m £105.1m EBITDAR £185.1m £215.1m £261.6m Net cash flow from operating activities £35.8m £67.9m £118.1m Post bond issue pro forma: net senior secured debt £342.4m net senior secured debt: EBITDA 3.3x net third party debt £373.5m net third party debt: EBITDA 3.6x cash interest expense £34.3m EBITDA: cash interest expense 3.1x
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Years ended 31 December 2013 2014 2015
Number of hotels 478 482 494 Rooms available 35,552 35971 36,924 Occupancy 74.3% 75.5% 76.5% Average Daily Rate £39.51 £45.50 £50.19 Rev PAR £29.36 £34.36 £38.39 Rent cover 1.3x 1.4x 1.7x
1 External valuation of existing portfolio at £1,378.5m at 30 June 2016 (GBP/EUR exchange rate of €1:£0.8278 on £85.6m of German Investment Property) plus £192.6m Travelodge
acquisition at cost excluding purchase costs
2 £1.4m of costs relating to the Acquisition, principally legal due diligence and documentation costs, had been incurred by 30 June 2016 and have been charged to the income statement in that
due
3 Includes Euro denominated debt of £59.4m translated at €1:£0.8278 4 Other includes trade and other receivables, current tax asset and trade and other payables 5 Based on 180,344,240 shares currently in issue; 227,229,706 shares in issue following Placing
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June 2016 EPRA NAV Placing Debt financing Acquisition Pro forma £m £m £m £m £m Portfolio at Valuation1 1,378.5 192.6 1,571.1 Travelodge transaction costs² (1.4) 1.4
(909.3) (60.0) (969.3) Prepaid finance fees 13.2 1.3 14.5 Cash 89.6 137.5 58.7 (196.2) 89.6 Rent Deposits
1.7 Other4 (29.1) (29.1) EPRA NAV 541.5 137.5
678.5 EPRA NAV (p per share) 5 300.2 298.6 Net LTV (%) 59.5% 56.0%
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30 June 2016 Travelodge Portfolio Blended Net Debt1 £819.7m £60.0m £879.7m Net LTV 59.5% 30.5% 56.0 % Weighted average term to maturity from 30 June 8.0 years 7.0 years 7.7 years Weighted average coupon 5.2% 2.75%² 5.1%
throughout 7 year term
1 Includes Euro denominated debt of £59.4m translated at €1:£0.8278 ² Interest rate on Travelodge debt assumed at 2.75% pa – to be fixed at completion on basis of 7 year swap rate assumed for these purposes at 0.75%
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p.a following Travelodge acquisition
Note: turnover in income statement will “smooth” impact of fixed uplifts with compensating adjustment through property valuation movement
£49.2m pa post acquisition
fee of 1.25% to 0.75% of EPRA NAV on sliding scale
Post acquisition NAV of £678.5m results in illustrative £8.0m p.a. (£500m at 1.25% + £178.5m at 1.0%)
expected to increase by c. £0.5m following acquisition
net income of c.£0.2m p.a. in year to 31 December 2015
2016 and £1.4 million of costs relating to Travelodge transaction in June 2016
Growing min. 1.6% p.a., average 3.0% p.a. with RPI1
1 Employs RPI swap curve at 30 August 2016, averaging 3.1% per annum
.
Moves in line with EPRA NAV Fixed until Oct-2022
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Nov-2013 Jul-2014 Apr-2015 Dec-2015 Aug-2016 IPO in Nov-2013 38.4% 2.3% 2.6x 2.3x 2.3x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 3.0x FY-13 FY-14 FY-15
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Ramsay Health Care Limited Merlin Entertainments Plc
Market Capitalisation (£m)2 EBITDA (£m)1 Net Debt / EBITDA (x)3
Ramsay Health Care Limited ASX 200 Merlin Entertainments Plc FTSE 100 Sources: Company filings, Bloomberg Note: The information has been extracted from public sources, but has not been independently verified
1 Ramsay EBITDA is reported by the company, defined as “profit from continuing operations before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and non-core items”, and is converted to GBP from AUD using a GBP/AUD
exchange rate of A$1:£0.5745 as of 30-Aug-2016. Merlin EBITDA is based on company reported “Underlying EBITDA” for 2008-2015 (in FY 2015 Results for 2015 EBITDA, in 2014 Annual Report for 2010-2014 EBITDA, and in Merlin Prospectus for 2008-2009 EBITDA), and based on “EBITDA excluding exceptional items” for 2007 (Annual Report 2008). Ramsay and Merlin accounts are prepared in compliance with IFRS.
