Phaunos Strategy Outline December 2015 Stafford Timberland - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

phaunos strategy outline december 2015
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Phaunos Strategy Outline December 2015 Stafford Timberland - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Phaunos Strategy Outline December 2015 Stafford Timberland Disclaimer Stafford Capital Partners Limited ("Stafford") is distributing this strategy presentation in its capacity as manager of Phaunos Timber Fund Limited (the


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Stafford Timberland

Phaunos Strategy Outline December 2015

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 Stafford Capital Partners Limited ("Stafford") is distributing this strategy presentation in its capacity as manager of Phaunos Timber Fund Limited (the "Company") The Company is a Guernsey domiciled Authorised Closed-ended investment scheme pursuant to section 8 of the Protection of Investors (Bailiwick of Guernsey) Law 1987, as amended and rule 6.02 of the Authorised Closed-ended Investment Schemes Rules 2008. The Ordinary Shares of the Company are admitted to the Official List of the UK Listing Authority and to trading on the London Stock Exchange’s main market.  In distributing this presentation Stafford is relying on the fact that all recipients are qualified investors' within the meaning of section 86(7).of FSMA who are also (i) investment professionals within the meaning of Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (''FPO"); or (ii) high net worth companies within the meaning of Article 49 of the FPO; or.(iii) members of the Company within the meaning of Article 43(2) of the FPO; or (iv) certified high net worth individuals within the meaning of Article 48 of the FPO; or (v) certain sophisticated investors within the meaning of Article 50(1) of the FPO (each a "relevant person"). Persons who do not fall within any of these definitions should not rely on this document nor take any action upon it. The document is only exempt if it is distributed to the exempt categories of recipients. This document has not been approved as a financial promotion or otherwise by a person who is authorised under FSMA for the purposes

  • f section 21 of FSMA and rules made under such legislation or any other applicable securities laws of any other territory. Approval will be required unless the recipient of

this promotion is a relevant person. This presentation has not been, and will not be, reviewed or approved by the Financial Conduct Authority ("FCA") or any other authority

  • r regulatory body.

 Stafford is issuing this strategy presentation exclusively as manager of the Company and will not be responsible to anyone other than the Company for providing regulatory and legal protections afforded to customers (as defined in the rules of the Financial Conduct Authority) nor for providing advice in relation to the contents of this document

  • n any matter, transaction or arrangement referred to in it. None of Stafford nor the Company, nor any of their respective directors, officers or employees of Stafford makes

any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this strategy presentation .  Stafford is authorised and regulated by the FCA, but has not authorised the contents of, or any part of, this document. To the fullest extent permitted by law, none of Stafford nor the Company (nor their respective members, directors, officers, employees, agents or representatives) nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any errors, omissions or inaccuracies in such information or opinions or for any loss, cost or damage suffered or incurred howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise in connection with the subject matter of this document. The contents of this strategy presentation are not to be construed as legal, financial or tax advice. This document should not be distributed in whole or in part to other parties.  This strategy presentation is being supplied to shareholders solely for their information and does not constitute or contain any invitation or offer to any person to subscribe for, otherwise acquire, or dispose of any Ordinary Shares in the Company or advise persons to do so in any jurisdiction. This strategy presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the Ordinary Shares of the Company.  Some statements contained in this presentation are or may be forward-looking statements, including without limitation any forecasts or projections. Actual results may differ from those expressed in such statements, depending on a variety of factors. Any forward-looking information contained in this strategy presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions, only some of which are set out in the presentation , which may prove to be incorrect, and accordingly, actual results may vary.  For the avoidance of doubt, nothing in this strategy presentation is intended to constitute a profit forecast.  The value of any investment may fall over time and you may receive back less than you invested.

Disclaimer

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Introduction

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  • Key achievements of the past 18 months
  • Where are we now?
  • The potential: existing portfolio and possible expansion

Pradera Roja

Loc.: Uruguay

Aurora

Loc.: Uruguay

Eucateca

Loc.: Brazil

Mata Mineira

Loc.: Brazil

Matariki

Loc.: New Zealand

Green China

Loc.: China

GTFF

Loc.: USA

GRAS

Loc.: East Africa

NTP

Loc.: USA

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SLIDE 4

95% portfolio debt reduction**

The achievements of the past 18 months include...

