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Preliminary Land 540 54 40 H i s Chapel Hill Rd t o r i c - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

540 Raleigh-Durham DURHAM International Airport Preliminary Land 540 54 40 H i s Chapel Hill Rd t o r i c C i r n e v L A C r s S D h i l o e n n s y h G l h e l r Aventon Ln n e u r b r e m c


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SLIDE 1 International Dr Trans Air Dr Green Dr P e m b e r l y A v e G
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M i l l B l v d Keybridge Dr Weaver Forest Way Chessway Dr Durants Neck Ln Kudrow Ln Kirkhaven Rd Aventon Ln F l i p T r l C
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w i t h D r G l a d e V a l l e y L n H i s t
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R d P e r i m e t e r P a r k D r S h i l
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G l e n n D r M a s
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F a r m R d P r e s t
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G r a n d e W a y C r a b t r e e C r
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s i n g P k w y B a i l e y R i d g e D r W a t s
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C r e e k R d Leacrof Way L e a f y c r e e k D r Do w n i n g G l e n D r L i b e r t y R
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e D r G a r d e n S q u a r e L n E l s h u r W a y Crescendo Dr Willingham Rd S p e n c
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M i l l e r D r Lo u i s S t e p h e n D r P a ram
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C h u r c h S t Airport Blvd Chapel Hill Rd Chapel Hill Rd A v i a t i

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P k w y M

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r i s v i l l e P k w y Davis Dr C h u r c h S t Chapel Hill Rd Mccrimmon Pkwy T

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v ill e C a r pe n t e r Rd P a r k s i d e V a l l e y D r D a v i s D r T

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540

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54 54 54 540 540 147

CARY DURHAM CARY Raleigh-Durham International Airport RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK

Lake Crabtree

MCCRIMMON EXTENSION TOD EAST TOWN CENTER

Grace Park Park West

As part of the Morrisville Land Use Plan, Subarea Plans have been developed that focus on three key areas of the community. These Subarea Plans include more detailed, site specifjc analysis and recommendations, intended to address issues and opportunities within each subarea. Further, the Subarea Plans demonstrate how overarching themes and recommendations of the Land Use Plan are applied to specifjc districts and properties within the Town. The three subareas being addressed are: Town Center – including the properties roughly bounded by Town Hall Drive, Jeremiah Street, the Norfolk Southern Railroad, and Morrisville Carpenter Road. McCrimmon Extension – including properties roughly adjacent to the McCrimmon Parkway extension, the majority of which are currently undeveloped. TOD East – including properties south of Wake Technical Community College’s RTP Campus, roughly bounded by NC54, the college’s campus, offjce uses along Perimeter Park Drive, and McCrimmon Parkway. For each of the identifjed subareas, Land Use Programs have been developed, including two unique

  • alternatives. These indicate potential growth patuerns that each subarea could support, guided by

existing conditions, public engagement and feedback, on-going development, and market analysis. Based upon discussion with Town Stafg, the Planning and Zoning Board, and the Town Council, these alternatives will be refjned to provide two clearly defjned concepts for how each subarea could develop in the future.

Preliminary Land Use Programs

DRAFT

For Stafg Review Morrisville Land Use Plan Update Subarea Land Use Programs

1

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SLIDE 2

Indian Creek Greenway & Trailhead Morrisville Town Hall Morrisville Police Department Morrisville Fire Department Carolina St Scoggins Ave Indian Branch Dr J e r e m i a h S t Aviation Pkwy Ashe St Union Ridge Dr Taylor Glen Dr F

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e D r M a l v e r n H i l l L n D

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n i n g G l e n D r Morrisville Carpenter Rd Vis t a B ro
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D r S e d u m L n C h e c k e r b e rry Dr Cotten Dr Franklin Upchurch Sr St

Chapel Hill Rd Church St Town Hall Dr

54 600 1,200 Feet 300

Mixed-Use Mixed Residential Single-Family Neighborhood Public/Semi-Public Public Gathering Space Open Space Proposed Road Connection Road Under Construction

