SAT
To Become an Auto Parts Manufacturing Leader in ASEAN with Excellent Quality
May, 2011
SAT To Become an Auto Parts Manufacturing Leader in ASEAN with - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SAT To Become an Auto Parts Manufacturing Leader in ASEAN with Excellent Quality May, 2011 Agenda Industry Overview Group Business Performance Review Future Outlook Appendices Thailand, a world top auto assembler, is poised
To Become an Auto Parts Manufacturing Leader in ASEAN with Excellent Quality
May, 2011
Industry Overview Group Business Performance Review Future Outlook Appendices
Thailand, a world top auto assembler, is poised for impressive growth
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30 60 90 2009A 2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F
Global car production
Million units
57.2 64.9 71.5 78.0 82.1 85.2
Asia
Annual growth (2010) CAGR (2010 - 2014)
Total 7% 13% Europe 6% 5% 7% 16% North America 8% 27% South America 9% 7% Middle East & Africa 8% 7%
Source: Autofacts 2010 estimates, an analytical group of PricewaterhouseCoopers
Strength of Thailand as Automotive Clusters
Recovering and Growing consumer demand for automobiles. Strong presence of automotive supporting businesses. Strong Government Support i.e. incentive tax structure, supporting organization etc. Based of OEM’ R&D Centers Geographical and logistic advantages - Thailand as a gateway to Asia providing easy access to regional markets
facilities to facilitate auto export - Cluster development of suppliers to reduce the cost of logistics and create economies of scale Extensive & experienced suppliers - Due to approx. 1,800 auto part manufacturers to supply the industry or car makers can be sourced all locally.
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crippled imported parts supplies to Thailand, forcing carmakers to cut production in line with the tight supplies of parts in their inventories.
cut production, therefore it will be back to normal faster than expected.
to the original number of 1.8 mil.units as before the disaster in Japan.
Rosy Picture as Strong Demand Recovery
Source: FTI: The Federation of Thai Industries and SAT estimates (2011 - 15)
0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F
Thailand auto industry
Million units
Domestic Export 9% 6% 10% CAGR (2011 – 15F)
65% 54%
30%21%
4%23% 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 2010A 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F PU&PPV PC Eco car Others
Production 13%/Domestic 5%/Export 30% CAGR (1997-2008)
Production
Automotive Industry
Production by type of vehicles
Annual Growth 2010 65% 46% 67%
Most updated impacts from Japan’ Tsunami
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Carmakers Japan Thailand Toyota full production should pick up by next month, June. Car manufacturing in Thailand will be back to normal by May 23. Nissan Plant in Iwaki has resumed full
its optimum production pace by October. Production in Thailand will get back to normal by this June. Honda its parts supply production has picked up and is well on the way to normal levels. Expect to get back to normal capacity by September. Isuzu Expect to resume to normal by July. AAT Expect to resume to normal by July.
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Brand 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Isuzu
D-Max2/ D-Max(RT50) D-Max(RT50-
SUV => to replace MU-7)
Honda
Jazz1/City1/ Accord1/ Eco car(2CV)/ Civic(2HC) Jazz-Hybrid3/ CR-V Accord Jazz / City
Toyota
Vios1/Yaris2/ Vigo2 Prius-hybrid/ Corolla1, Camry Yaris3/Eco car3 Corolla Hilux (IMV2)
Mitsubishi LancerEX/Triton
(special edition)
None Eco-Car Triton
Nissan
March(Eco
car)/Navara1/
Venette(NV200) March(sedan)/ Qasana3 New compact sedan (to replace
Tida Latio)
Navara
Mazda
Mazda2(sedan), Mazda31 Mazda3/ BT50(T6)
Ford
Fiesta(B229), Focus1 Ranger(T6)/ Escape1/ Focus/Everest
(Escape discontinued)
Chevrolet Cruze(J300)
Colorado(GMI700) Colorado (SUV) /Aveo(T300)
Suzuki
Swift/SX43 Eco car
Note : 1 - minor change 2 - nano change 3 - not confirmed
