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- RESULTS Hotline!
RESULTS Hotline! 1 The RESULTS Team Simon Buckingham - - PDF document
Write this Down! RESULTS Hotline! 1 The RESULTS Team Simon Buckingham RESULTS Coach 2 The RESULTS Team Brendan Kelly RESULTS Coach The RESULTS Team Tony Lambrianos RESULTS Coach 3 The RESULTS
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Write this Down!
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The RESULTS Team Simon Buckingham
RESULTS Coach
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The RESULTS Team Brendan Kelly
RESULTS Coach
The RESULTS Team Tony Lambrianos
RESULTS Coach
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The RESULTS Team Lynn Buckingham
RESULTS Coach
The RESULTS Team Leon Madigan
RESULTS Consultant
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The RESULTS Team Paula York
Event and Program Management
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Today is About
– Today’s Property Market! – Building Skills!
Today is About
– Grads
(And other dirty tricks!)
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Today is About
– Meet other investors – Create peer support
The Challenge*
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Last 4 Years* Last Program*
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Already In This Program* What will it be on June 30, 2012*
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The
Guess closest to the total amount
during the 2011 RESULTS Program and win7
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Gold Pass Competition
A VIP
2012 RESULTS Graduate Program valued at over $4,000!
and 30 June 2012
www.resultsmentoring.com/goldpass
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Property Bingo!
Today’s Property Market
Part One: Are You Nervous?
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FEAR5O5METER
Greedy
Panic Selling! Panic Selling!
(Crash) (Crash)
Bidding War! Bidding War!
(Boom) (Boom)
FEAR5O5METER
Greedy
Panic Selling! Panic Selling!
(Crash) (Crash)
Bidding War! Bidding War!
(Boom) (Boom)
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Why So Gloomy*?
Global Economy...
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Chaos On Global Sharemarkets US Economic Woes
“Oops... we’ve run out of money!”
increase US gov’t debt limit: US$14.3 TRILLION
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US Debt Deal Implications*
government spending over 10 years
– JPMorgan predicting 1.5% reduction next year
Not Good Enough For S&P!
by Standard & Poor’s (first time in history)
7bought more US debt (Treasury Bonds)
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What Else Can The US Do?
rate on hold until 2013
–‘Quantitative Easing’ 7essentially buying own bonds to expand money supply and provide stimulus
US Risks Remain*
could have serious implications:
– Higher interest rates for US consumers – Higher risk of ‘double dip’ recession
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European Debt Woes
109 billion euros (A$143B) ...on top of 110 billion euro (A$144B) deal in 2010
– Banks, pension funds and private institutions holding Greek debt to accept lower interest rates
European Debt Woes
– European Central Bank to buy up to 850 billion euros (A$1.2T)
– Italy aiming to balance budget by 2013 – Spanish reforms to cut budget deficit to 6% of GDP
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Euro Debt Deals: Implications
implement necessary ‘austerity measures’
– Much work needed to get back on track – Other European sovereign debt issues: e.g. Portugal, Ireland – Short term funding for some European banks may become tighter – CostIcutting impacts growth
and
French banks’ creditworthiness sent global sharemarkets into a spin last week
French AAA credit rating
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Who Holds The Purse Strings?
China
– – World’s largest World’s largest forex forex reserves: reserves: ~$US3.2 TRILLION ~$US3.2 TRILLION – – Largest holder of US Treasury Bonds Largest holder of US Treasury Bonds ~$US1.2 TRILLION ~$US1.2 TRILLION – – Australia’s largest trading partner Australia’s largest trading partner for resources for resources
Who Holds The Purse Strings?
– Slowing growth in China's manufacturing sector may lead to falling demand for Australian resources over time – World’s biggest exporter – Exposure to US bonds
China is not immune from fate of US economy
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Who Holds The Purse Strings?
– Strong internal consumer spending – Demand from other developing nations – Large investment in infrastructure projects – GDP currently projected to grow 9% this year*
* !"##
Local Economy...
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Equity Market Volatility!
“Sharemarket Sheds $53bn”
$%&%&!"##“Wall Street Roars Back!”