Town Center

Proposed Land Use Alternative 1

\

This alternative supports activation

  • f the Town Center as a mixed-

use district that incorporates public uses, commercial retail and services, professional offjce space, and a variety of residential

  • products. This mix of uses,

including a dedicated public gathering space, will foster an active and vibrant district at the community’s core that acts as a focal point for Morrisville. The primary difgerence between the two alternatives for the Town Center Subarea is density of development. Alternative 1 would utilize surface parking exclusively, requiring each property to provide a set standard

  • f internal parking. This will result

in lower density of development as each parcel must accommodate surface parking internally. While this would alleviate the costs

  • f consolidated parking, it may

challenge the viability of aturacting development based upon the size of specifjc parcels.

Mixed-Use

Includes mixed-use developments with ground fmoor commercial and multi-family or offjce spaces above. Multi-family should include afgordable units as appropriate. These develop- ments should front to both Carolina Street and Church Street, with parking accommodated by rear surface lots

  • n each property. Mixed-use invest-

ment will signifjcantly contribute to a more urban feel in the Town Center and support activity and employment in the area. As development occurs, considerations must be given to the mix of uses to avoid the Town Center becoming a campus for exclusively public and government uses.

Mixed Residential

Includes a mix of multi-family and single-family atuached residential, intended to support activity within the

  • subarea. Mixed residential investment

is intended to bufger high-density mixed use from less intense single-family

  • neighborhoods. Buildings should be
  • riented to the street, with parking

accommodated on the rear of each

  • property. Afgordable units should be

encouraged as part of mixed residential development.

Single-Family Neighborhood

Includes single-family detached homes, intended to maintain the resi- dential character along Church Street and Page Street. Historic properties should be preserved and enhanced, while the redevelopment of disin- vested properties over time should be

  • encouraged. Adaptive conversions of

single-family homes over time should be allowed; however, the area’s residen- tial character should be maintained as the historic heart of Morrisville.

Public/Semi-Public

Includes existing public/semi-public uses that should be maintained as activity generators within the Town

  • Center. This includes the Town’s

municipal buildings, the under construction Morrisville Library, the First Baptist Church, and the Morris- ville Christian Church.

Public Gathering Space

Identifjes a dedicated public gathering space, intended to act as the core of the Town Center. This space should be adaptive and programmable to host community events and activities as well as provide recreational amenities.

Open Space

Includes areas that should be preserved as dedicated public open space, specifjcally intended to support pedestrian and bicycle connections into the Town Center and enhance the character of the subarea.

Town Center Subarea: Alternative 1

DRAFT

For Stafg Review

2

Morrisville Land Use Plan Update Subarea Land Use Programs

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SLIDE 3

Morrisville Town Hall Morrisville Police Department Morrisville Fire Department Indian Creek Greenway & Trailhead Cotten Dr Carolina St Scoggins Ave Indian Branch Dr J e r e m i a h S t Aviation Pkwy Ashe St Union Ridge Dr Taylor Glen Dr Franklin Upchurch Sr St F

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D r S e d u m L n C h e c k e r b e rry Dr

Chapel Hill Rd Church St Town Hall Dr

54 600 1,200 Feet 300

Town Center

Alternative 2

Mixed-Use Mixed Residential Single-Family Neighborhood Public/Semi-Public Public Gathering Space Open Space Proposed Road Connection Road Under Construction

Proposed Land Use

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Similar to Alternative 1, this alternative supports activation of the Town Center as a mixed-use

  • district. Incorporating commercial,

residential, offjce, and public uses will foster an active and vibrant

  • district. Supporting greater density

than Alternative 1, this district combines mixed-use development along Carolina Street with a public gathering space to create a larger focal point for the community. In juxtaposition to the fjrst alternative, Alternative 2 recommends the consolidation

  • f parking into shared parking
  • garages. By concentrating parking,

the Town will be able to modify parking standards to allow for higher density development while still accommodating necessary parking within the subarea. This alternative will enable greater build-out of the Town Center and could yield greater tax revenue, but would require a greater upfront investment from the Town.

