RWE Credit Day London, 9 October 2012 Forward Looking Statement - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
RWE Credit Day London, 9 October 2012 Forward Looking Statement - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
RWE Credit Day London, 9 October 2012 Forward Looking Statement This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the US federal securities laws. Especially all of the following statements: Projections of
RWE Credit Day I 9 October 2012 2
Forward Looking Statement
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the US federal securities laws. Especially all of the following statements: Projections of revenues, income, earnings per share, capital expenditures, dividends, capital structure or other financial items; Statements of plans or objectives for future operations or of future competitive position; Expectations of future economic performance; and Statements of assumptions underlying several of the foregoing types of statements are forward-looking statements. Also words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “intend”, “may”, “will”, “expect”, “plan”, “project” “should” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements reflect the judgement of RWE’s management based on factors currently known to it. No assurances can be given that these forward-looking statements will prove accurate and correct, or that anticipated, projected future results will be achieved. All forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, changes in general economic and social environment, business, political and legal conditions, fluctuating currency exchange rates and interest rates, price and sales risks associated with a market environment in the throes of deregulation and subject to intense competition, changes in the price and availability of raw materials, risks associated with energy trading (e.g. risks of loss in the case of unexpected, extreme market price fluctuations and credit risks resulting in the event that trading partners do not meet their contractual obligations), actions by competitors, application of new or changed accounting standards
- r other government agency regulations, changes in, or the failure to comply with, laws or regulations, particularly those affecting the
environment and water quality (e.g. introduction of a price regulation system for the use of power grid, creating a regulation agency for electricity and gas or introduction of trading in greenhouse gas emissions), changing governmental policies and regulatory actions with respect to the acquisition, disposal, depreciation and amortisation of assets and facilities, operation and construction of plant facilities, production disruption or interruption due to accidents or other unforeseen events, delays in the construction of facilities, the inability to
- btain or to obtain on acceptable terms necessary regulatory approvals regarding future transactions, the inability to integrate
successfully new companies within the RWE Group to realise synergies from such integration and finally potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations and potential liability resulting from pending or future litigation. Any forward- looking statement speaks only as of the date on which it is made. RWE neither intends to nor assumes any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. For additional information regarding risks, investors are referred to RWE’s latest annual report and to other most recent reports filed with Frankfurt Stock Exchange and to all additional information published on RWE's Internet Web site.
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Today’s Agenda
Prudent financial policy Rolf Pohlig, Chief Financial Officer, RWE AG
A
Value in uncertain times Bernhard Günther, Member of the Executive Board, RWE AG
B
Securing flexible financing Markus Coenen, Head of Finance, RWE AG
C
Perspective for the energy system of the future Frank-Detlef Drake, Head of Research & Development, RWE AG
D
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Prudent financial policy
Rolf Pohlig Chief Financial Officer, RWE AG
RWE Credit Day London, 9 October 2012
Value in uncertain times
Bernhard Günther Member of the Executive Board, RWE AG
RWE Credit Day London, 9 October 2012
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RWE’s strategic cornerstones
> Active along the entire value chain > Minimise regulatory and political risks through geographic diversification > Balanced asset portfolio across the Group and within each business > Focus on core markets in Northwest and Central Europe > Regional growth markets mainly CEE/SEE > More than 60% of capex spent in international businesses > Reduce specific CO2 emissions by more than 20% by 2020 compared to 2005 > Increase renewable generation capacity to at least 20% by 2020 > Conservation of resources through higher energy efficiency
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Continued execution of measures to support financial strength
Capital measures Divestments Focused long-term capex programme Efficiency programme 2010 2011 2012e …
1 Net debt = net financial debt + pension, mining and nuclear provisions + 50% of hybrid capital; (at year end).
3.5 2.8 completed progressing from 2013 identified Expected development of leverage factor (Net debt1/EBITDA) Measures to improve financial headroom Target of ≤ 3.0 up to €7bn by 2013 €4 – 5bn/a €1bn by 2014
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Strict investment discipline provides platform for sustainable dividends
Mid-term target to cover investments and dividends by cash flows from operating activities € billion 2010 2011 2014/2015e 8.8 5.5 9.4 5.5 > Capex level will normalise beyond 2013 > Pay-out ratio of 50% - 60% of recurrent net income > Flexibility to adjust investments to meet cash flow, if necessary
Dividends (incl. minority payments; year of payment) Capex in property, plant & equipment and financial assets Cash flows from operating activities
≤
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RWE 2015 - four action fields to align RWE with changing market environment
RWE 2015
Structures/ roles Strategy Cultural change Functional excellence > Identify opportunities
- f energy market
transformation > Align execution to changing market environment > Eliminate structural and
- perational duplications
and clarify interfaces > Establish European generation company > Drive efficiency enhancements and
- perational excellence
> Realise efficiencies of € 1bn by 2014 compared to 2012 > Align management and employees across all parts of RWE > Foster high performance culture
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Wind feed-in GW PV feed-in GW EPEX Spot €/MWh
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
€/MWh GW
h 17th April, 2012
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1. The rise in renewable capacity… 2. … increases the pressure on load factors, particularly of gas- fired power plants as peak prices decline considerably; and… 3. … so minimises the price signals required for new-build fossil-fuelled generation… 4. …resulting in increasing risk of tightness of the market during unfavourable weather conditions.
