Ral Blanco Generalitat de Catalunya DAY 1: SMART GRIDS TABLE 2: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Ral Blanco Generalitat de Catalunya DAY 1: SMART GRIDS TABLE 2: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Ral Blanco Generalitat de Catalunya DAY 1: SMART GRIDS TABLE 2: REGULATORY CHALLENGES AND BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE DIGITIZATION PROCESS, DEMAND SIDE RESPONSE (DSR) AND RES INTEGRATION INTERNATIONAL SUMMER SCHOOL SMART


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Raül Blanco Generalitat de Catalunya

DAY 1: SMART GRIDS TABLE 2: REGULATORY CHALLENGES AND BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE DIGITIZATION PROCESS, DEMAND SIDE RESPONSE (DSR) AND RES INTEGRATION

INTERNATIONAL SUMMER SCHOOL “SMART GRIDS AND SMART CITIES” Barcelona, 6-8 June 2017

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  • 1. Global Trends
  • 2. Industry 4.0: Concept and Technologies
  • 3. Impacts and consequences
  • 4. Industry 4.0 in Catalonia
  • 5. Industry moves back to the city
  • 6. Conclusions
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1.Global Trends

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FIVE TECHNOLOGICAL REVOLUTIONS IN 240 YEARS The ‘Industrial Revolution’ (machines, factories and canals)

1771

Age of Steam, Coal, Iron and Railways

1829

Age of Steel and Heavy Engineering (electrical, chemical, civil, naval)

1875

Age of the Automobile, Oil, Petrochemicals and Mass Production

1908

Age of Information Technology and Telecommunications

1971

Age of Biotech, Nanotech, Bioelectronics and new materials?

20??

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Source: SIEMENS

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EACH REVOLUTION LEADS TO A TECHNO-ECONOMIC PARADIGM SHIFT that changes the direction for innovation and organisation across the whole economy

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The paradigm shift taking place since the 1970s

Open networks and platforms /from local to global Closed pyramids/isolated firms Learning organisations Tayloristic organisations Value network partners Suppliers and clients Flexible strategies Fixed plans Plus network, scope or specialisation economies Scale economies Globalisation of the economy Inter-national trade Environment as guide to innovation No environmental concern Turning products into intangible services Turning services into products Flexible/adaptable high volume or niche production Mass production processes

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20 – 30+ years

DEPLOYMENT PERIOD INSTALLATION PERIOD

20 – 30+ years

Major technology bubble Golden age prosperity

INSTALLATION PERIOD

20 – 30+ years

“Creative destruction” Battle of the new paradigm against the old Concentration of investment in new tech Income polarisation

Led by financial capital with unfettered markets

From irruption to bubble collapse

Major technology bubble

Collapse

Precisely because such radical changes encounter resistance

“Creative construction” Use of new paradigm for innovation and growth across all sectors Social and institutional innovation Spreading social benefits Led by production capital aided by government From “Golden Age” to maturity

20 – 30+ years

DEPLOYMENT PERIOD

NEXT BIG-BANG

Golden age prosperity

We are here

Instability-Recession-Institutional change-Role switch

Turning Point

Time

GESTATION MATURITY

Degree of diffusion of the technological potential

BIG-BANG

Next Installation period

EACH GREAT SURGE GOES THROUGH TWO DIFFERENT PERIODS

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1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th

INSTALLATION PERIOD DEPLOYMENT PERIOD TURNING POINT London funded global booms Belle Époque

1890–95

Railway mania The Victorian Boom

1848–50

Canal mania Great British Leap

1797– 1800

We are here

Sustainable global ‘golden age’???

The Roaring Twenties Post-war Golden Age

1929–43

Bubble prosperity Maturity ‘Golden Age’ prosperity Recession Irruption Led by finance Led by production and the State

Dot com boom / Global casino

2008 ??