Mixed-Use

Includes mixed-use developments with ground fmoor commercial and multi-family residential or offjce spaces above. Multi-family should include afgordable units as appropri-

  • ate. These developments should front

to both Carolina Street and Church Street, with parking accommodated in

  • fg-site, shared lots or garages, allow-

ing for higher density of development. As development occurs, consider- ations must be given to the mix of uses to avoid the Town Center becoming a campus for exclusively public and government uses.

Mixed Residential

Includes a mix of multi-family and single-family atuached residential, intended to support activity within the

  • subarea. In addition, mixed residen-

tial investment is intended to act as a bufger between high-density mixed use and less intense single-family neigh-

  • borhoods. These uses should utilize

consolidated and shared parking; however, if parking is provided inter- nally, it should be oriented to the rear and appropriately screened. Afgordable units should be encouraged as part of mixed residential development.

Single-Family Neighborhood

Includes single-family detached homes, intended to maintain the resi- dential character along Church Street and Page Street. Historic properties should be preserved and enhanced, while the redevelopment of disin- vested properties over time should be

  • encouraged. Adaptive conversions of

single-family homes over time should be allowed; however, the area’s residen- tial character should be maintained as the historic heart of Morrisville.

Public/Semi-Public

Includes existing public/semi-public uses that should be maintained as activity generators within the Town

  • Center. This includes the Town’s

municipal buildings, the under construction Morrisville Library, the First Baptist Church, and the Morris- ville Christian Church.

Public Gathering Space

Identifjes a dedicated public gathering space, intended to act as the core of the Town Center. This space should be adaptive and programmable to host community events and activities as well as provide recreational amenities.

Open Space

Includes areas that should be preserved as dedicated public open space, specifjcally intended to support pedestrian and bicycle connections into the Town Center and enhance the character of the subarea.

Town Center Subarea: Alternative 2

DRAFT

For Stafg Review Morrisville Land Use Plan Update Subarea Land Use Programs

3

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Wake Competition Center International Dr T r a n s A i r D r Green Dr D

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t D r Stella Ct Nova Dr Mccrimmon Pkwy Clements Dr Airtech Dr Southcenter Ct W a l d r

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C t Airport Blvd Perimeter Park Dr Southport Dr

C h a p e l H i l l R d Aviation Pkwy

54 600 1,200 Feet 300

Industrial & Office Flex Sports Complex Multi-Family Commercial Open Space Proposed Road Connection Road Under Construction

McCrimmon Extension

Proposed Land Use Alternative 1

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This alternative is intended to support continuing growth of the McCrimmon Extension Subarea. The identifjed land use designations refmect existing development patuerns and enable investment that is consistent with ongoing trends. This includes a large proportion

  • f industrial and offjce fmex space,

building upon existing heavy and light industrial, warehousing and distribution, and corporate offjces surrounding and close to the subarea.

Industrial & Ofgice Flex

Includes light and heavy industrial, warehousing and distribution, and corporate and professional offjces that mirror the existing mix of devel-

  • pments adjacent to the McCrimmon

Extension Subarea. Considerations should be given to building location and design, intensity of uses, land- scaping, and other improvements to make a unifjed and inviting district for industry and employment.

Sports Complex

Includes the Wake Competition Center and provides for appropriate south- ward growth of this development to Southport Drive. As a valuable amenity for the community, this use should be appropriately incorporated within the surrounding area; however, the rela- tion to adjacent uses must be consid- ered as development occurs over time.

Multi-Family

Includes the multi-family development under construction at the intersection

  • f McCrimmon and Aviation Park-
  • ways. While the subarea could support

additional multi-family, Alternative 1 does not recommend further develop- ment of this use, in compliance with the established Unifjed Development Ordinance Airport Overlay.

Commercial

Includes opportunities for commer- cial businesses at the intersection of McCrimmon and Aviation Parkways and along Airport Boulevard. This should include retail and service businesses that support adjacent multi-family, industrial and offjce uses, and traffjc moving through the area.