High renewables feed-in reduces profitability of peaking plants in Germany
The current challenge in the German generation market
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1 German TSOs have contracted approx. 5 GW of balancing power to cover short-term grid imbalances.
Source: ENTSO-E, EEX, BDEW; German electricity import/export on 8 February 2012, 6:00 – 7:00 p.m. 50 100 150 Remaining spare capacity (<2 GW) Net export balance German domestic consumption Installed capacity Capacity not available Required balancing power1 1 2 3 4 5 6 France
Sufficient electricity supply was only guaranteed on the basis of very few outages in the thermal generation fleet No relief through electricity imports during peak hours due to similiar high electricity demand in neighbouring countries: Demand for electricity exports was higher than available imports
GW GW Austria Switzerland Netherlands Denmark Poland Czech Republic Net export (~2 GW) EXPORT (from Germany) IMPORT (into Germany) Thermal capacity Hydro Wind Solar
German electricity system at its limit
Capacity situation on 8 February 2012
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0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Centrica CEZ EDF Enel E.ON Fortum GDF Iberdrola RWE SSE
Source: Annual reports, company presentations, RWE.
Share in power plant capacity of own generation by fuel type 2011 (installed capacity)
Nuclear Lignite Hard Coal Gas Hydro/
- ther
RWE: most diversified generation mix in Europe
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Q2 2011 Q2 2012 Q2 2012 at times of >15 GW solar feed-in
Our lignite based electricity generation is at full load
> Photovoltaic installations have reached a new record high in Germany (c. 30 GW as of July 2012) > Lignite baseload electricity generation still at full load if technically available > Mid-merit generation (hard coal and gas) mainly affected > Lignite plants offer high flexibility: capacity reduction of
- approx. 40% within 1 hour
possible > At times of high feed-in of renewables, Germany tends to export electricity to neighbouring countries
Average hourly utilisation of RWE’s 300 MW lignite blocks is at ∼100%*
110% 90%
* Average hourly market driven utilisation of our 300 MW lignite blocks. To compare the different periods, the numbers were adjusted for non-market driven availability factors, i.e. planned or unplanned outages like maintenance stops.
100%
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Eindhoven Helmond Bergen op Zoom Ineos Moerdijk s-Hertogenbosch Claus Amer Swentibold Ibbenbüren Emsland Enschede Erica Great Yarmouth Klazienaveen Little Barford Pembroke Staythorpe Aberthaw Matra Biblis Gundremmingen Eemshaven Ensdorf Bochum Dortmund Gersteinwerk Goldenberg Dormagen Niederaußem Fabrik Berrenrath Fabrik Fortuna-Nord Fabrik Frechen Frimmersdorf Neurath Bergkamen Datteln Herne Knepper Scholven Voerde Walsum Westfalen Huckingen GK West Mannheim Plomin Saar-Energie Weisweiler Lignite Hard coal Gas Fawley Mühlheim-Kärlich Nuclear Littlebrook Oil
Competitive Positions
Dispatch Portfolio Market Position Core- Markets Germany
- own plants
- contracted
No 1 24 GW 7 GW UK No 4 11 GW Netherlands No 2 7 GW New GenCo No 1 ~50 GW1
RWE’s power plants in Europe
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Tilbury Didcot Hydro Vianden Schluchsee Biomass Herdecke Cuijk
1) incl. 1.3 GW from RWE East
RWE’s generation portfolio is ideally positioned to be managed as a pan-European operation
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Envisaged organisational structure
RWE Generation to start operations in 2013
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1 Biomass co-firing 2 Pumped storage, O&M contracts, run-of-river-plants in RWE Innogy
Coal, gas, biomass1
RWE Generation
Lignite
(incl. mines)
Hydro2 Nuclear
> Bundling of conventional generation activities in one generation unit > “Societas Europaea” (SE) as legal corporation based in Essen, Germany > Asset structure along fuel types while keeping the regional component on the next
- rganisational level
> After separation of generation from retail businesses, RWE Generation will steer Dutch and UK coal, gas and biomass plants
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In summary
We are progressing in strengthening the balance sheet. We will consider further flexibility in the capex programme, if necessary. We launched “RWE 2015”, designed to enhance the Group’s capabilities to cope with the current challenges. We introduced in March a new € 1bn efficiency target to be delivered in 2014. We have a balanced asset portfolio with a broad generation mix.
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