2017 Q3 Results and Business Plan
Presentation including
Presentation including 2017 Q3 Results and Business Plan - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Presentation including 2017 Q3 Results and Business Plan Disclaimer The information (Confidential Information) contained in this presentation is strictly confidential and is provided by Ananda Development Public Company Limited (the
2017 Q3 Results and Business Plan
Presentation including
The information (“Confidential Information”) contained in this presentation is strictly confidential and is provided by Ananda Development Public Company Limited (the “Company”) to you solely for your reference. Neither this presentation nor any part thereof may be (i) used or relied upon by any other party or for any other purpose; (ii) copied, photocopied, duplicated or otherwise reproduced in any form or by any means; or (iii) redistributed, passed on or otherwise disseminated, to any other person either in your organization or elsewhere, without the prior written consent of the Company. By attending this presentation, participants agree not to remove this document, or any materials provided in connection herewith, from the conference room where such documents are provided without express consent from the
reasonable, the Confidential Information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed, has not been independently verified and it may not contain all material information concerning the Company. None of the Company, or any of their respective members, directors, officers, employees or affiliates nor any other person accepts any liability (in negligence, or otherwise) whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation for sale or subscription of or solicitation or invitation of any offer to or recommendation to buy or subscribe for any securities, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract, commitment or investment decision in relation thereto in Thailand, United States or any other jurisdiction. Any such purchase should be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the announcements to the Stock Exchange of Thailand relating to such securities. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information set forth in this presentation or on its completeness. This presentation contains projections and forward‐looking statements that reflect the Company's current views with respect to future events and financial
contingencies as well as various risks and these may change over time and in many cases are outside the control of the Company. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the Company's assumptions are correct. Such forward‐looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and accordingly, the actual results, financial condition, performance or achievements of the Company may differ materially from those forecasted and projected or in the forward‐looking statements.
Disclaimer
3
▪ Transfers ▪ Launches ▪ Presales ▪ Backlog ▪ Bonds Issue
Agenda
4
3Q/2017 Financial Statements
3Q2017 2Q2017 3Q2016 % Q-o-Q % Y-o-Y
M Baht % M Baht % M Baht % Total revenue
2,759 100% 3,752 100% 2,979 100%
Revenue from sale of real estate
1,692 61% 2,661 71% 2,358 79%
Other incomes
1,066 39% 1,090 29% 621 21%
72%
Gross Profit
927 35% 1,331 37% 972 34%
SG&A
649 24% 674 18% 570 19%
14%
Selling expenses
253 9% 307 8% 248 8%
2%
Administrative expenses
396 14% 366 10% 322 11% 8% 23%
Share of Profit (Loss)
(113)
(300)
(105)
N/A N/A
EBIT
289 10% 519 14% 437 15%
Interest expenses
89 3% 104 3% 98 3%
EBT
200 7% 414 11% 339 11%
Tax
59 19% 135 19% 90 20%
Net Profit (Loss)
141 5% 279 7% 250 8%
Earnings per share (baht)
0.03 0.07 0.06
5
9M/2017 Financial Statements
9M2017 9M2016 % Y-o-Y
M Baht % M Baht % Total revenue
8,825 100% 8,463 100% 4%
Revenue from sale of real estate
5,931 67% 7,065 83%
Other incomes
2,894 33% 1,399 17% 107%
Gross Profit
2,980 35% 2,899 35% 3%
SG&A
1,871 21% 1,773 21% 6%
Selling expenses
775 9% 729 9% 6%
Administrative expenses
1,096 12% 1,044 12% 5%
Share of Profit (Loss)
(471)
(304)
N/A
EBIT
1,056 12% 1,072 13%