49% cost reduction* 25% revenue increase*

Source: Phaunos budgets: 2013, 2014, 2015f

Financial Turnaround

  • Cost reductions of 49%
  • An increase in revenues of 25%
  • The closure of the Phaunos Boston office for a USD 2m/annum saving
  • Cash held has increased from USD 4m to USD 21m

Active Management

  • The replacement of the Eucateca and Pradera property managers
  • Reaching agreement with the other major shareholders of GTFF for the sale of the fund’s

underlying assets

  • Expected portfolio debt reduction from USD 244m to USD 13m (95%) including an equity:debt

infusion for Matariki at NAV

Asset Sales Programme

  • USD 2.5m completed
  • Agreement in principle for a further USD 37m of assets sales

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* Reported on a cash basis ** Subject to asset sales

Pending finalisation of Matariki debt reduction and asset sales

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We are well advanced in selling all non-core assets…

5 Green China

  • 100% of 4,000 ha of pine
  • Terms agreed moving to sale agreement
  • Sale price consistent with June 30, 2015, NAV
  • USD 1.5m reduction in annual operating costs

NTP

  • In discussion to bring forward outstanding loan of USD

800,000

GRAS

  • 14% of 40,000 ha pine/eucalypt plantations
  • Assets held for sale and negotiations taking place
  • No further capital to be provided by Phaunos

Eucateca

  • Targeting sale of teak assets
  • 2 of 4 teak properties sold at 41% above NAV
  • Other 2 teak properties under sale exclusivity agreement
  • Sale of eucalypt plantations to be considered should
  • pportunity arise

Pradera Roja

  • In the process of selling 3 of 9 properties, representing

20% of planted area

  • Sale of remaining plantations to be considered should
  • pportunity arise

GTFF

  • 17% of a 11,400 hectare poplar plantation & sawmill
  • Agreement reached amongst investors to sell underlying

assets

  • Sale of underlying land has commenced
  • Expected to realise 85-90% of June 30, 2015, NAV over

time * Portion of sales proceeds is on a deferred cash basis, revenue may be adjusted

Subject to completion, total sales are expected to realise 95% to 105% of June 30, 2015 NAV

Green China NTP GRAS GTFF Non-core targeted for Sale

Upper forecast: 105% NAV Lower forecast: 95% NAV Anticipated forecast: 101% NAV

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…and have lowered the portfolio risk profile

Present: Sale of higher risk assets

Source: Phaunos budgets: 2013, 2014, 2015f

Future: Balanced Past: Too much risk

6 Higher Risk 36% Medium Risk 29% Lower Risk 35% Higher Risk 9% Higher Risk - Offer agreed 9% Higher Risk - Sold 5% Medium Risk 32% Medium Risk - Offer agreed 1% Lower Risk 44% Higher Risk 10% Medium Risk 38% Lower Risk 52%

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Net Asset Value – realistic and stabilised

Source: Phaunos budgets: 2013, 2014, 2015f

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  • The estimated FX adjusted NAV at November 30, 2015 is USD 269m or 47 cents per share
  • Stafford estimates an indicative forecast NAV at December 31, 2015, of between USD 250m and USD 265m or

between 44 and 47 cents per share subject to the finalisation of annual accounts, independent valuations and further foreign exchange movements.

Phaunos Portfolio Indicative NAV

June 30 2015, to December 31 2015

* NAV: USD 250m (USD 0.44 per share) * NAV: USD 265m (USD 0.47 per share) * NAV noted is a range based on best forecast

  • f Stafford Timberland

and is subject to change FX adjusted June 30, 2015 NAV NAV adjusted for FX up to November 30, 2015 NAV: USD 269 m (USD 0.47 per share)

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Positive cash flows in 2015 leading to future sustainable yields

Sustainable Revenues Reducing Costs Existing Portfolio Overview

USD millions 2014 2015

FORECAST

2017 – 20

EXISTING *

Gross Annual Revenue 9.0 16 15 – 17 Annual Costs

  • f which;

(16.0) (14) (7) - (8)

Capital Expenditure (4.9) (5) (2.5) - (3.0) Operational Expenditure (11.1) (9) (4.5) - (5.0)

