- Report on Results - July 11, 2013 Probolsky Research (949) - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

SDMetro/Probolsky Research San Diego Voter Survey

• Report on Results -

July 11, 2013

Probolsky Research 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach, CA 92660 USA (949) 855-6400 Newport Beach (916) 256-4040 Sacramento (202) 559-0270 Washington DC www.probolskyresearch.com

San Diego Voter Survey

Report on results

From Friday, June 28 through Monday, July 1, 2013, Probolsky Research conducted a telephone survey of San Diego voters. A total of 400 surveys were collected. A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/- 5.0% with a 95% degree of

• confidence. Interviews were conducted with voters on both landline and cell phones and were offered in English and

Spanish languages. Probolsky Research LLC specializes in opinion research on behalf of political, government, business, special interest and media clients. 2

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What is top of mind to San Diego voters?

Highlights from the cloud

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Jobs and the economy is the most important issue

To San Diego voters

Question: What is the most important issue facing your community today? 4

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17.8% 0.3% 1.3% 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 3.8% 9.0% 10.8% 12.8% 17.5% 27.0% Don't know/refused Affordable Housing Nothing/no issues/everything is fine Over Population/Controlling Growth/Development Other Poverty Environmental Issues Healthcare Moral Issues Transportation Education/Schools/Higher Education Government Public Safety Jobs and the Economy

Voters are somewhat divided

About San Diego Mayor Filner’s job performance

Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the job that San Diego Mayor Bob Filner is doing? 5

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35.0% 30.0% 35.0% Approve Disapprove Unsure/refused

The intensity of disapproval is significantly greater

Than that of approval

Question: And would you say that you strongly or somewhat (approve/disapprove)? 6

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12.5% 20.3% 35.0% 22.5% 9.8% Approve Disapprove Unsure/refused Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Strongly

Districts 1, 2 and 7 are especially negative about Filner

While Districts 3, 4, 5, 6, 8 and 9 are most positive

Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the job that San Diego Mayor Bob Filner is doing? 7

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www.probolskyresearch.com Approve 17.6% Approve 30.0% Approve 41.5% Approve 43.6% Approve 35.3% Approve 34.9% Approve 29.8% Approve 50.0% Approve 41.2% Disapprove 33.3% Disapprove 38.0% Disapprove 35.8% Disapprove 30.8% Disapprove 29.4% Disapprove 23.3% Disapprove 34.0% Disapprove 6.3% Disapprove 29.4% Unsure/ refused 49.0% Unsure/ refused 32.0% Unsure/ refused 22.6% Unsure/ refused 25.6% Unsure/ refused 35.3% Unsure/ refused 41.9% Unsure/ refused 36.2% Unsure/ refused 43.8% Unsure/ refused 29.4%

CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 CD 7 CD 8 CD 9

A majority (55%) of Republicans disapprove of Filner

While a plurality (45.3%) of Democratic voters approve and 47.3% of DTS are unsure

Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the job that San Diego Mayor Bob Filner is doing? 8

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Democratic 45.3% Democratic 18.0% Democratic 36.6% Republican 23.9% Republican 55.0% Republican 21.1% DTS 33.6% DTS 19.1% DTS 47.3% Approve Disapprove Unsure/refused

A plurality (43.5%) supports

The Prevailing Wage proposal

Question: Prevailing wage laws are intended to ensure that the ability of a company to get a public works contract is not based on paying lower wage rates to their workers than a competitor. Local and regional governments with prevailing wage laws in California require bidders on public works contracts to use identical wage rates, which are defined by the State. The San Diego City Council is considering a proposal to require contractors on City public works and maintenance projects valued over $25,000 to pay prevailing wages to employees. The City’s Independent Budget Analyst estimates that total project costs for the City would rise between five and ten percent, adding between thirteen million and twenty-six million dollars to next year’s City budget. Do you support or oppose the prevailing wage proposal? 9

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43.5% 33.8% 23.0% Support Oppose Unsure/refused

19.0% 19.8% 23.0% 23.3% 12.0% 1.2% 2.0% Support Oppose Unsure/refused

The intensity of voter support

Is nearly identical to that of opposition

Question: And would you say that you strongly (SUPPORT/OPPOSE) or somewhat (SUPPORT/OPPOSE)? [IF UNSURE >>>] Would you say that you lean one way or another? 10

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Lean Somewhat Strongly Lean Somewhat Strongly

Support is especially strong

In Council Districts 2, 4, 6, 8 and 9

Question: Do you support or oppose the prevailing wage proposal? 11

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www.probolskyresearch.com Support 39.2% Support 46.0% Support 43.4% Support 53.8% Support 29.4% Support 46.5% Support 42.6% Support 53.1% Support 44.1% Oppose 31.4% Oppose 32.0% Oppose 41.5% Oppose 28.2% Oppose 35.3% Oppose 30.2% Oppose 42.6% Oppose 31.3% Oppose 23.5% Unsure/ refused 29.5% Unsure/ refused 22.0% Unsure/ refused 15.1% Unsure/ refused 18.0% Unsure/ refused 35.3% Unsure/ refused 23.2% Unsure/ refused 14.9% Unsure/ refused 15.6% Unsure/ refused 32.3%

CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 CD 7 CD 8 CD 9

Democratic voters are far more likely to support the proposal

Than are Republican voters; DTS voters are divided

Question: Do you support or oppose the prevailing wage proposal 12

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Democratic 58.4% Democratic 20.5% Democratic 21.1% Republican 28.4% Republican 50.5% Republican 21.1% DTS 39.1% DTS 34.5% DTS 26.4% Support Oppose Unsure/refused

Thank you

Probolsky Research LLC 3990 Westerly Place Suite 185 Newport Beach, CA 92660 USA (949) 855-6400 Newport Beach (916) 256-4040 Sacramento (202) 559-0270 Washington DC www.probolskyresearch.com