Interest expenses
281 3% 241 3% 16%
EBT
775 9% 830 10%
Tax
214 17% 222 20%
Net Profit (Loss)
561 6% 608 7%
Earnings per share (baht)
0.13 0.16
6
3Q/2017 Financial Highlights
3Q2017 2Q2017 3Q2016 % Q-o-Q % Y-o-Y
M Baht M Baht M Baht
Cash balance and equivalent
1,461 1,842 2,091
Assets
27,019 26,147 23,515 3% 15%
Interest bearing debts
11,480 10,897 10,158 5% 13%
Liabilities
15,041 14,350 13,619 5% 10%
Shareholders' equity
11,979 11,797 9,896 2% 21%
D/E ratio (times)
1.26 1.22 1.38 3%
Net IBDE ratio (times)
0.84 0.77 0.82 9% 3%
7
2017 Transfer Target between 22,000 and 24,000 M Baht
Quarter Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 3 (Actual) Quarter 4 2017 Condo 1,217 2,326 1,844 1,239 3,816 8,599 Housing 360 335 596 454 800 1,947 Ananda F/S 1,557 2,661 2,440 1,692 4,615 10,546 Ananda Share in JV 337 41 632 783 5,202 6,363 Partner Share in JV
324 39 607 753 4,998 6,114 Total (M Baht) 2,238 2,741 3,679 3,229 14,815
23,023
10 new condo projects
to complete in 2017
2017 Business Plan >>Transfers Growth
%
From 2016
Q3/2017 transfers below our latest guidance by
12% and lower full year guidance by 8%
1Q17 (A) 2Q17 (A) 3Q17 (F) 3Q17 (A) 4Q17 (F) 1,217 2,328 1,844 1,239 3,816 360 334 596 454 800 337 41 632 783 5,202 324 39 607 753 4,998 Unit : Mil Baht Condo Housing Ananda Share in JV Partner Share in JV
8
Note : (JV, Joint Venture with Mitsui Fudosan and Ananda)
69% Of Q4/2017 Target Will Be Derived From New Projects
Updated: Sept 30, 2017
Q4/2017 Projects To Be Transferred
New Projects Transfer Target Presales Required to achieve
Condo 2,088 Housing 225 50 Own Projects 2,313 50 Condo JV Projects 7,853 80 New Projects 10,166 130
Existing Projects Transfer Target Presales Required to achieve
Condo 1,728 662 Housing 574 183 Own Projects 2,302 845 Condo JV Projects 2,347 110 Existing Projects 4,649 955
Total Projects Transfer Target Presales Required to achieve
Condo 3,816 662 Housing 800 233 Own Projects 4,615 895 Condo JV Projects 10,200 190 Total Projects 14,815 1,085
6 new condo
projects and
3 new housing
projects to complete in 4Q2017
7 existing condo
projects and
4 existing housing
projects to continue to be transferred in 4Q2017
93% of the
4Q2017 transfers secured by backlog
18.6% 1.0% 11.0% 21.0% 31.0% 41.0% 2 4 6 8 10 12 3.2% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 2 4 6 8 10 12
9
2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Cancellation Rate
Updated: Sept 30, 2017
1Q17
Note: % Cancellation Rates are calculated by cancelled value divided by beginning backlog + presales
2Q17 3Q17 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17
3.6% 1.0% 3.0% 5.0% 7.0% 2 4 6 8 10 12
2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17
3Q17 without Ready to move Campaign should be 2.2% 3Q17 without Ready to move Campaign should be 2.6%
14.4% 1.0% 6.0% 11.0% 16.0% 21.0% 2 4 6 8 10 12 13.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 2 4 6 8 10 12
10
Mortgage Rejection Rate
Note: % Mortgage Rejection Rates are shown by units Updated: Sept 30, 2017
2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17
24.7% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 2 4 6 8 10 12
2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17
3Q17 without Ready to move Campaign should be 8%
3Q17 without Ready to move Campaign should be 5%
11
2017 Launch Target between 41,000 and 43,000 M Baht
Quarter Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 3 (Actual) Quarter 4 2017 Condo 1,875 21,880
7,761 35,951 Housing 1,637 949 2,852 3,252
Total (M Baht) 3,512 22,829 2,852 7,687 7,761
41,789
2 5 (JVs)
2 (1 JV)
11 (7 JVs)
1 1 3 3
JV 7 Sites accounting for 66% of launch value)
2017 Business Plan >>Launches
Q3/2017 launch target beat our latest guidance by 170%
Growth
%
From 2016
1Q17 (A) 2Q17 (A) 3Q17 (F) 3Q17 (A) 4Q17 (F) 1,875 21,880 4,435 7,761 1,637 949 2,852 3,252 Unit : Mil Baht Condo Housing
12
New Launch In Q3 >> Ideo Mobi Sukhumvit 40
Ideo Mobi Sukhumvit 40 Project value (M Baht) 2,057
272 Soft Launched date September 2017 Expected transfer date 2019 Location 660 m. from BTS Ekamai
