Programme for Infrastructure Development in Africa Progress & - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

PIDA Study

led consortium

PIDA Study

led consortium

Programme for Infrastructure Development in Africa

Progress & Way Forward ICA Meeting – Tunis, 22 December 2010 Ajijo Micah - PIDA Project Team

PIDA Study

led consortium

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PIDA STUDY STRUCTURE

PIDA is structured in three phases of work in addition to Inception Phase:

Phase I : Diagnostic, analytical work

and projections

Phase III: Synthesis & Recommendations Phase II : Formulation of Strategic framework ,

infrastructure development programmes and implementation arrangements

PIDA GOVERNANCE

PIDA Study

led consortium

PRESENTATION OF THE IR

INCEPTION

PHASE

KICK OFF

WORKSHOP

METHODO. BRIEF

Inception Report

VALIDATION

WORKSHOP

5th July 2010

Johannesbur g 30th July 2010 Fisrt Quarter 2011 INCEPTION PHASE PHASE I

PHASE I REPORT

DELIVERY

PHASE I REPORT PHASE II

Second Quarter 2011 PHASE II

SECTOR & REGIONAL

WORKSHOPS

WHERE STUDY IS

PIDA Study

led consortium

PIDA STUDY STRUCTURE Phase I – Diagnostic & Analysis

PHASE I REPORT METHODOLOGICAL BRIEF REVIEW OF CONTINENTAL AND REGIONAL POLICIES REVIEW OF EXISTING PROJECTS OUTLOOK FOR THE FUTURE OUTLINE OF DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME

Presented during the validation Workshop

Jo’burg, 30 Sept 2010

Underway To be completed First Quarter 2011

PIDA Study

led consortium

INCEPTION PHASE (29-30 JULY 2010)

Vision:

Interconnected/ integrated Infrastructure network & services critical for sustainable social and economic development of Africa as an economic bloc & for effective participation in global economy

Core Principles:

* Open Regionalism * Sub-sidiarity * Leveraging sovereignty for mutual benefits * Focus on strategic projects with high potential for regional cooperation & devt. impacts

Thematic notes: by panel

• f experts

Inception Report by the Consultant

:

. STUDY STRUCTURE

PIDA Study

led consortium

OUTLOOK FOR FUTURE DEMAND

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DEMAND

Demand for infrastructure services (over 2010-2040) is derived from GDP growth and the development of growth poles (agriculture , mining & services).

GROWTH

The growth rate for the continent is assumed to average 6% per annum in real terms.

MODELING TOOL

The Augmented Solow model is used to distribute the increased wealth according to growth drivers .

PIDA Study

led consortium

GDP POPULATION LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY CAPITAL ACCUMULATION QUALITY OF LABOUR TECHNICAL PROGRESS

SIMULATION TOOL

PIDA Study

led consortium

OUTLOOK FOR FUTURE DEMAND FOR REGIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE

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• Link trade, GDP and population growth in a direct

demand model per Transport Corridor

TRANSPORT

• Elasticity to GDP policies for Increased Access Rate

ENERGY

• Based on Traffic projections taking into account

the population growth rate and increased access and connectivity

ICT

• Needs in terms of irrigation and domestic water

uses will be assessed on the basis of Population growth rate and Economic growth rates

TWR

Demand in each sector is derived as follows:

PIDA Study

led consortium

ESTIMATING SUPPLY RESPONSE TO REGIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEMAND

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Scope of existing regional and continental policies in each sector Policy Coherence Analysis/Policy gaps/Constraints

Infrastructure Service level supply projections based on population growth rate, increased access and connectivity

Evaluating Supply response in each sector is derived as follows:

PIDA Study

led consortium

OUTLOOK FOR FUTURE DEMAND AND SUPPLY OF REGIONAL AND CONTINENTAL INFRATRUCTURE

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PIDA Study

led consortium THE WAY FORWARD

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PIDA Study

led consortium

LED CONSORTIUM Programming: Analysis Factors

A) Contribution to sustainable Development through Physical Integration:

• Increased trade in goods & services
• Attraction of Private Sectors in the REC as hub
• Increase in competitiveness of the REC
• 1. Economic

Dimension

• Creation of employment and income
• Improve the population standard of living
• 2. Social

Dimension

• Natural Resources conservation
• Environmental Quality

3. Environmental Dimension

PIDA Study

led consortium

LED CONSORTIUM

Programming: Analysis Factors

B) Feasibility Factors:

• Institutional & Regulatory Framework
• Consistency of current and future demands
• Environmental risk mitigation possibilities
• Operation & Execution conditions
• 1. Feasibility

Elements

• Capacity to attract private and /or public investment &

PPP

• 2. Financing
• Degree & symmetry of partners state convergence on

project & sustenance of priority over time

• 3. Political

Convergence

PIDA Study

led consortium

14

Cooperation and collaboration in the implementation of the PIDA projects portfolio; Projects preparation support for prefeasibility and detailed techno –economic studies including identification of environmental and social implications; Active involvement and support for policy dialogue; Support in establishment of collaborative mechanism/agreement; Sharing experiences from other regions in identifying possible challenges and opportunities Financial support

COOPERATION WITH STRATEGIC PARTNERS

PIDA Study

led consortium

LED CONSORTIUM

MERCI OBRIGADO THANK YOU اركش