Prioritization 6.0 Workgroup Meeting #5 February 4, 2019 Desired - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Prioritization 6.0 Workgroup Meeting #5 February 4, 2019 Desired - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Wireless Access: RTPguest (May have to open web browser) Prioritization 6.0 Workgroup Meeting #5 February 4, 2019 Desired Meeting Outcomes Provide direction to various subcommittees Receive update and provide feedback on NCTA


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SLIDE 1

Prioritization 6.0 Workgroup Meeting #5

February 4, 2019

Wireless Access: “RTPguest”

(May have to open web browser)

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SLIDE 2

Desired Meeting Outcomes

2

  • Provide direction to various subcommittees
  • Receive update and provide feedback on NCTA Handbook
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SLIDE 3

Agenda

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  • Subcommittee Updates
  • Highway, Bike/Ped, Transit, Aviation
  • Draft STIP, P6.0 Normalization, P6.0 Database (incl. Submittals)
  • NC Turnpike Authority Handbook
  • Highway – Mobility vs. Modernization
  • Bicycle/Pedestrian Improvements
  • Aviation Improvements
  • Rail Improvements
  • Topic Schedule / Wrap Up / Next Steps
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SLIDE 4

Logistics

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  • Restrooms
  • Wifi
  • Parking Lot
  • Lunch $
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SLIDE 5

Highway Subcommittee Update

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SLIDE 6

Highway Subcommittee Update

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Met on Monday, January 28th:

  • Mobility vs. Modernization Default Weights
  • Freight Criteria – NC Priority Freight Network
  • Add granularity to Future Interstate Completion Factor
  • How to measure % of corridor improved?

Next steps:

  • Next meeting scheduled for [being scheduled]
  • Develop proposal for measuring Freight Network Improvement Factor
  • Mobility vs. Modernization – Provide more project stats, finalize

scaling

  • Reliability measure - HERE Data updates
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SLIDE 7

Bike/Ped Subcommittee Update

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SLIDE 8

Bike/Ped Subcommittee Update

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Met on Tuesday, January 29th:

  • Specific Improvement Type changes
  • Bundling projects
  • Transportation Disadvantage

Next steps:

  • Next meeting scheduled for Wednesday, February 27th
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SLIDE 9

Transit Subcommittee Update

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SLIDE 10

Transit Subcommittee Update

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Met on Tuesday, January 29th:

  • Transportation Disadvantage
  • Bundling projects
  • Demand Response eligibility

Next steps:

  • Next meeting scheduled for Wednesday, February 27th
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SLIDE 11

Aviation Subcommittee Update

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SLIDE 12

Aviation Subcommittee Update

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Met on Friday, January 18th and Friday, February 1st:

  • Prescreening projects
  • Project eligibility (capital project definition)
  • Non-State Contribution Index criteria
  • Potential new 4th critieria

Next steps:

  • Next meeting on Friday, February 22nd
  • Discuss potential new 4th criteria
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SLIDE 13

Draft STIP P6.0 Normalization P6.0 Database (incl. Submittals)

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SLIDE 14

Draft 2020-2029 STIP

David Wasserman NCDOT Division of Planning and Programming February 4, 2019

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SLIDE 15

Draft 2020-2029 STIP

Project Totals

1833 Projects ($27.8B)

  • 1417 Highway ($26.3B)
  • 1020 STI (Mobility/Modernization) ($23.6B)
  • 181 Bridges ($660M)*
  • 104 Interstate Maintenance ($851M)*
  • 37 Safety ($120M)*
  • 75 Direct Attributable, CMAQ, Bonus Allocation*
  • 416 Non-Highway ($1.5B)
  • 354 STI ($1.4B)
  • 62 Direct Attributable, CMAQ ($111M)* - All Bike & Ped projects

*Does not include unprogrammed funds set aside for these projects (holdouts) 15

Draft 2020-2029 STIP

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SLIDE 16

Highway – 1020 (74%) Aviation ‐ 86 (6%) Bike & Ped – 184 (13.5%) Ferry – 6 (0.5%) Public Transit – 26 (2%) Rail – 52 (4%)

By Number of Projects

(1374 Total)

[Programmed] Projects Evaluated through STI (P3.0, P4.0, P5.0)

16

Draft 2020-2029 STIP

Highway – $23,560 (94%) Aviation ‐ $181 (0.8%) Bike & Ped – $205 (1%) Ferry – $38 (0.2%) Public Transit – $232 (1%) Rail – $723 (3%)

By Programmed Amount ($M)

($24,939 Total) Hwy – 74%, Non‐Hwy – 26% Hwy – 74%, Non‐Hwy – 26% Hwy – 94%, Non‐Hwy – 6% Hwy – 94%, Non‐Hwy – 6%

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SLIDE 17

Highway – 332 (69%) Aviation – 41 (8%) Bike & Ped – 70 (14%) Ferry –4 (1%) Public Transit – 14 (3%) Rail – 22 (5%)

By Number of Projects

(483 Total)

[Programmed] Projects Evaluated in P5.0

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Draft 2020-2029 STIP

Highway – $6,566 (90%) Aviation ‐ $70 (1%) Bike & Ped – $68 (1%) Ferry – $30 (0.4%) Public Transit – $205 (2.8%) Rail – $348 (4.8%)