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Toyota 36% MMth 13% AAT 13% Isuzu 11% Nissan 12% Honda 10% Other 5% Toyota 39% MMth 6% AAT 7% Isuzu 21% Nissan 8% Honda 13% Other 6% Toyota 33% MMth 19% AAT 18% Isuzu 5% Honda 6% Nissan 17% Other 2%
284,991 113,873 171,118 177,259 113,970 47,041 6,731 6,731
100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 Production Dom Sales Exp Sales
Other Passenger Car Pickup & PPV
Units Source: TAIA (The Thai Automotive Industry Association) (61%) (48%) (72%) (38%) (46%) (28%) +22.5% Y-Y +43% Y-Y +8.2% Y-Y
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10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
Isuzu (Isuzu&GM) Toyota Mitsubishi Nissan AAT Other
Pick Up & PPV
2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 17,500 20,000 22,500 25,000 Toyota Mitsubishi Nissan AAT Other Honda
Passenger
unit unit
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2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 17,500 20,000
Isuzu (Isuzu&GM) Toyota Mitsubishi Nissan AAT Other
Pick Up & PPV
2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 17,500 20,000
Toyota Mitsubishi Nissan AAT Other Honda
Passenger
unit unit
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5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000
Isuzu (Isuzu&GM) Toyota Mitsubishi Nissan AAT
Pick Up & PPV
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000
Toyota Mitsubishi Nissan AAT Other Honda
Passenger
unit unit
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4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 24,000
Jan10 Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan-11 Feb Mar
Asia Aus, NZ, Oceania Middle East Africa Europe C & N. America
24% 27% 23% 21% 21% 23% 24% 27% 30% 34% 32% 27% 21% 27% 20% 20% 21% 26% 12% 7% 12% 10% 11% 9% 13% 7% 9% 10% 9% 11%
7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2008 2009 2010 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11
Middle East Aus, NZ & Oceania Asia Central & S.America Europe Africa
535,596 895,855 Source: TAIA (The Thai Automotive Industry Association) 68,082 80,699
Units
Pick Up & PPV
4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 24,000
Jan10 Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan-11 Feb Mar
Asia Aus, NZ, Oceania Middle East Africa Europe C & N. America
Passenger
775,652 85,626
Industry Overview Group Business Performance Review Future Outlook Appendices
BSK 38%
NHK 62%
SAT 85%
SMT 8%
Other 7% 13
Market share FY’11
Rear Axle Shaft Y10 = 85 %
Customer Model
Market share FY’11
Coil Spring Y10 = 36 %
Customer Model
Mitsubishi
Lancer, New LancerEx
Toyota
Camry
Honda
Jazz , City, Accord
Nissan
New Teana , March
Customer Model
Toyota Fortuner, Vigo Mitsubishi Triton , 3E45
Pickup car
Pickup car Passenger car
Toyota Fortuner , Vigo Mitsubishi Triton , 3E45 AAT (Mazda & Ford) BT-50 , Ranger Isuzu D-Max, MU-7
BSK 36%
NHK 64%
BSK 16%
NHK 84%
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Market share FY’11
Leaf Spring Y10 = 14%
Market share FY’11
Stabilizer Bar Y10 = 37%
Customer Model Customer Model Customer Model
Mitsubishi Triton
Customer Model
Hino
Bus
Fuso
Truck
Pickup car Passenger car Pickup car Commercial car
Mitsubishi
Lancer Toyota Corolla
Honda
Jazz , City, Accord
Toyota (56%) Fortuner, Vigo Mitsubishi (100%) Triton, 3E45 Nissan (83%) Navara , LCV
SBM 26%
AISIN 52% KIRIU 5% OTHER 17%
SBM 27%
AISIN 64% KIRIU 9%
OTHER 1%
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Market share FY’11
Disc Brake Y10 = 27%
Market share FY’11
Drum Brake Y10 = 25 %
Customer Model
Fuso Truck FM/FN ,Canter
Customer Model
Honda Jazz/City, Civic, Accord, CR-V , Eco Mitsubishi
Space Wagon ,New Lancer EX
Customer Model
Mitsubishi Triton , 3E45
Customer Model
Mitsubishi Triton, 3E45 Isuzu D-Max MU-7
Customer Model
Honda City, Eco
Passenger car Pickup car Commercial car Passenger car
Pickup car
SBM 12%
AISIN 58% OTHER 30%
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Exhaust Manifold Y10 = 17%
Market share FY’11
Customer Model
Mitsubishi Lancer
Customer Model
Mitsubishi Triton , 3E45 AAT BT-50, Ranger
Pickup car Pickup car
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Note : Full Capacity= 500 hrs./month
M a c h I n i n g S p r I n g