2 Ramsay market capitalisation converted to GBP from AUD using a GBP/AUD exchange rate of A$1 : £0.5745 as of 30-Aug-2016. ASX 200 and FTSE 100 are indexed to Ramsay Health Care Limited and Merlin
Entertainments market capitalisation respectively.
3 Ramsay net debt is calculated as current and non-current interest-bearing loans and borrowings less cash and cash equivalents. Merlin net debt is reported by the company. EBITDA for both Merlin and Ramsay are
provided based on footnote 1. £ 171 £ 203 £ 236 £ 256 £ 296 £ 346 £ 390 £ 411 £ 402 200 400 600 FY-07 FY-08 FY-09 FY-10 FY-11 FY-12 FY-13 FY-14 FY-15 £ 97 £ 145 £ 156 £ 197 £ 236 £ 269 £ 302 £ 335 £ 361 £ 432 £ 636 £ 729 200 400 600 800 FY-05 FY-06 FY-07 FY-08 FY-09 FY-10 FY-11 FY-12 FY-13 FY-14 FY-15 FY-16
Psychiatric Hospital Group (France) Generale de Sante Majority Stake in Groupe Procliff (France) HPM Group Capio Acquisitions Affinity
8.0x 3.1x 2.6x 3.7x 3.4x 2.5x 2.0x 1.6x 1.6x 1.6x 2.6x 2.5x 0.0x 2.0x 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x FY-05 FY-06 FY-07 FY-08 FY-09 FY-10 FY-11 FY-12 FY-13 FY-14 FY-15 FY-16
Psychiatric Hospital Group (France) Generale de Sante Acquisitions Majority Stake in Groupe Procliff Affinity Capio HPM Group
5,000 10,000 Aug-2007 Aug-2010 Aug-2013 Aug-2016 813.3% 9.5 %
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1 The Global Attractions Attendance Report 2014.
demand
from NHS
construction lead times
income protection
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Experienced Independent Directors Governance Structure Strongly Aligned with Shareholder Interests
Board structure
Senior advisor to KKR and non-executive director at SEGRO Plc since July 2014 Chairman of M&G Real Estate until 2013 and CEO from 1996 to 2012 Past President & board member of British Property Federation Chartered Surveyor Non-Executive member of HMRC Risk & Audit Committee Non-executive Chairman of The Risk Advisory Group Treasurer to TRH the Prince of Wales and the Duchess of Cornwall 2005 to 2012 Former head of international expatriate tax at KPMG Chartered Accountant Senior Advisor to Morgan Stanley & Chairman (and former Co-head) of EMEA Real Estate Investment Banking Non-Executive Director of Grosvenor Europe & Grosvenor Liverpool Limited and the advisory board of Resolution Real Estate Advisers Policy Committee member of the British Property Federation, member of the Bank of England Commercial Property Forum Senior Adviser to Wells Fargo Securities Chairman of The Prince’s Regeneration Trust. Past President of British Property
Investment Property Forum Former Chairman of Bank of England Commercial Property Forum Former MD & Chairman of Credit Suisse European Real Estate Investment Banking Jonathan Lane Nominations Committee Chair Ian Marcus Remuneration Committee Chair and Senior Independent Director Leslie Ferrar, CVO Audit Committee Chair Martin Moore Chairman
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Strong Manager Alignment
Management team members have a strong track record of long-term investment in the companies they have managed (Burford, Prestbury, Helical Bar, Max Property Group Plc)