By Programmed Amount ($M)

($7,287 Total) Hwy – 69%, Non‐Hwy – 31% Hwy – 69%, Non‐Hwy – 31% Hwy – 90%, Non‐Hwy – 10% Hwy – 90%, Non‐Hwy – 10%

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SLIDE 18

P5.0 Project Totals

2127 Total Projects Evaluated ($61.4B)

  • 1204 Highway ($54B)
  • 923 Non-Highway ($7.4B)

483 Total Projects Programmed ($7.3B)

  • 332 Highway ($6.6B)
  • 151 Non-Highway ($721M)

18

Draft 2020-2029 STIP

Mode # of Projects $ Highway 28% 12% Non‐Highway 16% 10% All Projects 26% 12%

Success Rates

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SLIDE 19

P5.0 Projects

483 P5.0 Projects Programmed

  • 140 Carryovers
  • 264 Brand New
  • 79 Holding Tank

127 Projects funded in 2018-2027 STIP did not score high enough for funding in the Draft 2020-2029 STIP

  • 57 Highway
  • 70 Non-Highway

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Draft 2020-2029 STIP

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SLIDE 20

FUNDING DISTRIBUTION BY REGION IN THE 2020‐2029 DRAFT STIP

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% A B C D E F G [1 & 4] [2 & 3] [5 & 6] [7 & 9] [8 & 10] [11 & 12] [13 & 14]

Percentage of funding

Region [Divisions]

Average 8

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SLIDE 21

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 A B C D E F G [1 & 4] [2 & 3] [5 & 6] [7 & 9] [8 & 10] [11 & 12] [13 & 14]

dollars per person

Region [Divisions]

PER CAPITA FUNDING BY REGION IN THE 2020‐2029 DRAFT STIP

Average 9

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SLIDE 22

FUNDING DISTRIBUTION BY DIVISION IN THE 2020‐2029 DRAFT STIP

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

percentage of funding

Division

Average 10

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SLIDE 23

PER CAPITA FUNDING BY DIVISION IN THE 2020‐2029 DRAFT STIP

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

dollars per person

Division

Average 11

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SLIDE 24

Draft 2020-2029 STIP

Schedule Adjustments

  • ~260 projects affected due to funding availability primarily due to

cost increases

  • Most affected by 1 or 2 years

Cost Increases

  • Projects being developed much quicker – cost estimates come in

more often

  • Many due to lack of information when projects submitted in P3.0 and

P4.0 (cost estimation tool vs. human review)

  • Scope changes

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Draft 2020-2029 STIP

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SLIDE 25

Improving Cost Estimation

Conducting Express Designs Corridor Development Engineers Improved project scopes when submitting projects Policy for Reprioritization of Committed Projects

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Draft 2020-2029 STIP

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SLIDE 26

Normalization

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SLIDE 27

Normalization

Normalization

27

Intent of STI legislation is to fund best transportation projects, regardless of mode Challenges:

  • Different criteria and weights used in each mode
  • No “best practice” from national review – Peer Exchange in Dec.

2014 confirms this

vs vs vs vs vs

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SLIDE 28

Normalization

Normalization

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  • Solution = allocation of funds between Highway and

Non-Highway projects Statewide Mobility:

Competition based on quantitative scores, regardless of mode

vs vs

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SLIDE 29

Normalization in P5.0

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Mode

Highway Non-Highway Flex

Normalization

Regional Impact Division Needs

90% (Region competition) 2% (Statewide competition) 90% (Division competition) 4% (Split) 4% (Statewide competition) 2% (Division competition) 6% (Division competition) 6% (Region competition)

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SLIDE 30

Applying Normalization – Statewide Mobility

  • 1. Statewide Competition
  • Determine how much is already spoken for  amount remaining is

available for Prioritization

  • Sort eligible Highway, Rail, and Aviation projects by score in

descending order

  • Select projects until funding is allocated

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Normalization

Statewide Mobility Statewide Mobility

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SLIDE 31

Applying Normalization – Regional Impact

  • 1. Non-Hwy Only (Statewide Competition)
  • Determine 4% of total Regional Impact Budget (10 yr, adjusted)
  • Determine how much in 4% Non-Hwy is already spoken for 

amount remaining is available for Prioritization

  • Sort eligible Non-Hwy projects by score in descending order
  • Select projects until funding is allocated

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Normalization

Non‐Highway Only

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SLIDE 32

Applying Normalization – Regional Impact

  • 2. Highway Only (Regional Competition)
  • Within each region, subtract amount of 4% Non-Hwy programmed

(over 10 yrs)

  • Set aside 6% of each Region’s allocation (10 yr, adjusted)
  • Determine how much of remaining is already spoken for  amount

remaining is available for Prioritization

  • Within each Region, sort eligible Hwy projects by score in

descending order

  • Select projects until funding is allocated

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Normalization

Highway Only

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SLIDE 33

Applying Normalization – Regional Impact

  • 3. All-Modes (Flex) (Regional Competition)
  • Determine 6% set aside (10 yr, adjusted from step 2)
  • Within each Region, sort eligible Hwy & Non-Hwy projects by score

in descending order

  • Select projects until funding is allocated

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Normalization

All‐Modes (Flex)