2000–03

THE HISTORICAL RECORD: FIVE REVOLUTIONS WITH A REGULAR PATTERN

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The adequate historical parallel for today is the 1930s

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HOW DID ACTIVE POLICY IN THE POST WAR BOOM OVERCOME THE 1930s AND II WW? Apart from the Keynesian management of fiscal and monetary policy MASSIVE SHAPING OF DYNAMIC DEMAND FOR MASS CONSUMPTION AND PRODUCTION:

  • Infrastructure for low-cost suburban housing
  • Government guarantees for mortgages
  • Unemployment insurance and pensions
  • Official labour unions (maintaining salary increases with productivity)
  • Free education for the majorities (and in Europe also health)
  • Farm subsidies (prices low for consumers and profits high for equipment)
  • Military procurement
  • Massive government employment
  • High taxes to pay for all that
  • And the Bretton Woods institutions for international finance and trade
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WE NEED BOLD AND CREATIVE POLICIES LIKE THE ONES FROM BRETTON WOODS AND WELFARE STATE CREATION.

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KEYNES + SCHUMPETER + A NEW POLICY FRAMEWORK FOR DYNAMIC INNOVATION AND MARKETS IN THE INFORMATION AGE

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  • S. F. Weng et al.

Can machine-learning improve cardiovascular risk prediction using routine clinical data? PLOS ONE, 12 (4), (2017). DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0174944 Artificial intelligence can predict heart attacks better than a doctor.

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We're moving fast. But nobody knows where we're going @WEF on May 30th!!!!

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From society to industry! It is a different path from the previous revolutions and it is happening faster than before.

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One of the best books about technology and its impact written in recent years is The New Division of Labor, by Frank Levy and Richard Murnane, which came out in 2004.

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The authors propose that Human beings still matter, because there are some common and important tasks that we accomplish effortlessly, but which pose daunting challenges to digital entities.

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The results of the first DARPA Grand Challenge, held in 2004, supported this conclusion. The challenge was to build a driverless vehicle that could navigate a 150-mile route through the unpopulated Mohave Desert. The ‘winning’ team made it less than 8 miles.

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May 31th. 2017!

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  • This report explores how a transition to driverless trucks could

happen.

  • Reduced reliance on humans to move road freight offers many

benefits.

  • It also threatens to disrupt the careers and lives of millions of

professional truck drivers. May 31th. 2017

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  • 2. Industry 4.0: Concept and Technologies
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About the 4.0 industry

Industry 4.0 is the comprehensive transformation

  • f the whole sphere of

industrial production through the merging of digital technology and the internet with conventional industry.

Source: Boston Consulting Group (BCG), PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), European Parliament and ACCIÓ.

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About the 4.0 industry

Everything in and around a manufacturing operation (suppliers, the plant, distributors, the product itself) is digitally connected providing a highly integrated value chain.

Source: Boston Consulting Group (BCG), PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), European Parliament and ACCIÓ.

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About the 4.0 industry

Devices and systems cooperate among themselves and with others, allowing transformations in products, processes, organization and business models.

Source: Boston Consulting Group (BCG), PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), European Parliament and ACCIÓ.

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Source: Boston Consulting Group

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  • 3. Impacts and consequences
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Industry 4.0 affects producer’s entire value chain, from design to after- sales service:

  • Production processes will be more flexible and optimized through

integrated IT systems.

  • Products, production processes, and production automation will be

designed and commissioned virtually in one integrated process and through the collaboration of producers and suppliers.

Source: Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and ACCIÓ.

Producers: Transforming Production Processes and Systems

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Industry 4.0 affects the demand, with changes such as:

  • Mass customization
  • No difference among retail channels

(internet, self service machines, apps, etc.)

  • Predictive insight of the consumption and usage habits
  • Crowd access to information (news, prices, opinions,

publications, reports, etc.)

Source: Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and ACCIÓ.

New Demands and Defining New Standards

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  • In the short term, will increase the demand for

workers with skills and competences in software development and ICT, and will decrease demand for low-skilled workers.

  • The World Economic Forum has estimated that

Industry 4.0 will lead to a net global creation of 2M jobs in computing, engineering, architecture and mathematics. Optimistic?

Source: Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and ACCIÓ.

