SDMetro/Probolsky Research San Diego Voter Survey - Report on Results - July 11, 2013 Probolsky Research (949) 855-6400 Newport Beach 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 (916) 256-4040 Sacramento Newport Beach, CA 92660 USA (202) 559-0270 Washington DC www.probolskyresearch.com
San Diego Voter Survey Report on results From Friday, June 28 through Monday, July 1, 2013, Probolsky Research conducted a telephone survey of San Diego voters. A total of 400 surveys were collected. A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/- 5.0% with a 95% degree of confidence. Interviews were conducted with voters on both landline and cell phones and were offered in English and Spanish languages. Probolsky Research LLC specializes in opinion research on behalf of political, government, business, special interest and media clients. 2 (949) 855 6400 www.probolskyresearch.com
What is top of mind to San Diego voters? Highlights from the cloud 3 (949) 855 6400 www.probolskyresearch.com
Jobs and the economy is the most important issue To San Diego voters Question: What is the most important issue facing your community today? Jobs and the Economy 27.0% Public Safety 17.5% Government 12.8% Education/Schools/Higher Education 10.8% Transportation 9.0% Moral Issues 3.8% Healthcare 3.8% Environmental Issues 3.5% Poverty 2.5% Other 2.5% Over Population/Controlling Growth/Development 1.3% Nothing/no issues/everything is fine 1.3% Affordable Housing 0.3% Don't know/refused 17.8% 4 (949) 855 6400 www.probolskyresearch.com
Voters are somewhat divided About San Diego Mayor Filner’s job performance Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the job that San Diego Mayor Bob Filner is doing? 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Approve Disapprove Unsure/refused 5 (949) 855 6400 www.probolskyresearch.com
The intensity of disapproval is significantly greater Than that of approval Question: And would you say that you strongly or somewhat (approve/disapprove)? 9.8% Somewhat 22.5% Somewhat 35.0% 20.3% Strongly 12.5% Strongly Approve Disapprove Unsure/refused 6 (949) 855 6400 www.probolskyresearch.com
Districts 1, 2 and 7 are especially negative about Filner While Districts 3, 4, 5, 6, 8 and 9 are most positive Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the job that San Diego Mayor Bob Filner is doing? Unsure/ Approve refused 50.0% 49.0% Unsure/ refused Approve Unsure/ 43.6% 43.8% refused Approve Approve 41.9% 41.5% 41.2% Unsure/ Disapprove refused Unsure/ 38.0% 36.2% Disapprove Approve refused Approve 35.8% Unsure/ Disapprove 35.3% 35.3% Disapprove 34.9% Unsure/ refused 34.0% 33.3% refused 29.4% Disapprove Approve 32.0% Approve Disapprove Disapprove 30.8% 30.0% 29.8% 29.4% 29.4% Unsure/ refused Unsure/ 25.6% Disapprove refused 23.3% 22.6% Approve 17.6% Disapprove 6.3% CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 CD 7 CD 8 CD 9 7 (949) 855 6400 www.probolskyresearch.com
A majority (55%) of Republicans disapprove of Filner While a plurality (45.3%) of Democratic voters approve and 47.3% of DTS are unsure Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the job that San Diego Mayor Bob Filner is doing? Republican 55.0% DTS Democratic 47.3% 45.3% Democratic 36.6% DTS 33.6% Republican 23.9% Republican DTS 21.1% Democratic 19.1% 18.0% Approve Disapprove Unsure/refused 8 (949) 855 6400 www.probolskyresearch.com
A plurality (43.5%) supports The Prevailing Wage proposal Question: Prevailing wage laws are intended to ensure that the ability of a company to get a public works contract is not based on paying lower wage rates to their workers than a competitor. Local and regional governments with prevailing wage laws in California require bidders on public works contracts to use identical wage rates, which are defined by the State. The San Diego City Council is considering a proposal to require contractors on City public works and maintenance projects valued over $25,000 to pay prevailing wages to employees. The City’s Independent Budget Analyst estimates that total project costs for the City would rise between five and ten percent, adding between thirteen million and twenty- six million dollars to next year’s City budget. Do you support or oppose the prevailing wage proposal? 43.5% 33.8% 23.0% Support Oppose Unsure/refused 9 (949) 855 6400 www.probolskyresearch.com
The intensity of voter support Is nearly identical to that of opposition Question: And would you say that you strongly (SUPPORT/OPPOSE) or somewhat (SUPPORT/OPPOSE)? [IF UNSURE >>>] Would you say that you lean one way or another? 1.2% Lean 2.0% Lean 23.3% Somewhat 12.0% Somewhat 23.0% 19.8% 19.0% Strongly Strongly Support Oppose Unsure/refused 10 (949) 855 6400 www.probolskyresearch.com
Support is especially strong In Council Districts 2, 4, 6, 8 and 9 Question: Do you support or oppose the prevailing wage proposal? Support Support 53.8% 53.1% Support Support 46.5% 46.0% Support Support Oppose Support 44.1% Oppose 43.4% 42.6% 42.6% 41.5% Support 39.2% Unsure/ Oppose refused Unsure/ 35.3% Oppose 35.3% refused Oppose Oppose 31.4% Unsure/ 32.3% Oppose 31.3% 32.0% Oppose Support refused 30.2% 28.2% 29.4% 29.5% Unsure/ Oppose Unsure/ refused 23.5% refused 23.2% Unsure/ 22.0% refused Unsure/ Unsure/ Unsure/ 18.0% refused refused refused 15.1% 14.9% 15.6% CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 CD 7 CD 8 CD 9 11 (949) 855 6400 www.probolskyresearch.com
Democratic voters are far more likely to support the proposal Than are Republican voters; DTS voters are divided Question: Do you support or oppose the prevailing wage proposal Democratic 58.4% Republican 50.5% DTS 39.1% DTS 34.5% Republican DTS 28.4% 26.4% Democratic Republican Democratic 21.1% 21.1% 20.5% Support Oppose Unsure/refused 12 (949) 855 6400 www.probolskyresearch.com
Thank you Probolsky Research LLC (949) 855-6400 Newport Beach 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 (916) 256-4040 Sacramento Newport Beach, CA 92660 USA (202) 559-0270 Washington DC www.probolskyresearch.com
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