New
AMC Sales Only
558 MB
as of Sept 30th, 2017
13
New Launch In Q3 >> Ideo Mobi Rangnam
Ideo Mobi Rangnam Project value (M Baht) 2,377
366 Soft Launched date September 2017 Expected transfer date 2019 Location 630 m. from BTS Victory Monument
New
AMC Sales Only
259 MB
as of Sept 30th, 2017
14
New Launch In Q3 >> Airi Rama 5 - Ratchaphruek
Airi Rama 5 - Ratchaphruek Project value (M Baht) 792
63 Soft Launched date July 2017 Sales to Date (M Baht) 65 Location Rama 5 Road, Nonthaburi
15
New Launch In Q3 >> Artale Kaset - Nawamin
Artale Kaset - Nawamin Project value (M Baht) 1,658
59 Soft Launched date August 2017 Sales to Date (M Baht) 81 Location 13 km. to Thonglor
16
New Launch In Q3 >> Atoll Wongwaen - LumLukka
Atoll Wongwaen - Lumlukka Project value (M Baht) 802
138 Soft Launched date September 2017 Sales to Date (M Baht) 48 Location Lumlukka Near BTS Green Line
17
New Launch In Q4 >> Ideo Mobi Rama 4
Ideo Mobi Rama 4 Project value (M Baht) 4,398
486 Soft Launched date November 2017 Expected transfer date 2020 Location 0 m. from MRT Khlong Toei
18
New Launch In Q4 >> Elio Del Moss
Elio Del Moss Phaholyothin 34 Project value (M Baht) 3,363
1,552 Soft Launched date November 2017 Expected transfer date 2019 Location 1,200 m. from BTS Sena Nikhom
19
2017 Presales Target between 32,000 and 33,000 M Baht
2017 Business Plan >>Presales
Q3/2017 presales beat our latest guidance by 52% and raise full year guidance by 5% Quarter Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 3 (Actual) Quarter 4 2017 Condo 3,836 10,322 5,576 8,739 6,857 29,754 Housing 600 728 774 906 600 2,834 Total (M Baht) 4,436 11,051 6,350 9,645 7,457
32,588
Growth
%
From 2016
1Q17 (A) 2Q17 (A) 3Q17 (F) 3Q17 (A) 4Q17 (F) 3,836 10,322 5,576 8,739 6,857 600 728 774 906 600 Unit : Mil Baht Condo Housing
2017 2018 2019 2020 3,154 1,062 558 5,105 11,457 5,390 1,874 4,905 13,169 5,179 1,800 567 153 Unit: Mil Baht Ananda's Backlog - Condo Ananda's Backlog in JV - Condo Partner's Share Ananda's Backlog - Housing
20
Backlog 54.4 Bn Baht 93% of the 4Q17
transfers secured by backlog
Record Backlog
Updated: Sept 30, 2017
13,730 25,841 3,674 11,128
64% of the 2018
transfers secured by backlog
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 1 year 2 years 3 years more than 3 years 20,663 16,350 7,611 9,026 18,795 10,245 3,348 2,123 Unit:M Baht Backlog Unsold Inventories
21
Condo Unsold Inventories Aging Condo Unsold Inventories are Cleared by End of Construction
Updated: Sept 30, 2017
Backlog (condo) 53.7 Bn Baht Unsold Inventories (condo) 34.5 Bn Baht
2.4% of Total Development Unsold After 3 Years
2.4% of condo projects
under development
88.2 Bn Baht
22
Fact sheet Detail
Debentures of Ananda Development Public Company Limited No. 5/2017
Unsubordinated and Unsecured Debentures without a Debenture holders’ Representative in the Name-Registered Debenture Certificate
Institutional investors or/and high net worth investors
2,000,000 Units
1,000 Baht/Unit
1,000 Baht/Unit
2,000,000,000 Baht
6 October 2017
3 Years 10. Interest Rate 3.50%
“BBB” (stable) by Tris Rating
Bond Issuance (3 Years)
23
Securitization
Summary of Accounting Treatment ✓ Preference Shares in JV SPV are treated as “Equity”. Classified after deducting securities discount under “Non- controlling interests of the subsidiary” ✓ Preference Shares in JV SPV are better than capital increase as no share dilution ✓ D/E and Net IBDE Ratio will be decreased. ✓ ROE is diluted in the short term (higher equity base). ✓ New capital will support ANAN’s strategy and earnings growth sustainability in the medium and long term.
Fact sheet Detail
Preference Shares in JV SPV with rights at 1 vote for every 20 shares
High net worth investors
3,000,000 preferred shares in JV SPV
100 Baht/Unit
300,000,000 Baht
2 August 2017 7. Dividend Yield 8.0% per annum, dependent on the subsidiary’s performance
1 year and 6 months after August 2017
24
❖ Record Backlog – 54.4 Bn Baht ❖ Net IBDE – below Target at 0.84 times ❖ Successful Launches ❖ Successful Bond Issue ❖ Record Low Cost of Bond
Ananda – The Harvest Continues!
