Public Event What do you like? What needs improvement? What do - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Public Event

What do you like?

What needs improvement?

What do you want to see in 2050?

What do you envision for transport- ation in 2050?

Social Media - Follow Us!

@PlanForward2050

Upcoming Process

Today

• Development Trends
• Existing Growth Policy
• Plan It Yourself Exercise

Upcoming

• Growth Scenario Assumptions
• Growth Scenarios for Public Discussion

Residential Trends in Lincoln

Citywide Residential Permits

841 900 1,362 1,342 1,890 1,984 1,267 1,797 1,488 1,956

500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Single Family Detached Single Family Attached & Duplex Multi-Family Total

10-Year Totals

14,827 units 1,483 average units per year 6,335 2010-2014 8,492 2015-2019

10-Year Housing Mix

Assumes 40% multi-family

single family townhouse & duplex multi-family

39.4% 15.6% 45.0%

10-Year Housing Mix

single family townhouse & duplex multi-family

2010-2014

40.2% 15.7% 44.2%

2015-2019

38.9% 15.6% 45.6%

Assumes 40% multi-family

Discussion What factors might be contributing to the increased proportion of multi- family development?

Location

New Growth Areas

6,415 units, 2015-2019 1,283 average units per year

Established Areas

1,906 units, 2015-2019 381 average units per year

Assumes 8,000 units between 2016-2040 (333 units per year)

184 82 138 203 409 522 301 386 366 331

100 200 300 400 500 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Single Family Detached Single Family Attached & Duplex Multi-Family Total

Established Areas

Greater Downtown

670 units, 2015-2019 134 average units per year

Assumes 3,000 units between 2016-2040 (125 units per year)

5-Year Greater Downtown

Traditional Housing: 316 units 47.2% Student Housing: 354 units 52.8%

Location

Location

New Growth Areas Established Areas 3-Mile

2015-2019

75.5% 22.4% 2.0%

Location

Assumes 3.0 units per acre

New Growth Area (Edge) Density

3.5 - 4.0 units per acre

Density

Discussion What are the different impacts of infill vs edge growth?

Main Takeaway

• Overall city growth has exceeded assumptions
• ver the past five years
• Multi-family
• Infill
• Edge density

Plan Forward 2050

Lincoln’s Utilities Guiding Principles

IT IS OUR MISSION to responsibly deliver, enhance and maintain vital infrastructure and services for the good of our community.

To responsibly deliver, enhance and maintain vital infrastructure for the good of our community.

OUR MISSION

IT IS OUR MISSION to responsibly deliver, enhance and maintain vital infrastructure and services for the good of our community.

• Bullet point 1
• Bullet point 2
• Bullet point 3

WE’RE GROWING!!!

But where we grow is limited to where our utilities exist. Only provide Utilities to areas that are annexed.

WASTEWATER RULES!

• Wastewater

collection is generally gravity.

• Temporary Pump

Stations allowed… must meet criteria.

IT IS OUR MISSION to responsibly deliver, enhance and maintain vital infrastructure and services for the good of our community.

• Must be TEMPORARY!
• Or approved for Creek

Crossing.

• MUST have capacity in

receiving sewer.

• City Standards for

Construction.

• City operations -$$ O/M
• Abandoning
• Substantial

Public Benefit TEMPORARY PUMP STATIONS

IT IS OUR MISSION to responsibly deliver, enhance and maintain vital infrastructure and services for the good of our community.

LINCOLN WATER SYSTEM

Serving almost 300,000 customers. Over 1200 miles of pipe. 26,000 Valves 12,000 Hydrants 60 miles of transmission mains

COMP PLAN GROWTH AREAS, MASTER PLAN, AND CIP

IT IS OUR MISSION to responsibly deliver, enhance and maintain vital infrastructure and services for the good of our community.

SOLID WASTE OPERATIONS

• No Out of County Waste.
• Preserves Landfill space –
• wned by City of Lincoln
• Allows for programs
• Collection Sites
• East Area Site Approved

WATER, WASTEWATER, AND SOLID WASTE SOLELY SUPPORTED BY USER RATES!

IT IS OUR MISSION to responsibly deliver, enhance and maintain vital infrastructure and services for the good of our community.

WATERSHED MANAGEMENT

• Land conservation
• Stream and wetland

buffers

• Site Design

Standards

• BMPs / Water

Quality

• Preserve Natural

Characteristics

DRAINAGE AND FLOODING

• No Adverse Impact!!
• Don’t harm your

neighbors!