$%&#!%&!"##“Global Stocks Dive Again”
$%&#'%&!"##Jobs
Latest ABS Stats:
Jobless rate up 0.1% to 5.1% Full time jobs lost = 22,200 Part time jobs gained = 22,100
7100 fewer people in work
“Jobless rate's shock jump
Australia's unemployment rate rises to 5.1 per cent as the economy sheds 22,200 full time jobs.”
$%&##%&!"##23
Australian 25Speed Economy
Resources sector: Jobs growth Income growth Strong investment
Australian 25Speed Economy
Retail sector: Low sales growth (1.9%) for year to June ‘Discretionary’ retail just 0.1% growth Small retailers (e.g. independent grocers, clothing shops) suffering Risk to retail commercial property rents / vacancies
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Worries About Carbon Tax
Detail of proposed carbon tax poorly understood by consumers May impact cost of building:
But many tradeIexposed industries to get up to 94.5% shielding from the tax
aluminium
Housing Finance
Finance becoming more competitive Signs of some increasing flexibility in lending policies (7and the banks are making record profits too)
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Housing Finance
Responsible Lending Regs introduced in January have made nonIconforming / low doc loans harder to get Credit growth remains subdued
Housing Finance
Source: RPData / RBA
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House Price Trends Melbourne Median House Prices
Source: REIA
14 years of flat, low or negative growth 7 years of modI strong growth
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Sydney Median House Prices
Source: REIA
13 years of flat, low or negative growth 8 years of modI strong growth
Perth Median House Prices
Source: REIA, RPData/Rismark
14 years of flat, low or negative growth 7 years of modIstrong growth
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Brisbane Median House Prices
Source: REIA
14 years of flat, low or negative growth 7 years of modIstrong growth
How Have You Been Investing?
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Canberra Median House Prices
Source: REIA
Adelaide Median House Prices
Source: REIA
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Hobart Median House Prices
Source: REIA
Darwin Median House Prices
Source: REIA
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NZ Median House Prices
Source: REINZ
Recent Trends...
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Rates of Growth in 2010*
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Adelaide Perth Hobart Canberra Darwin % Change % Change 54 4 53 3 52 2 51 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8
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City House Price Growth To May
(Source: RPData/Rismark July 2011) Median House Qtr Chg Year Chg Yield
Sydney $580,000 I0.7% 50.1% 4.4% Melbourne $520,000 I1.8% 53.2% 3.7% Brisbane $440,000 I1.5% 56.1% 4.7% Adelaide $400,000 I1.7% 53.3% 4.2% Perth $475,000 I2.2% 55.7% 4.3% Hobart $336,000 I1.9% 53.5% 5.1% Canberra $555,000 I2.1% 0.4% 5.0% Darwin $460,000 4.8% 0.9% 5.2% All Capitals $487,000 51.3% 52.8% 4.2%
Highs & Lows (Lows & Lowers???)
(Source: RPData/Rismark July 2011) Median House Qtr Chg Year Chg Yield
Sydney $580,000 50.7% 50.1% 4.4% Melbourne $520,000 I1.8% I3.2% 3.7% Brisbane $440,000 51.5% 56.1% 4.7% Adelaide $400,000 I1.7% I3.3% 4.2% Perth $475,000 52.2% 55.7% 4.3% Hobart $336,000 I1.9% I3.5% 5.1% Canberra $555,000 52.1% 0.4% 5.0% Darwin $460,000 4.8% 0.9% 5.2% All Capitals $487,000 I1.3% I2.8% 4.2%
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Regional Areas
* Source: RPData/Rismark, July 2011
Short Term Trends Are Driven By
SENTIMENT
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At Your Tables*
you see in the market today
Are prices going up, down or sideways?
Reading The Market*
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Buyers vs Sellers Markets
– More sellers than buyers; Properties sit on the market; Prices fall
– More buyers than sellers; Properties sell quickly; Prices rise
– Moderate sell times; Slow growth
vs Markets
Darwin Perth Adelaide Hobart New Zealand Melbourne Sydney Canberra Brisbane
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Your Turn!
