Q2 and First Half 2018
Quarterly presentation
August 8th 2018
Q2 and First Half 2018 Quarterly presentation Highlights second - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
August 8 th 2018 Q2 and First Half 2018 Quarterly presentation Highlights second quarter 2018 EBITDA adjusted for extraordinary items of USD 159 million Underlying positive volume development, especially for high & heavy However, ocean
August 8th 2018
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by Craig Jasienski
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5 10 15 20 25 30 35 15 10 5 20 18,0 Million CBM
25,3%
Q3’14
23,3%
Q4’14 Q3’15
25,1%
Q4’16 Q1’15
24,0%
18,0
28,0%
Q2’15
20,4%
18,7
24,9%
Q4’15 18,2 Q2’17 Q1’16
25,7%
19,5 Q2’16
25,4%
17,0 16,5 Q3’16 Q2 ’18
22,6% 24,2%
19,4
26,0% 26,3%
Q3’17
26,1%
Q4’17 16,8
24,9%
Q1’17 18,2 15,5 Q1’18 16,2 16,2 18,8 18,5
29,2%
% 15,2 +3% +12% Total prorated volumes1 Cargo mix2 1) Prorated volume (WW Ocean, EUKOR, ARC and Armacup) 2) Calculated based on unprorated volumes. Updated figures based on aligned cargo type definition and reporting across all Ocean units
volume development partly
by reduced contracted HMG volumes, up 3% y-o-y
Europe trade experienced strong growth
and Asia-North America trade decreased (latter due to reduction in HMG volumes)
million CBM) volumes were up about 6% y-o-y
high & heavy share of 29%, up from 28% in the previous quarter and 26% in same period last year
Business Update Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A
Volume and cargo mix development Million CBM and % Comments
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WWL trade routes EUKOR trade routes ARC trade routes
Atlantic Shuttle
3.6 Q2 ’17 Q1 ’18 Q2 ’18 3.0 3.4 +22% +9%
EU/NA – Oceania1)
Q2 ’18 Q2 ’17 Q1 ’18 2.0 1.8 2.0
+14%
EU - ASIA Asia - EU
Q2 ’17 Q1 ’18 Q2 ’18 3.2 3.4 2.9 +5% +18%
Asia - NA
Q1 ’18 3.4 Q2 ’17 Q2 ’18 2.4 2.9
+21%
Asia - SAWC
Q2 ’17 Q1 ’18 Q2 ’18 1.1 1.2 1.3 +21% +8%
Note: Prorated volumes on operational trade basis in CBM 1) Including Cape sailings (South Africa) Business Update Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A
Q2 ’17 Q2 ’18 3.2 Q1 ’18 2.9 3.0
+4%
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38 40 42 44 Q1’18 40.5 Q2’17 Q1’17 Q3’17 Q4’17 41.0 Q2’18 40.9 40.2 40.2 40.5 0% +1%
1) Net freight = Freight revenues adjusted for surcharge elements such as BAF, SRC, THC etc
second quarter compared with the previous quarter due to changes in trade and cargo mix
the Oceania and the Asia-Europe trades, with relatively high net freight / CBM (long distances)
had a positive impact on net freight / CBM
from contract renewals in 2017 impacted the net freight index with about USD 12 million y-o-y
Business Update Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A
Net freight / CBM development1) Comments
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76 77 75 76 77 78 51 49 50 49 46 49 6 6 9 10 Q3’17 131 Q1’17 Q2’17 Q4’17 Q1’18 127 131 131 132 Q2’18 137 5 Owned Chartered Short Term T/C In/Out
vessels (873K CEU), representing around 22% of the global fleet in the second quarter
short-term market and controlled a fleet of 137 vessels at the end of the second quarter (up from 132 vessels in Q1)
in certain trades causing operational imbalances to meet customer commitments
Business Update Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A
Fleet development # of vessels Comments
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reduce energy consumption and emissions
each with a capacity of 8,000 CEU
the end of 2018 and two are scheduled for delivery in 2019
Business Update Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A
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Q1 2018 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q3 2018 55 Q2 2018 Q4 2018 120 65 76 86 110
SG&A savings Procurement Fleet Optimization Ship Management Realized savings (annualized)
million of synergy target was confirmed
to confirmed synergies, mainly through ship management, fleet optimization and procurement
USD 100 million, up from about USD 80 million in the previous quarter
gradually come into effect over the next 3-6 months
Business Update Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A
Confirmed and realized synergy development USD million Comments
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price of about USD 30 million on a cash- and debt-free basis (EBITDA multiple of about 6x)
disposition of used vehicles through an electronic marketplace (in North America)
companies and remarketers to auction houses through a virtual marketplace that matches these stakeholders with transportation providers and repair centers
into adjacent customers and geographies
involved in the business for the foreseeable future
Business Update Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A
Acquisition in brief
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risk for the shipping industry, with fuel costs expected to increase with about 50% combined with a lack of clarity around availability and quality of fuels.