❖ Transfers below guidance by 12% ❖ Lower annual transfers target by 8% ❖ Presales beat guidance by 52% ❖ Raise annual presales target by 5% ❖ Launches beat guidance by 170%
Summary 3Q 2017
25
Item 2013 Actual 2014 Actual 2015 Actual 2016 Actual 2017 Guidance
Launches (M Baht) 34,213 14,954 34,828 20,693 41,000-43,000 Transfers1 (M Baht) 8,808 9,678 9,598 15,866 22,000-24,000 Presales (M Baht) 21,083 20,898 26,235 25,175 32,000-33,000 Gross Profit Margin 37% 38% 39% 35% 32% Total Debt / Equity, Year End 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.1 Net Interest Bearing D / E, Year End 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 Effective Tax Rate 21% 18% 17% 18% 20% Land Purchases (M Baht) 4,343 10,284 5,258 7,252 13,000-14,000
2017 Summary
Note : 1 including Joint Venture with Mitsui Fudosan)
26
9,598
2015 TRANSFERS
9,598
65% YoY
TRANSFERS
15,866
45% YoY
TRANSFERS
23,023
76% YoY
TRANSFERS
40,524
13% YoY
TRANSFERS
45,806
24% YoY
TRANSFERS
56,589
2015-2019: 5 Times Growth
BACKLOG13,730
BACKLOG25,841
BACKLOG11,128
Backlog 54.4 Bn Baht 93% of the 4Q17
transfers secured by Backlog
64% 24%
Note: The 5-year plan has assumption of no new capital and keeping net IDE ratio at 1:1
BACKLOG3,674
6%
9,780 3,104 2,982 10,546 6,363 6,114 9,710 14,613 16,201 15,294 15,711 14,801 18,733 19,919 17,936 3,721 5,105 4,905
93% of 4Q17
1,215 11,457 13,169 558 5,390 5,179 1,874 1,800
64% of the 2018
transfers secured by Backlog
27
2018 Transfer target between 35,000 and 45,000 M Baht
Quarter Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 2018 Condo 1,620 1,019 1,460 2,537 6,637 Housing 546 832 802 893 3,073 Ananda F/S 2,166 1,851 2,262 3,430 9,710 Ananda Share in JV 2,967 2,909 2,300 6,437 14,613 Partner Share in JV
2,850 2,795 2,210 8,346 16,201 Total (M Baht) 7,983 7,555 6,772 18,213
40,524
11 new condo projects
to complete in 2018
2018 Business Plan >>Transfers Growth
%
From 2017
1Q18 (F) 2Q18 (F) 3Q18 (F) 4Q18 (F) 1,620 1,019 1,460 2,537 546 832 802 893 2,967 2,909 2,300 6,437 2,850 2,795 2,210 8,346 Unit : Mil Baht Condo Housing Ananda Share in JV Partner Share in JV
28
2018 Launch Target between 46,000 and 49,000 M Baht
Quarter Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 2018 Condo 11,061 9,482 9,389 9,684 39,616 Housing 1,840
2,130 8,406 Total (M Baht) 12,901 9,482 13,826 11,814
48,022
3 (2 JVs) 2 (JVs) 5 (1 JV) 3 (2 JVs)
13 (7 JVs)
3
2
9 JV 7 Sites accounting for 60% of launch value)
2018 Business Plan >>Launches
Growth
%
From 2017
1Q18 (F) 2Q18 (F) 3Q18 (F) 4Q18 (F) 11,061 9,482 9,389 9,684 1,840 4,437 2,130 Unit : Mil Baht Condo Housing
29
2018 Presales Target between 40,000 and 41,000 M Baht
2018 Business Plan >>Presales
Quarter Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 2018 Condo 7,160 7,912 10,149 10,692 35,912 Housing 992 933 1,108 1,562 4,595
Total (M Baht) 8,151 8,845 11,257 12,254
40,507
Growth
%
From 2017
1Q18 (F) 2Q18 (F) 3Q18 (F) 4Q18 (F) 7,160 7,912 10,149 10,692 992 933 1,108 1,562 Unit : Mil Baht Condo Housing
30
Item 2013 Actual 2014 Actual 2015 Actual 2016 Actual 2017 Guidance 2018 Guidance
Launches (M Baht) 34,213 14,954 34,828 20,693 41,000-43,000 46,000-49,000 Transfers1 (M Baht) 8,808 9,678 9,598 15,866 22,000-24,000 35,000-45,000 Presales (M Baht) 21,083 20,898 26,235 25,175 32,000-33,000 40,000-41,000 Gross Profit Margin 37% 38% 39% 35% 32% 32% Total Debt / Equity, Year End 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.1-1.2 Net Interest Bearing D / E, Year End 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7-0.9 Effective Tax Rate 21% 18% 17% 18% 20% 20% Land Purchases (M Baht) 4,343 10,284 5,258 7,252 13,000-14,000 9,000-11,000