F
Production Volume (Per Month)
2009A 2010A 2011F 2012F
Capacity (pcs) Utilization (%) Capacity (pcs) Utilization (%) Capacity (pcs) Utilization (%) Capacity (pcs) Utilization (%)
Axle Shaft (incl. Kubota)
240,000 56% 240,000 90% 240,000 98% 320,000 85%
Disc Brake
109,000 68% 121,000 90% 173,000 85% 173,000 85%
Drum Brake
95,000 68% 95,000 90% 107,000 80% 107,000 85%
Exhaust Manifold
46,000 65% 47,000 85% 47,000 75% 47,000 77%
Fly Wheel
8,000 65% 8,000 95% 12,400 85% 12,400 95%
Kubota Machining
36,000 98% 86,000 70% 86,000 77% 86,000 90%
Kubota Blade
360,000 25% 360,000 25% 360,000 25%
Coil Spring
255,000 40% 255,000 62% 255,000 90% 445,000 65%
Stabilizer Bar
100,000 46% 100,000 73% 100,000 90% 180,000 66%
Leaf Spring (tons)
1,500 55% 1,500 75% 1,500 83% 1,500 89%
Weighted Utilization rate
60% 80% 70% 65%
Industry Overview Group Business Performance Review Future Outlook Appendices
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Unit : Bt.mn
1Q10 4Q10 1Q11 YoY QoQ 2009 2010 YoY Sales 1,511 1,677 1,782 18% 6% 4,295 6,263 46% Total Revenue 1,541 1,720 1,817 18% 6% 4,348 6,416 48% GP 321 304 347 8% 14% 767 1,241 62% SG&A 97 127 137 41% 7% 351 426 21% EBITDA 339 310 340 0% 10% 913 1,407 54% Net Profit 200 177 213 6% 20% 314 771 146% Total Assets 6,563 8,077 8,780 34% 9% 6,192 8,077 30%
2,346 2,425 2,709 15% 12% 2,347 2,425 3% Total Liabilities 3,495 3,902 4,497 29% 15% 3,324 3,902 17% Equity 3,068 4,175 4,283 40% 3% 2,868 4,175 46% Interest Exp. 31 21 22
6% 114 111 -3% Depreciation 114 90 130 13% 44% 434 438 1% CAPEX 212 213 603 184% 184% 517 1,078 108%
Effective Tax Rate 16%
11% 10% 14% 13%
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1Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2009 2010 %GPM 21.28 18.00 19.46 17.86 19.82 %NPM 13.23 10.35 11.93 7.23 12.32 %ROA 12.54 8.78 10.09 5.01 11.90 %ROFA 29.27 26.57 27.36 17.74 25.4 EBITDA/CAPEX (x) 1.74 1.03 0.63 1.69 1.54 %ROE 26.94 17.20 20.35 11.58 23.38 %ROCE 21.92 14.02 14.95 10.44 17.62 %ROIC 19.87 14.79 15.33 8.54 17.28
Int.Bearing Debt/Equity (x)
0.76 0.60 0.63 0.82 0.58 DER (x) 1.14 0.98 1.05 1.16 0.94 Interest Coverage (x) 10.33 11.74 10.05 7.98 12.71 EPS (bt) 0.67 0.51 0.63 1.05 2.27 BVPS (bt) 10.23 11.98 12.60 9.56 12.28
Sales, Net Profits GPM and NPM Trend in 1Q09 – 1Q11
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939 815 1,136 1,406 1,511 1,444 1,631 1,677 1,782 25 1 97 191 200 178 214 174 213 13.8% 12.4% 18.9% 22.8% 21.3% 20.0% 20.0% 18.0% 19.5% 2.7% 0.2% 8.6% 13.6% 13.2% 12.3% 13.1% 10.35% 11.93% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 Sales (MB) Net Profit (MB) GPM(%) NPM (%)
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32% 33% 33% 35% 33% 33% 33% 31% 10% 11% 9% 14% 9% 9% 8% 11% 11% 10% 10% 13% 9% 10% 9% 10% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 26% 24% 25% 15% 25% 23% 28% 23% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
Domestic 96% OEM 95% Axle Shaft Leaf Spring Disc & Drum Brake Exhaust Manifold Fly Wheel (+Comp) Stabilizer Bar Coil Spring Others
(i.e. Big Hub, Bracket, Timing Cover, Camshaft)
Bt.mn 815 1,406 P/U & PPV Parts 80% 1,136 1,511 1,444 1,631 1,677 1,782
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21% 23% 32% 37% 31% 29% 29% 32% 27% 26% 27% 26% 26% 27% 26% 27% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 5% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 9% 8% 10% 6% 4% 6% 4% 4% 7% 5% 7% 5% 3% 4% 7% 6% 19% 22% 11% 11% 21% 24% 22% 19%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
1,782
Mitsubishi Toyota Honda Isuzu AAT Others
Bt.mn
Kubota
815 1,406 1,136 1,511 1,444 1,631 1,677
Industry Overview Group Business Performance Review Future Outlook Appendices
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CAPEX
customer base and sales growth
average (10% from Auto, 25% from Non-Auto)
Growth Prospect
Shaft
Design
R &D Center
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shortage of part supply
difficult production planning
customer, Less impacts compare to the average during tough time of business
bn Baht in 2011 in order to be more conservative
ICP2 mass production which will start
15%y-y as the previous target.
