PIRAEUS BANK GROUP
FIXED INCOME PRESENTATION
May 2018
PIRAEUS BANK GROUP FIXED INCOME PRESENTATION May 2018 TABLE OF - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
PIRAEUS BANK GROUP FIXED INCOME PRESENTATION May 2018 TABLE OF CONTENTS 01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 02 ASSET QUALITY 03 CAPITAL 04 LIQUIDITY & FUNDING 05 2018 EU WIDE STRESS TEST OUTCOME 06 APPENDIX 01 . EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 01 1.1 PIRAEUS BANK
May 2018
01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 02 ASSET QUALITY 03 CAPITAL 04 LIQUIDITY & FUNDING 05 2018 EU WIDE STRESS TEST OUTCOME 06 APPENDIX
4
market leader in loans and deposits sound capital and liquidity position strong reinvigorated management team delivering on our transformation strategy
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1 PIRAEUS BANK STRENGTHS AND GOALS reduce NPLs and NPEs to a normalised level maintain a strong capital base re-establish wholesale market funding access create a profitable and sustainable business model
5
1.2 PIRAEUS AT A GLANCE
Assets
Net Loans
Deposits
CET-1 ratio [phased-in]
Loans-to-Deposits ratio
❶ ❷ ❸ ❹ ❺
in loans
customers
in deposits
average length of customer relationships
e-banking users
mobile banking users
branches
headcount
* data for domestic operations in Mar.18 * data for Group operations in Mar.18
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
6
1.3 PIRAEUS BANK LEADING POSITION IN GREECE
1% 18% 21% 28%
30%
2% 21% 21% 26%
30%
55 396 486 483
620
Gross Loans - Greece
Source: Bank of Greece for Greek market data and financial information for banks, as of Dec.2017
35% business
Customer Deposits - Greece Greek Branch Network
597 in March | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
7
1.4 ASSETS & LIABILITIES OVERVIEW
16.0 2.2 41.4 2.4 1.5
Other* Cash
Asset Mix
Total
Securities Net Loans PPE
63.6
amounts in €bn Total
ECB ELA Interbank Repos Sight & Savings Deposits Time Deposits Total Equity Other
63.6
Funding Mix
Mar.18 Mar.18
Debt Securities
lower ELA reliance, improved market access and increasing customer deposits
cost lower than ELA
3.5 7.8 17.2 25.9 0.4 2.6 4.0 2.1
in the context of short term measures for the Hellenic Republic’s debt relief (€16.8bn at the peak)
loans at the end of Mar.18
(*) other includes DTA, loans & advances to banks, intangible assets, discontinued operations
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.5 Q1.2018 | PROGRESS IN ALL FRONTS
Continuous Progress on Asset Quality
Improved Liquidity Profile and Enhanced Funding Mix
Intensified Cost Efficiency and Cost of Risk Decrease Offsetting Lower Net Interest Income
Maintaining a Strong Capital Position
Piraeus Group’s strategic & business plan
8 | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
9
1.6 BALANCE SHEET IMPROVEMENT | GREECE
Greece, €bn
Dec.17 Mar.18 qoq Assets 58.5(1) 58.4 0% Gross Loans 56.6(2) 55.7
Net Loans 41.6(2) 39.8
Loan Loss Reserves 15.0 15.8 5% Customer Deposits 40.9 41.4 1% Eurosystem Funding 9.7 6.1
96% LDR ratio
enhanced liquidity
ELA 3%
28%
LLRs over loans
€3.0bn
new loan generation budgeted for 2018
(1) Dec.17 assets excluding seasonal agri-loan, EFSF bonds eliminated in Q1.18 and discontinued operations (2) Loans adjusted for seasonal agri-loan in Dec.17; in addition, quarterly rate adjusted for Q1.18 write-offs
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
10
1.7 OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE | GREECE
Greece, €mn
Q4.17 Q1.18 qoq Net Revenues 466 434
Operating Expenses 306 242
Pre Provision Income 160 192 21% Impairments 1,236 148
Net results attrib. to SHs 66
(recurring Q1.18)
66 32
56% C:I
down qoq
50bps NFI
160bps CoR
at normalization trend
Note: assets adjusted for discontinued operations Note: P&L figures for Q4.17 and Q1.18 exclude one-time VES cost of €16mn and €138mn respectively
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
11
1.8 SEPARATE BUSINESS MODELS TO ENSURE VALUE CREATION
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
€bn RWA ROA Q1.18 21.2 <0% FY.17 21.9 <0% Decisive Actions on Legacy Issues Efficiency & Risk-Adjusted Return
€bn RWA ROA Q1.18 29.0 1.1% FY.17 28.6 1.1%
16 15
collateral provisions
37.7 35.8 32.9 32.2
Sep.15 Dec.16 Dec.17 Mar.18
98%
12
1.9 ASSET QUALITY TRACK RECORD Group NPE Development (€bn)
On track with 2018 NPE
reduction target
Q1.18 ΝPE quarterly reduction
€3.0bn NPE reduction
in the last 12 months
€5.6bn NPE reduction
from Sep.15 peak
Coverage | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
13
1.10 NPL & NPE OPERATIONAL TARGETS
19.7 14.9 10.4 11.1 10.9 9.9
Mar.2018a Dec.2018f Dec.2019f
Piraeus aims to further reduce parent stock of NPEs by 34% from Mar.18 to Dec.19
2019 reduction target will be met through:
Reduction will be achieved through: NPE NPL €20.3bn €25.9bn €30.8bn
19.8 24.3 20.0 0.0
Dec.17
inorganic effort 2020
restructurings, curings, liquidations, collections sales
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
14
1.11 ΙΜΜΙΝΕΝΤ NPΕ SALES
Project “AMOEBA”
SME and corporate -mainly denounced- NPLs (c. €1.6bn gross book value)
available for sale to capital providers
by 12 investors
unsecured denounced consumer NPLs (c. €0.4bn gross book value)
bucket
investors
by 6 investors
Project “ARCTOS”
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
15
1.12 IMPROVED LIQUIDITY & FUNDING POSITION
22.2 11.9 5.7
2.1
0.0 16.7 Dec.14 Jun.15 Dec.15 Dec.16 FY.17 Q1.18 Mar.18
Domestic Deposits (€bn) ELA Funding (€bn)
35.1 36.1 39.3 40.9 +0.5
41.4
49.5 Dec.14 Jun.15 Dec.15 Dec.16 FY.17 Q1.18 Mar.18
market share: (private sector) 28.6%
(Dec.17)
28.8%
(Mar.18)
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
16
1.13 UPGRADED OPERATING EFFICIENCY
1.6 1.3 1.1 ~0.9
to re-invent the operational model of the Bank
Greece by >€200mn during period 2018-2020
Wholesale efficiency gains Retail efficiency gains
2016 2020
Effects of cost initiatives €bn, 2017-2020
2017
Cos
savings s of
han €20 200m 0mn for
period 20 2018 18-202 020
2013
Reshape corporate functions Redesign core processes Procurement efficiency gains
initiatives in place
€80mn actions already taken
€35mn admin expenses €45mn VES
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
17
1.14 PIRAEUS BANK’S STRATEGIC FOCUS
Streamlining of business to pave the way for continuing de-risking
Improved PPI and normalized provisioning to show earning power
achieved, as per the “Agenda 2020” strategic plan
back of new loan generation
Significant strides forward in using our strong capital base to strengthen reserves
collections for NPE/NPL portfolio
2019 - 2020 2018 2017
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.15 PIRAEUS BANK | TRANSFORMATION JOURNEY
18
Profit Generation in the Core