– Strong Seller’s Market: (S) – Moderate Seller’s Market: (s) – Balanced Market: (b) – Buyer’s Market (B)
House Price Growth To May
(Sources: RPData/Rismark July 2011; REINZ) Median House Qtr Chg Year Chg
Sydney $580,000 I0.7% 50.1% Melbourne $520,000 I1.8% 53.2% Brisbane $440,000 I1.5% 56.1% Adelaide $400,000 I1.7% 53.3% Perth $475,000 I2.2% 55.7% Hobart $336,000 I1.9% 53.5% Canberra $555,000 I2.1% 0.4% Darwin $460,000 4.8% 0.9% * +,-"""" ,./
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vs Markets
b b B b B b
b/B
b b
Darwin Perth Adelaide Hobart New Zealand Melbourne Sydney Canberra Brisbane
Strategies For Sellers Markets
Existing Properties Look For*
S
Strong Sellers Market Hold ‘Add Value’ Deals:
Reno, Subdivide, Develop
s
Moderate Sellers Market Sell Marginal Deals ‘Add Value’ Deals
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Strategies For Buyers Markets
Existing Properties Look For*
b
Balanced Market Sell Marginal Deals ‘Add Value’ Deals
B
Strong Buyers Market Hold (0
)
Cash Flow Deals ‘Scarcity’ Deals
The Power of Networking
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Why Is Networking Critical?
get wholesale prices
from lessons they’ve learnt
share expenses and risk
Why Is Networking Critical?
Success in property investing is not about bricks ‘n’ mortar 7it’s about people and relationships
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Networking Opportunities
Make the most of:
Support Groups
Property Meetings
In each State of Australia www.propertymeeting.com.au
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Support Groups
Sue Owen
Adelaide, South Australia www.propertymeeting.com.au Support Groups
Sue Owen
0409 847 775 adelaide@propertymeeting.com.au
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Support Groups
Sue Owen
82B Prospect Rd, Prospect adelaide@propertymeeting.com.au Support Groups
Tracey Bell
Launceston, Tasmania www.propertymeeting.com.au
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Support Groups
Tracey Bell
0417 337 942 Devonport: This Wednesday Support Groups
Coming Soon
Melbourne, Victoria www.propertymeeting.com.au
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Another Support Group Active Property Network
www.activepropertynetwork.com.au Blackburn, Melbourne
Support Groups
Jane and Dale
Sydney, New South Wales www.propertymeeting.com.au
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Support Groups
Jane and Dale
Parramatta RSL 7.30pm on Monday! (15/8/2011) Support Groups
Jane Lees
0408 222 578 Jane_lees2003@yahoo.com.au
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Support Groups
Darren Hastie
Brisbane, Queensland www.propertymeeting.com.au Support Groups
Darren Hastie
Ice Works 5 Paddington Monday 29th August, 5.30pm
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Support Groups
Darren Hastie
0412 719 511 brisbane@propertymeeting.com.au Support Groups
Craig Medley
Perth, W.A. www.propertymeeting.com.au
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Support Groups
Craig Medley
Perth, W.A. craigmedley@iinet.net.au
Networking Exercise
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7and now7 a Networking Exercise! Networking Exercise
Networking Questions (4 times)
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Speed Networking...
The Rules
– Introduce yourself – Swap Details – Make Agreement for next 7 days
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Sophisticated Sophisticated Property Investing Property Investing
Hands Off Investor Hands On Investor
Your Approach To Date?
MarketIDriven Profits Created Profits Lump Sum Cash Cash Flow
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Which Investing Approach?
Which Investing Approach?
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Which Investing Approach?
Which Investing Approach?
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Which Investing Approach?
Wise?
Which Investing Approach?
Wise?
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Which Investing Approach?
Which Investing Approach?
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Which Investing Approach?
Which Investing Approach?
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Which Investing Approach?
Wise!
Sophisticated Investing
– Preparation – Due Diligence – The Numbers!
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The SIAIFIE System
The Property Investing Process
S A F E
Search Acquire Follow Through Exit
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Sophistication
See the profit Access the profit Make the profit Bank the profit
S A F E
Search Acquire Follow Through Exit
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Search Sophistication
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Buying the Property
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–RESULTS Website
–RESULTS Website –Includes
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– Various Webinars in the Archive
RESULTS Program 3 5 Webinar #6 Simon Buckingham, Leon Madigan & Cheyanne Brae I Irresistible Offers and Negotiating Secrets &$1"#1"'1#.
– Various Webinars in the Archive – Tactics:
– She who says the number first, loses! – Uncover the vendor’s needs (eg easy exit?) – Negotiate on price or terms, not both – Know your ‘walkIaway’ figure 7 and stick to it!