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SLIDE 34

Applying Normalization – Division Needs

  • 1. Non-Hwy Only (Statewide Competition)
  • Determine 2% of total Division Needs Budget (10 yr, adjusted)
  • Determine how much is already spoken for  amount remaining is

available for Prioritization

  • Sort Non-Hwy projects by score in descending order
  • Select projects until funding is allocated

34

Normalization

Non‐Highway

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SLIDE 35

Applying Normalization – Division Needs

  • 2. Non-Hwy (Division Competition)
  • Determine 2% of total Division Needs Budget (10 yr, adjusted), then

divide by 14

  • Determine how much is already spoken for  amount remaining is

available for Prioritization

  • Within each Division, sort Non-Hwy projects by score in descending
  • rder
  • Select projects until funding is allocated

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Normalization

Non‐Highway

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SLIDE 36

Applying Normalization – Division Needs

  • 3. Highway Only (Division Competition)
  • Within each Division, subtract amount of 4% programmed (over 10

yrs) (2% Statewide + 2% Division)

  • Set aside 6% of each Division’s allocation (10 yr, adjusted)
  • Determine how much of remaining is already spoken for  amount

remaining is available for Prioritization

  • Within each Division, sort Hwy projects by score in descending order
  • Select projects until funding is allocated

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Normalization

Highway

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SLIDE 37

Applying Normalization – Division Needs

  • 4. All-Modes (Flex) (Division Competition)
  • Determine 6% set aside (10 yr, adjusted from step 3)
  • Within each Division, sort Hwy & Non-Hwy projects by score in

descending order

  • Select projects until funding is allocated

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Normalization

All‐Modes (Flex)

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SLIDE 38

STIP Unit Recommendation

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Mode

Highway Non-Highway Flex

Normalization

Regional Impact Division Needs

90% (Region competition) 90% (Division competition) 4% (Division competition) 4% (Statewide competition) 6% (Division competition) 6% (Region competition)

90% / 4% / 6% continue to be applied across entire 10 year program

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SLIDE 39

P6.0 Database

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SLIDE 40

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P6.0 Database Years 7‐10 P6.0 Submittals

(total # capped)

P5.0 Projects not in STIP Holding Tank Projects

Siblings of STIP, Planning underway

New Project Entries

(Committed Projects)

2020‐2029 STIP (P5.0)

Years 1‐6 Years 7‐10

Siblings of STIP, Planning underway Submittal Submittal Carryover Carryover

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SLIDE 41

Carryover Projects

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Projects that automatically carry over from P5.0 for evaluation in P6.0

  • In STIP, not committed
  • Sibling of programmed
  • Active or completed NEPA

Modifications

  • Segmenting counts, scope changes don’t
  • 1 out / 1 in

All other projects “removed” and available for resubmittal [Holding Tank] ~250 Carryovers for P6.0 (siblings and planning incomplete)

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SLIDE 42

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Planning Organization # Carryovers Albemarle RPO 4 Burlington‐Graham MPO 5 Cabarrus‐Rowan MPO 2 Cape Fear RPO 7 Capital Area MPO 17 Charlotte Regional Transportation Planning Organization 20 Down East RPO 10 Durham‐Chapel Hill‐Carrboro MPO 16 Eastern Carolina RPO 6 Fayetteville Area MPO 12 French Broad River MPO 6 Gaston‐Cleveland‐Lincoln MPO 10 Goldsboro Urban Area MPO 7 Grand Strand Area Transportation Study 1 Greater Hickory MPO 5 Greensboro Urban Area MPO 14 Greenville Urban Area MPO 7 High Country RPO 6 Planning Organization # Carryovers High Point Urban Area MPO 7 Isothermal RPO 7 Jacksonville Urban Area MPO 7 Kerr‐Tar RPO 1 Land‐of‐Sky RPO 2 Lumber River RPO 13 Mid‐Carolina RPO 5 Mid‐East RPO 2 New Bern Area MPO 3 Northwest Piedmont RPO 4 Peanut Belt RPO 2 Piedmont Triad RPO 5 Rocky Mount Urban Area MPO 5 Rocky River RPO 3 Southwestern RPO 3 Triangle Area RPO 5 Upper Coastal Plain RPO 7 Wilmington Urban Area MPO 10 Winston‐Salem Urban Area MPO 3

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SLIDE 43

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Division # Carryovers 01 6 02 23 03 28 04 28 05 19 06 24 07 33 08 16 09 5 10 22 11 10 12 16 13 14 14 6

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SLIDE 44

P6.0 Project Submittals

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P5.0 Definition: MPOs and RPOs:

  • Base of 12, plus:
  • 1 for every 50,000 in pop.
  • 1 for every 500 CL miles

Divisions:

  • 14

Applies to each mode Questions / concerns for P6.0?

