Report on the Implementation of AB 197 Mary D. Nichols, Chairman - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Report on the Implementation of AB 197 Mary D. Nichols, Chairman - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Report on the Implementation of AB 197 Mary D. Nichols, Chairman FEBRUARY 3, 2020 1 CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD Air Quality Successes Criteria Pollutants NOx emissions have steadily declined since 1970s Reductions are due to


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SLIDE 1

Report on the Implementation of AB 197

Mary D. Nichols, Chairman

FEBRUARY 3, 2020

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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SLIDE 2

Air Quality Successes – Criteria Pollutants

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  • NOx emissions have steadily declined since 1970s
  • Reductions are due to improvements in vehicle efficiency and advancements

in stationary source engine and stack emission control technologies

1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000

NOx Statewide Emissions Trend (tons/day)

STATIONARY AREAWIDE ON-ROAD MOBILE OTHER MOBILE

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SLIDE 3

Air Quality Successes – Toxic Air Contaminants

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Substantial statewide toxic air contaminant reductions have occurred since the early 1990s due to Federal (Clean Air Act), State (Air Toxics Control Measures) and local air district regulations (stationary source reductions).

0.2 0.4 0.6 1985 1995 2005 2015 Parts per billion

1,3-Butadiene Air Monitor Trend

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1985 1995 2005 2015 Parts per billion

Hexavalent Chrome Air Monitor Trend

1 2 3 4 1985 1995 2005 2015 Parts per billion

Benzene Air Monitor Trend

0.2 0.4 0.6 1985 1995 2005 2015 Parts per billion

Perchloroethylene Air Monitor Trend

1 2 3 1985 1995 2005 2015 Micrograms per cubic meter

Diesel PM Air Monitor Trend

10 20 30 40 1985 1995 2005 2015 Nanograms per cubic meter

Lead Air Monitor Trend

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SLIDE 4

Growing and Cleaner Economy: California’s Trends

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 4

  • 60%
  • 40%
  • 20%

0% 20% 40% 60% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Change Since 2000 GDP Population GHG Emissions GHG Emissions per Capita GHG Emissions per GDP

Source: 2019 Edition, California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory: 2000-2017

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SLIDE 5

Transportation Sector: Largest source of GHG and NOx Emissions

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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Source: 2019 Edition, California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory: 2000-2017 Source: CARB Emission Inventory Source: CARB Emission Inventory

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SLIDE 6

Transportation Sector: Critical New Paradigm Necessary

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Aggressive strategies needed to meet National air quality standards, SB 32 GHG requirements, and carbon neutrality in 2045 By 2045: Goal is zero-emission transportation sector through transformative action

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

ZEVs, coupled with infrastructure that increases climate resiliency Sustainable communities that improve travel choices and reduce VMT

* When accounting for in-state fuel production

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SLIDE 7

Widespread Electrification

  • By 2035: 100% new car sales are ZEVs; All school buses, marine port &

airport equipment are ZEVs

  • By 2045: All passenger vehicles on the road are ZEVs

Transportation Sector: Targets for Pathway to Zero-Carbon

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CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

Increased Transportation Options to Reduce VMT

  • By 2035: Reduce vehicle miles traveled per capita by 25%
  • By 2045: High-quality, efficient travel options for all Californians
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SLIDE 8

Transportation Sector: State Actions to Achieve Targets

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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Requirements

  • Vehicles
  • Fleets
  • SB 375 SCSs

Financial

  • Incentives for

veh’s & chargers

Supporting Programs

  • State

investments

  • Outreach and

education

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SLIDE 9

Carbon Neutrality

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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Sinks

Carbon capture and sequestration Direct air capture Natural and working lands

Sources = Sinks

Sources

Fossil Energy Industrial Processes Natural and working lands

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SLIDE 10

Options to Sequester Carbon (sinks)

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  • Carbon capture and sequestration (CCS)
  • Capture and store carbon from large emitters (cement, refineries)
  • Direct Air Capture
  • Capture and store carbon from the atmosphere
  • Natural and working lands
  • Emit greenhouse gases, must be managed to emit less and store more

carbon over time

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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SLIDE 11

Wildfire Acreage, 2001 - 2014

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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Other 0% Prescribed Fire 3%

Wildfire 74%

Mastication 1%

Thinning 8% Other Mechanical 5% Harvest 6%

Clearcut 3%

Source: California Air Resources Board

  • Clearcut
  • Harvest
  • Mastication
  • Other
  • Other Mechanical
  • Prescribed Fire
  • Wildfire
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SLIDE 12

6.1 6.7 13.9 19.2 5.4 2.1 15.2 22.8 45.7 9.6 1.4 3.5 15.9 19.2 21.2 22.9 14.4 36.7 45.5

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

CO2 Emissions (million metric tons) Year

Wildfire Emissions

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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Source: California Air Resources Board

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GHG Accounting Practices

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To date

  • Per AB 32, GHG Inventory and GHG targets only include

fossil emissions

  • Natural and working lands inventory published separately

Looking forward for achieving Carbon Neutrality

  • Per IPCC, impacts from both fossil and natural and

working lands emissions matter

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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SLIDE 14

Thank you

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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