Impact on Occupation and Employment

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  • 4. Industry 4.0 in Catalonia
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 Area: 32,108 sq km  Population: 7.5 million (2015)  GDP: € 214.92 billion (2015)  GDP per capita: € 28,181 /year (2014)  Companies: 584,369 (2015)  Industrial companies: 36,383 (2015)  17.4 million foreign tourists/year (2015)  € 63.8 billion exports (2015)  € 76.0 billion imports (2015)  16,422 regular exporting companies (2015)  6,454 foreign companies (2015)  € 4,783 million foreign investment (2015)  8,346 catalan companies abroad (2015)  8,830 innovative companies (2014)  1.47% of GDP dedicated to R&D (2014)  1.0% of world’s scientific production

16%

OF SPANISH POPULATION

20%

OF SPANISH GDP

23%

OF SPANISH INDUSTRY

25%

OF SPANISH FOREIGN TRADE

45%

OF SPANISH FOREIGN MULTINATIONALS

  • 1. Competitive Environment

Business Innovation Unit

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Source: ACCIÓ and ara.cat.

  • The Catalan ICT sector is strong a

driving force of economic growth.

  • Over 12,800 companies (a value

representing almost 2%

  • f

all Catalan companies), €14,000 M of annual turnover and more than €200 M per year for R&D investment.

  • The sector generates employment

for 84,600 people and the 70% of the activity is concentrated in the city of Barcelona.

Catalan Industry and ICT sector, the perfect combination

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Source: ACCIÓ.

Main companies

Seat is training talented employees to take all the opportunities offered by Industry 4.0. Furthermore, Seat has incorporated a smart logistics management system. Hewlett Packard has its worldwide 3D printing business in its development centre in Sant Cugat, where it has designed its 3D printer, the Multijet Fusion. Oracle is one of the promoting companies of the Centre of Excellence in Big Data of EURECAT. Alstom has submitted a technological plan in order to transform its new industrial centre in Santa Perpètua into the first factory 4.0 of the rail sector in

  • Spain. This facility will have 3D printing, augmented reality, sensorisation, robots and cloud computing.

Worldsensing is a Catalan company and a world referent in the development of technologies to control traffic lights, smart parking spaces and public security. Effitronix is a company of the mechatronics sector located in Tona that has developed the MICO24, a new system to monitor and control in real time based on the predictive maintenance. Avinent is a company of dental implants that has developed, based on digital technologies, a system to produce personalized implants and dental prosthesis. Fundiciones de Roda is part of Roquet Group, Spanish manufacturer leader in hydraulics. Together with the UPC’s research group LABSON, it is engaged in the European project Flexicast to add artificial intelligence to the casting process. Natural Machines has designed the Foodini, a 3D printer that creates real food, made from fresh ingredients prepared before printing. Phibo and Gaes are printing personalized prothesis for each client. Tous is starting to print in 3D some of their jewels.

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Source: Datalandscape and ACCIÓ.

57 Big Data companies are located in Catalonia, leading all European countries. A very innovative Ecosystem full of start-ups and conferences including the leading Big Data Conference and Industry giants like HP and IBM. IN A RECENT STUDY BY THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION, CATALONIA WAS NOTED AS BEING THE LEADER IN EUROPE OF BIG DATA ECONOMY.

Catalonia: Europe’s Big Data Hub

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Source: ACCIÓ and centres websites.

Technology and Research Centres

EURECAT is the main Technology Centre in Catalonia, supplier of industrial technology and a reference in Southern Europe. It develops projects about the capabilities and technologies needed to boost Industry 4.0: ICT, sustainability in the production process, additive manufacturing and new materials. LEITAT is a Technological Centre that aims to collaborate with companies and institutions by adding technological value both to products and processes, and focuses its activity on research, development and industrial innovation. Along with the IN(3D)USTRY, it has created an accelerator

  • f business projects related to 3D printing.

Computer Vision Centre (CVC) is a leading centre in the field of computer vision, focused on the research, technology transfer and training in this

  • field. Computer vision is an horizontal technology with many applications in biomedicine, mobility, security, production, society, media, etc.

