Proportional Representation Referendum COPE 491 Ref efer eren - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Proportional Representation Referendum COPE 491 Ref efer eren - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Proportional Representation Referendum COPE 491 Ref efer eren endu dum m to c o choos oose e betw twee een tw n two ma o majo jor ty types of es of el elec ectoral oral sy syst stem ems use s used t d to el o elec ect


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SLIDE 1

Proportional Representation Referendum

COPE 491
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SLIDE 2

Ref efer eren endu dum m to c

  • choos
  • ose

e betw twee een tw n two ma

  • majo

jor ty types of es of el elec ectoral

  • ral sy

syst stem ems use s used t d to el

  • elec

ect t me memb mber ers t s to l

  • leg

egis islati ative e bod

  • die

ies: s:

  • Fi

First Past st Past th the P e Pos

  • st
  • Pr

Prop

  • por
  • rti

tiona

  • nal

l Sys ystem em

COPE 491
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SLIDE 3

Winner nner-Tak akes es-All All Mo Model dels

Pl Plur urality ality Sy Syst stems ems Majorita ajoritaria rian n Sy Syst stems ems Fi First st Past Past the e Post st Pr Pref eferen erentia tial l Votin

  • ting

Si Sing ngle le Mem ember ber Pl Plur uralities alities Ran anked ed Bal allo lot

COPE 491
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SLIDE 4

Fi First Past st Past The e Pos

  • st (

t (FP FPTP TP)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% NDP: Kennedy Stewart Liberal: Adam Pankratz Conservative: Grace Seear Green: Wyatt Tessari Libertarian: Liz Jauague

Burnab naby y South th – 2015 5 Fede deral ral Elec ection tion

ELECTED – 35.1% 33.9% 27.1%

COPE 491
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SLIDE 5

First Past The Post (FPTP)

BC Election 1996 - Votes

NDP (39.4%) Liberal (41.8%) Other (18.8%)

BC Election 1996 - Seats

NDP (52.0%) Liberal (44.0%) Other (4.0%)

BC Election 2001 - Votes

NDP (21.6%) Liberal (57.6%) Other (20.8%)

BC Election 2001 - Seats

NDP (2.5%) Liberal (97.5%) Other (0.0%)

US Presidential Race 2016 - Popular Vote

Clinton (51.1%) Trump (48.9%)

US Presidential Race 2016 - Outcome

Clinton Trump

COPE 491
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SLIDE 6

Pr Prop

  • por
  • rtional

tional Repr epresentation esentation

Pr Pro

  • Rep

ep is is a a pr prin incip iple le, , wh whic ich ref efer ers s to w

  • when

en th the p e per erce centag ntage e of

  • f votes re

es rece ceiv ived ed by a p y a par arty ty is is r ref eflect ected ed in in t the per e perce centa ntage ge of

  • f sea

seats tha ts that t par arty ty gets in ts in th the l e leg egis isla lature. ture.

40% of votes = 40% of seats

COPE 491
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SLIDE 7

40% of votes = 61% of seats 40% of votes = 40% 40% of seats

ON ONTARIO ARIO 20 2018

COPE 491
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SLIDE 8

Pr Prop

  • por
  • rti

tiona

  • nal

l Rep eprese esenta ntati tion

  • n
COPE 491
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SLIDE 9

Pr Prop

  • por
  • rti

tiona

  • nal

l Rep eprese esenta ntati tion

  • n

57.7% of BC voters supported PR (STV) in a 2005 referendum – but the “pass” mark for that ballot had been set as 60.0%

COPE 491
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SLIDE 10

Wh Wher ere ar e are FPT e FPTP P an and P d PR use R used? d?

■ Fir First t Pas ast Th t The e Pos

  • st

t (3 in OE OECD) ■ Propor

  • porti

tion

  • nal

al R Repres epresentat entation ion (31 in OEC ECD, , inc.)

COPE 491
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SLIDE 11

Ref eferendum erendum Ba Ball llot

COPE 491
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SLIDE 12 COPE 491
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SLIDE 13

Impor porta tant nt re reminder: inder:

■ You

  • u ca

can n ch choo

  • ose

se to onl

  • only ans

y answer er th the f e fir irst st ques uesti tion

  • n.