Open Space

Includes the creek that runs through the study area and adjacent land, intended to form a greenway extending from Aviation Parkway to Airport Boule-

  • vard. This land should be appropriately

protected and could be enhanced with trails that support accessibility and recreation within the area.

McCrimmon Extension Subarea: Alternative 1

DRAFT

For Stafg Review

4

Morrisville Land Use Plan Update Subarea Land Use Programs

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Wake Competition Center International Dr T r a n s A i r D r Green Dr D

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D r S
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t h p

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t D r Stella Ct Nova Dr Mccrimmon Pkwy Evans Rd Clements Dr Southcenter Ct W a l d r

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C t Airport Blvd Perimeter Park Dr Southport Dr Airtech Dr

C h a p e l H i l l R d Aviation Pkwy

54 600 1,200 Feet 300

Multi-Family Commercial Commercial & Office Flex Industrial & Office Flex Corporate Office Office & Multi-Family Sports Complex Open Space Proposed Road Connection Road Under Construction

McCrimmon Extension

Proposed Land Use Alternative 2

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This alternative is intended to support an approach to development within the McCrimmon Extension Subarea that more directly addresses community needs that difger from the ongoing patuern

  • f development. This includes a

greater amount of multi-family residential and commercial uses that could compliment the Wake Competition Center and potentially provide workforce and afgordable housing options. Combined with appropriate industrial and offjce growth, Alternative 2 enables a more balanced activation of the subarea.

Multi-Family

Includes multi-family residential devel-

  • pment along the west side of McCrim-

mon Parkway, intended to further diversify residential options within the community and potentially provide workforce and afgordable housing within close proximity to corporate offjces and

  • ther employers. Multi-family north of

Southport Drive would require amend- ments to the Unifjed Development Ordinance Airport Overlay. Included in this area is the multi-family develop- ment under construction at the inter- section of McCrimmon Parkway and Aviation Parkway.

Commercial

Includes opportunities for commercial investment along Airport Boulevard and McCrimmon Parkway. Develop- ment should feature retail and service businesses, restaurants, and enter- tainment uses that ofger commercial

  • ptions and support activity within

the subarea. In particular, commer- cial development should support multi-family residents and reinforce the Wake Competition Center as an activity generator and destination within the Town.

Commercial & Ofgice Flex

Includes opportunity for commercial and offjce development northeast of the intersection of Southport Drive and McCrimmon Parkway. This will support retail, service, and enter- tainment uses as well as large-scale corporate offjces on unifjed campuses. Commercial uses should be an exten- sion of development to the south and providing options for patrons of the Wake County Competition Center.

Industrial & Ofgice Flex

Includes light and heavy industrial, warehousing and distribution, and professional offjces, intended to support build out of adjacent indus- trial areas. Considerations should be given to building location and design, intensity of uses, landscaping, and

  • ther improvements to limit impacts to

lower intensity uses within the area.

Corporate Ofgice

Includes an opportunity for large-scale

  • ffjce investment, intended to support

development of corporate offjces or a unifjed campus. Considerations should be given to the design of the entire site, landscaping, and relation to adjacent uses. Establishment as a PUD may allow the most appropriate development of the site.

Ofgice & Multi-Family

Includes opportunity for either profes- sional offjce or multi-family residential

  • development. This will be dependent

upon growth and long-term develop- ment of adjacent properties within the subarea, intended to create a transition between commercial to the west, corporate offjce to the east, and multi-family to the south.

Sports Complex

Includes the Wake Competition Center and provides for appropriate growth of this development. As a valuable amen- ity for the community, this use should be appropriately incorporated within the surrounding area; however, the rela- tion to adjacent uses must be consid- ered as development occurs over time.

Open Space

Includes land that should be main- tained as open space, intended to protect environmental features and act as a bufger between incompatible

  • uses. This includes the creek that runs

through the study area and adjacent land, intended to form a greenway extending from Aviation parkway to Airport Boulevard. This green- way should be enhanced with a trail network to support accessibility and recreation within the area.