Industry Overview Group Business Performance Review Future Outlook Appendices
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A well established and reputable vehicle parts manufacturer, with concentration on the OEM market. The Group started its automotive parts manufacturing business in 1962, and is considered as one of Thai pioneers in the business.
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SAT
(Paid Up (340 mb)
SBM
(Paid Up 160 mb)
BSK
(Paid Up 130 mb)
Tsuchiyoshi Somboon Coated Sand
(Paid Up 72 mb)
Yamada Somboon
(Paid Up 150 mb)
Nishinbo Somboon Automotive
(Paid Up 732.6 mb)
Somboon Somic Manufacturing
(Paid Up 300 mb) 100% 100% 21.25% 20.00% 2.90% 1.80%
Somboon Holding 25.50% Kittapanich Family 24.71% Thailand Equity Fund 3.68% Others 46.12%
Sales ~231 mb, TA~225mb, GPM 12.1%, NPM 2.6% Sales ~2,150 mb, TA~1,697 mb, GPM 17.5%, NPM 5% Sales ~1,851 mb, TA~1,703 mb, GPM 23.8%, NPM 16.7% Sales ~1,972 mb, TA~1,259 mb, GPM 18.4%, NPM 9.8%
(Rasin/Sand)
ICP
(Paid Up 785 mb) 100%
SAT International (Japan)
(Paid Up 10 mb)
100%
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Group Company has been receiving many awards and accreditations of its unique developing and its production quality-being rate as one of the finest in Supplier List. Proven performance since inception in 1972 i.e., QCD grading, Quality Award by MMth
(zero defect), TPS (Toyota Production System), QCC award & network by HINO
ISO 9002, QS 9000, ISO 14001, ISO/TS 16949 (OEMs required)
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Diff Case (Front) Assy Diff Case (Rear) Assy Axle Front Assy (35HP & 45HP) Axle Rear Assy (35HP & 45HP)
Parts for Kubota: Tractor
Case Front Gear (RH & LH) Case Bevel Gear Case Brake Case Rear Axle (RH & LH) Case Front Axle Holder Front (RH & LH) Cover Front Axle Case Diff (Rear) Diff Case Cover Diff Case (Front) Diff Case Bearing (RH & LH) Holder Bearing Clutch Bearing Case (RH & LH) Holder Bearing Drive Case
Valve & Push Rod (Engine Part-Forging)
Body Part & Power train part (Casting & Machining) Rotary Blade (Forging) Axle Shaft (Forging&Machining) Power train part (Assy)
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Parts for Kubota: Harvest Machine
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Siam Kubota Tractor Co., Ltd (SKT)
Siam Kubota Industry Co., Ltd (SKI)
(since 1978, paid up … mb)
Siam Cement Plc. (SCC) Kubota Corporation, Japan Marubeni Corporation, Japan Min Sen Machinery Co.,Ltd
51% 40% 4.74% 4.26%
Siam Kubota Tractor Co., Ltd (SKT)
(since 2007, paid up 900 mb)
60% 40%
Sales ~338,000 mb, TA~…. mb, NPM 6.8% Estimated Mass Run ~ 1Q09 with volume planned ~25,000 units per annum
Harvest Machine
Siam Kubota Corp., Ltd (SKC)
Somboon Advance Technology Public Company Limited –Investor Relations Department