2018 Summary
Note : 1 including Joint Venture with Mitsui Fudosan)
31
❖ Economic situation stable ❖ GDP growth projections revisions stable ❖ Increased government disbursement ❖ Land price increases slowing ❖ Construction costs constrained ❖ Consumer confidence moving up ❖ Banks remain strongly supportive – Bond ❖ Our customer group remains “cashed up” and with good credit ❖ Mass Transit Supply/Demand varies by station ❖ Mass Transit market more robust than general market
Source : University of Thai Chamber
Initial Sales Rate
Sources: AREA
59% 47% 58% 36% 64% 22% 53% 37% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 0-300 m. > 1,000 m. 2013 2014 2015 2016
Company View
32
Updated : 6 November 2017 Under Construction
Lampong (2019)
(2018)
Minburi (2023)
Awarded in 2016 and 2017
Makasan – Huamark (2019)
*Approved by cabinet within 2016
(2019) *Approved by cabinet in March 2017
*Approved by cabinet in July 2017
4 (2023) *Will be approved by cabinet within 2017
Current Line Under Construction Awarding in 2016 & 2017
Mass Transit Network Expansion
❖ In 2017 34 kms of new lines will be approved by cabinet representing 25 new stations additional from 112kms of new lines approved in 2016 for 82 new stations ❖ Future growth opportunities for Ananda for many years to come
33
5-Star Corporate Governance
Corporate Governance
❖ Upgrade to one of companies with excellent CG Scoring (5-star) from a company with very good CG scoring (4-star) ❖ Upgrade in the rights of shareholders and board responsibilities category
34
IR Awards
Investor Relations
❖ Achieved excellence in Investor Relations from IR Magazine South East Asia Awards 2017 for real estate sector ❖ Outstanding achievement in SET Awards 2017 for Investor Relations ❖ Best in class in Investor Relations also recognized by South East Asia including The Stock Exchange of Thailand
35
Contact:
Chief Strategic Development Officer Ananda Development Public Company Limited john@ananda.co.th +662 056 2222 Mobile: +66 877 99 1946
Senior Investor Relations Manager Ananda Development Public Company Limited komsan@ananda.co.th +662 056 2222 Mobile: +66 819 16 3755
Thank You
Scan QR Code to talk to Ananda IR Chatbot
36
Appendix
37
Project Launched Type Value (M Baht) %Net Sold Backlog (M Baht) Unsold Inventory (M Baht) %Transfer
ADO: Atoll (Housing) Feb-13 Housing 6,229 64.3% 38 2,226 63.3% AD14: Ideo Sathorn – Tha Phra Jul-13 Condo 3,548 100.0%
AD15: Ideo Mobi Charan-Interchange Oct-13 Condo 3,735 100.0%
AD17: Ashton Asoke (JV) Sep-14 Condo 6,705 97.9% 6,564 142
Sep-14 Condo 3,822 83.2% 3,181 641 24.9% AD16: Ideo Mobi Wongsawang- Interchange Sep-14 Condo 1,775 37.9% 50 1,102 35.1% AD16: Ideo Mobi Sukhumvit Eastgate Sep-14 Condo 2,522 88.0% 112 302 83.6% AD18: Ashton Chula-Silom (JV) Mar-15 Condo 8,709 78.5% 6,835 1,874
Mar-15 Condo 2,119 44.8% 693 1,170 12.1% AD16: Unio Charan 3 Jun-15 Condo 2,120 85.7% 83 304 81.8% AD16: Arden 3 projects Jun-15 Housing 2,877 71.4% 93 823 68.1% AD17: Ideo Sukhumvit 115 Aug-15 Condo 2,777 73.5% 222 735 65.5% AD17: Q Chidlom (JV) Aug-15 Condo 3,030 64.9% 1,966 1,064
Aug-15 Condo 5,096 61.0% 3,108 1,987
Interchange (JV) Nov-15 Condo 2,536 43.2% 516 1,440 22.9% AD18: Ashton Silom (JV) Nov-15 Condo 6,116 66.4% 4,061 2,055
(2013-2015 Launched) 63,729 26,642 15,803
AD17: Ideo Tha Phra Interchange (JV) Feb-16 Condo 2,791 44.7% 1,248 1,543
Jul-16 Condo 1,517 80.8% 1,225 292
Jul-16 Condo 983 67.9% 667 316
Updated: Sept 30, 2017
Note: JV = Joint Venture with Mitsui Fudosan
38
Current Projects As Of September 2017 (Cont.)