Net Cash (7.0) 2 9 – 10 Yield on NAV 0.0% 0.7% 3 - 4%

Looking Ahead

  • More sustainable yields from Matariki
  • Operational expenditure to reduce from 10m to 5m from 2016
  • Potential to expand investments off a low existing cost base
  • Expected NAV growth averaging 3-5% over the coming years

* Subject to proposed re-investment of USD20 m sale proceeds

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Looking ahead

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To date, Stafford has

  • Implemented the financial turnaround
  • Sold or reached agreement in principle to sell the majority of non-core assets

The existing Phaunos portfolio has the potential to

  • Provide sustainable yields of between 3-4%
  • Achieve capital growth around 3-5% pa on average over a 5 year period
  • Be the lowest cost entry option into the timberland asset class
  • Take advantage of China’s growing timber deficit

There is further growth potential through Stafford’s investment pipeline

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Stafford has over USD 2bn of timberland AUM

…and over 140 assets in mature timberland region

KEY

PTF Assets - Core PTF Assets – Targeted for Sale Stafford Active Stafford Sold

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How has this been achieved?

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  • Stafford’s approach provides deal flow, diversity and returns
  • Improved returns through secondaries and co-investments

Primary Fud Listed Secondary Co- Investment Separate Account Primary Fund Stafford Value-Add Traditional Access to Timberland

Stafford investment type split Stafford approach Stafford deal-flow

  • Focus on mature timberland regions
  • Limited greenfield and emerging market exposure

USD 245m USD 747m USD 96m USD 99m USD 32m USD 22m Primary Secondary Co-investment Sep' account TIMO Listed

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For Phaunos we see potential for similar growth…

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Indicative Phaunos Value Evolution

2015

FORECAST

2016

FORECAST

2020

PRO FORMA Create Efficient Existing Portfolio Initiate Share Buy- Back/Dividend Stabilise NAV Improve Share Price Shareholder Option to Participate in Future Investments Illustrative Expanded Portfolio

Milestone Sequence

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…with opportunities to re-invest USD 20m from realised asset sales*

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Phaunos Proposed Re- Investment Programme Additional investment into existing portfolio Yield enhancing Stafford secondaries and co-investments

  • USD 20m proposed to be re-invested either into the Phaunos portfolio or Stafford investment opportunities,

subject to a successful continuation vote

  • Investments will target secondary and co-investment opportunities
  • Frontier market and greenfield investment opportunities will not be pursued
  • Stafford has an investment pipeline in excess USD 500m from which Phaunos could potentially benefit in the

future

Access to world class assets Proprietary deal flow Investment diversification Accretive returns Expansion through aggregation

* The re-investment of funds realized from asset sales will be subject to a successful continuation vote

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In conclusion…

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  • Stafford has made considerable advances in the past 18 months: the company is cash positive, has a lower cost base, and a lower overall risk profile
  • Stafford is very positive about the future of Phaunos based on the core assets and its potential to grow
  • Over the next 5 years Stafford expect the fund will benefit from the changes of the past 18 months with improving yield and steady NAV growth
  • Stafford has the deal-flow, experience and knowledge to expand the Phaunos estate into……

A low cost, globally diversified timberland portfolio, with potential to provide yields of 3-5% and NAV growth of 3-5%*, managed in accordance with ESG best practice**

* Stafford estimates the existing portfolio could yield between 3-4%, subject to a proposed re-investment of USD20 m. Through further investments into mature timberland assets, these yields could be improved to 3-5% on an ongoing basis. ** ESG – Environmental, Social and Corporate Governance – is vital component of the management thesis of Phaunos, meeting best practice is essential to the ongoing success of the company

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Appendix – The Stafford Capital Partners team

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The Stafford Capital Partners team