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– Various Webinars in the Archives – Sale Agreement particulars
– Additional Information Required
67
Following Through on the Deal
– Budget control – Time management – People management
68
Exiting the Deal
When to Sell*
wouldn’t buy back at the same price.
with realised profits.
69
The Message:
better return elsewhere
Successful Property Investing
Is all about the PreIPurchase Analysis
The Search!
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Search Sophistication
Write down*
3 Things You Have Learned7
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4 min. ‘Stretch Break!’
Be back in your seats in 4 min.
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Real Deal Kat & Alan Jarman
“Off to visit the Kiwi’s!”
*And Found A Great Deal (or 2) *And Found A Great Deal (or 2)
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3br/2ba ex ex5State home State home
600sqm ‘cross ‘cross5lease’ lease’ section section
Long term tenant (6 years) (6 years)
Renting $210pw
First impressions*? impressions*?
Basic* But Solid Basic* But Solid
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A Bit Rough Around The Edges A Bit Rough Around The Edges
Patchy walls Plumbing issues
Due Diligence
– Vendor was a property manager!!! – Needed to offload something from portfolio
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Due Diligence
due diligence conditions in contract:
– Building inspection – Rental appraisal, review of lease docs
– Leaky taps, holes in wall – Contract condition for vendor to fix
Negotiating The Deal
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The Numbers:
Purchase Price
$ 100,000
Closing Costs $ 1,600 Initial Repairs (done by vendor) $ 0
Total Purchase Costs $ 101,600
= Annual Cash Flow $ 2,400
Cash Flow
Rental Income
$ 10,920
5 Annual Holding Costs $ 8,500 ÷ Purchase Price $ 100,000 Rental Income @ $210 per week
$ 10,920
= Gross Rental Yield 10.9%
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Hidden Value
Rental Income @ $210 per week
$ 10,920
÷ ‘Normal Market’ Yield, say*
7%
= Estimated ‘Normal Market’ Value
$ 156,000
Estimated Future Capital Gain
$ 56,000
NZ market
‘confident’ times at say 7% yield...
Words of Wisdom
buyers market
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Back to basics!
Why are you investing?
Passive Income!
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Back to basics!
$_____p.a.
$_____p.a.
Investing for Income for Life*
There Are Two Different Approaches
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Investing For Cash*
Annual Income sought 8% Required Capital Base
=
How Much Capital Do You Need?
Investing For Cash*
__/__/__ Work backward from this to your 12Imonth goal
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Half Life, Third Value
Half5Life, Third Value Goals
$
Capital Goal? Income? By When? Cash Gain Cash Flow
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What is* Add Value
$_______ But How do you know if this is Realistic?
‘Volunteer’
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Remember This?
?
Remember This?
?
84
Remember This?
?
Remember This?
?
85
How*?
Your 12Imonth goal? $_______
What’s Your Strategy? What is Your Target Profit Per Deal? How Many Deals Do I Need To Do? How Long Will a Deal Take? What is Your Target Purchase Price? Do I have the Cash for it?
It’s all in the Numbers!
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More to come*! Write down*
3 Things You Have Learned7
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RESULTS Calendar*
We wanted to let you know:
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Ultimate Cash Flow Program
Turning Vendor Finance Into A Complete Business
Finance experts Dave & Julie Siacci
NZ Investing Program
Accelerated Overseas Investing
positive cash flow deals
market with on the ground coaching
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(nearly)
During Lunch
Keep Going! Networking Questions
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The Numbers!
achieve your objective for the property
Numbers: The Basic Model
– Reno – Subdivision – Development
– Residential – Commercial / Industrial
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Knowing your Numbers*
Chapter 6 Page 105 Deal Analysis eg.
93
! "# "# $ $ %! %! &##' &##'
!
! ( ( $ $ %! %! ( ( )) ))
As Seen In Template 10
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What is Template 10?
Template 10: Number Crunching!