McCrimmon Extension Subarea: Alternative 2

DRAFT

For Stafg Review Morrisville Land Use Plan Update Subarea Land Use Programs

5

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Wake Technical Community College RTP Campus Shiloh Park Morrisville Fire Station 2 Perimeter Park Dr Mccrimmon Pkwy Watkins Rd P a r a m

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n t P k w y Mccrimmon Pkwy

C h a p e l H i l l R d M c C r i m m

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F l y

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54 600 1,200 Feet 300

TOD East

Commercial Office Open Space Proposed Road Connection

Alternative 1 Proposed Land Use

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This alternative is intended to support continuing growth of the TOD East Subarea in a manner that is consistent with ongoing development trends. The identifjed land use designations support continued commercial growth along NC54 (Chapel Hill Road) and extension of offjce uses into the area from the east. Emphasis will be placed on site design, access, landscaping, and other components that will ensure quality of development and a unifjed and vibrant. Roadway connections will be made to the proposed McCrimmon Flyover, taking into account grading and site confjguration within the subarea.

Commercial

Includes opportunities for continued commercial investment along NC54 that will ofger goods and services to Wake Technical Community College students and drivers moving along the corridor. The existing Welcome Federal Credit Union would be emphasized as an example for future investment, with considerations for site design, landscaping, access, and building orientation relative to NC54.

Ofgice

Identifjes opportunities for develop- ment of professional and corporate

  • ffjce spaces, acting as an expansion of
  • ffjce uses along Perimeter Park Drive.

Emphasis will be placed on continuing the campus-like appearance of adja- cent offjce uses and further supporting Morrisville’s employment base with newly developed offjce spaces.

Open Space

Includes land that is best suited for preservation as public and private

  • pen space due to recommended road-

way extensions and parcel reconfjgu- rations in the subarea. This includes parcels formed by the proposed McCrimmon Parkway Flyover, which should be preserved as public open space, as well as land adjacent to the planned roadway connecting to Wake Technical Community College’s RTP Campus, which should be preserved as private open space.

TOD East Subarea: Alternative 1

DRAFT

For Stafg Review

6

Morrisville Land Use Plan Update Subarea Land Use Programs

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Shiloh Park Morrisville Fire Station 2 Wake Technical Community College RTP Campus Perimeter Park Dr Mccrimmon Pkwy Watkins Rd P a r a m

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n t P k w y Mccrimmon Pkwy

C h a p e l H i l l R d M c C r i m m

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54 600 1,200 Feet 300

Commercial Office Transit Oriented Development Wake Tech Connection Open Space Proposed Road Connection

Proposed Land Use Alternative 2

TOD East

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This alternative is intended to support a greater focus on transit

  • riented development within the

TOD East Subarea. The alternative builds upon both anticipated transit routes along NC54 (Chapel Hill Road) and proximity to Wake Technical Community College’s RTP Campus. While both commercial and offjce uses are still incorporated, the primary difgerence from Alternative 1 is the introduction of transit oriented

  • development. This would feature

a mix of commercial, offjce, and multi-family uses intended to activate the subarea as an extension and amenity for the RTP campus to the north and the Transit Oriented District to the west. Roadway connections will be made to the proposed McCrimmon Flyover, taking into account grading and site confjguration within the subarea.

Commercial

Includes opportunities for continued commercial investment along NC54 that will ofger goods and services to Wake Technical Community College students and drivers moving along the corridor. The existing Welcome Federal Credit Union is an example for future investment, with considerations for site design, landscaping, access, and building orientation relative to NC54 (Chapel Hill Road).

Ofgice

Identifjes opportunities for develop- ment of professional and corporate

  • ffjce spaces, acting as an expansion
  • f offjce uses along Perimeter Park
  • Drive. Emphasis should be placed
  • n continuing the campus-like

appearance of adjacent offjce uses and further supporting Morrisville’s employment base with newly devel-

  • ped offjce spaces.