. ■ It It wi will no not b t be c e con

  • nsi

side dered ed a s a spoi

  • iled

ed bal allo lot t if if you

  • u on
  • nly

y an answ swer er th the f e fir irst q st que uesti stion

  • n.
COPE 491
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SLIDE 14 COPE 491
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SLIDE 15

Du Dual Mem al Member ber Pr Propo

  • portion

tional al (D (DMP MP)

  • Very proportional
  • Combines two existing ridings and these

combined ridings have 2 MLAs

  • Large rural riding stay as single member

First Past the Post ridings

  • Is conducive to electing Independents
COPE 491
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SLIDE 16

Mi Mixed Mem ed Member ber Pr Propo

  • porti

tional

  • nal

(M (MMP MP)

  • Tried, tested & true (used all over the world)
  • Has slightly larger single-member ridings
  • Has multi-member regional ridings
  • Two kinds of MLAs (local + regional)
COPE 491
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SLIDE 17

Rur ural U al Urba rban P n Prop

  • por
  • rti

tional

  • nal

(R (RUP UP)

  • Combines two systems:
  • Mix

ixed ed Mem embe ber Propo Proporti tion

  • nal

al (in rural areas)

  • Si

Sing ngle le Transf ansfer erable able Vote (in urban areas)

  • Maintains high level of local representation

in rural areas. Gives high level of voter choice and proportionality in urban area.

COPE 491
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SLIDE 18

Wh Whic ich h Works

  • rks for Me?
  • r Me?

Dua ual Mem ember er Pr Propor porti tiona

  • nal (D

(DMP) P)

  • Simpl

implest est ballot t – one v e vote e but stil ill pr propo porti tiona

  • nal.

l. Mix ixed ed Mem ember er Propor porti tiona

  • nal

l (MMP)

  • Most tes

ested ed system em – it’s used in much of the rest of the world for r many yea ears wit ith gr grea eat succ ccess. ess.

  • Rec

ecom

  • mme

mende ded by CUPE BC Exec ecutiv utive e Board d and d CUPE Natio ional l Exec ecutiv utive e Board Rura ral l Ur Urban Propor porti tiona

  • nal (RUP)
  • Most pe

personaliz ized ed ballot t – you get get to vote e exactly tly how you want to vote, e, but lots s of candi dida dates es to choose

  • ose from
  • m – so nee

eed d to do do y your ur res esea earch. ch.

COPE 491
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SLIDE 19

Al All thr l three P ee Pro R

  • Rep S

ep Sys ystem ems s are bett are better th er than th an the e Fi First Past the P st Past the Post

  • st sy

syst stem em tha that w t we ha e have no e now.

COPE 491
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SLIDE 20

Al All th three ee op

  • pti

tion

  • ns…

1.

  • 1. Pr

Produce duce propor portional tional res esults ults (% (% votes es = % % sea eats) ts) 2.

  • 2. Pr

Preser serve an and enh nhance ance lo loca cal l repr pres esentation, entation, wi with th 2+ + lo loca cal/r l/regional egional ML MLAs As to rep eprese resent nt you

  • u

3.

  • 3. No

No bi big incr crease ease th the size e of th the Legislature islature 4.

  • 4. Thresho

reshold ld of 5% % of votes es to keep ep out t ext xtremists emists

COPE 491
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SLIDE 21

Electoral Systems

Op Oppor

  • rtunity

tunity to

  • Ch

Change nge Ba Back ck

  • After

r two

  • el

elections, ections, ano nother ther re refere erendum ndum will ll be be he held ld to deci ecide de whe hether ther to go ba back ck or r keep eep the he new w method. hod.

COPE 491
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SLIDE 22

Countries untries with th pr propor portion tional al sy syst stems ems on avera erage ge are re ahead head of f those hose with th winner nner-tak take-all all sy syst stems ems

  • n numer

merous

  • us mea

easure sures: s:

  • Lo

Lower r income come ineq equalit uality

  • Bett

tter er en envir vironmenta

  • nmental

l pe performance

  • rmance
  • Higher

igher voter r turnout rnout

  • Higher

igher sa satisf tisfacti action

  • n with

th demo emocracy cracy

  • More

re women men el elect ected ed

Electoral Systems

COPE 491
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SLIDE 23

Electoral Systems

2018 8 BC R C Ref eferendum erendum

Elections BC to mail referendum packages to all registered voters – Oc Oct t 22 to Nov 2 Can call Elections BC if you did not receive a referendum package by mail – Nov 3-23 23 Voting is by mail-in ballot Ballots must be received by Elections BC no later than – November 30

COPE 491