*The following slides do not yet have updated CL miles*

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SLIDE 45

P6.0 Project Submittals (P5 formula)

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MPO/RPO Name 2017 Census Pop. Population rounded to nearest 50,000 Additional Projects Based on Population Centerline Miles Centerline Miles rounded to nearest 500 Additional Projects based on Centerline Miles P6.0 Total Submittals Albemarle RPO 171,857 150,000 3 2,906 3,000 6 21 Burlington‐Graham MPO 163,689 150,000 3 1,023 1,000 2 17 Cabarrus‐Rowan MPO 335,662 350,000 7 1,978 2,000 4 23 Cape Fear RPO 145,122 150,000 3 2,234 2,000 4 19 Capital Area MPO 1,213,855 1,200,000 24 3,956 4,000 8 44 Charlotte Regional Transportation Planning Organization 1,404,395 1,400,000 28 3,635 3,500 7 47 Down East RPO 192,686 200,000 4 1,866 2,000 4 20 Durham‐Chapel Hill‐ Carrboro MPO 437,771 450,000 9 1,308 1,500 3 24 Eastern Carolina RPO 172,294 150,000 3 2,962 3,000 6 21 Fayetteville Area MPO 388,337 400,000 8 1,286 1,500 3 23 French Broad River MPO 403,871 400,000 8 2,561 2,500 5 25 Gaston‐Cleveland‐Lincoln MPO 391,592 400,000 8 2,962 3,000 6 26

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SLIDE 46

P6.0 Project Submittals (P5 formula)

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MPO/RPO Name 2017 Census Pop. Population rounded to nearest 50,000 Additional Projects Based on Population Centerline Miles Centerline Miles rounded to nearest 500 Additional Projects based on Centerline Miles P6.0 Total Submittals Goldsboro Urban Area MPO 90,544 100,000 2 564 500 1 15 Grand Strand Area Transportation Study 41,151 50,000 1 267 500 1 14 Greater Hickory MPO 364,040 350,000 7 3,157 3,000 6 25 Greensboro Urban Area MPO 393,925 400,000 8 1,533 1,500 3 23 Greenville Urban Area MPO 128,970 150,000 3 442 500 1 16 High Country RPO 210,013 200,000 4 4,161 4,000 8 24 High Point Urban Area MPO 292,141 300,000 6 1,830 2,000 4 22 Isothermal RPO 132,025 150,000 3 2,079 2,000 4 19 Jacksonville Urban Area MPO 143,418 150,000 3 536 500 1 16 Kerr‐Tar RPO 163,739 150,000 3 2,830 3,000 6 21 Land‐of‐Sky RPO 75,020 100,000 2 1,198 1,000 2 16 Lumber River RPO 227,564 250,000 5 3,355 3,500 7 24

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SLIDE 47

P6.0 Project Submittals (P5 formula)

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MPO/RPO Name 2017 Census Pop. Population rounded to nearest 50,000 Additional Projects Based on Population Centerline Miles Centerline Miles rounded to nearest 500 Additional Projects based on Centerline Miles P6.0 Total Submittals Mid‐Carolina RPO 190,586 200,000 4 3,455 3,500 7 23 Mid‐East RPO 118,070 100,000 2 2,146 2,000 4 18 New Bern Area MPO 51,180 50,000 1 262 500 1 14 Northwest Piedmont RPO 169,952 150,000 3 2,989 3,000 6 21 Peanut Belt RPO 116,901 100,000 2 2,625 2,500 5 19 Piedmont Triad RPO 250,707 250,000 5 3,942 4,000 8 25 Rocky Mount Urban Area MPO 75,718 100,000 2 482 500 1 15 Rocky River RPO 108,075 100,000 2 2,114 2,000 4 18 Southwestern RPO 136,912 150,000 3 2,616 2,500 5 20 Triangle Area RPO 225,288 250,000 5 2,912 3,000 6 23 Upper Coastal Plain RPO 233,038 250,000 5 3,077 3,000 6 23 Wilmington Urban Area MPO 269,996 250,000 5 788 1,000 2 19 Winston‐Salem Urban Area MPO 421,783 400,000 8 1,454 1,500 3 23

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SLIDE 48

P6.0 Project Submittals (P5 formula)

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Division 2017 Census Pop. Centerline Miles P6.0 Total Submittals 01 259,691 5,183 14 02 497,434 5,046 14 03 715,383 5,580 14 04 592,632 6,358 14 05 1,550,893 6,564 14 06 686,398 6,216 14 07 931,245 5,448 14 08 526,103 6,885 14 09 759,311 5,076 14 10 1,538,877 5,022 14 11 369,183 5,973 14 12 755,237 6,132 14 13 506,803 5,096 14 14 362,696 4,909 14

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SLIDE 49

NC Turnpike Authority Handbook

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SLIDE 50

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

P6.0 Work Group - RTP

February 4, 2019 presented by Alpesh Patel, Don Voelker

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SLIDE 51

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Today’s Objectives

Review purpose of NC Toll Policy, Handbook, and accomplishments to date Review suggestions to facilitate enhanced toll project scoring in P6.0 Solicit input to shape Handbook topics and next steps

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SLIDE 52

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

State of Tolling in NC

53

NCDOT authorized to construct, operate and maintain up to eleven projects

  • no limit on how many can be studied

Current STIP lists eight tolled projects, such as I-485 Express Lanes (I-5507) and Mid-Currituck Bridge (R-2576)

  • Turnpike projects subject to Strategic Prioritization
  • Turnpike projects require approval from local planning organizations
  • Encourage local funding participation; Limited to only new capacity

No single practice or methodology for early partner coordination

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SLIDE 53

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

NC Toll Policy

Adopted February 2018

Objectives:

  • Improve NCDOT’s

ability to manage a reliable transportation network, address congestion, leverage limited financial resources, and provide more user choice

  • Expand the

Department’s consideration of toll financing as an integral and important strategy to deliver critical, time- sensitive transportation solutions.