Investment Team

Rick Fratus Managing Partner, US, San Diego 20 years experience Ex Macquarie, PCG, Arch Ventures Kurt Faulhaber Partner, San Diego 16 years experience Ex Macquarie, Clean Energy Incbtr Jean-Pierre Sweerts Advisor, Holland 21 years experience Ex DIF, Robeco, Rabobank David Lindsay Advisor, Boston 34 years experience Ex Barclays Infrastructure Steve Addicott Investment Manager, London 21 years experience Ex Wilmott Forests, URS John Zaknic Investment Manager, Sydney 10 years experience Ex BDO, Grant Thornton Matthew McPhee Partner, Boston 28 years experience Ex RBC, State Street Daan Oranje Partner, Sydney 20 years experience Ex URS Thomas Goodrich Partner, Boston Area 21 years experience Ex Global Forest Partners William Greene Partner, Zurich 15 years experience Ex Macquarie, Etrion, Swiss Re

  • Dr. Ingo Marten

Managing Partner, Infra, Zurich 20 years experience Ex Macquarie, Swiss Re, UBS Geoff Norman Co-founder, Sydney 28 years experience Ex Pantheon Richard Bowley Co-founder, London 26 years experience Ex Pantheon Angus Whiteley CEO, London 15 years experience Ex Thompson Clive, Solon Ventures Steve White Co-founder, Sydney 26 years experience Ex Macquarie

Founders & CEO

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Lucy Nicholls Partner, London 16 years experience Ex Pantheon, Adams Street, Graphite Dan Bowden Partner, Sydney 9 years experience Ex Goldman Sachs Jeffrey Reed Partner, San Francisco 17 years experience Ex Pantheon, Callan Ian Deas Partner, San Francisco 21 years experience Ex Pantheon Andy Betz Investment Manager, San Diego 10 years experience Ex Macquarie, GKM Newport Erica Bushner Advisor, North America 30 years experience Ex GKM Newport, Wilshire, PA SERS Duncan MacLeod Investment Manager, Sydney 8 years experience Ex URS Miguel Fabra Investment Manager, Brazil 8 years experience Ex UPM, Indufor Dan Rocca Investment Analyst, Sydney 3 years experience Ex Poyry

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The Stafford Capital Partners team

Operations Team

Dom Tayco CFO, Sydney 10 years experience Ex PGI, Deloitte Chris Packwood Operations Manager, Sydney 12 years experience Ex Computershare Vince Cao Partner and CFO, London 10 years experience Ex EY Jane Traylen Finance Manager, London 8 years experience Alessandra Loi Finance Assistant, London 4 years experience Sally Horsford Office Manager, London 23 years experience Ex Thompson Clive, Solon Ventures

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Michael Goodfellow Finance Assistance, London 2 years experience Bernd Schanzenbaecher Managing Partner, Agriculture. Zurich 20 years experience Ex Credit Suisse, EBG Capital

Investment Team (Continued)

James Allen Consultant, Agriculture. London 10 years experience Ex Climate Change Capital, EnerCap Carter Coe Associate, Boston Area 6 years experience Ex MetLife Oliver Suresh Operations Assistant, Sydney 1 year experience

COMBINING SECTOR EXPERTS WITH SEASONED INVESTORS

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Stafford background

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Stafford Timberland Stafford Private Equity Stafford Infrastructure Stafford Sustainable Capital Stafford Ventures Stafford Agriculture

Stafford Capital Partners

USD 2.1bn of a total USD 4.5bn of AUM & Advice

  • The timber group is a dedicated team within the broader Stafford Capital Partners
  • Additional support provided by
  • An expanded fund accounting team, and
  • Dedicated secondary sourcing team operating across all groups
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Appendix – Core Asset Location Details

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Core Asset Location - World Map

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Pradera Roja

Loc.: Uruguay

Aurora

Loc.: Uruguay

Eucateca

Loc.: Brazil

Mata Mineira

Loc.: Brazil

Matariki

Loc.: New Zealand

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Mata Mineira – Core Asset Location

Source property inspection & Google Earth. All locations are approximate

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Eucateca (Eucalyptus) – Core Asset Location

Source property inspection & Google Earth. All locations are approximate

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Aurora – Core Asset Location

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Source property inspection & Google Earth. All locations are approximate

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Pradera Roja – Core Asset Location

Source property inspection & Google Earth. All locations are approximate

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Matariki – Core Asset Location

Port of Napier Matariki assets Port of Bluff (Invercargill) Matariki asset High fertility farmland Matariki asset Port of Tauranga

Source property inspection & Google Earth. All locations are approximate

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