Strategies
Our Money Bank/Money Partner Total
Step 1
% % Purchase Costs
Purchase Price
$200,000.00
+ Closing Costs $10,000.00 = Total Purchase Costs $210,000.00
Step 2
Other Costs Reno Costs $20,000.00 (Reno, Holding, etc) Reno Loan Costs $0.00 + Holding Costs Loan Costs $6,400.00 Council $1,000.00 Insurance $600.00 Other $20.00 = Total Reno & Holding $28,020.00
Step 3
Total Costs Total Purchase plus Other Costs $238,020.00
Step 4
Sale Proceeds
Sale Proceeds
$266,000.00
I Sale Costs at 3.0% $7,980.00 = Net Sales Proceeds $258,020.00
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Now Determine Your Cash Needed!
*+ *+ % % ! !
! "# "# $ $ %! %! &##' &##'
!
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As Seen In Template 10
Our Money Bank/Money Partner Total
Step 1
% % Purchase Costs
Purchase Price
$40,000.00 20%
$160,000.00 80% $200,000.00 + Closing Costs
$10,000.00
$0.00 $10,000.00 = Total Purchase Costs
$50,000.00
$160,000.00 $210,000.00
Step 2
Other Costs Reno Costs
$20,000.00
$20,000.00 (Reno, Holding, etc) Reno Loan Costs $0.00 + Holding Costs Loan Costs
$6,400.00
$6,400.00 Council
$1,000.00
$1,000.00 Insurance
$600.00
$600.00 Other
$20.00
$20.00 = Total Reno & Holding
$28,020.00
$0.00 $28,020.00
Step 3
Total Costs Total Purchase plus Other Costs
$78,020.00
$160,000.00 $238,020.00
Step 4
Sale Proceeds
Sale Proceeds
$266,000.00
I Sale Costs at 3.0% $7,980.00 = Net Sales Proceeds $258,020.00
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You will need7.
you bought it for7
In Order to Profit by 10%
Buy Reno Sell*
Back to Our Investing Goals!
Knowing your Numbers*
98
If I want $45K in profit this year
– Available Cash $180K (40%) – Borrowing capacity of $360K
– Available Cash $90K twice – Borrowing Capacity of $180K
Knowing your Numbers* Remember This?
Your 12Imonth goal? $_______
What’s Your Strategy? What is Your Target Profit Per Deal? How Many Deals Do I Need To Do? How Long Will it Take? What is Your Target Purchase Price? Do I have the Cash for it? Is My Goal Realistic?
$90K Cosmetic Reno $45K 6 Months Each 2 $450K $180K Twice Yes!!!
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Remember This?
*Not for Today
More On
100
Real Deal Jeremy Jacka
“A Big Deal!”
101
The Property An Ugly Ducking*
102
An Ugly Ducking* The Opportunity*
103
A Problem*
What’s Better* All of nothing,
104
Negotiations*
to $2,150,000
Many Options*
current 5.5% Yield)
105
Chosen Strategy*
current 5.5% Yield)
Before*
106
Now* Now* Work In Progress Work In Progress
107
Work In Progress Next Steps*
– Kitchens – Building Compliance e.g. Firewalls between upstairs units
108
Purchase Costs
Purchase Price
$ 2,050,000
Closing Costs $ 112,000
Project Costs
Purchase Price
$ 2,050,000
Closing Costs $ 112,000 Renovation Budget 5 Internal $ 221,000 Renovation Budget 5 External $ 100,000 Planning & Subdivision Costs $ 35,000 Holding Costs (net of rent) $ 197,000
109
Projected Sales!
Purchase Price
$ 2,050,000
Closing Costs $ 112,000 Renovation Budget 5 Internal $ 221,000 Renovation Budget 5 External $ 100,000 Planning & Subdivision Costs $ 35,000 Holding Costs (net of rent) $ 197,000 Anticipated Gross Sales
(6 x 2br @ $345k ea. + 4 x 1br @ $270k ea.)
$ 3,150,000
Selling Costs $ 32,000 Mate’s rates!
Anticipated Profit!
Purchase Price
$ 2,050,000
Closing Costs $ 112,000 Renovation Budget 5 Internal $ 221,000 Renovation Budget 5 External $ 100,000 Planning & Subdivision Costs $ 35,000 Holding Costs (net of rent) $ 197,000 Anticipated Gross Sales
(6 x 2br @ $345k ea. + 4 x 1br @ $270k ea.)