• Drainage Criteria

Manual

• New growth will be

OUTSIDE of the floodplain and floodway

Donna K. Garden dgarden@lincoln.ne.gov 402-441-8605 lincoln.ne.gov/city/ltu

Principles for Lincoln’s Growth

• Annexation tied to utility services
• Compact – multi-directional
• Lincoln Public School district

boundary tied to annexation

• One public school district
• Gravity flow sewer
• Efficient & orderly growth is cost-

effective

Principles for Lincoln’s Growth

• Drainage basins basis for urban

growth tiers with priority areas

• Targets public infrastructure

investments

• Predictability for public & private

sector

Growth Tiers

Tier 1A

existing undeveloped approvals

Tier 1B

after Tier 1A, to 2026

Tier 1C

2026 – 2040

Chapter 12

Growth Tiers

Tier II

2040 – 2060

Tier III

beyond 2060

Residential Land Inventory

Residential Land Inventory

16,141

approved units in New Growth Areas

1,369

3-Year avg in New Growth Areas

11.8

years supply in New Growth Areas

Residential Land Inventory

2,365

final platted single-family lots

801

3-Year avg single-family permits

3.0

years supply of final platted lots

Developable Acres

Land without existing approvals, outside floodplain, vacant/ag Tier IA: 0.1 sq mi Tier IB: 6.7 sq mi Tier IC: 6.6 sq mi Tier II: 20.7 sq mi Tier III: 96.0 sq mi

LPlan Assumptions Today

Assumption

• Add 1,500 units per year
• 40% multi-family
• 8,000 infill units, 2016-

2040 (333 units/year)

• 3,000 downtown units,

2016-2040 (125 units/year)

• 3.0 units/acre

Actual

• Added 1,500 units per year
• 45% multi-family
• 1,906 infill units, 2015-2019

(381 units/year)

• 670 downtown units, 2015-

2019 (134 units/year)

• 3.5 - 4.0 units/acre

LPlan Assumptions Today

Assumption

• 412,000 by 2040
• Lincoln 90% of total
• Need to add 1,500

households per year

Updated Assumption

• 400,000 by 2040
• 440,000 by 2050
• Lincoln 90% of total
• Need to add 1,600

households per year

Main Takeaway

• Assumptions used with LPlan 2040 will

need to be adjusted for 2050

Plan It Yourself

Purpose

• To consider the future land use needs for the

Lincoln/Lancaster County area.

• To discuss particular geographic considerations

important for planning future land use.

• To evaluate future scenarios in the context of fiscal

constraint, particularly regarding transportation facilities.

Assumptions: Growth

• The planning horizon for the game is 2050
• Lancaster County’s 2050 population will be about

440,000 (increase of 120,000)

• 90% will live in Lincoln
• This has held true since the 1960s
• Future Household size will be 2.35 persons per

household

• Currently 2.40
• Typical square mile of suburban development

has about 2,000 dwelling units

Assumptions: Growth

• For the purposes of the game 45,000 dwelling

units will be required to serve Lincoln’s 2050 population

• 15,000 dwelling units already approved
• 30,000 dwelling units to locate
• To keep things simple, the game focuses on

residential development

• A majority of land on the Future Land Use map is

dedicated to residential

Assumptions: Utilities

• Lincoln will continue to develop using gravity sewer

system

• Lincoln will continue to develop along drainage basins
• New utilities will be needed to serve the future

population, but utility costs are not part of this game

Assumption: Redevelopment

• For the purposes of the game, redevelopment adds to

current dwelling units, it does not displace them

• Redevelopment may occur on vacant or repurposed land
• Vacant lots
• Underutilized commercial space
• Redevelopment has public cost that is not part of this

game

• Redevelopment is likely to occur as higher density

development such as: Condos, attached single family, apartments

Assumption: City Fringe

Roads along the city fringe often do not meet city standards – for the game it is assumed all of these roads would need to be upgraded to city standards.

The Game: Part 1

Yellow squares

• 1,500 dwelling units (DU)
• Cover one square mile
• Include sufficient space for commercial and office

uses as well as parks and schools, and other uses

New Residential Typical Suburban 1 square mile 1500 Dwelling Units

The Game: Part 1

Orange squares

• 500 dwelling units
• Not intended to be area specific
• Dwelling units sprinkled throughout the square mile

in which they are placed

Increase of 500 DUs

The Game: Part 1

• One yellow with one orange would be 3.1 units per acre
• One yellow with two oranges would be 3.9 units per acre

New Residential Typical Suburban 1 square mile 1500 Dwelling Units

Increase of 500 DUs

The Game: Part 1

• Use resource packet
• Start with yellow squares, then add orange
• May trade yellow squares for orange
• Add up pieces and record

New Residential Typical Suburban 1 square mile 1500 Dwelling Units

Increase of 500 DUs

The Game: Part 2

• Every yellow square must be served with arterial roads
• Squares may be adjusted – but keep track of the dwelling

unit numbers!

Real World Numbers

• Using LPlan 2040 assumptions:
• add 10 sq mi of residential over next 30 years
• Using Trends:
• add about 8.5 sq mi

What’s Not in the Game

• Overall Transportation Budget from LRTP2040 Update
• $1.9 billion projected urban roads program funds to

2040

• $450 million projected transit program funds to 2040
• $36 million projected trails program funds to 2040

What’s Not in the Game

• Transportation Funding Gap identified in the Lincoln on

the Move process ($33 million/year)

• $21 million for street maintenance
• $7 million for system optimization, signal, and traffic

flow upgrades

• $5 million for growth projects
• Lincoln on the Move funds in place over next 6 years

and is anticipated to provide $12 million/year

• Gap has been reduced to $21 million

What’s Not in the Game

• Transit
• Expanded service to all areas of city due to

growth

• Increased frequency of service
• Addition of Sunday service
• Multi-modal center

What’s Not in the Game

• Additional costs
• Sewer
• Water
• City services
• Parks/open space