REFUGEES WELCOME? CONTESTATION OVER A EUROPEAN DISTRIBUTION - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
REFUGEES WELCOME? CONTESTATION OVER A EUROPEAN DISTRIBUTION MECHANISM Migration, Identity and Politics in Europe Carleton University, Ottawa, Ontario, 1 1 March 2019 2019 Johannes Mller Gmez Universit de Montral &
Johannes Müller Gómez Université de Montréal & Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München Birte Windheuser Universität zu Köln “Migration, Identity and Politics in Europe” Carleton University, Ottawa, Ontario, 1 1 March 2019 2019
Na Natio ional
In Intern rnational
Eur Europea ean
Johannes Müller Gómez | Université de Montréal & LMU Munich
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Johannes Müller Gómez | Université de Montréal & LMU Munich
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In In fa favour ur of
an RD RDM Mo Mostly bu but n not ful fully in in fa favour ur of
an an RDM Ra Rather in in fa favour ur
an RDM Ra Rather agai against an an RD RDM Mo Mostly agai against an an RD RDM Ag Against an an RDM
Map produced via stepmap.com 2017
Johannes Müller Gómez | Université de Montréal & LMU Munich
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H1: Member states that are no not affe ffected by the he refug fugee crisis reject a European distribution mechanism. H2: Member states with a we weak ak economy reject a European distribution mechanism. H3: Member states with a hi high deg degree o ee of E EU-sc scept epticism sm reject a European distribution mechanism. H4: Member states with a lo low share of Muslim lim popula latio ion reject a European distribution mechanism. H5: Member states with a lo low degree of EU in integratio ion reject a European distribution mechanism
Johannes Müller Gómez | Université de Montréal & LMU Munich
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Johannes Müller Gómez | Université de Montréal & LMU Munich
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à QCA useful “for analyzing complex causation, defined as a situation in which an
à Here: Fuzzy set QCA
*Source: Ragin, Charles C. (2008): Redesigning Social Inquiry. Fuzzy Sets and Beyond, London: University of Chicago Press, p.23.
Rejection Rejection of
a distr distrib ibution ution mechanism mechanism Economic situation EU-scepticism Impact of „refugee crisis“ Muslim population Degree of EU integration
Johannes Müller Gómez | Université de Montréal & LMU Munich
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Johannes Müller Gómez | Université de Montréal & LMU Munich
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But: France, UK, Finland and Ireland do not fit in any of these solution terms
Degree of EU integration Small Muslim population Not affected by the refugee crisis Weak economy
Rejection Rejection of
RDM
Small Muslim population Not affected by the refugee crisis Low degree of integration
Low degree of integration Small Muslim population Weak economy
Johannes Müller Gómez | Université de Montréal & LMU Munich
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Sup Suppor
t of
RDM
Degree of EU integration Muslim population (+) Refugees (+) * * * * Muslim population (+) Refugees (+) Integration (+) Economy (+) EU-scepticism (-) EU-scepticism (-) Refugees (+) * * * * * *
But: Bulgaria, Italy, Portugal and the Netherlands do not fit in any of these solution terms
Johannes Müller Gómez | Université de Montréal & LMU Munich
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Fr France:
§ Not affected § Terrorist attacks § Front national
UK UK:
§ Not affected § EU-sceptic atmosphere § Muslim population not with Arabic but Pakistani and Bangladeshi background § Opt-in-option
Fin Finla land:
§ Highly affected, but split government: Centre Party vs. Finns Party
Hu Hungary:
§ National solution § Perception of the refugee crisis as a ’German problem’
Johannes Müller Gómez | Université de Montréal & LMU Munich
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a) Low degree of integration b) Weak economy c) Low degree to which the member state is affected