Updated: Sept 30, 2017
Project Launched Type Value (M Baht) % Net Sold Backlog (M Baht) Unsold Inventory (M Baht) %Transfer
AD17: Venio Sukhumvit 10 Sep-16 Condo 862 90.3% 779 84
Sep-16 Condo 3,288 77.8% 2,558 729
Oct-16 Condo 6,224 87.3% 5,435 789
Oct-16 Condo 2,553 67.8% 1,732 821
Oct-16 Condo 2,423 42.3% 1,026 1,398
20,641 14,669 5,972
AD18: Unio Ramkhamhaeng-Serithai Mar-17 Condo 939 21.4% 201 738
Mar-17 Condo 941 19.4% 183 758
Mar-17 Housing 1,643 22.5% 282 1,273 5.4% AD19: Ideo Q Victory (JV) Jun-17 Condo 3,208 98.2% 3,150 59
Jun-17 Condo 6,428 57.2% 3,674 2,754
Jun-17 Condo 4,289 41.6% 1,784 2,505
Jun-17 Condo 2,967 57.8% 1,714 1,253
Jun-17 Condo 5,050 18.8% 949 4,102
Jun-17 Housing 952 14.2% 113 817 2.3% AD17: Airi Rama 5-Ratchaphruek1 Jul-17 Housing 792 8.2% 65 728
Aug-17 Housing 1,658 4.9% 81 1,577
Sep-17 Housing 802 6.0% 48 754
Sep-17 Condo 2,057 27.1% 558 1,499
Sep-17 Condo 2,377 10.9% 259 2,118
34,105 13,060 20,935
Grand total
118,475 54,371 42,709
Note: JV = Joint Venture with Mitsui Fudosan
1 = Released 14% of total units 2 = Released 10% of total units 3 = Released 10% of total units 4 = Released 50% of total units 5 = Released 20% of total unitsCompany Background
40
✓ Stock Exchange of Thailand listed SET 100 Index company. ✓ Aims to be the highest condo launches in Thailand for 2017. ✓ Multiple award winner including Mipimasia, Think of Living ✓ Awarded Outstanding Achievement in Investor Relations at 2014 & 2016 and IR of the Year 2016 at SET Awards
Strong Portfolio of Brands
Categories Brands Luxury High-end Premium value Up-scale Mid-range Low-range Super value-range
ANAN is a leading real estate developer with a unique product mix and investment proposition
Overview Of Ananda Development
No.1 Condo Launches Target in Thailand for 2017
Note: Anan and BLS Research10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 ANAN SIRI AP SPALI PS LPN LH SC QH Unit:M Baht
41
Key Company Milestones
Launched and completed Launched and under construction
Condominium Project Development Timeline
Company Milestones
Jul, 1999 Dec, 2012 Nov, 2010 Feb, 2012 Jul, 2007 Oct, 2007 Nov, 2007 Dec, 2007 Jul, 2008 Sep, 2008 Nov, 2008 Aug, 2009 Feb, 2010 Feb, 2008 Ideo Mix Sukhumvit 103 Ideo Mix Phahol- yothin Ideo Sathorn- Taksin Ideo Q Phayathai Ideo Ratchada- Huaykwang Ideo BluCove Sathorn Ideo Verve Sukhumvit Ideo Verve Ratcha- prarop Ideo Morph 38 Ashton Ideo BluCove Sukhumvit Ideo Ladprao 17 Ideo Ladprao 5 Ideo Mobi Phaya- thai Ideo Mobi Sathorn Ideo Mobi Rama 9 Ideo Mobi Sukhumvit Mar, 2013 Elio Sukhumvit 64 Jun, 2013 Ideo Sathorn- Tha Phra Jun, 2006 May, 2007 Jun, 2013 Ideo Wutthakat Elio Del Ray Aug, 2013 339 757 1,206 1,555 2,727 3,203 3,601 3,867 4,357 4,804 5,145 5,566 6,501 7,204 7,733 8,049 9,011 10,35011,32912,95914,155 15,75316,07616,85917,409 18,25318,809 19,990 20,069 22,005 23,005 23,357 24,921 25,345 26,00626,85027,57628,56028,72229,22929,52729,91831,25032,328 32,67633,27133,72034,714 36,173 36,445 36,811 Ideo Mobi Charan- Interchange Ideo Q Chula- Samyan(1) Ideo Q Ratchatewi Oct, 2013 Oct, 2014 Ideo Mobi Wongsawang Interchange Ideo Mobi Sukhumvit Eastgate Ideo Q Siam- Rachathewi(1) Ashton Asoke(1) Source: Ananda Development PCL. Note: 1. Projects under JV company with Mitsui Fudosan 2. Refers to Ananda Development One. 3. Refers to Ananda Development Two. Mar, 2015 Ashton Chula Silom(1) Ashton Residence 41ANAN’s project developments by launch date Cumulative number of units launched by ANAN
Jul, 1999 ANAN was established Engages in the real estate business of developing landed housing projects Jun, 2006 Started ADO(2), JV company with Pramerica Develop landed housing projects around Suvarnabhumi Airport May, 2007 Started AD2(3), JV company with Pramerica Develop condominiums close to mass transit stations Nov, 2010 Acquired the remaining stake in AD2 from Pramerica Dec, 2012 IPO Raised THB5.6 bn Dec, 2012 Acquired the remaining stake in ADO from Pramerica Jun, 2013 Started JV company with Mitsui Fudosan Develop condominiums close to mass transit stations