Asset Resolution in the PLU
Bank Restructuring
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
20
2.1 NPE REDUCTION PACE
34.2
31.4
30.8
Jun.16 H2.16 H1.17 H2.17 Dec.17 Q1.18 Mar.18
Βank NPE Track Record (€bn) Piraeus reduced parent stock of NPE by 10% from Jun.16 to Mar.18; recording a €0.6bn reduction in Q1.18
| ASSET QUALITY
21
2.2 NPE MANAGEMENT: IMPROVEMENT OF DEFAULT & RE-DEFAULT RATES
(1.1) (0.7) (0.9) (0.9) (0.9) (0.9) (0.3) (0.7) (0.6) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.2)
George Handjini colaou
(1.0)
(0.6) (0.5) 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3
Redefaults Defaults Bank data, amounts in €bn Curing, Restructuring, Liquidations, Collections Write-offs
NPEs €33.8 €33.3 €32.6 Q4.16 Q1.17 Q2.17 0.2 0.4
Required effort per quarter on average till 2019
Q2.18 – Q4.19
Sales
Q3.17 €32.0 €31.4 Q4.17 Q1.18 €30.8
Note: March 2018 data are preliminary
| ASSET QUALITY
22
2.3 GROUP NPE & NPL RATIOS ON TRACK
| ASSET QUALITY
Note: NPE on balance sheet data; Dec.17 excluding seasonal agri-loan now fully repaid
NPLs (€mn) Mar.18 Business 13,360 Mortgages 4,490 Consumer 2,634 TOTAL 20,484 NPLs (€mn) Mar.18 Greece 19,673 International 811 TOTAL 20,484
Group NPL Ratio per Product Category Group NPL Mix
35.3% 35.9% 29.2% 48.5% 35.5% 35.8% 29.9% 48.6%
Total Business Mortgages Consumer
Dec.17 Mar.18
NPEs (€mn) Mar.18 Business 22,787 Mortgages 6,232 Consumer 3,131 TOTAL 32,150 NPEs (€mn) Mar.18 Greece 31,026 International 1,124 TOTAL 32,150
Group NPE Ratio per Product Category Group NPE Mix
54.5% 58.9% 41.5% 59.0% 55.7% 61.1% 41.5% 57.8%
Total Business Mortgages Consumer
Dec.17 Mar.18
NPE mix 71% 19% 10% NPL mix 65% 22% 13%
23 | ASSET QUALITY
2.4 SOLID COVERAGE IN ALL SEGMENTS
LLRs (€mn) Mar.18 LLR/ Loans Business 11.876 31.9% Mortgages 1,984 13.2% Consumer 2,484 45.8% TOTAL 16,344 28.3% LLRs (€mn) Mar.18 LLR/ Loans Greece 15,844 28.5% International 500 24.7% TOTAL 16,344 28.3%
75% 85% 39% 82%
80% 89% 44% 94%
Total Business Mortgages Consumer Dec.17 Mar.18
NPE Coverage Ratio per Product NPL Coverage Ratio per Product Group LLRs at 28% Over Loans
NPL mix 65% 22% 13%
Total NPE coverage ratio at 98% for business portfolio including collateral values Strong NPL coverage ratio at 89% for the business portfolio that comprise 65% of total NPL stock Cumulative provisions at 28% over Group gross loans
47% 50% 28% 67%
51% 52% 32% 79%
Total Business Mortgages Consumer Dec.17 Mar.18 NPE mix 71% 19% 10% Note: NPE on balance sheet data
24
2.5 DOMESTIC NPE FORMATION ΙΝ NEGATIVE TERRITORY
| ASSET QUALITY
34.7 31.0
Sep.15 Dec.15Mar.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Dec.16Mar.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 Dec.17Mar.18
NPE Stock Development (€bn)
NPE peak
NPE Pre Write-off Formation (€bn)
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0
0.1 0.0
Q4.15 Q1.16 Q2.16 Q3.16 Q4.16 Q1.17 Q2.17 Q3.17 Q4.17 Q1.18
Note: NPE data is on balance sheet
Greek NPE Formation by Segment
47
131 23 6
19
9
Q1.17 Q2.17 Q3.17 Q4.17 Q1.18 Q1.17 Q2.17 Q3.17 Q4.17 Q1.18 Q1.17 Q2.17 Q3.17 Q4.17 Q1.18
Business Mortgages Consumer NPE formation was negative in all segments in Q1.18, with business having a significant negative movement
25
2.6 NPE STOCK INCLUDES €7.7ΒΝ OF LOANS WITH ZERO DAYS OF ARREARS
| ASSET QUALITY 35.5% 55.7%
Group NPL 90dpd Implied Group NPE +13.9%
Piraeus Group NPL to NPE Reconciliation (Mar.2018) Piraeus Group NPL-NPE-LLR Data per Product (Mar.2018)
€bn Exposures NPEs NPLs Perform rming ng Impaired Forborne Contagion Business 37.3 22.8 13.4 2.8 5.8 0.7 Mortgages 15.0 6.2 4.5 0.0 1.7 0.0 Consumer 5.4 3.1 2.6 0.0 0.5 0.0 Total 57.7 32.2 20.5 2.9 8.0 0.8 €bn │ % NPEs NPLs LLRs Coverage NPEs NPLs Business 22.8 13.4 11.9 52% 89% Mortgages 6.2 4.5 2.0 32% 44% Consumer 3.1 2.6 2.5 79% 94% Total 32.2 20.5 16.3 51% 80%
+20.2% Cash Coverage
80%
Cash Coverage
51%
+5.0%
Mar.18
Group NPL >90dpd
Mar.18
Group NPE Impaired Contagion Forborne +1.3%
Impaired: the effect of the inclusion of exposures which are not past due by more than 90dpd and for which the customer carries specific provisions Forborne: the additional effect of the inclusion of exposures which are not past due but have forbearance measures (i.e. concessions towards a debtor facing or about to face difficulties in meeting financial commitments) and are classified as non-performing as per EBA Technical Standards on forbearance and non performing exposures Contagion: the additional effect of characterizing all exposures to a debtor as NPL when the debtor has exposures in arrears more than 90dpd (pull-through effect) according to EBA technical standards
€7.7bn out of €11.7bn: 0 dpd Notes: NPE on balance sheet data
26
2.7 CURING POTENTIAL FROM FORBORNE LOANS UNDER PROBATION
(€bn) 0 dpd 1-89dpd NPLs NPEs Business 6.6 2.8 13.4 22.8 Mortgages 0.9 0.9 4.5 6.2 Consumer 0.3 0.2 2.6 3.1 TOTAL 7.7 3.9 20.5 32.2
NPEs per Bucket (Mar.18)
51% 52% 32% 79% 67% 73% 37% 88% 80% 89% 44% 94% Total Business Mortgages Consumer NPE NPE>0dpd NPL
Cash Coverage Ratio per Product and Status (Mar.18) Forborne Loans (Mar.18, €14.4bn)
NPEF 0dpd 39% NPEF 1-30dpd 11% NPEF 31-90dpd 12% NPEF >90dpd 12% PF 26%
€5.7bn forborne with 0dpd
NPΕ mix 24% 12% 64% 100%
[1] [2] [3] [1+2+3] pace of NPE exits from restructurings evidently to be accelerated:
| ASSET QUALITY
Note: NPE on balance sheet data, PF stands for Performing forborne, NPEF stands for NPE Forborne, dpd stands for days past due
94%
17%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage
27
2.8 CASH COVERAGE AUGMENTED BY COLLATERAL
| ASSET QUALITY
89%
40%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage
Mortgage Business Consumer
52%
46%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage
79%
18%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage
Mortgage Business Consumer Total 129% Total 110% Total 111% Total 98% Total 98% Total 97%
Total NPE coverage at 98% Total NPL coverage at 123%
32%
66%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage
44%
66%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage Notes: collateral capped at loan amount
28
2.9 ELECTRONIC AUCTIONS’ PROGRESS
60% 30% 10%
completed non completed cancelled due to debtor request for restructuring
in Feb-mid.May 2018
Property auctions 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Feb- mid.May
# auctions carried out by Piraeus 124 124 219 396 478
imposed
from auctions’ proceeds, provided that the following cumulative conditions are satisfied: i) new financing post 17.01.2018, ii) with new underwriting/mortgage/or pledged collateral of 1st class and iii) this collateral is auctioned | ASSET QUALITY
29
2.10 PIRAEUS REO ONLINE PLATFORM PROGRESS