Transit Oriented Development

Identifjes an area that is best suited for transit-oriented development (TOD), ofgering access to both future transit routes along the NC54 (Chapel Hill Road) corridor as well as Wake Technical Community College’s RTP

  • Campus. Development of TOD within

the subarea should include mixed- use buildings featuring ground fmoor commercial with multi-family and

  • ffjce uses above, creating a vibrant

and active pedestrian-oriented

  • subarea. Further, the incorporation of

multi-family development could ofger housing for students and area employ- ees, which may include workforce and afgordable housing. The existing Grace Park development in Morrisville is a great example of the kind of mixed-use development preferable in this subarea.

Wake Tech Connection

Identifjes a triangular property along Watkins Road that be preserved as a potential connection between Transit Oriented Development areas south

  • f Watkins Road and Wake Technical

Community College’s RTP campus to the north. This should include dedi- cated infrastructure for pedestrians and bicycles and could feature a pedes- trian crosswalk across Watkins Road.

Open Space

Includes land that is best suited for preservation as public and private

  • pen space due to recommended road-

way extensions and parcel reconfjgu- rations in the subarea. This includes parcels formed by the proposed McCrimmon Parkway Flyover, which should be preserved as public open space, as well as land adjacent to the planned roadway connecting to Wake Technical Community College’s RTP Campus, which should be preserved as private open space.

TOD East Subarea: Alternative 2

DRAFT

For Stafg Review Morrisville Land Use Plan Update Subarea Land Use Programs

7

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SLIDE 8

Multi-Family

The North Cary/Morrisville multi-fam- ily submarket is consistently among the broader Raleigh market’s most active construction submarkets. Demand is driven, in part, by recently graduated young professionals arriving from nearby universities. Transplants moving to the area for new job oppor- tunities, however, also drive demand, making the submarket somewhat dynamic, as it is not as afgected by traditional, geographic market area constraints. The submarket has total current inventory of nearly 21,000 units, with absorption at a litule over 1,000 units

  • ver the past 12 months. Factoring in

869 units currently under construc- tion and over 1,700 vacant units, there are currently approximately 31 months

  • f existing and projected inventory
  • available. Multi-family demand in the

submarket, however, is projected to continue to grow by approximately 1,300 units, given the Raleigh area’s projected population growth over the next fjve years. It is not unreasonable to assume that multi-family units proposed in the subarea plans could capture a signifjcant portion of this

  • demand. It should be noted, however,

that denser subarea alternatives, specifjcally McCrimmon Extension Alternative #2 and Town Center Alter- native #2, would most likely require buildout periods of fjve to 10 years.

Ofgice

The RTP/RDU offjce submarket is relatively strong, with only 11 months

  • f existing inventory and planned

deliveries currently available. The current 2.2 percent vacancy rate also underscores the health of the local

  • ffjce market. Recent deliveries in the

RTP/RDU submarket include Perime- ter Park Five and Perimeter Park Six. Perimeter Park Six includes roughly 200,000 square feet, and Relias Health pre-leased more than half of the build- ing prior to delivery. Perimeter Park Five is fully leased by a single user and includes more than 250,000 square feet of space. Offjce space has been proposed for at least one alternative for each of the three subareas. Given strong market conditions and the desirable locations

  • f the McCrimmon Parkway and TOD

East subareas, new offjce space in these areas should absorb relatively quickly into the marketplace. The viability

  • f offjce space included in the Town

Center subarea is less certain, however, as product located in mixed-use developments represents such a small portion of existing inventory. None- theless, the less dense development proposed in Alternative #1 could easily absorb into the market at buildout; the market viability for offjce proposed in Alternative #2 is less certain.

Retail

The local retail submarket is also strong, with only 10 months of exist- ing inventory and planned deliveries currently available. Retail space has been proposed for each of the three

  • subareas. With annual absorption of

approximately 375,000 square feet and continued population and employ- ment growth, the proposed retail space in nearly all the subarea alternatives appears to have the necessary market support to make the developments

  • feasible. The exception, however,

would be the denser Alternative #2 for the Town Center subarea. Given the subareas limited visibility, a signifj- cant proportion of the subareas retail space would need to be supported from within the subarea. As such, the success of this denser alternative would depend, in large part, to the success of the multi-family develop- ment included in this alternative.