$ 3,150,000
Selling Costs $ 32,000
Anticipated Profit $ 403,000
110
Lessons & Words of Wisdom
Council and Authorities
Lessons & Words of Wisdom
amplified – Maintain tight budget control
111
Lessons & Words of Wisdom
If a deal is good enough, you’ll probably find a way to fund it (But make sure you always have an escape clause7 just in case!)
Common Roadblocks Common Roadblocks
To Success To Success
112
S5A5F5E Investing is not easy!
Enemies of Effective Analysis
Enemy #1: Opinion
(e.g. REA)
from OPINION
113
Enemy #2: Emotion
pressure selling
just for the sake of doing a deal
– Doing a bad deal is a worse outcome than doing No Deal! – Share the Frustration
Enemy #3: ‘Gut Feel’
It’s all “Hope and Pray”
114
Enemy #4: Life
Defeating Your Enemies
Sacrifices will be required.
Persistence is the key!
115
Hands Off Investor Hands On Investor
In the future...
MarketIDriven Profits Created Profits Lump Sum Cash Cash Flow
,
116
Today’s Property Market
Part Two: Looking Forward7
117
Overall Summary
Economic Outlook*
118
Global Growth Forecasts Australian Economic Growth
downward last week:
May forecast: 4.25%; Current forecast: 3.25%
“7largely reflects the slowerIthanIexpected recovery in coal exports, as well as slower forecast growth in consumption”
119
Outlook for Interest Rates
– Betting on a 75 basis point cut by December
RBA: “...the Board remains concerned about the mediumIterm outlook for inflation.”
Outlook for Interest Rates
–Cut in interest rates becoming more of a , but don’t bank on it yet –RBA will be ( to cut rates while concerns about inflation persist –Rate increase this year now )
120
Property Market Outlook* Sentiment Will Inhibit Growth
will keep a lid on prices
Panic Selling! Panic Selling!
(Crash) (Crash)
Bidding War! Bidding War!
(Boom) (Boom)
121
Principle
When people don’t know what to do7. They do nothing!
Aussie Property Crash
– 3 increase expected
122
Population Still Increasing
Source: ABS/RBA
But Building Approvals Falling
Source: ABS/RBA
123
Fundamentals Are Encouraging
Fundamentals Are Encouraging
– Especially if rates actually fall
124
Housing ‘Affordability’ Housing ‘Affordability’
125
What Now*? Strategy
In a buyers market you want to be a7?
– Conditional offers – Discounted price – Extended settlement terms (3+ months) – Access prior to settlement – Creative terms
126
Strategy
When prices are flat or trending down7
– ‘QuickIturn’ deals7 < 18 month timeframe
– Renovation – Subdivision – Development
Strategy
When prices are flat or trending down7
– Increase target margin on costs by +5% – Negotiate entry price for additional margin – Reduce holding costs (long settlement / early access) – Know numbers to hold the property (worst case)
127
Strategy
If Renovating7
– % over highest quality – ‘Less is more’7 Don’t overIcapitalise! – Avoid ‘subjective’ inclusions – Repurpose internal areas for maximum gain: e.g. Extra bedroom or 2nd bathroom – Know your target market!
Strategy
If Subdividing / Developing7
– Know your target market! – What is actually selling? – Avoid pioneering – Beware the ‘Field of Dreams’ – Consider over inclusions – PreIsales before committing development costs
128
Strategy
Buy for Cash Flow7
– Mining areas – Regional towns (multiIdwelling properties) – Overseas countries (e.g. NZ, USA)
Strategy
Cash Flow7
– Renting by the room (e.g. student accommodation) – Create furnished / corporate rentals – Vendor Finance / RentItoIOwn
129
Strategy
If &Property7
general market forces
have advantages
Strategy
If &Property7
– Optimise advertising copy – Consider ‘staging’ – Offer creative terms
130
Principle
Don’t wait for the market to change7 Adapt your strategies to fit the market!
Wrap Up
131
Feedback Forms
RESULTS Resources
Your Folder
Website
132
RESULTS Resources
Your Coach
Get Togethers
Coming Up*
Next Webinar
Next Get Together
133
Coming Up*
Ultimate Cash Flow Program
2011 New Zealand Program
Coming Up*
Your Investment Property
Melbourne Home Expo
134
Stay Connected With RESULTS
Facebook & Twitter
Your Investment Property Magazine
7And keep in touch with your Coach!
Afternoon Tea & Networking!