54

Operationalize:

  • Define feasibility of

tolling and priced managed lanes in cooperation with MPOs/RPOs and guidelines in a Toll Project Feasibility Handbook

  • Standardize state/local

practice

  • Consider

benchmarks, criteria, and tests to evaluate and advance tolling

Applied - project must be:

  • Nominated by MPO
  • r RPO through

inclusion in their adopted CTP, MTP,

  • r other adopted

local plan;

  • Scored in Strategic

Prioritization

  • Meet STIP related

requirements

  • Adhere to state law
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SLIDE 54

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Why develop a Handbook?

  • Create a defined process (Pre-Submittal Assessment) to support

local decision making when considering tolling

  • Identify performance criteria and financial feasibility metrics

which provide an early indication of project viability

55

  • Engage partners, develop

protocols/procedures to guide increased coordination between NCDOT and project sponsors

  • Increase accountability through

more openness and transparency, particularly as NCDOT faces funding challenges posed by diminishing reliability of traditional funding sources for HTF

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SLIDE 55

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Handbook Development

  • Internal NCDOT team (PMT)
  • Advisory Work Group

– MPO/RPO, League of Municipalities, County Commissioner, Metro Mayor & FHWA representatives

  • Multi-disciplinary consultant support
  • Preparation of 6 Technical Memos

(chapters of the Handbook)

  • Complete by June 2019

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SLIDE 56

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

NC HANDBOOK

(May 2019 ‐ “living document”)

PEER REVIEW

May – June 2018

Lessons learned from national best practice State/local coordination considerations Policy considerations

PROTOTYPE TESTING

July – Aug 2018

Synthesis of tolling

  • pportunity

“beta” test mix of project types Potential standards, measures

FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY TESTING (near completion)

Sept – Feb 2019 Assessment tools Evaluation practices Steps and inputs for financial steps

PSA (near completion)

Sept – Feb 2019

Refine standards, measures for uniform evaluation & describe sketch level tool ID data, tools, approaches to address state/local interests

PRIORITIZATION AND PROGRAMMING

Feb ‐ April 2019

*Brief P6.0 Work Group*

IMPLEMENTATION

June 2019 & beyond Cross functional support and execution b/w SPOT, STIP, Technical Services

1 2 3 4 5 6

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SLIDE 57

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Partnership & Ownership

Handbook development:

  • Partnership between NCDOT and its primary planning partners
  • Supports locally-driven decisions
  • Future projects evaluated through a “Pre-submittal

Assessment” (PSA) process and evaluative tool

– Not a “pass/fail” test, not a quantitative score – Benchmarks project potential against a set of standards – Arms local planning staff/Policy Board with additional information – Creates best practice approach specific to NC – Incorporates lessons learned from other states – Conducted prior to project submittal to SPOT

58

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SLIDE 58

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Input Received, Key Takeaways

  • Keep it simple; benefits of new process should translate

with local boards

  • Models are imperfect…statewide model designed for

highest level assessment; interaction with local/regional models may improve toll sensitivity/analysis

  • Develop tools to facilitate analysis and convey results

– Sketch level, excel based – Leverage existing local data (project costs, transit utilization)

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SLIDE 59

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Input Received, Key Takeaways

  • Different standards, criteria for type of project

– New location, managed lanes, bridges

  • Keep in step with local policies / plan updates

– CRTPO – New freeway capacity is assumed to be tolled – CAMPO – Triangle Tolling Study completed June 2019 – Lack of current tolling consideration in RPO plans, policies, MOUs

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SLIDE 60

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Input Received, Key Takeaways

  • Clarify where and how PSA fits into existing process

– Optimal time to conduct analysis; how long will it take? – Resources or additional data needed – Coordination with other ongoing initiatives (SPOT, STIP, Project Planning/NEPA)

  • Criteria / Standards which provide best starting point:

– Freight and economic impact, travel time reliability, accessibility, and other user benefits – Financial feasibility for revenue to contribute to upfront funding – Avoid binary criteria that forces yes/no response or from comparing facilities as a measure

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SLIDE 61

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Task 3 Financial Feasibility

62

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SLIDE 62

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Financial Feasibility Tool Screenshot

63

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SLIDE 63

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Input Data - Express Lanes

64

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SLIDE 64

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Capital and O&M Costs

  • Toll System Capital Costs
  • Tolling Renewal and Replacement Costs
  • Toll System O&M Costs
  • Project Development and Capital Costs
  • Roadway and Bridge O&M Costs

65

Facility State Cost/Lane‐mile Sugarloaf Parkway Extension GA $519,000 Monroe Expressway NC $335,000 Triangle Expressway NC $476,000 Average $443,000

Planning‐level Toll System Capital Costs per Lane‐Mile – Greenfield Toll Roads (2018 dollars)