in place for majority of the larger customer contracts and aims to introduce relevant clauses for remaining customer contracts
combining operating with different types of low Sulphur fuel and installing scrubbers
with scrubbers to 25
scrubbers will be retrofitted during scheduled dry docking to minimize impact on the
by Rebekka Herlofsen
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Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q2 2017 Total income 1 044 968 974 Operating expenses (888) (843) (806) EBITDA 156 125 168 EBITDA adjusted 159 128 188 Depreciation (86) (84) (83) EBIT 70 41 85 Net financial items (45) (5) (103) Profit before tax 25 35 (17) Tax income/(expense) (4) (25) (3) Profit for the period 21 10 (20) EPS 0.04 0.02 (0.06)
and realization of synergies in the second quarter
previous quarter due to higher interest rates (LIBOR) and net interest-bearing debt
currency derivatives
primarily related to income tax
Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A Business update
Comments
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719 798 775 832 750 842 Q1’17 Q2 ’17 Q3 ’17 Q2 ’18 Q4 ’17 Q1 ’18 +5% +12% 1) Adjusted for restructuring costs and other non-recurring items 123 17 145 162 157 109 134 2 Q2’17 Q1’17 8 Q3 ’17 111 170 Q4 ’17 3 Q1 ’18 160 2 Q2 ’18 162 136
+23% Adjustments
Total income
increased volumes and fuel compensation
underlying strong volume development, increased high & heavy share and realization of synergies
compared to the previous quarter due to seasonality
Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A Business update
Total income and EBITDA ocean segment1 USD million Comments EBITDA
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by USD 26 million y-o-y driven by increased bunker prices and higher bunker consumption (due to more voyage days)
USD 20 million negative impact on results y-o-y of which about half is related to the lag effect and the other half relates to lack
some customer contracts Net bunker cost development y-o-y
Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A Business update
50 26 24 Recurring element Bunker cost increase BAF increase Net bunker cost increase Lag effect Volume effect
Comments
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driven by Keen Transport and the Melbourne terminal
Solutions Americas – Auto (VSA)
(Melbourne terminal fully operational from Jan 2018) and Keen transport (acquired late 2017)
Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A Business update 221 Q2 ’18 Q1’17 Q1 ’18 Q2 ’17 Q3 ’17 Q4 ’17 186 192 203 232 222 +16%
1) Adjusted for restructuring and other non-recurring items;
Total income Total income and EBITDA landbased segment1 USD million Comments EBITDA
Q3 ’17 25 20 Q2 ’18 Q1’17 Q2 ’17 Q4 ’17 Q1 ’18 22 27 24 24
+22%
Solutions APAC/EMEA Adjustments Terminals Solutions Americas (auto) Other Solutions Americas (H&H)
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1st half 2018 1st half 2017 % change Total income 2 012 1 864 8% Operating expenses (1 731) (1 554) 11% EBITDA 281 311
EBITDA adjusted 286 331
Depreciation (170) (165) 3% EBIT 111 146
Net financial items (50) (125) n/a Profit before tax 61 20 n/a Tax income/(expense) (29) 19 n/a Profit for the period 31 39
EPS 0.06 0.06 n/a
2018, up 8% compared to the same period last year due to increased revenues for ocean and landbased
realization of synergies were recorded in the first half of 2018 compared to USD 20 million in the first half of 2017
underlying strong volume development, increased high & heavy share and realization of synergies
Comments
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649 517 156 1 80 Proceeds from sale
Liquidity Q1 2018 Net financing EBITDA CAPEX Interest and financial derivatives Dividend to non controlling interests
Taxes paid Other Liquidity Q2 2018
refinanced in October 2017
quarter of about USD 90 million (linked to legal restructuring)
million from realization of basis swaps linked to bond debt that matured in June 2018
million) settlement fine from European competition authorities
Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A Business update
Comments Cash flow and liquidity development USD million
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6.2 1.3 Current assets Non current assets 7.5 2.8 Equity 1.3 7.5 Non current liabilities 3.4 Current liabilities
37.4%, up from 36.3% last quarter
200 million driven by payment of the EUR 207 million fine from European Competition authorities and financing for the newbuilding delivered in May
517 million in cash and about USD 275 million in undrawn credit facilities
quarter two vessels in EUKOR were refinanced and WW Ocean Holding AS secured a new unsecured credit facility of USD 100 million which replaced similar facilities earlier placed in the operating entity WW Ocean AS
Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Outlook and Q&A Business update
Assets Unaudited Balance Sheet 31.06.2018 USD billion Comments Equity & Liabilities
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by Craig Jasienski
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Global light vehicle (LV) sales per quarter Global LV sales per main sales region1)
Source: IHS Markit 1) Size of circle indicates auto sales in Q2 2018
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13%
Greater China East Europe ASEAN
Q2’18 vs Q2’17 CAGR ’18-23
Central Europe Indian Subcontinent Japan/Korea Middle East/Africa West Europe North America Oceania South America
APAC ME AF EUR AM
Q2 2016 Q1 2016 23.8 Q3 2016 23.0 Q4 2016 Q4 2017 22.3 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 24.8 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 22.8 22.4 23.3 22.9 24.9 23.7 22.9 25.6 +3.4%
temporary tax cut in December 2017, while declining 7.2 % q-o-q
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Global LV export per quarter Global LV export per main sales region1)
Source: IHS Markit 1) Size of circle indicates auto exports in Q2 2018
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 9% 10% 8% 6%
Q2’18 vs Q2’17
Japan
CAGR ’18-23
Europe Greater China Middle East/Africa North America South America South Asia South Korea
APAC EUR AM ME AF
Q1 2016 3.6 3.7 Q4 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 3.5 Q4 2016 Q3 2017 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 4.1 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.9 3.8 +6.5% +4.9%
continued to be ramped up
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the US represents a risk for Wallenius Wilhelmsen.