Piraeus Bank was the 1st Bank to launch the innovative site www.Properties4sale.gr, achieving the sale of REO assets through online & publicly accessible auctions
| ASSET QUALITY 1st Auction | 29 properties sold at 15% discount to market values 2nd Auction | 29 properties sold at 9% discount to market values 3rd Auction | 26 properties sold at 15% discount to market values
2017
4th Auction | 33 properties sold at 5.2% discount to market values Type Market Price (€mn) Bid Price (€mn) Delta 1st Auction 3.6 3.0
2nd Auction 7.2 6.6
3rd Auction 4.5 3.8
4th Auction 4.0 3.8
Total 19.3 17.2
>> Residential 13.53 12.11
>> Commercial 5.19 4.50
>> Land plots 0.61 0.59
Online Auctions | Results to Date 2017 2018
1st Auction 2nd Auction 3rd Auction 4th Auction 27-28 Jun.17 24-25 Oct.17 13-14 Dec.17 20-21 Mar.18 # of properties 58 57 48 49 # of registered users ~2,900 ~5,000 >6,000 >8,500 # of properties that received bids 39 (67%) 41 (72%) 35 (73%) 37 (76%) # of bids from total bidders 196 (80 bidders) 230 (86 bidders) 196 (74 bidders) 206 (73 bidders) % of the assets with approved bids 50% (29 properties) 51% (29 properties) 54% (26 properties) 67% (33 properties) # of properties received “Buy Now” offers 9/39 13/41 6/35 13/37
2018
Planned Auctions | 6 or above
31
3.1 SOUND CAPITAL RATIOS
| CAPITAL
€ bn | % Mar.18 Mar.18 proforma CET-1 Capital 7.0 7.0 RWAs 50.2 48.7 CET-1 ratio 14.0% 14.4%
CET-1 | Phased-In Ratio SREP Capital Requirement (TSCR) Piraeus Bank maintains capital ratios
in excess of SREP capital requirements Phasing impact of c.60bps in Q1.18 CET1 ratio on fully loaded basis at 11.4%
% 2017 2018 Pillar I CET1 4.50% 4.50% Pillar 2 Requirement (P2R) 3.75% 3.75% AT1 1.50% 1.50% T2 2.00% 2.00% Total SREP Capital Requirement (TSCR) 11.75% 11.75% Conservation buffer (CB) 1.25% 1.875% Overall Capital Requirement (OCR) 13.00% 13.625%
Note: pro-forma ratio adjusted for asset disposals under way (Romania, Serbia and 2 NPE disposals)
3.2 CAPITAL STRENGTHENING PLAN UNDER WAY
| CAPITAL
32 Piraeus Bank’s Capital Enhancing Initiatives
Action Time Status RWAs Impact
>> Avis [operating leasing company] Q1.18 ~€0.2 bn >> Serbia [banking subsidiary] Q2.18 ~€0.3 bn >> Amoeba [secured NPL portfolio] Q2.18 ~€0.6 bn >> Arctos [unsecured NPL portfolio] Q2.18 >> Romania [banking subsidiary] Q2.18 ~€0.6 bn RWAs Impact | Sub-total ~€1.7bn
>> Bulgaria | Albania [banking subsidiaries] Q2.18 ~€1.2bn
YE.18 ~€0.6bn Total ~€3.5bn
strengthening plan since 2017
coverage (2017 clean-up & IFRS9 first time adoption), Piraeus is now focusing on accelerated balance sheet de-risking to facilitate the execution of its business plan
exploring certain options of issuing non- dilutive instruments
4.1 GREEK MARKET LIQUIDITY GRADUALLY RESTORED
| LIQUIDITY & FUNDING
34
40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
ELA ECB Eurosystem at €25bn in Mar.18 (ELA €14bn, ECB €11bn), -€102bn vs. Jun.15 peak
Eurosystem Funding (€bn) Deposits & Βanknotes in Circulation (€bn)
Banknotes at €34bn in Mar.18,
€14 €11 €130 €42
10 20 30 40 50 60
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
100 150 200 250 300
Deposits Currency in Circulation
€34 €140
100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Deposits Loans
Net Loans to Deposits Ratio (%) Loans & Deposit Balances (private sector,€bn)
LDR at 105% in Mar.18,
Deposits up €6.7bn in Mar.18 yoy Loans down €12.7bn yoy in Mar.18, o/w €5.7bn write-offs
€180 €126 105%
Source: Bank of Greece; on top of write-offs, the loan market has been impacted by c.€4bn FX fluctuations and other adjustments
26% 23% 74% 77% Mar.18 Mar.18 Business Retail
35
4.2 DOMESTIC DEPOSITS PICKING UP
36% 40% 64% 60% Mar.18 Mar.18 Time deposits Savings-Sight deposits
Domestic Deposit Mix (%) Deposit Movement by Segment (€bn)
Greek market Piraeus - Greece Greek market Piraeus - Greece
Customer Deposit Movement in Greece (€bn)
36.1
+0.4 +0.9 +2.9 39.3
+0.2 +0.9 +1.8 40.9 +0.5 41.4
Dec.15 Δ Q1.16Δ Q2.16Δ Q3.16Δ Q4.16 Dec.16 Δ Q1.17Δ Q2.17Δ Q3.17Δ Q4.17 Dec.17 Δ Q1.18Mar.18
Piraeus Q1.18 delta Mar.18 balance Mass|Farmers
Affluent|Private Banking +0.1 13.9 SB
SME
Corporate
2.2 Govt & Other +0.8 5.3 Total +0.5 41.4
| LIQUIDITY & FUNDING
36
4.3 EUROSYSTEM FUNDING UTILISATION DROPS FURTHER PUBLIC ISSUANCE TO ENHANCE FUNDING MIX
Dec.14 Dec.15 Dec.16 Mar.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 Dec.17 Mar.18 ECB 14.1 16.0 9.0 4.5 5.5 4.2 4.0 4.0 EFSF|ESM Bonds 5.7 15.3 7.3 2.8 3.9 2.5 1.5 0.2 GGBs and T-bills 1.0
0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 L.3723 6.8
0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.8 ELA
11.9 11.0 10.3 7.8 5.7 2.1 GGBs and T-bills
11.9 11.0 10.3 7.8 5.7 2.1 Total 14.1 32.7 20.9 15.5 15.8 12.0 9.7 6.1
Eurosystem Funding (€bn)
14.9 15.1 14.6 16.0 14.4 12.4 11.1 9.0 4.5 5.5 4.2 4.0 4.0 15.4 22.2 21.2 16.7 16.1 14.4 12.7 11.9 11.0 10.3 7.8 5.7 2.1
10.0 14.1 30.3 37.3 35.8 32.7 30.4 26.8 23.8 20.9 15.5 15.8 12.0 9.7 6.1
Sep.14 Dec.14 Mar.15 Jun.15 Sep.15 Dec.15 Mar.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Dec.16 Mar.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 Dec.17 Mar.18
ELA ECB
Collateral Used for Eurosystem Funding - Cash Values (€bn) ELA Utilisation & Buffer
1 2 ELA utilisation drops to €1bn area in mid May 2018 ELA collateral buffer estimated at €12bn, based on existing collateral valuation and haircuts
Public Issuance Plan
2018 2019 2020 €0.5bn €1.0bn €1.75bn
| LIQUIDITY & FUNDING
37
4.4 INTERBANK REPO ACTIVITY
Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 Oct.17 Nov.17 Dec.17 Jan.18 Feb.18 Mar.18
Interbank Repos Τrends Funding from Non-ECB Eligible Collateral (€bn)
Following the completion of the “ESM bond exchange”, in the framework of short term measures for Greek Public Debt relief, Piraeus Bank holds no EFSF/ESM bonds as of late-November 2017 Initiation of interbank repo activity with non-ECB eligible collateral in the past 12 months; balance at €2.3bn at the end of Mar.18 , further increased to €2.5bn as of mid-May at a cost below ELA Increased volumes assisting reduction of Eurosystem reliance
1 3 2
€2.3bn | LIQUIDITY & FUNDING
38
4.5 COVERED BOND PRIVATE PLACEMENT TRANSACTION
The significant size of drawn liquidity, long tenor and competitive all-in cost of funding achieved further highlight the importance of this landmark transaction
Piraeus Bank issued a new 5-year €500mn covered bond in October 2017, under Piraeus Bank’s €10bn Covered Bond Programme The covered bond was primarily placed among supranational organisations, namely the European Investment Bank (EIB), the European Investment Fund (EIF) and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD); Credit Suisse acted as Dealer Manager in the transaction The issue was an FRN, 3mEuribor + 250bps | Conditional Pass-Through structure The issue constituted an innovative financing scheme in which international financial organisations invested in a covered bond issued by a Greek bank for the first time