Jun, 2015 UNIO Charan 3 Aug, 2015 Ideo Sukhumvit 115 Q Chidlom Petchaburi(1) Ideo O2(1) Ashton Silom(1) Nov, 2015 Ideo Mobi Bamgsue Grand Interchange (1) Feb, 2016 Ideo Thaphra Interchange (1) UNIO Rama 2- Thakham Jul, 2016 UNIO Sukhumvit 72 VENIO Sukhumvit 10 Ideo Mobi Asoke (1) Sep, 2016 Oct, 2016 Ideo Mobi Sukhumvit 66 (1) Ideo Phaholyothin- Chatuchak (1) Ideo Sukhumvit 93 (1) Mar, 2017 Unio Ramkhamhaeng- Serithai Unio H Tiwanon Jun, 2017 Elio Del Nest (1) Ideo New Rama 9 (1) Ideo Q Sukhumvit 36 (1) Ashton Asoke-Rama 9 (1) Ideo Q Victory (1)Units
Condo Launched
M Baht
Value
Sep, 2017 Ideo Mobi Rangnam (1) Ideo Mobi Sukhumvit 40Units
~8,000
Condo Launched 6 Years Before IPO in Dec 12 Units
~28,800
Condo Launched 5 Years After IPO
42
9,598
2015 TRANSFERS
9,598
65% YoY
TRANSFERS
15,866
45% YoY
TRANSFERS
23,023
76% YoY
TRANSFERS
40,524
13% YoY
TRANSFERS
45,806
24% YoY
TRANSFERS
56,589
2015-2019: 5 Times Growth
BACKLOG13,730
BACKLOG25,841
BACKLOG11,128
Backlog 54.4 Bn Baht 93% of the 4Q17
transfers secured by Backlog
64% 24%
Note: The 5-year plan has assumption of no new capital and keeping net IDE ratio at 1:1
BACKLOG3,674
6%
9,780 3,104 2,982 10,546 6,363 6,114 9,710 14,613 16,201 15,294 15,711 14,801 18,733 19,919 17,936 3,721 5,105 4,905
93% of 4Q17
1,215 11,457 13,169 558 5,390 5,179 1,874 1,800
64% of the 2018
transfers secured by Backlog
43
Financial Innovation
✓ Better common facilities for price range ✓ Double volume space all unit - Morph38 ✓ Starbucks / True Coffee in every building - Q Phayathai ✓ Max Valu in every building ✓ First TCDCS ✓ Indoor outdoor space ✓ Smart Furniture - Mix103 ✓ Unique facade design - All Ideo
Design Innovation Marketing Innovation
Strategic Innovation
Ananda Innovation Company
44
Thailand’s Mass Transit Infrastructure Rollout
Current Line (2017) Under Construction Approved by Cabinet (2024)
83 stations 138 stations 240 stations
Each new station provides development opportunities for our Ideo brand within a 300 metres radius and Elio brand within a 301 – 600 metres radius Bangkok’s mass transit network is expected to expand significantly from a present 83 stations to 240 stations in 2024
Source: MRTA and Market Intelligence45
New stations being developed providing additional development opportunities
12 years Plan (2029)
316 stations
Bangkok’s mass transit network is expected to expand significantly from 83 stations in 2017 to 316 stations in 2029
Source: MRTA and Market IntelligenceThailand’s Mass Transit Infrastructure Rollout (Cont’d)
46
300m 300m
On Station Mass Transit(1) Mass Transit Related(2)
Distance from Mass Transit Station
~600m ~600m Landed Housing Landed Housing
Mass Transit Related(2)
IDEO brand within 300m of a mass transit station. ELIO brand 301-600m. Landed housing in low density suburbs
1. Condominium projects located within 300 meters from a mass transit railway station as defined by CBRE Research and Consulting. 2. Condominium projects located within 301 meters to 600 meters from a mass transit railway station as defined by CBRE Research and Consulting.
Our Product Offering Ideally Placed To Tap Demand Around Mass Transit Stations
47
Condominium Developments Are Strategically Located Along The Mass Transit Network
BTS line MRT line Airport Rail Link Mo Chit Lad Prao Ratchadaphisek Sutthisan Huai Khwang Phra Ram 9 Phetchaburi Sukhumvit Phrom Phong Thong Lo Ekkamai Phra Khanong On Nut Bang Chak Punnawithi Udom Suk Bang Na Bearing Ramkhamhaeng Hua Mark Thailand Cultural Centre Phahon YBangkok CBD
22 2 Pho Nimit Talat Phlu Ideo Ladprao 5 Launch Date: Oct 0748
▪
The new form of housing is steel and glass high rises in close proximity to mass transit stations.