Facility State Cost/Lane‐mile SR‐400 GA $428,000 I‐285 GA $832,000 I‐77 NC $496,000 Average $585,000

Planning‐level Toll System Capital Costs per Lane‐Mile – Express Lanes (2018 dollars)

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SLIDE 65

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Financial Feasibility Module

  • Dynamic Financial

Assessment

– Likely covers O&M and portion of Capital (i.e., presents positive financial flexibility) – Likely covers O&M only (i.e., potential financial flexibility) – Likely won't cover O&M (i.e., additional funding sources would likely be needed)

66 66

Likely Covers O&M and Some Capital Likely Covers O&M Only Likely Won’t Cover O&M Flow of Funds

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SLIDE 66

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Task 4 Pre-Submittal Assessment

67

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SLIDE 67

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Tech Memo #4 - Pre-Submittal Assessment (PSA)

Goals and Objectives

– Performance based criteria tied to Strategic Prioritization – Practice within planning process, specifically CTP, MTP development – Considerations for P6.0 Workgroup to better enable toll project scoring – PSA schedule, online application

68

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SLIDE 68

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Tech Memo #4 - Pre-Submittal Assessment (PSA)

Performance Based Criteria tied to Strategic Prioritization – Ex. Congestion Relief

69

Volume‐to‐Capacity Ratio

  • Calculated from Statewide Model or

Congestion Management Team

  • Compare V/C ratio with and without

project

Transit Utilization

  • Requested from Regional Transit

Authorities

  • Quantify expected number reduced

single‐occupancy vehicle trips

Travel Time Savings

  • Calculated from Statewide Model or

Congestion Management Team

  • Requires value‐of‐time assumption

Travel Time Reliability

  • Calculated from Statewide Model or

Congestion Management Team

  • Requires financial decision‐making

modeling

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SLIDE 69

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Tech Memo #4 - Pre-Submittal Assessment (PSA)

Practice within planning process, specifically CTP, MTP development

70

– Precedes update – Prior to Strategic Prioritization submission – During update

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SLIDE 70

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Tech Memo #4 - Pre-Submittal Assessment (PSA)

Incorporate into early scoping and “CTP Set Up” meetings

71

– Checklist – Sets expectations with local communities – Supports “fiscal realism” for RPO CTPs

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SLIDE 71

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Tech Memo #4 - Pre-Submittal Assessment (PSA)

Considerations for P6.0 Workgroup to better enable toll project scoring

Freight: account for key indicators of freight movement

  • Propose measure includes ability of candidate toll projects to

divert trucks from the existing project. Calculate by comparing truck volumes of existing project before and after candidate toll project is constructed. Scoring based on the delta, i.e., the higher the difference the more the points. This could better highlight the impact

  • f Greenfield projects but also encourage the allowance of trucks on

managed lanes (note - this is a policy decision that may not be known at the time of project submission).

72

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SLIDE 72

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Tech Memo #4 - Pre-Submittal Assessment (PSA)

Considerations for P6.0 Workgroup to better enable toll project scoring

Accessibility/Connectivity: improve access to

  • pportunities in rural and less affluent areas & improve

interconnectivity of network

  • Fifty percent of the scoring of this criteria is whether the project

upgrades the mobility of the roadway (e.g. eliminating signals, improving mobility by upgrading the roadway facility type i.e. two lane to freeway) and points are based on travel time savings per user. Propose managed lanes, greenfield toll facilities, and bridges be added as project facility types eligible for scoring.

73

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SLIDE 73

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Tech Memo #4 - Pre-Submittal Assessment (PSA)

PSA schedule, online application

74

– 3 month period – Inputs tailored to supplement evaluation – Close coordination between NCDOT Intra-Departmental Project Eval Team and local staff

Project Information Project Title: _____________________________________________________________ Project Purpose and Need: __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ MPO/RPO Submitting Project: ________________________________________________ MPO/RPO Point of Contact: ________________________________________________ Email: _________________________________ Phone: ________________________ Is Project Part of Comprehensive Transportation Plan (CTP) or Long Range Transportation Plan (LRTP): ____________________ If Yes, list CTP or LRTP and year adopted: ______________________________________ Roadway Attributes Data for italicized fields are optional and will be completed by NCDOT if omitted. Existing number of general purpose lanes: ________________________________________ Number of proposed express lanes: ________________________________________ Number of proposed intermediate access points: __________________________________ Existing lane width: _________________ Existing shoulder width: _________________ Existing speed limit: _________________ Projected speed limit: _________________

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SLIDE 74

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

Next Steps

75

  • Finalize Handbook content for Tasks 3, 4
  • Review PSA Tool User Guide
  • Feb. 12 WG meeting
  • Live Tool Demonstration
  • March 12 WG meeting
  • Present Draft Handbook
  • May 1 BOT meeting
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SLIDE 75

NC Toll Project Development Handbook

QUESTIONS?