Telecommunications Technological Centre of Catalonia (CTTC) mainly focus on technologies related to the physical, data-link and network layers

  • f communication systems, and to the Geomatics. It has four distinct research divisions: Communication Networks Division, Communication

Systems Division, Communication Technologies Division and Geomatics Division. Fundació CIM is an entity attached to the Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya · Barcelona Tech (UPC) which institutional mission is to transfer engineering and technology management knowledge to professionals and companies seeking to expand the possibilities of the territory industry through creation, improvement and promotion of its products and manufacturing processes. In cooperation with the Government, companies and citizens, I2Cat research and innovation units want to produce technologies and solutions with the aim of converting Catalonia into a leading global smart region in a Smart Europe, with a flourishing added-value economy and an innovative society. The Institute of Photonic Sciences (ICFO) aims to advance the very limits of knowledge in Photonics, namely the science and technology of harnessing Light. It focuses on research and training, basic and applied, in the different branches of optical sciences and technologies, at the highest international level. Barcelona Supercomputing Centre aims to investigate, develop and manage information technology in order to facilitate scientific progress. With this aim, special dedication has been taken to areas such as Computer Sciences, Life Sciences, Earth Sciences and Computational Applications in Science and Engineering.

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Clusters in Catalonia

Source: ACCIÓ and clusters websites.

Home & Building Automation and Smart Cities Cluster Cluster Advanced Materials Catalonia Southern European Cluster in Photonics and Optics Cluster of Means of Agricultural Production

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Availability of Software Development Workforce

Source: ACCIÓ.

― Barcelona

  • ffers

qualified software and app developers at more competitive prices than its global counterparts: €46,617.26 per annum, compared to €133,887.52 per annum in Silicon Valley (fDiBenchmark). ― As of 2014, there were ca. 15,000 students enroled in ITC, Mobile or telecommunications degrees.

Several companies have chosen Barcelona as their location for their projects, due to the availability of expert workforce.

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Trade Fairs and Congresses

Source: ACCIÓ and events websites.

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Trade Fairs and Congresses

Source: ACCIÓ and events websites.

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Grant Opportunities

Source: ACCIÓ.

R&D Cooperation Projects (known as Nuclis de Recerca Industrial i Desenvolupament Experimental)

―Grant Program cofinanced by the European funds FEDER, intended to stimulate R&D projects in Catalonia with a differential and high-impact R&D in the territory and companies. ―Two types of grants depending on the type of project:

  • Local R&D Cooperation Projects - Program to support industrial research and experimental development

projects in Catalonia, individually or collaboratively, and for companies with operating site located in Catalonia.

  • International R&D Cooperation Projects - Program to support industrial research and experimental

development projects by groups of companies with an international component. ―Projects must be included within transversal enabling technologies (ICT, nanotechnology, advanced materials, photonics, biotechnology and advanced manufacture) and must identify the leader sectorial levels (Chemical, energy and resources industries, Food industries, Industrial systems, Design industries Sustainable mobility industries, Health and life sciences industries and Cultural and experience-based industries).

Horizon 2020

―Horizon 2020 is the financial instrument implementing the Innovation Union, a Europe 2020 flagship initiative aimed at securing Europe's global competitiveness. It has a total budget of €78,600 M for the period 2014-2020 and it is divided in 3 pillars: Excellent science, Industrial leadership and Societal challenges.

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  • 5. Industry moves back to the city
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Barcelona’s 3D Hub

Source: ACCIÓ.

Headquarters of Fab Academy are in Barcelona. The first Fab Lab of Barcelona was born on 2007. Barcelona’s goal is to have at least one Fab Lab per neighbourhood. Makers of Barcelona (MOB), first private FabLab inaugurated on 2011

Barcelona has been a forerunner and key player in the development of the Maker movement and Fab Lab Network worldwide. Barcelona is one of the most active spots on the worldwide fab labs network.

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Dubai’s first ‘Robocop’ begins patrolling streets Designed and created in Barcelona by local company PAL Robotics

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  • 6. Conclusions
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Customer rules the world. Customer should be served immediately.

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The alternative is clear (but difficult)

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4.0 Change is: 80% Business model 20% Digital technologies

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Future is here and now

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Sustainable industrial, education and regulation policies are needed more than ever

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Finally… Ethics? Values?

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“Hombre, técnica y bienestar son, en última instancia, sinónimos” José Ortega y Gasset (1933)

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“Technology can steal our freedom”

Joan Mendoza, philosopher and laboratory technician (2017)

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More information on the lessons from the history of technological revolutions: www.carlotaperez.org http://beyondthetechrevolution.com More information about global trends: @XavierFerras http://xavierferras.blogspot.com.es/

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Thank you very much! Merci beaucoup! Gracias!

Raül Blanco rblanco@ub.edu