First covered bond issuance by Piraeus Bank and the first time that international financial organizations invest in covered bonds issued by Greek banks to support Greek entrepreneurship, since the beginning of the financial crisis
| LIQUIDITY & FUNDING
#2 #1 #3 #1 #3
4.6 DEBT ISSUANCE PROGRAMMES
39
PIRAEUS GROUP FINANCE PLC as Issuer PIRAEUS BANK S.A. as Issuer and Guarantor €25,000,000,000 Euro Medium Term Note Programme Arranger Deutsche Bank Dealers
Barclays BNP Paribas Credit Suisse Goldman Sachs International Morgan Stanley UBS Investment Bank
11 August 2017
BofA Merrill Lynch Citi Deutsche Bank HSBC Piraeus Bank Commerzbank
PIRAEUS BANK S.A. as Issuer €10 billion Global Covered Bond Programme Arranger Barclays Dealers Barclays Piraeus Bank S.A. 25 August 2017 PIRAEUS GROUP FINANCE PLC as Issuer PIRAEUS BANK S.A. as Guarantor €5,000,000,000 Euro-Commercial Paper Programme Arranger Piraeus Bank S.A. Dealers Piraeus Bank S.A. UBS Investment Bank 6 June 2016 500 1,000 1,500 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Public Issues (€bn|#) Piraeus Bank - Debt Issuance Programmes
#1
| LIQUIDITY & FUNDING
41
5.1 STRESS TEST MACRO ASSUMPTIONS: 2018 VS. 2015 EXERCISE
| 2018 EU WIDE STRESS TEST OUTCOME
Source: EBA, compound growth rates
decline in 2018-2020 for the 2018 ST, compared to a 10% decline of the 2015 exercise (cumulatively in the 2.5years from Jun.15 to Dec.17)
under the baseline scenario of 2018 ST; in the 2015 exercise GDP was assumed to contract 3.5% (cumulatively in the 2.5years from Jun.15 to Dec.17) Adverse Scenario 2018 2019 2020 3y 2015 2016 2017 3y
Real GDP annual growth (%)
0.2
0.3
HICP annual growth rate (%) 0.0
0.6
Unemployment rate (end year,%) 20.6 20.0 19.1
27.3 28.1 27.5 1.0 Residential real estate prices (%)
Commercial real estate prices (%)
2018 Stress Test 2015 Stress Test
Baseline Scenario 2018 2019 2020 3y 2015 2016 2017 3y
Real GDP annual growth (%) 2.4 2.5 2.4 7.5
2.7
HICP annual growth rate (%) 0.9 1.0 1.1 2.9
1.5 0.9 2.0 Unemployment rate (end year,%) 19.9 18.3 16.6
26.9 27.1 25.7
Residential real estate prices (%)
0.5 1.0 0.8
Commercial real estate prices (%) 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8
1.1
1 2
42
5.2 CET-1 DEPLETION: 2018 VS. 2015 EXERCISE
5.5% 5.2% 10.8%
Q2.15 CET-1 Starting point Q2.15 CET-1 post AQR adjustment Baseline scenario effect 2018 CET-1 Adverse scenario effect 2018 CET-1
14.8% 14.5% 15.1%
5.9%
Q4.17 CET-1 Starting point Q4.17 CET-1 restated for IFRS9 Baseline scenario effect 2020 CET-1 Adverse scenario effect 2020 CET-1
2018 EU-Wide Stress Test 2015 Greek Banks Stress Test
1 2
Baseline effect of -0.3% in 2018 exercise, just as in 2015 Adverse effect of -8.9% in 2018 ST exercise, demonstrating that the Bank can withstand a higher adverse effect when compared to the 2015 ST adverse effect, which was -7.8%
Note: starting point in 2018 exercise adjusted for IFRS9 phase-in. 2015 starting point adjusted for AQR, which is not applicable to 2018
| 2018 EU WIDE STRESS TEST OUTCOME
43
5.3 STRESS TEST PPI & LLR PROJECTION: 2018 VS. 2015 EXERCISE
Prudent assumptions adopted on capital generation capacity, impacting the PPI forecast estimates: the 3-year cumulative baseline PPI was assumed at €2.4bn in 2015 ST, while the 2018 ST PPI was at €2.1bn for the 3-year period the 3-year cumulative adverse LLR was at €3.5bn in the 2018 ST adverse, relatively at the same level as in 2015, albeit de-risking efforts taken by the Bank in the meantime the Stress Test Methodology is based on a static balance sheet approach, and, in principle, does not incorporate planned or
2,431 456 1,858 3,637 2,148 948 838 3,542 PPI Baseline PPI Adverse LLR Baseline LLR Adverse 2015 2018 ST estimate 3Y PPI ST estimate 3Y LLRs
1 2 3
amounts in €mn
| 2018 EU WIDE STRESS TEST OUTCOME
Depletion vs. 2017 reported CET-1 level post restatement due to IFRS9 transition
44
5.4 CUMULATIVE CET-1 IMPACT: BASELINE SCENARIO OF 2018 STRESS TEST
15.1%
14.8% 8.9% 2.0%
14.5%
2017 CET-1 5% IFRS9 Phase-in 2017 CET-1 post adjustment NII NFCI OpEx Credit Risk Additional IFRS9 Phase-in Other* 2020 CET-1
Cumulative Bas aseline CET ET-1 1 Impact: -0.3 0.3 pp ppts De Depletion
CET-1 depletion amounts to
end CET-1 ratio of 14.5%
1
losses: 2018 €0.5bn, 2019 €0.2bn, 2020 €0.2bn, driving the ratio of LLRs to gross loans to 31% from 29%
2
* Other incorporates effects stemming by operational risk, CoCo payment, REO, other phased-in deductions
static at 2017 levels
3 | 2018 EU WIDE STRESS TEST OUTCOME
45
5.5 CUMULATIVE CET-1 IMPACT: ADVERSE SCENARIO OF 2018 STRESS TEST
15.1%
14.8% 6.7% 2.0%
5.9%
2017 CET-1 5% IFRS9 Phase-in 2017 CET-1 post adjustment NII NFCI OpEx Credit Risk Additional IFRS9 Phase-in Other* 2020 CET-1
Cu Cumulative Ad Adverse CET CET-1 Impact: -8.9 pp ppts De Depletion
CET-1 depletion amounts to
end CET-1 ratio of 5.9%
1
losses: 2018 €2.4bn, 2019 €0.7bn, 2020 €0.5bn, driving the ratio of LLRs to gross loans to 35% from 29%
2
Depletion vs. 2017 reported CET-1 level post restatement due to IFRS9 transition * Other incorporates effects stemming by operational risk, REO, other phased in deductions
static at 2017 levels
3 | 2018 EU WIDE STRESS TEST OUTCOME
Note: as of Q1.17 the operations of two domestic subsidiaries, Olympic SA (Avis Greece) and Imithea SA (Henry Dunant hospital) were recorded as
(Piraeus Bank Beograd and the local leasing subsidiary) have been also classified as discontinued; same applies to ATE Insurance Romania
47 | APPENDIX
6.1 BOARD OF DIRECTORS
Chairman
Chair of the Audit Committee, Member of the: Risk Management Committee, Board Members’ Nominations Committee, Remuneration Committee, Strategy Committee
Zachodny Bank) Chair of the Remuneration Committee, Chair of the Nominations Committee, Member of the Strategy Committee and of the Risk Management Committee
Arne Berggren David Hexter
Non Executive Chairman Chair of the Strategy Committee
Kleinwort Benson, Bank of America Merrill Lynch and UBS in London and New York
George Handjinicolaou
Member of the: Audit Committee, Board Members’ Nominations Committee, Remuneration Committee, Strategy Committee
EnricoTommasoCucchiani
Managing Director (CEO) Chair of the Executive Committee Former CEO of Eurobank Ergasias SA, Vice-Chairman of Southern Europe of Credit Suisse Investment Banking, Distinguished Fellow (Global Federation of Competitiveness Councils)
Christos Megalou Executive Members
Executive General Manager, Piraeus Legacy Unit Member of the Executive Committee Former CEO of Eurobank Romania (BancPost), former CEO of 4Finance