76

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SLIDE 76

Rail Improvements

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SLIDE 77

Transportation

STRAHNET and STRACNET

  • Strategic Highway Network (STRAHNET)
  • Strategic Rail Corridor Network (STRACNET)
  • STI Programming and Funding
  • ELIGIBLE: Highway routes on the STRAHNET
  • NOT DESIGNATED: Rail corridors on STRACNET
  • INELIGIBLE: Short line railroads
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SLIDE 78

Transportation

Proposed Legislative Changes to NCGS 136-189.10 Article 14B

  • Modify Subdivisions 4, 3 and 2 (for rail mode) to the following :

Mode Statute Language

Highway (STRAHNET) Subdivision 4 ‐ Item (c) Highway routes on the United States Department of Defense Strategic Highway Network (STRAHNET). Supported by Subdivision 3 (for Regional projects) and Subdivision 2 (for Division projects). Rail (STRACNET)

Add Subdivision 4 ‐ Item (i) "Rail corridors on the United States Department of

Defense Strategic Rail Corridor Network (STRACNET) and military‐owned or controlled rail lines.”

Modify supporting Subdivisions 3 (for Regional projects) and Subdivision 2 (for

Division projects) to read “This sub‐division does not include short line railroads except for those on the United States Department of Defensive Strategic Rail Corridor Network (STRACNET) and military‐owned or controlled rail lines."

  • Aligns rail (STRACNET) with highway (STRAHNET) STI statutes
  • Would allow all NC railroads designated as STRACNET and

military-owned or controlled railroads to become eligible for STI

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SLIDE 79

Highway - Mobility & Modernization

Default Percentages

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SLIDE 80

87

P5.0 Highway Criteria & Weights (Default)

Statewide Mobility

Congestion = 30% Benefit‐Cost = 25% Freight = 25% Safety = 10% Economic Comp. = 10%

‐‐ ‐‐ Funding Category QUANTITATIVE LOCAL INPUT Data Division MPO/RPO Regional Impact

Congestion = 20% Benefit‐Cost = 20% Safety = 10% Accessibility/Connectivity = 10% Freight = 10%

Division Needs

Congestion = 15% Benefit‐Cost = 15% Safety = 10% Accessibility/Connectivity = 5% Freight = 5%

100% 70% 50% 25% 25% 15% 15%

Note: Region A and Divisions 1, 5, 6, 7, 8, 11, 13, and 14 use Area‐Specific Criteria Weights

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SLIDE 81

Mobility and Modernization

(from P2 discussions)

88

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SLIDE 82

Modernization Weights – From P2 Discussions

89

STATEWIDE: Congestion 10% Benefit/Cost 10% Safety 20% Lane Width 20% Shoulder Width 20% Pavement Cond. 20% REGIONAL: Congestion 5% Benefit/Cost 5% Safety 20% Lane Width 15% Shoulder Width 15% Pavement Cond. 10% DIVISION: Congestion 5% Benefit/Cost 5% Safety 15% Lane Width 10% Shoulder Width 10% Pavement Cond. 5%

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SLIDE 83

Modernization Weights – Option from Subcommittee

90

STATEWIDE: Congestion 10% Benefit/Cost 10% Safety 25% Lane Width 25% Shoulder Width 10% Freight 20% REGIONAL: Congestion 5% Benefit/Cost 5% Safety 25% Lane Width 25% Shoulder Width 5% Freight 5% DIVISION: Congestion 5% Benefit/Cost 5% Safety 15% Lane Width 15% Shoulder Width 5% Pavement Cond. 5%

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SLIDE 84

Mobility and Modernization

91

Next Steps: Analyze results from P5 project set Solidify scaling Provide results to discuss at next Highway Subcommittee Meeting Bring recommendations back to Workgroup Note: Area Specific Weights will apply to both project types i.e each set of weights can be modified

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SLIDE 85

Bicycle/Pedestrian Improvements

(from subcommittee)

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SLIDE 86

Subcommittee Discussion

93

Work Underway

  • Connectivity – examine projects starting new networks
  • Access/Connectivity – specific data sources for points of interest

(destinations), bike/ped infrastructure network

  • Benefit/Cost – economic impact data
  • Potentially further break down project statistics by standard deviation

for individual projects

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SLIDE 87

Subcommittee Discussion

94

Specific Improvement Types

  • SIT 1 – removing route designation – considering moving the route

designation to include in Access/Connectivity

  • SITs 3/4/5 – intersection improvements
  • Not moving intersection improvements from SIT 5 into 3 or 4
  • Instead creating 5 different Safety Benefit “groups” of project

types – changing how Safety Benefit is scored, so it is not related to SIT

  • Adding bicycle HAWK & protected crossing facility types to SIT 5
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SLIDE 88

Subcommittee Discussion

95

Bundling projects

  • Allow across geographies and across varying project types
  • Does not have to be contiguous/related
  • Can be multiple SITs (SIT used for submittal must be majority by cost)
  • Can be within a single municipality, or across multiple governments
  • Multiple governments will need to provide documentation of agreement on

bundling, local matches, and project management

  • Geographic limitations need to be decided – potentially must be linked somehow

by connecting PO/Division?

