Population Estimates Program: Census 2020 Preparations Working to ensure accurate and comprehensive population counts for Massachusetts October 24, 2018 Susan Strate, Senior Program Manager Population Estimates Program Economic and Public Policy Research
2
Population Estimates Program Mission With support from the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, the Population Estimate Program’s goal is to ensure that the population estimates and counts produced by the U.S. Census Bureau for Massachusetts geographies are as accurate and comprehensive as possible. 3
Supporting Accurate Census Estimates Group nursing homes, annual survey Quarters dormitories, direct to facilities prisons, shelters Survey U.S. Census residential Bureau’s Annual Review & Housing Unit building permits, annual survey to Population Format cities and towns demolitions, Survey Estimates conversions for Massachusetts Municipalities and birth and death Vital Statistics data requested Counties data by county from MA DPH Review 4
The 2020 Census is about…… for $16 billion # of MA accurate Sets base in Federal MA lost 1 Reps. in and for next Funds to seat in effective Congress 10 years MA in 2010 planning FY’15 DATA MONEY POWER 5
Supporting Accurate Census Counts Pre-Census 2020 Census Count Post-Census 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Count New Count Count Question LUCA Early Review Review GQER GSS-I Construction NRFU 2020 Program Resolution Program Survey GQ 6
Supporting Accurate Census Counts Pre-Census 2020 Census Count Post-Census 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Count New Count Count Question LUCA Early Review Review GQER GSS-I GQER Construction NRFU 2020 Program Resolution Program Survey GQ Submit group quarters Group Quarters Electronic addresses and locations to Review Test Census 7
Supporting Accurate Census Counts Pre-Census 2020 Census Count Post-Census 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Count New Count Count Question LUCA Early Review Review GQER GSS-I GSS-I Construction NRFU 2020 Program Resolution Program Survey GQ Over 1 million new or Submitted 2.8 residential corrected coordinates added Geographic Support addresses with coordinates to Census Master Address Services Initiative to Census File 8
Supporting Accurate Census Counts Pre-Census 2020 Census Count Post-Census 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Count New Count Count Question LUCA LUCA Early Review Review GQER GSS-I Construction 2020 NRFU 2020 Program Resolution Program Survey GQ Outreach and Support activities; Review MAF Local Update of Census Statewide review and submission Submit missing addresses Addresses with over 100,000 potentially new and locations addresses submitted. 9
Supporting Accurate Census Counts Pre-Census 2020 Census Count Post-Census 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Count New Count Early Non- Count Question LUCA Early Review Review GQER GSS-I Response Construction NRFU 2020 Program Resolution Follow Up Program Survey GQ Geo-spatial analysis; 2,863 blocks recommended to Census for Early NRFU operations. 10
Supporting Accurate Census Counts Pre-Census 2020 Census Count Post-Census 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Count New New Count Count Question LUCA Early Review Construction Review GQER GSS-I Construction NRFU 2020 Program Resolution Survey Program Survey GQ 11
Supporting Accurate Census Counts Pre-Census 2020 Census Count Post-Census 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Count New Count Count Count Question LUCA Early Review Review Review GQER GSS-I Construction NRFU 2020 Program Resolution Program Program Survey GQ Last chance pre-Census : Review MAF Submit missing addresses and locations 12
Supporting Accurate Census Counts Pre-Census 2020 Census Count Post-Census 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Count New Count Count Question LUCA Early Review Review GQER GSS-I Construction NRFU 2020 Program Resolution Program Survey GQ Census Basis for Census Surveys Master Address File 13
Supporting Accurate Census Counts Pre-Census 2020 Census Count Post-Census 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Count New Count Count Question LUCA Early Review Review GQER GSS-I Construction NRFU 2020 Program Resolution Program Survey GQ Post Census Review 14
The Foreign Born in Massachusetts Compared to other states, Massachusetts ranks 8 th in percent of total population that • is foreign born, at 16.5% in 2016 according to the American Community Survey. Only seven other states including California, New York, New Jersey, Florida, Nevada, Hawaii, and Texas have larger percentages of foreign born population. • Among Massachusetts’ estimated 1,095,953 foreign born population, approximately 52% are naturalized U.S. citizens. • Almost 20% of the foreign born population in Massachusetts entered the country after 2010, meaning that, on average, immigrants in Massachusetts are likely newer to the U.S. than those in the seven states with higher percentages of foreign born population (California, New York, Florida, etc.) In terms of most recent U.S. entries, Massachusetts ranks 4 th in the U.S. - after • District of Columbia, Hawaii, and Florida – for largest percent of residents who reported that their residence one year ago was outside of the U.S. (U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey ACS 2015 and 2016 1-year data). 15
The Foreign Born Population as a Percent of Total Population in MA and the U.S. 1850-2010 35.0% MA, 1910, 31.6% 30.0% 25.0% MA, 16.2% 20.0% MA, 14.9% 15.0% US, 12.9% 10.0% US, 9.7% 5.0% 0.0% 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 16.5% in 2016 ACS 1-Year Data, U.S. Census Bureau 16
Thank you! Susan Strate Senior Program Manager, Population Estimates Program Economic and Public Policy Research UMass Donahue Institute 100 Venture Way, Suite 9 Hadley, MA 01035 (413) 577-0753 http://www.donahue.umassp.edu sstrate@donahue.umassp.edu 17
Recommend
More recommend