Over 30 years’ real estate experience (Secure Income REIT Plc, Max Property Group Plc, Prestbury Group Plc, Burford Holdings Plc) Extensive Plc board experience both as executive and non- executive BSc (Hons) Est Man, FRICS Over 30 years’ real estate experience in funds and listed companies (Secure Income REIT Plc, Max Property Group Plc, Helical Bar plc, Threadneedle) BSc (Hons) Land Man, MRICS Over 20 years’ experience in property finance with extensive Plc board experience (Secure Income REIT Plc, Prestbury Group Plc, Burford Holdings Plc) 9 years with KPMG in Sydney and London BEc, CA (ANZ) Over 25 years’ experience as a Chartered Surveyor (Secure Income REIT Plc, Prestbury Group Plc, Jones Lang LaSalle, Hill Samuel Asset Management, MEPC) MA Hons (Cantab), MRICS Over 10 years’ experience in property investment, refurbishment and design BSc (Hons) Est Man, MRICS Nick Leslau Prestbury’s Chairman Mike Brown Prestbury’s CEO Sandy Gumm Prestbury’s COO Tim Evans Prestbury’s Property Director Ben Walford Prestbury’s Senior Surveyor
Overseeing an experienced team of finance, property and administrative staff
25 50 75 100 Dec-1997 Dec-1998 Dec-1999 Dec-2000 Dec-2001 Dec-2002 Dec-2003 Indices Rebased to Prestbury NAV Per Share 36
Max Properties – Average Total Return of 17.1% p.a. (May-2009 – Sep-2014) vs. Peer Group1
De-listing and disposal of majority
25% p.a. returns
Prestbury Group Plc: Average Total Returns of 25% p.a. (1997 – 2003) Burford Holdings Plc – Total Returns of 34% p.a. (1987 – 1997)
A B C
Sources: Data compiled from company announcements and annual reports over the following periods: Max Property Group Plc (May 2009 to September 2014); London & Stamford Property Plc (May 2009 to September 2012); Metric Property Investments Plc (March 2010 to September 2012); LXB Retail Properties Plc (October 2009 to September 2014); LondonMetric Property Plc (January 2013 to September 2014); New River Retail Ltd (September 2009 to September 2014); and Conygar Investment Company Plc (May 2009 – September 2014). LondonMetric Property Plc was not listed as a cash shell but created through the merger of London & Stamford Property Plc and Metric Property Investments Plc which were listed in 2007 and 2010 respectively.
The Prestbury Team has a strong track record including, between them, the management of three listed real estate investment vehicles, Burford Holdings Plc, Prestbury Group Plc and Max Property Group Plc
Prestbury Team Track Record
250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 Dec-1986 Dec-1988 Dec-1990 Dec-1992 Dec-1994 Dec-1996 Rebased to 100 Burford NAV Progression Peers NAV Progression 34% p.a returns 8.2% p.a returns 14.6x 2.0x
NAV per share Distributions Previous Distributions FTSE 350 Real Estate Index
17.1% 15.6% 9.2% 8.2% 6.6% 6.1% 5.1% Max London Metric (Jan-13 - Sep-14) London & Stamford (May-09 to Sep-12) LXB Metric Retail (Mar-10 to Sep-12) NewRiver Retail Conygar Average NAV Total return per Share
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Management Team has among the largest shareholdings in the quoted UK Real Estate sector and intends to remain among the largest following a potential placing Prestbury exclusively offers all qualifying long lease deals to the Company Contract term to June 2022 – no renewal rights or termination payment at end of term Incentive to achieve above target returns via incentive share awards of 20% of above target growth:
exceeded before incentive earned for 2016: not achieved on base case
2017 Management meets overhead costs and receives advisory fee on sliding scale relative to EPRA NAV: paid in cash quarterly 1.25% p.a. up to £500m, plus 1.0% p.a. between £500m – £1.0bn, plus 0.75% p.a. thereafter