  • Makes projects more attractive for LIPs and easier to manage/let

Transportation Disadvantage

  • If any are used, Metrics 1 or 2 seem best choices
  • Data is still not the best, and would be better when combined with a manual score

sheet / rubric

  • Difficult to incorporate under the structure of STI and current scoring criteria
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SLIDE 89

Public Transportation Improvements

(from subcommittee)

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SLIDE 90

Subcommittee Discussion

98

  • Transportation Disadvantage (discussed with Bike/Ped)
  • Bundling projects
  • Same geographic allowances as Bike/Ped discussion
  • Keep within project category bucket (not bundle Mobility with Demand Response)
  • How does it affect scoring (adding vs. averaging data)
  • Demand Response eligibility
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SLIDE 91

P6.0 Improvements

99

  • Proposal: keep P6.0 scoring as-is (same as P5.0)
  • In light of NCDOT internal structural changes to Public

Transportation and Bicycle/Pedestrian Divisions, there will be a better handle by P7.0 on desired direction for both modes overall

  • Besides TD, no new potential data or scoring metrics have become

available

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SLIDE 92

Aviation Improvements

(from subgroup)

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SLIDE 93

Division of Aviation Report to STI P6.0 Workgroup

Bobby Walston, NCDOT Director of Aviation February 4, 2019

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SLIDE 94

Report from Aviation P6.0 Work Group

  • Aviation Work Group Charter
  • Work Group Members
  • Issues & Expected Actions

– Prescreening – Project Eligibility – Aviation Non-State Index – New Project Criteria

  • Questions

Aviation STI P6.0 Work Group Report

103

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SLIDE 95

72 Airports | 10 Commercial Service | 62 General Aviation

94% of North Carolina’s population lives within a 30-minute drive of a public airport

104

NCDOT Division of Aviation Update

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SLIDE 96

Aviation Work Group Charter

  • Two objectives:

– Review P5.0 criteria and develop recommendations that will better represent aviation funding needs to present to the P6.0 Workgroup – Develop a recommended strategy for airports to engage staff at RPOs, MPOs and NCDOT Divisions to improve aviation’s opportunities to compete

Aviation STI P6.0 Work Group Report

105

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SLIDE 97

Work Group Members

  • 2 commercial service airport sponsors

– Alex Rosser, Piedmont Triad International Airport Deputy Director – Andy Shorter, Coastal Carolina Regional Airport Director

  • 3 general aviation airport sponsors

– Dan Danieley, Burlington-Alamance Regional Airport Executive Director – George Futrelle, Duplin County Airport Director – John Ferguson, Statesville Regional Airport Manager

  • 1 NCDOT SPOT representative

– Sarah Lee, Senior Transportation Engineer

  • 3 MPO/RPO/local government representatives from the STI P6.0 Workgroup

– Chris Lukasina, Capital Area MPO Executive Director – Matt Day, Triangle Area RPO Principal Planner – Anthony Prinz, NC League of Municipalities

  • 4 Division of Aviation staff members

– Bobby Walston, Aviation Director – Jon Arnold, Deputy Aviation Director – Ron McCollum, Senior Airport Project Manager – Stephanie Sudano, Systems Engineer

Aviation STI P6.0 Work Group Report

106

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SLIDE 98

Prescreening Process Issue: Some current STI Aviation projects may not be able to get FAA approval on purpose and need Expected Actions:

  • DoA will improve process to screen and vet

projects for justification prior to STI submission. This may include requiring a DOA approval letter with each project submittal.

  • DoA will develop a plan for communicating the

new process to airports

Aviation STI P6.0 Work Group Report

107

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SLIDE 99

Project Eligibility Issue: With pre-screening, we will need to increase the number of projects eligible for STI Expected Action: Remove system plan goal requirement and expand eligible projects to include projects that increase the capacity of the airport.

Aviation STI P6.0 Work Group Report

108

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SLIDE 100

Aviation Non-State Contribution Index Criteria

Issue: Scaling greatly skews the scores for this criteria because most GA airports do not provide a non-state contribution. Expected Action: Remove this criteria and incorporate a funding leverage piece into the Benefit-Cost criteria. This would be similar to Highways and Rail.

Aviation STI P6.0 Work Group Report

109

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SLIDE 101

New Criteria Issue: Need to develop a new criteria to replace the Non-State Contribution Index criteria Expected Action: We are investigating options that may include project readiness and / or projects that progress toward meeting system

  • bjectives.

Aviation STI P6.0 Work Group Report

110

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SLIDE 102

Questions?

Aviation STI P6.0 Work Group Report

111

Bobby Walston Director of Aviation 919 814 0573 | bwalston@ncdot.gov

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SLIDE 103

Wrap Up / Next Steps

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SLIDE 104

Draft P6.0 Topic Schedule

113

February 4, 2019 Continued Discussion Bike/Ped Number of Submittals New Topics Aviation Public Transportation Rail Normalization

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SLIDE 105

Draft P6.0 Topic Schedule

114

March 4, 2019 Desired Consensus Items Rail Normalization Number of Submittals Continued Discussion Bike/Ped Public Transportation Aviation Resiliency Factor New Topics Safety Benefit Factors Update HERE Reliability Measure

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SLIDE 106

Draft P6.0 Topic Schedule

115

April 1, 2019 Desired Consensus Items Bike/Ped Public Transportation Aviation

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SLIDE 107

Draft P6.0 Topic Schedule

116

April 29, 2019 June 3, 2019 Unscheduled Ferry

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SLIDE 108

Next Steps

117

Next Meeting: Monday, March 4, 2019 9:30am – 3:00pm RTP Headquarters