▪
So now Bangkok has transformed from wooden houses lining canals, to concrete houses lining roads to steel high rises around mass transit stations.
▪
The Third Great Transformation can be expected to happen faster than the first two.
Third Great Transformation
▪
In 1860 Bangkok built its first paved road, Charoen Krung Road.
▪
The dominant form of housing changed to reflect the new transportation infrastructure and switched from wooden houses on the banks of canals to become concrete houses on the edges of roads.
▪
Townhouses in the city and detached houses in the suburbs, all connected to roads.
▪
When Ayutthaya fell the Capital was moved to Bangkok in 1768.
▪
The government began building more extensive irrigation canals, which also served, along with the Chao Phraya River as the main transportation infrastructure
▪
The main form of housing was wooden houses on the banks of the canals
Second Great Transformation First Great Transformation
2 1 3
Third Great Transformation
49
3.9 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.7 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 1 2 3 4 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Number of Houses and Condominiums Family Size Millions of Houses and Condominiums Persons / Family
A Growing Population Providing Consistent Growing Demand Increasing Number of Houses and Condominiums
Bangkok Population
Residential Housing and Family Size in Bangkok and Greater Bangkok
Source: UN Habitat – State of the World’s Cities 2016. Source: Department of Provincial Administration, Thailand.
6.3 6.6 7.0 8.3 11.5 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 2000 2005 2010 2016E 2030E Bangkok Population Million
Rapidly Increasing Ridership on the Mass Transit System Demonstrates Demand for Ease-of-Access to Stations Daily Weekday Mass Transit Passenger Volume Mass Transit Market More Robust Than General Market Initial Sales Rate
Growing Bangkok Condominium Market
Sources: AREA 59% 47% 58% 36% 64% 22% 53% 37% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 0-300 m. > 1,000 m. 2013 2014 2015 2016
36,982 37,264 42,472 42,775 46,751 52,900 68,000 151,833 177,917 179,250 188,500 194,083 202,250 210,250 219,667 251,500 272,009 291,092 299,811 315,750 162,178 227,044 290,147 319,902 361,208 397,460 437,972 413,400 429,847 440,999 446,507 515,898 592,894 640,414 675,343 710,502 732,829513,041 575,377 617,222 601,900 623,930 643,249 693,739 772,829 886,866 955,198 1,013,186 1,063,213 1,116,579
200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 ARL Passenger Volume MRT Passenger Volume BTS Passenger Volume Total Mass Transit System Passenger Volume Passenger Volume
50
Source: Ananda Development PCL.
The cash conversion cycle of the condominium and landed housing business allows ANAN to recycle capital into new projects Landed Housing Cash Conversion Cycle (Build and Sell Model)
Typical Landed Housing Funding Sources Existing Landed Housing Construction Transfer
complete
Down payment Equity Bank Loans Balance
Equity
cost from ANAN’s internal funding / generated cash flows
Debt
up to 70% of land cost and construction cost
Key Landed Housing Funding Milestones Down Payment
upon purchase as a down payment
upon transfer
Project Milestones
debt breakeven
breakeven
Cash conversion cycle: 6 – 9 months Book Revenue Construction and Sale
Cash Outflow Cash Inflow
Key Milestone Develop- ment Phase Funding Sources
Quick Cash Conversion Cycle
51
▪
Each new and existing station provides potential development opportunities
▪
Majority of land is owned by private individuals (mom- and-pop) as opposed to corporations or the government
▪
Majority of transactions are bilateral negotiations / limited auctions
▪
Majority of the land occupied by “low-value” buildings (30-50 years old) such as shophouses
Dedicated Land Acquisition Team Increasing Number of Mass Transit Stations
In line with our strategy of quick asset turnover, ANAN landbanks with a 3 – 4 year (acquisition to completion) horizon Land Sourcing Team
potential sites
market intelligence
Finance Team
sites
Legal Team
planning / zoning
Source: Ananda Development PCL.
Supported By A Unique Land Acquisition Model
52
❖ Over 400 potential acquisitions under due diligence ❖ Regulations and massing studies done to build basic financial model for each ❖ Proprietary database of every condo sold in the previous 5 years within 4 kms of each station ❖ Most experienced team in the market at solving inheritance and legal issues.
Proprietary Database Of Potential Land Plot Acquisitions
53
Project
Year
Joint Venture Continuing Joint Venture Since 2013
Q3/17: JV
Projects
Value
54
Contact:
Chief Strategic Development Officer Ananda Development Public Company Limited john@ananda.co.th +662 056 2222 Mobile: +66 877 99 1946
Senior Investor Relations Manager Ananda Development Public Company Limited komsan@ananda.co.th +662 056 2222 Mobile: +66 819 16 3755
Thank You
Scan QR Code to talk to Ananda IR Chatbot