George Georgakopoulos Independent Non Executive Members
Vice Chairman Chair of the Risk Management Committee, Member of the Audit Committee, Strategy Committee Former CEO at Dexia and Fortis Group, Former Vice Chair of ABN AMRO Bank and Holding NV
Karel De Boeck
Venetia Kontogouris Non Executive Members
Member of the: Risk Management Committee, Audit Committee, Board Members’ Nomination Committee, Remuneration Committee CEO of Tiresias SA, Group Risk Director at Eurobank
Solomon Berahas
Member of the: Risk Management Committee, Remuneration Committee, Board Members’ Nomination Committee, Strategy Committee Partner at Paulson & Co. Inc
Alexander Blades
HFSF Representative, Member of the: Risk Management Committee, Audit Committee, Board Members’ Nomination Committee, Remuneration Committee, Strategy Committee
Per Anders Fasth
48 | APPENDIX
6.2 SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE
HFSF
26%
Institutional Investors & Legal Entities
69%
Individuals
5%
Piraeus Shareholder Structure (Mar.2018)
Shareholder structure of Piraeus Bank presents great diversity; total number of common shareholders 30k The Hellenic Financial Stability Fund holds 26% of
The remaining 74% is held by the private sector; 68% by legal entities and 6% individuals Strong international presence with significant part of free float held by foreign institutional investors Common Shares Private sector 322 mn HFSF 115 mn Total 437 mn
49 | APPENDIX
6.3 GROUP RESULTS: DOMESTIC & INTERNATIONAL
Greece (€mn) International (€mn)
Q4.17 Q1.18 qoq Q1.17 yoy Net Interest Income 376 340
408
Net Fee Income 81 73
73 1% Trading & Other Income 8 21
Total Net Revenues 466 434
504
Total Net Revenues (excl. one-off) 466 434
483
Employee Costs (151) (257) 71% (130) 98% Employee Costs (recurring) (134) (119)
(130)
Administrative Expenses (144) (96)
(106)
Depreciation & Other (27) (26)
(24) 12% Total Operating Costs (322) (380) 18% (260) 46% Total Operating Costs (excl. one-off) (306) (242)
(260)
Pre Provision Income 143 54
245
Pre Provision Income (excl. one-off) 160 192 21% 224
Result from Associates (7) (8) 18% (8)
Impairment on Loans (1,128) (159)
(255)
Impairment on Other Assets (109) 11
(1,100) (101)
(1,100) 37 (26)
1,164 35
66 (66)
66 32
(14) (4)
Q1.18 qoq Q1.17 yoy 22 20
21
6 6
5 16% (9) 2
19 28 48% 31
19 28 48% 31
(7) (7) 4% (6) 17% (7) (7) 4% (6) 17% (10) (9)
(9) 4% (2) (1)
(1) 8% (18) (17)
(16) 9% (18) (17)
(16) 9% 10
10
(2) (1)
1
(5)
(3) 53% (15) (20)
(15)
(15)
(14)
(14)
2
50
6.4 PIRAEUS CORE BANK AND PIRAEUS LEGACY UNIT Q1.18
| APPENDIX A. P&L (€mn)
1
NII
2
NFI
3
Net revenues
4
Operating costs (ex one-offs)
5
PPI (ex one-offs)
6
Impairments
7
Net income (reported)
8
Net Income (ex one-offs) B. Ratios
9
NIM over assets
10
NF&CI over assets
11
Cost-to-income (ex one-offs)
12
Cost of risk (over net loans)
13
RoA (ex one-offs)
*PLU includes RBU, international operations, REO, holdings, discontinued operations and non-core Greek subsidiaries. Items mentioned as recurring exclude one-time employee cost of €138mn
PIRAEUS CORE BANK
280 71 367 (202) 164 (3) 22 110 2.77% 0.70% 55% 0.02% 1.1%
PLU
80 7 95 (57) 38 (169) (102) (92) 1.50% 0.14% 60% 3.58% <0%
PIRAEUS GROUP
360 79 462 (259) 203 (173) (80) 18 2.33% 0.51% 56% 1.59% 0.1%
51
6.5 NET INTEREST INCOME IMPACTED BY INCREASED PROVISIONS
Calendar impact in Q1.18 (2 days less versus Q4.17)
1 2
Lower accruing balance on the back of the increased provisions in Q4.17 (€1.2bn) and IFRS9 transition €1.6bn in Q1.18 Q4.17 Q1.18 Fixed Income Securities 23 17 Net Loans 487 449
462 425 Other Assets 23 23 Interest Income 533 489 Customer Deposits 52 51
51 50 Due to Banks 9 14
24 13 Other Liabilities & Equity 73 63 Interest Expense 135 128 Net interest Income 398 360 NIM 1 2.57% 2.33%
Net Interest Income Decomposition (€mn)
398
360
Q4.17 IFRS9 stage 3 & Q4 LLP impact Calendar effect Deleverage Q1.18
amounts in €bn
| APPENDIX
52
6.6 DOMESTIC LOAN PORTFOLIO YIELDS: FRONT BOOK PRICING AT HIGHER LEVELS
Q4.16 Q1.17 Q2.17 Q3.17 Q4.17 Q1.18
Deposits
0.51% 0.47% 0.46% 0.45% 0.46% 0.46%
Sight
0.59% 0.54% 0.52% 0.50% 0.55% 0.52%
Savings
0.10% 0.08% 0.08% 0.08% 0.08% 0.07%
Time
0.86% 0.82% 0.81% 0.78% 0.76% 0.75% avg 3m euribor
Loans
3.91% 3.88% 3.81% 3.71% 3.64% 3.60%
Mortgages
2.27% 2.22% 2.19% 2.18% 2.17% 2.15%
Consumer
8.31% 7.63% 7.62% 7.30% 7.14% 6.84%
Business
4.19% 4.23% 4.12% 4.01% 3.92% 3.90%
Actual rates shown above refer to total Greek banking operations, quarterly averages
Customer Rates: Time Deposit Rate Declines Further
Loan Rates Q1.18 Total Stock Front Book
Mortgages 2.2% 3.3% Consumer 6.8% 9.6% Business 3.9% 5.1% Total 3.6% 5.3%
Loan Rates: Front Book Rates Steadily Above Legacy Book
Q1.18 Business Loan Rates Total Stock Front Book
Corporate & SME 3.6% 4.9% SBL 6.0% 7.6% Total 3.9% 5.1%
| APPENDIX
53 | APPENDIX
6.7 LOAN & DEPOSIT PORTFOLIOS
Gross Loans Evolution (€mn)
Dec.16 Mar.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 Dec.17 Mar.18 yoy qoq Group 64,947 63,787 62,048 61,035 58,627 57,702
Business 42,511 41,719 40,389 39,645 37,962 37,276
Mortgages 16,162 15,950 15,696 15,507 15,183 15,007
Consumer 6,274 6,118 5,964 5,883 5,482 5,419
Greece 61,296 60,216 58,905 57,936 56,597 55,680
Business 39,792 39,069 38,027 37,312 36,317 35,655
Mortgages 15,707 15,502 15,330 15,143 14,973 14,797
Consumer 5,797 5,646 5,548 5,480 5,307 5,229
Int’l 3,650 3,571 3,143 3,099 2,030 2,022
0% Business 2,719 2,650 2,362 2,333 1,645 1,621
Mortgages 455 448 366 364 210 210
0% Consumer 476 472 416 402 175 190
9%
Deposits Evolution (€mn)
Dec.16 Mar.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 Dec.17 Mar.18 yoy qoq Group 42,365 40,960 40,918 41,822 42,715 43,151 5% 1% Savings 14,995 14,294 14,379 14,285 15,134 14,945 5%
Sight 11,190 10,676 10,860 11,372 11,682 10,982 3%
Time 16,179 15,990 15,679 16,165 15,900 17,225 8% 8% Greece 39,322 38,036 38,185 39,075 40,889 41,404 9% 1% Savings 14,613 14,001 14,069 13,967 14,825 14,624 4%
Sight 10,536 9,964 10,123 10,592 11,125 10,473 5%
Time 14,172 14,071 13,993 14,516 14,938 16,308 16% 9% Int’l 3,043 2,924 2,733 2,746 1,826 1,747
Savings 382 293 310 318 309 321 9% 4% Sight 654 712 737 780 556 509
Time 2,007 1,919 1,686 1,649 961 917
Notes: loan balances exclude seasonal agri-loan of €1.7bn and €1.6bn for Dec.16 and Dec.17 respectively; Serbian operations excluded from Jun.17 onwards, whereas Piraeus Bank Romania from Dec.17 onwards
54
6.8 IFRS9 IMPACT & SEGMENT ANALYSIS | GROUP
95% 1% 4%
Greek Lending International Lending Securities & Other
impact
IFRS9 (€bn)
Impact Greek Lending 1.5 Mortgages 0.2 Consumer 0.4 Business 0.9 International Lending 0.0 Other 0.1 Total 1.6
and 3
exposures significant increase in credit risk since their initial recognition.