2017, majority of volumes imported from Europe, South Korea and Japan
volumes and changing sourcing patterns
expected to be substantial (<5% of EBITDA) as the group can reduce the fleet size and the profitability for auto volumes in certain trade lines is very low (e.g. Atlantic trade)
hence reduction in auto shipments could be more negative.
lead to further volume decline across all cargo segments
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Global construction and rolling mining equipment exports1
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 35k 30k 45k 40k 50k 07/12 01/18 Machinery exports (Quantity avg. L12M) Machinery exports (Growth L3M y-o-y %) 01/12 01/15 01/13 07/13 01/14 07/14 07/15 01/16 07/16 01/17 07/17 Machinery exports (L12M) Machinery export growth (L3M)
Source: 1IHS Markit | World (major exporters excl. China (due to incomplete reporting)) construction and rolling mining equipment exports (equipment valued >20 kUSD ) (Avg. units L12M (last 12 months) and L3M (last 3 months) y-o-y %). Data cut-off: 04.2018 2Caterpillar Inc., Volvo AB, Komatsu Ltd., US Bureau of the Census, AIA, Dodge Data & Analytics, Eurostat, IHS Markit, AiGroup, NAB
Market commenst2
American, European and Australian imports kept growing strongly
by Asia, with strong order development
continued to signal expansion, while housing starts and permits slowed from the previous quarter
confidence strengthened along with the Eurozone construction PMI
albeit at reduced rate, and construction confidence remained healthy despite some softening
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Global mining equipment deliveries and iron ore price1
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 1Q13 1Q09 Equipment deliveries (Indexed) 1Q14 Iron ore price (USD/t) 1Q10 1Q11 1Q12 1Q15 1Q16 1Q17 1Q18 Equipment deliveries Iron ore price
Source: 1The Parker Bay Company | Surface Mining Equipment Index (Indexed value of large surface mining equipment deliveries, 2007 = 100), MarketIndex | Average quarterly iron ore price (USD/t) (not adjusted for trading days) 2The Parker Bay Company | Value of large surface mining equipment deliveries (USD million, avg. last 12 months)
Regional mining equipment deliveries
Africa Latin America North America Europe Asia Oceania
intra-regional sourcing
momentum was driven by Africa and Latin America
demand and positive order development
edged down q-o-q as North American deliveries slowed sharply
1 000 2Q16 2Q14 2Q12 2Q18
400 2Q12 2Q14 2Q16 2Q18
600 2Q12 2Q14 2Q16 2Q18
700 2Q12 2Q14 2Q16 2Q18
600 2Q12 2Q14 2Q16 2Q18
1 000 2Q16 2Q12 2Q14 2Q18
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Global agriculture equipment exports1
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 30k 20k 25k 35k 07/12 01/13 Machinery exports (Growth L3M y-o-y %) Machinery exports (Quantity avg. L12M) 01/12 07/13 07/17 01/14 07/14 01/15 07/15 01/16 07/16 01/17 01/18 Machinery export growth (L3M) Machinery exports (L12M)
Source: 1IHS Markit | World (major exporters excl. China (due to incomplete reporting)) agriculture equipment exports (equipment valued >20 kUSD ) (Avg. units L12M (last 12 months) and L3M (last 3 months) y-o-y %). Data cut-off: 04.2018 2TMA, KBA, Axema, ANFAVEA, AEA, Seaport| Registrations: UK (+50Hp), Germany (+70 kW), France (Standard tractors). Sales: Australia (+100Hp – April and May only), Brazil (All tractors), US (+100Hp, 4WD) (Units YTD and 2Q18, y-o-y %)
Tractor sales and registrations2
conditions in Eastern Europe
confidence to a five-year low
financing rates could provide some tailwind
0% 10% 20% 30% Brazil Australia Sales/registrations (Growth y-o-y %) UK Germany France US Sales/registrations (YTD) Sales/registrations (2Q18)
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Car Carrier Fleet Orderbook # vessels equal or above 4000 CEU Open Vessels and Time Charter Rates # of vessels and USD/day
Source: Clarksons Platou 1Vessels equal or above 4000 CEU
24 1 9 12 2 2019 Orderbook 2020 2018 2021
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 Number of vessels 12/16 3/18 TC Rate, $/day 9/15 6/16 12/15 3/16 9/16 6/18 3/17 6/17 9/17 12/17 5000 CEU 6500 CEU 2000-5999 CEU 6000+ CEU
by Craig Jasienski
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Financial Performance Market and Business Outlook Summary and Q&A Business update