Industrial & Flex

The RTP/RDU submarket is home to more than 8.7 million square feet of industrial and fmex space housed in 172

  • buildings. Net absorption, however,

has recently not kept pace with new deliveries, indicated by negative absorption of approximately 130,000 square feet over the past 12 months. But over the past fjve years, absorption has averaged approximately 89,000 square feet. Industrial and fmex uses have only been proposed for alterna- tives in the McCrimmon Extension subarea.

Population and Housing, 2010-24

Town of Morrisville

2010 2019 2024 CAGR* 10-19 CAGR* 19-24 Population 18,576 29,170 33,946 5.1% 3.1% Total Housing Units 8,357 12,127 13,743 4.2% 2.8% Owner-Occupied 3,698 6,782 8,071 7.0% 3.5% Renter-Occupied Units 3,943 4,177 4,304 0.6% 0.6% Vacant Units 716 1,168 1,368 5.6% 3.2%

*Compound Annual Growth Rate Source: ESRI Business Analyst, U.S. Census Bureau

Multi-Family Inventory, 2019

North Cary/Morrisville Submarket

Current 5-year avg. Vacant Units 1,769 1,405 Vacancy Rate 8.8% 7.6% 12 Mo. Absorption Units 1,024 537 Existing Units 20,984 18,561 12 Mo. Const. Starts 700 663 Under Construction 869 897 12 Mo. Deliveries 1,174 666 Absorption time (mos.) 31 51

Sources: Esri Business Analyst, U.S. Census Bureau, CoStar, and Houseal Lavigne

Multi-Family Demand, 2019-22

North Cary/Morrisville Submarket

Population forecast (2022) 125,000

  • Avg. household size

2.50 Household forecast 50,000

  • Pct. renter occupied

46.9% Potential demand (units) 23,446 Plus: Frictional vacancy 5.0% Total supportable demand 22,273 Less: Existing inventory (20,984) Potential demand (units) 1,289

Sources: Esri Business Analyst, U.S. Census Bureau, CoStar, and Houseal Lavigne

Ofgice Inventory and Demand, Current

RTP/RDU Submarket

Current 5-year avg. 12-mo. absorption (sf) 546,491 330,458 12-mo. leasing (sf) 619,436 927,851 Existing buildings 109 103 Existing sf 9,417,033 8,601,725 12-mo. constr. starts (sf) 206,382 225,384 Under construction (sf) 310,900 304,623 12-mo. deliveries (sf) 567,932 233,208 Vacancy (pct.) 2.2% 11.5% Vacant space (sf) 207,175 989,198 Absorption time (mos.) 11 47

Sources: CoStar, Houseal Lavigne

Retail Inventory and Demand, Current

RTP/RDU Submarket

Current 5-year avg. 12-mo. absorption (sf) 375,244 193,380 12-mo. leasing (sf) 69,590 60,281 Existing buildings 182 161 Existing sf 2,914,615 2,626,070 12-mo. constr. starts (sf) 165,239 105,528 Under construction (sf) 155,630 135,112 12-mo. deliveries (sf) 126,873 147,851 Vacancy (pct.) 5.0% 6.0% Vacant space (sf) 145,731 157,564 Absorption time (mos.) 10 18

Sources: CoStar, Houseal Lavigne

Ind./Flex Inventory and Demand, Current

RTP/RDU Submarket

Current 5-year avg. 12-mo. absorption (sf) (130,076) 89,113 12-mo. leasing (sf) 1,062,946 755,044 Existing buildings 172 171 Existing sf 8,714,781 8,645,358 12-mo. constr. starts (sf)

  • 31,814

Under construction (sf)

  • 26,860

12-mo. deliveries (sf) 70,481 66,292 Vacancy (pct.) 6.2% 4.4% Vacant space (sf) 540,316 380,396 Absorption time (mos.) (50) 55

Sources: CoStar, Houseal Lavigne

Market Assessment

DRAFT

For Stafg Review

8

Morrisville Land Use Plan Update Subarea Land Use Programs