| APPENDIX
55
6.9 GREEK BANKING LANDSCAPE | KEY CHARACTERISTICS
| APPENDIX
All four Greek systemic banks under SSM supervision as of Nov.2014 High concentration: the 4 systemic banks command ~95% of the market Capital controls since mid-2015: still in place, though significantly relaxed Large amount of Greek wealth held outside the country High level of banknotes in circulation: c.20% as % of GDP vs. c.9% for Euroarea average Greek Sovereign exposure cap imposed by the SSM to Greek banks in early 2015 Improving access to interbank and capital markets for the Greek financial sector since mid 2017 Restructuring Plan with DG Comp: legally binding commitments post recapitalizations of 2013,2015 NPE operational targets until 2019 committed to SSM as of mid 2016 HFSF | Relationship Framework Agreement with banks Enhanced corporate governance framework | international expertise in bank BoDs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
6.10 CAPITAL CONTROLS UPDATE: FURTHER RELAXATION AS OF FEB.2018
Cash Withdrawal Limit
31.08.2017)
01.09.2017)
01.03.2018) Purchase of Greek Mutual Funds
New Account Opening
new customers
with other Greek Banks
Greek Capital Market Instruments
Additional Account Beneficiary
Foreign Investments Liquidation
Transfers from abroad
withdrawn in cash
31.08.2017 can be withdrawn in cash
withdrawn in cash
withdrawn in cash Change of Custodian Bank
Outgoing Wire Transfers abroad
Trade Related Payments
Approval Committee Time Deposit Break
Early Loan Repayment
24 ministerial decisions since imposition of Capital Controls, indicating a gradual relaxation of the relative framework
56 | APPENDIX
57
6.11 AMENDMENTS IN LEGAL FRAMEWORK WILL DRIVE FURTHER ACCELERATION OF NPE/NPL DELEVERAGE
Changes Introduced in 2014 - 2016
the commercial value). Significant reduction of relevant cost for the banks (c.20%)
participate in the consolidation process which has a maximum duration of 12 months
should comply with the “no creditor worse off” principle
Pool B (family with 2 kids): property taxable value <€260k and income <€35k. In order to ensure a residence protection, the debtor must submit a payment plan for all his/her creditors
with an objective value of the property up to €140k, for which the liberalization will enter in force on 01.01.18
Changes Introduced in 2017
all participants as necessary for the sustainability of the debtor’s business. The OCW aims to accelerate the NPL deleverage effort and tackle the category of strategic defaulters
(a) provisions to ensure that there is no civil or criminal liability of credit or financial institutions and public sector officials, when involved in debt restructuring, provided that such restructuring is in compliance with a set of objective criteria (indemnity) (b) amendments to the legal framework for the licensing and operating of banking receivables’ servicing platforms with the purpose to simplify the process and documentation required and (c) an amendment to the Greek Code of Civil Procedure will enable the electronic auctions for foreclosed properties so as to avoid disruptions in the auction procedures by activists
Changes Introduced in 2018
financing post 17.01.2018, ii) with new underwriting/mortgage/or pledged collateral of 1st class and iii) this collateral is auctioned
| APPENDIX
58
6.12 MORE THAN 45% OF PERSONAL BANKRUPTCY CASES ARE REJECTED IN COURT
Retail Loan Balances Under the Protection of L.3869/2010 (bankruptcy law for individuals) - all classified as NPEs
Secured Loans Unsecured Total Secured & Unsecured in €mn | March 2018 Total Mortgages Consumer Total Total 2,460 2,306 154 912 3,372
671 639 32 269 940
374 356 18 129 503
297 283 14 140 437 % of court decisions in favor of Bank 44% 44% 44% 52% 46%
Filings that are deemed by the court as eligible for protection can regulate their debts in line with their income and 3 debt settlement plans are usually foreseen:
these are calculated based on 85% of such property’s commercial value
46% of €940mn of cases that had been filed and were dealt by the courts, have been rejected [data up to Mar.2018] Rejected cases of €437mn [data up to Mar.2018] will be repaid at par from the customer, as the court decided that they have the “ability” to repay the debt in full
| APPENDIX
59 | APPENDIX
6.13 OVERVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS
Albania* Bulgaria* London Frankfurt
Branches (#) 72 Employees (#) 993 Assets 1,496 Net loans 747 Deposits 1,098 Branches (#) 39 Employees (#) 445 Assets 589 Net loans 172 Deposits 447 Branch (#) 1 Employees (#) 20 Assets 729 Net loans 523 Deposits 18 Branch (#) 1 Employees (#) 11 Assets 168 Net loans 26 Deposits 134 (€mn, as at Mar.2018)
Branches Br Branc nches es (#) 131 131 Empl mploy
1, 1,855 Ass ssets ets €3. 3.1bn bn Net t loa
€1. 1.5b 5bn Deposi sits ts €1. 1.7bn bn Total International1 Market Shares Loans Deposits Albania 5.6% 6.0% Bulgaria 3.1% 2.8% Ukraine 0.2% 0.2% Subsidiaries
¹Consolidated financial data for international operations * In the process of being disposed
Ukraine
Branches (#) 18 Employees (#) 386 Assets 107 Net loans 50 Deposits 50
60 | APPENDIX
6.14 CONTINGENT CONVERTIBLE BONDS
Term & Ranking Payment of interest Perpetual Pari passu with common equity, junior to all claims of all creditors (including subordinated) at special liquidation of issuer Annual Fully discretionary & Paid in cash or shares Coupon is tax deductible, impacting directly equity position as dividend No dividend shall be paid on the issuer’s common stock if issuer has decided not to pay the previous coupon payment in full Coupon Initial 7 years 8% per annum (initial interest rate). Post 7 years, interest rate calculated as prevailing 7y Mid-swap rate + (8% less 7y Mid-swap rate at issuance: 7.543 per cent, p.a.) Conversion events The securities shall automatically convert into ordinary shares if:
Optional to the holder at 7th anniversary of issuance Conversion consideration The number of common shares issued on conversion is determined as 116% of the nominal amount of the outstanding securities divided by the conversion price which shall be equal to the offer price subject to market standard adjustments in the event of certain corporate actions Option to repay The issuer may, in its sole discretion, repay all or some only of the bonds at any time subject to approval by the ECB acting within the framework of SSM, at their initial nominal amount plus any interest accrued but unpaid, unless cancelled Applicable law Greek law Basel III Classification Classified as Common Equity Tier 1 Transferability Transferable by HFSF to another holder with the consent of the issuer and the regulator, per Art. 7(5)(b) of the HFSF Law Issue Size €2,040,000,000
6.15 CREDIT RATINGS
61
1
Aaa AAA AAA
2
Aa1 AA+ AA+
3
Aa2 AA AA
4
Aa3 AA- AA-
5
A1 A+ A+
6
A2 A A
7
A3 A- A-
8
Baa1 BBB+ BBB+
9
Baa2 BBB BBB
10
Baa3 BBB- BBB-
11
Ba1 BB+ BB+
12
Ba2 BB BB
13
Ba3 BB- BB-
14
B1 B+ B+
15
B2 B B
16
B3 B- B-
17
Caa1 CCC+ CCC
18
Caa2 CCC
Caa3 CCC-
Ca CC CC
21
C C C
22
RD
23
D
Greece: Country Rating Greece: Country Ceiling Piraeus: Bank Rating Piraeus Covered Bond
Piraeus Bank | LT Rating
I n v e s t m e n t G r a d e N o n - I n v e s t m e n t G r a d e
8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 16.0 17.0 18.0 19.0 20.0 21.0 22.0 23.0 24.0 Moody's S&P Fitch Baa1/BBB+ Baa2/BBB Baa3/BBB- Ba1/BB+ Ba2/BB Ba3/BB- B1/B+ B2/B B3/B- Caa1/CCC+ Caa2/CCC Caa3/CCC- Ca/CC Ca/C RD D
| APPENDIX
6.16 EMTN PROGRAMME
62 | APPENDIX 1 2
