Rethinking Urban Transport
Presentation to SACN Strategic Conversation 5 November 2014
Rethinking Urban Transport Presentation to SACN Strategic - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Rethinking Urban Transport Presentation to SACN Strategic Conversation 5 November 2014 Summary Reduce cost of urban transport Complete public Reinforce PT Enable walking Help people out transport networks by and cycling at of private
Presentation to SACN Strategic Conversation 5 November 2014
Complete public transport networks quickly and efficiently Embrace minibus taxi industry Reinforce PT networks by spatial interventions Invest in cost reducing infrastructure not subsidies Enable walking and cycling at scale Work with emerging shifts in nature of work and lifestyle Help people out
car Leverage ICT to create new flexible transport
Cost of passenger transport (public and private) in SA metros is very high by international standards
SA has longest daily commutes of 40 countries surveyed (OECD 2012)
In 2005/06 transport accounted for 20.8 percent of total annual household consumption expenditure in urban areas (Stats SA 2008)
More than 50% of poor urban residents spend more than 20% of their declared household income for transport (Kane 2010)
% of GGP allocated to passenger transport (public and private) in SA metros higher than in any other region (over 23%) – (
Public and private expenditure on public transport in 6 metros – R 26,2 bn per year (50% on MBTs)
Massive drag on economy, on people especially poor, on public finances
5 10 15 20 25 Private Public
Source: UITP (in PVR/RH 2014)
Modal share 2003 Modal share 2013 % Change Public Transport Train 7,1% 6,6%
Bus 7,5% 6,2%
Taxi 22,5% 25,1% 2,6% Total 37,1% 37,9% 0,8% Private Transport Car 28,5% 34,2% 5,8% Walk 32,3% 25,8%
Other 2,2% 2,0%
Total 62,9% 62,1%
Source : NHTS 2013
Key assessment frame for public transport and related spatial interventions (importance of modelling)
Cost comparisons need to include costs of externalities and spillovers and should include lifecycle costing
Core idea of PTSAP (2007) – Integrated Rapid Public Transport Networks : “85% of residents within 1 km of IRPTN by 2020”
Conundrum
Complete functioning integrated network key to reducing costs
Not enough money available to finance completion of comprehensive network infrastructure or the associated on-going operations
Solutions:
Tightly focus public investments in BRT and rail services on key urban corridors rather than being comprehensive
Use minibus bus taxi as non-subsidised modes to fill gaps – responsive to the dispersed demand patterns of low-density urban form
Enhance simple inter-modality
On-going incremental improvements – many small things more than few big things
Recognise MTB as backbone of urban passenger transport – the default
Regulatory dysfunction and low innovation have limited potential of industry to evolve – safety, service quality, profitability but strong economic logic for industry evolution
Shift of regulatory role to cities combined with development of transport ICT technologies has potential to catalyse major change to ensure safer, more efficient, more integrated and better quality MTB services
– –
Origin Destination – – Source : van Ryneveld and Hunter 2014
Grant 2014/15 PTOG R 4,83 bn PTISG R 4,97 bn PTNOG R 0,9 bn Total grants R 27,06 bn
Recurring operating subsidies such as PTOG can perpetuate spatial inefficiencies and marginalisation
E.g In Tshwane, over R 1 bn per year spent on moving passengers average of 55 km + per trip
E.g. Modelling shows massive impact on bottom line of dedicated lanes for buses and MBTs
Importance of holistic non-silo approaches (single integrated metro grant?)
Walking and cycling as unsafe and inconvenient last resort
Flowering of walking and cycling
Powered by massive community works type programme to proliferate pathways and provide on-going security
Incentives (enabled by smart devices) through fund from transport investment reductions and carbon offsets
“End of full-time job”, mass unemployment and telecommuting changes mobility needs – connecting and work spaces close to home
Café’ as new office
On-line shopping & rise of local logistics
Smartphone replacing car as enabler of independence
Pricing strategies - congestion and targeted fuel taxes, distance-based insurance and registration fees, targeted parking pricing
Incentives for multi-passenger private vehicles
Privileging public transport over private car
New roads restriction
Car pooling and car sharing
Aggregating taxis using DRS
Multi-modal route planning
Information and choice
Complete public transport networks quickly and efficiently Embrace minibus taxi industry Reinforce PT networks by spatial interventions Invest in cost reducing infrastructure not subsidies Enable walking and cycling at scale Work with emerging shifts in nature of work and lifestyle Help people out
car Leverage ICT to create new flexible transport