SLIDE 1
Higgins et al. (2000) P-NOAA
Study Period (1979-2005) P-NOAA
REPRESENTATION OF THE INTRA- AMERICAS SEA AND NORTH AMERICAN - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
REPRESENTATION OF THE INTRA- AMERICAS SEA AND NORTH AMERICAN - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
REPRESENTATION OF THE INTRA- AMERICAS SEA AND NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON IN CMIP5 HISTORICAL AND RCP 4.5 MODEL SIMULATIONS Yolande Serra and Kerrie Geil University of Arizona MAPP Webinar Series Evaluation of CMIP5 Model Experiments, May 2,
SLIDE 2
SLIDE 3
Liang et al. (JCLIM, 2008)
CMIP3 Historical (1961-1990) Period
SLIDE 4
Phase Error RMS Error Bias
CMIP5 Historical (1979-2005) Period
SLIDE 5
CMIP3 CMIP5
SLIDE 6
CMIP3 CMIP5
SLIDE 7
CMIP5 CMIP3
SLIDE 8
CMIP3 CMIP5
SLIDE 9
CMIP5 CMIP3
SLIDE 10
CMIP5 Small Phase Error Models CMIP3 Small Phase Error Models
Obs
Liang et al. (JCLIM, 2008)
Obs
SLIDE 11
CMIP5 Large Phase Error CMIP3 Large Phase Error
Liang et al. (JCLIM, 2008)
SLIDE 12
CMIP5 Small Phase Error Models CMIP3 MRI Ensembles
Data Model Mean
Liang et al. (JCLIM, 2008)
SLIDE 13
CMIP5 Future (2070-2090) – Historical (1979-2005)
RMS Difference Annual Change
SLIDE 14
CMIP5 Historical (1979-2005)
SLIDE 15
CMIP5 Historical (1979-2005)
SLIDE 16
CMIP5 Future (2070-2090) – Historical (1979-2005)
SLIDE 17
Thank You!
SLIDE 18
CMIP3 JJA Precipitation
Christensen et al. (AR4, 2007) % Change in Precipitation Number of Models > 0
SLIDE 19
Dynamical Downscaling of CMIP3 and Model Bias
Liang et al. (GRL, 2008) OBS-GCM 1990’s RCM-GCM 1990’s RCM-GCM 2090’s
SLIDE 20
NAM AZ Region
SLIDE 21
Small Phase Error: 1979-2005
Data Model Mean