The EMTN Programme was established in 2004 and is the Bank’s funding mainstay, offering unparalleled flexibility and recognition The Programme is updated on an annual basis and it has been gradually upsized from €1bn (in 2004) to €25bn (in 2011) Issuance is done through Piraeus Group Finance or Piraeus directly Programme listed in Luxemburg Stock Exchange | Bonds can be listed to any EU stock exchange The EMTN platform is capable of supporting the issuance of debt in various formats, including:
#47 debt transactions of €6bn (Pub/PP off EMTN) Max EMTN Senior outstanding: €2.9bn in Jun 2007 (exc. Pillar II bonds) #26 Pillar II Bonds | Max outstanding: €15.2bn in Q2 2012
Key Takeaways
3 4 5 6 7 8 Summary Terms & Conditions
6.17 EMTN ISSUANCE ACTIVITY
63 | APPENDIX
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Hybrid LT2 Senior
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 13000 14000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Pillar II (L.3723) LT2 + Hybrid Senior
27,000
Outstanding Amount (€mn) Annual Issuance Activity (€mn)
6.18 COVERED BOND PROGRAMME
64 | APPENDIX 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
€10bn Covered Bond Programme established in 2011 (upsized from €3bn in 2014) Conditional Pass-Through structure (introduced in December 2014) Contractual Overcollateralization (OC) of 25% in compliance with ECB CBPP3 eligibility criteria (introduced in December 2014) Investor Repurchase Put (introduced in August 2016) #6 Covered Bond Series of €5.5bn in total, issued off the Programme Max outstanding issues: #4 Covered Bond Series of €3.5bn currently outstanding Rated “B+” by Fitch (“A-” upon commencement) Piraeus Covered Bond Programme is eligible for a total up to 13 notches uplift from the Viability Rating (VR) due to structure, committed OC and liquidity reserve
Selected Historical Information
8 Summary Terms & Conditions
6.19 COVERED BOND STRUCTURE
65 | APPENDIX 1 2 3 4 5 6
Direct issuance structure allowing Piraeus to carry out a covered bond transaction by constituting an eligible cover pool as a segregated pool
A dynamic cover pool of residential loans is encumbered by a pledge in favor of the covered bondholders, whose claims are associated with the issuance of the bonds The loans constituting the Cover Pool are not transferred to separate entity, continued to be serviced by Piraeus Bank and are isolated from its remaining assets There are three statutory tests (e.g., NPV, Nominal Value and Interest Coverage), which will be performed on a quarterly basis, and an Amortisation Test which is to be performed on a monthly basis following an Issuer Event Hedging Agreements (if required)
convert any foreign currency risk
Covered Bonds benefit from a “Dual Recourse” (Piraeus Bank and collateral backing) nature| Extra level of recourse is the main difference with ABS
6.20 COVERED BOND OUTSTANDING SERIES
66 | APPENDIX
6.21 COVERED BOND PROGRAMME DESCRIPTION
67 | APPENDIX
Issuer Piraeus Bank S.A. Servicer Piraeus Bank S.A. Amount EUR10bn Listing Luxembourg Stock Exchange Governing Law Greek Covered Bond Law / Contractual terms governed by English law Arranger Barclays Rating Agencies Fitch Coupon The programme will give the issuer the flexibility to choose the most appropriate payment type (i.e. fixed, floating, etc.) Further Issues Permitted, subject to satisfaction of statutory tests and other regulatory requirements Substitution Permitted, subject to various provisions and eligibility criteria Ranking All covered bonds will rank pari passu and pro rata without any preference or priority among themselves, irrespective of their series, for all purposes except for their respective issue dates, interest commencement dates and/or issue prices Security Collateralised; fixed and floating charges over a pool of Greek residential mortgages Repayment Conditional Pass-Through; liquidity risk is mitigated by an extension period during which there will be a best efforts sale of an appropriate part of the cover pool every 6 months for a price at least equal to the Adjusted Required Redemption Amount (ARRA) Expected Maturity Varies for each series and as Piraeus Bank deems appropriate Extended Final Maturity Date Should the issuer fail to pay on the final maturity date, payments will be deferred until the extended maturity date (the date falling 46 years after the final maturity date of each series) Maximum Loan-to-Value 80% for residential mortgages, as defined by Greek Covered Bond Law Portfolio Fully-drawn first ranking mortgages ,and/ or mortgage prenotation, denominated in Euros, backed by completed residential properties in Greece, and
Hedging If and when required for a series and cover pool, appropriately rated third parties will provide interest rate and cross-currency swaps to the
6.22 INVESTOR REPURCHASE PUT
68 | APPENDIX
Investor Repurchase Put
redeem the CB series in full on the FMD (taking account any grace periods), the Covered Bondholder has the option to give a “not less than 30 nor more than 60 days” notice to the Issuer, upon the expiry of which, the Issuer will be required to repurchase the CB series (on the date specified in this notice)
Covered Bond must deliver such Covered Bond, on any Business Day falling within the above-mentioned notice period at the specified office of any Paying Agent, accompanied by a duly signed and completed notice of exercise of the Investor Repurchase Put
Summary Piraeus Bank Covered Bonds, embed an innovative feature, namely the “Investor Repurchase Put”, that is there in order to reduce the risk of discretionary maturity extension on behalf of the Issuer (the case in a typical Conditional Pass Through Structure). In the context of such option, in the event that the issuer does not redeem the CB series in full on the Final Maturity Date (taking account any grace periods), the CBs holders have the option which, if exercised, requires the issuer to repurchase their CBs at par. Any failure by the issuer to repurchase the CBs shall not constitute an Event of Default under the CBs Programme, but it would trigger a cross-default for other Piraeus Bank Programmes (including the EMTN Programme)
6.23 SECURITISATIONS
69 | APPENDIX
Selected Historical Information
10 ABS issued during 2005-2009 (€10bn)
RMBS (#4) | SME (#3) | Consumer (#2) | Leasing (#1)
#3 RMBS originally placed with investors:
Estia I (€750mn) | Estia II (€1,250mn) | Kion (€600mn)
#7 ABS currently outstanding (~ €1,829mn)
~ €62mn in circulation - Estia I (€11mn) | Estia II (€35mn) | Kion (€15mn)
~ €1,768 mn retained and form eligible collateral for interbank repos
1 2 3 4
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Structure
Outstanding Amount - Placed Securitisations (€mn)
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Annual ABS Issuance Activity (€mn)
6.24 EURO COMMERCIAL PAPER PROGRAMME
70 | APPENDIX
One of the two unsecured funding platforms of the Bank (together with EMTN) Unsecured, short-term debt instrument with maturity<1yr Established in 2003|Original Programme Size: €1.5bn Programme further increase: €3bn in 2005|€5bn in 2006 Piraeus ECP Programme last updated in June 2016 Max ECP outstanding: €3.7bn (Feb 2008) | 85 Institutional Investors from 13 countries Fully transferable securities Clearing: Euroclear, Cedel
1 2 3 4 5 Summary Program Terms 6 7 8
71 | GLOSSARY
GLOSSARY | DEFINITIONS OF ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES
1 NII Net Interest Income 2 DTAs Deferred Tax Assets 3 PPA adjustment PPA adjustments relating to the acquisition of the seven banks [i.e. former ATEbank, the Greek banking operations
Bank S.A. and Panellinia Bank S.A.] amounting to €5.6bn at the end of Q1.18 and to €5.8bn at the end of 2017 4 Gross Loans before Impairments & Adjustments Loans and advances to customers before allowances for impairments on loan losses gross of PPA adjustments relating to the acquisition of the seven banks [i.e. former ATEbank, the Greek banking operations of Cypriot Banks in Greece (Bank of Cyprus, Cyprus Popular Bank, Hellenic Bank), Millennium Bank S.A., Geniki Bank S.A. and Panellinia Bank S.A.] amounting to €5.6bn at the end of Q1.18 and to €5.8bn at the end of 2017 5 Net Loans Loans and advances to customers gross of PPA adjustments relating to the acquisition of the seven banks [i.e. former ATEbank, the Greek banking operations of Cypriot Banks in Greece (Bank of Cyprus, Cyprus Popular Bank, Hellenic Bank), Millennium Bank S.A., Geniki Bank S.A. and Panellinia Bank S.A.] amounting to €5.6bn at the end of Q1.18 and to €5.8bn at the end of 2017 6 Net Loans to Deposits Ratio (LDR) Net loans over deposits due to customers 7 Core Banking Income or NII+NFI Net interest income plus net fee and commission income 8 Net Income or Net Revenue (excluding one-off items) Total net income excluding in Q1.2017, €21mn of net income from the sale of EFSF bonds to the Central Bank 9 Pre Provision Income (PPI) (excluding one-off items) Total net income less total operating expenses excluding one-off items. In Q1.2017, €21mn of net income from the sale of EFSF bonds to the Central Bank, In Q4.2017, €16mn of Voluntary Exit Scheme staff costs and in Q1.2018, €138mn of Voluntary Exit Scheme staff costs were classified as one-off items. The relevant amounts corresponds to “Profit before provisions, impairments and income tax” excluding the one-off items 10 Cost to Income Ratio (C:I) Total operating expenses before provisions over total net income excluding one-off items 11 One-off items In Q1.2017, €21mn of net income from the sale of EFSF bonds to the Central Bank, In Q4.2017, €16mn of Voluntary Exit Scheme staff costs and in Q1.2018, €138mn of Voluntary Exit Scheme staff costs were classified as one-off items.
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GLOSSARY | DEFINITIONS OF ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES (cont’d)
12 CET1 phased in (pro-forma) CET1 capital ratio phased-in taking into account RWA relief for the divestments of Piraeus Bank Beograd and anticipated disposals of Piraeus Bank Romania, Dunant and NPE portfolios 13 CET1 fully loaded CET1 capital ratio taking into account RWA relief for the divestments of Piraeus Bank Beograd and anticipated disposals of Piraeus Bank Romania, Dunant and NPE portfolios 14 Core Deposits Savings and sight-current deposits 15 Adjusted total assets Total assets excluding assets of discontinued operations amounting to €2.3bn and EFSF/ESM bonds amounting to €1.5 bn in December 2017 and assets of discontinued operations amounting to €1.8bn in March 2018 16 Net Interest Margin (NIM) Net interest income over adjusted total assets. 17 Net Fee Income over Assets Net fee and commission income over adjusted total assets 18 NPLs - Non Performing Loans Loans and advances to customers in arrears over 90 days past due gross of PPA adjustments relating to the acquisition of the seven banks [i.e. former ATEbank, the Greek banking operations of Cypriot Banks in Greece (Bank of Cyprus, Cyprus Popular Bank, Hellenic Bank), Millennium Bank S.A., Geniki Bank S.A. and Panellinia Bank S.A.] 19 NPEs - Non Performing Exposures On balance sheet credit exposures before allowances for impairments on loan losses gross of PPA adjustments relating to the acquisition of the seven banks [i.e. former ATEbank, the Greek banking operations of Cypriot Banks in Greece (Bank of Cyprus, Cyprus Popular Bank, Hellenic Bank), Millennium Bank S.A., Geniki Bank S.A. and Panellinia Bank S.A.] that are: (a) past due over 90 days; (b) impaired or those which the debtor is deemed as unlikely to repay its obligations in full without liquidating collateral, regardless of the existence of any past due amount or the number of past due days; (c) forborne and still within the probation period under EBA rules; (d) subject to contagion from (a) under EBA rules 20 NPL Ratio Non-performing loans over gross loans before impairments & adjustments 21 NPE Ratio Non-performing exposure over gross loans before impairments & adjustments
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GLOSSARY | DEFINITIONS OF ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES (cont’d)
22 NPL Coverage Ratio Allowances for impairment on loan losses gross of PPA adjustments relating to the acquisition of the seven banks [i.e. former ATEbank, the Greek banking operations of Cypriot Banks in Greece (Bank of Cyprus, Cyprus Popular Bank, Hellenic Bank), Millennium Bank S.A., Geniki Bank S.A. and Panellinia Bank S.A.] over Non-Performing Loans 23 NPE Coverage Ratio Allowances for impairment on loan losses gross of PPA adjustments relating to the acquisition of the seven banks [i.e. former ATEbank, the Greek banking operations of Cypriot Banks in Greece (Bank of Cyprus, Cyprus Popular Bank, Hellenic Bank), Millennium Bank S.A., Geniki Bank S.A. and Panellinia Bank S.A.] over Non-Performing Exposures 24 NPE Formation Change of the stock of adjusted NPEs adding back write-downs or other adjustments i.e. loan sales or debt to equity transactions over loans and advances to customers before allowances for impairment on loan losses 25 RWA Risk Weighted Assets 26 VES Voluntary Exit Scheme for full time employees 27 Net Fee Income (NFI/NFCI) Net fee and commission income 28 Cost of Risk (CoR) Allowances for impairment on loans and advances to customers over net loans 29 Return on Assets (RoA) Profit / (loss) for the period over adjusted total assets 30 Net Results or Net Profit Profit / (loss) for the period attributable to equity holders of the parent 31 Cumulative provisions (Loan loss reserves – LLR) Allowance for impairment on loans and advances to customers gross of PPA adjustment 32 Cumulative provisions (LLRs) over loans Cumulative provisions for loans and advances to customers over gross loans before impairments and adjustments 33 Operating Expenses (OpEx) Total operating expenses before provisions
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GLOSSARY | DEFINITIONS OF ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES (cont’d)
34 Loan impairment charges (Provision Expenses) Impairment losses on loans and advances to customers 35 Pre Tax Results Profit / (loss) before income tax 36 New Loan Generation New loan disbursements that were realized after previous end period 37 Customers Number of customers both individuals and legal entities with a banking relationship (account) with Piraeus Bank 38 PPE Property and equipment plus investment property
Investor Relations
Chryssanthi Berbati | IR Xenofon Damalas, CFA | IR Αntonios Sagris | IR Amalia Missailidi | IR
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COMMUNICATION
treasury@piraeusbank.gr investor_relations@piraeusbank.gr Bloomberg: TPEIR GA Reuters: BOPr.AT www.piraeusbankgroup.com
Piraeus Financial Markets
Tom Arvanitis | Head of PFM George Christopoulos | Senior Advisor, CEO Office Kostas Fouskas | Country Treasurer Dimitris Spathakis| Head of Debt Issuance
Latest update: 15 May 2018
PIRAEUS BANK GROUP HEADQUARTERS
4, Amerikis Str., 105 64 Athens, Greece, T. +30 210 333 5026 www.piraeusbankgroup.com