Pesticide Use in Agriculture: an Economic Evaluation Jittinan - - PDF document

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Pesticide Use in Agriculture: an Economic Evaluation Jittinan - - PDF document

Pesticide Use in Agriculture: an Economic Evaluation Jittinan Aukayanagul, Ph.D. Nisachol Cetthakrikul, M.Sc. Kumaree Pachanee, B.Sc., M.A. International Health Policy Program (IHPP) Ministry of Public Health, Thailand Think Tank Meeting


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SLIDE 1

Pesticide Use in Agriculture: an Economic Evaluation

Jittinan Aukayanagul, Ph.D. Nisachol Cetthakrikul, M.Sc. Kumaree Pachanee, B.Sc., M.A. International Health Policy Program (IHPP) Ministry of Public Health, Thailand Think Tank Meeting January 8, 2013

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Research Questions

  • Cost-benefit analysis of pesticide use in agriculture
  • Health cost accounted for?
  • Pesticide blood testing worthwhile?
  • Motivation
  • Part of “Development of Health Benefit Package under

Universal Health Care Coverage Scheme”

  • Pesticide blood testing to be included as to raise

awareness?

  • Farmers not well aware of the health cost?

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SLIDE 2

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Background

  • According to the Department of Agriculture and

Office of Agricultural Economics (OAE), in 2009,

  • Pesticide import estimating at 138 million kilograms (or

69 million kilograms of active ingredients)

  • Crop growing land covering 122 million rais
  • Minimum amount of pesticide use per rai of 1.13

kilograms (or 0.56 kilograms of active ingredients per rai)

3 International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Background (continued)

  • Pesticide exposure possibly causing
  • Acute symptoms such as coughing fit, skin irritation,

eyelid spasm, stomach run, nausea, vomiting, etc. (พิบูลย์

อิสสระพันธุ์, 2554)

  • Chronic toxicity such as cardiopulmonary disorders,

neurological and hematological symptoms, skin disease, etc. (Rola and Pingali, 1993)

4

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SLIDE 3

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Literature Review

  • Various models of pesticide use and health impacts at

individual level including Rola and Pingali (1993), Antle and Pingali (1994), Pingali et al. (1994), Cole et

  • al. (1998), Muambe and Swinton (2002), Dung and

Dung (2003), Darnhofer et al. (2005), Baral et al. (2006), and Linhaves (2008)

  • Modeling methods employed
  • Decision tree model – interview questions
  • Expected utility model – health cost/happiness

functions

5 International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Model

  • An expected utility model of individual farmers’

choice of pesticide use

  • A risk neutral farmer assumed to maximize his/her

expected profit by choosing the level of pesticide use

  • Optimal rule stating “marginal benefit = marginal

cost” to maximize profit

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SLIDE 4

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Model (continued)

  • Marginal benefit = output price*additional output
  • Additional output measured via an estimation of the

production function

  • Output as some function of pesticides, labor, and

fertilizers

  • Ceteris paribus, additional output derived as the change

in output per a unit change in pesticide use

  • Additional output = ∂output/∂pesticides

7 International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Model (continued)

  • Marginal cost = per unit cost + marginal health cost
  • Marginal health cost measured via an estimation of the

health cost function

  • Health cost as some function of pesticides, age,

nutritional status, smoking, drinking, and protective measures

  • Ceteris paribus, marginal health cost derived as the

change in health cost per a unit change in pesticide use

  • Marginal health cost = ∂ health cost/∂ pesticides

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SLIDE 5

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Scope of Study and Data Collection

  • Focusing on rice production
  • Rice as a major economic crop of Thailand (OAE,

2009)

  • Growing area estimating at 65 million rais and pesticide

use amounting to a total of 9 thousand tons in 1993 (Overgaard et al., 2010)

  • Considering only acute symptoms
  • Persistent toxic pesticides (i.e. organochlorine) banned

under Stockholm Convention in 2004

  • Possibly small long-run effects due to chance and

discounting

9 International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Scope of Study and Data Collection (continued)

  • Period of study: 1 growing season
  • Selection of study sites
  • Khon Kaen – representing in-season rice production in

the Northeastern part of Thailand

  • Chainat – representing irrigated rice production
  • A sample of 92 households drawn at each site to

ensure generalization at 95% confidence level and 10% precision level

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SLIDE 6

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Scope of Study and Data Collection (continued)

  • Only farmers applying pesticides themselves included

in the study

  • Data collected via questionnaires
  • Form 1: personal information collected at the beginning
  • Form a: pesticide use record and acute toxicity collected

every time farmers apply pesticides

  • Form 2: output and input information collected at the

end

11 International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Preliminary Data

  • Personal information (Form 1)

Personal Information Khon Kaen Chainat Age (year) Average

48 49

Maximum

66 77

Minimum

27 18

Weight-height ratio (kg/m2) Average

23.60 23.43

Maximum

32.32 33.33

Minimum

13.71 17.96

Smoking ≥ 20 cigarettes a day

21 7

Drinking at least 3-4 times a week

27 9

Congenital/chronic diseases

17 22

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SLIDE 7

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Preliminary Data (continued)

  • Pesticide use and acute toxicity information (Form a)

Pesticide Use Information Khon Kaen Chainat

Number of brands used

41 > 90

Purpose of use

Golden apple snail Insect and and weed control disease control

Classes of pesticides used

2, 3 ?

(DOA classification) Most commonly used pesticide Tea seed meal (saponin) Nothing in particular

(61% of the sample)

Use of protective measures

81% of the sample 72% of the sample

during application Acute toxicity

20% of the sample 19% of the sample

Common symptoms

Headache, nausea Weakness, fatigue, excessive sweating, headache, nausea

13 International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

To-Do List

  • Data preparation for regressions, specifically,
  • Checking for accuracy and correctness of some of the

pesticide names listed by farmers

  • Data cleaning – output and input information (Form 2)
  • Regression analyses and statistical testing
  • Marginal health cost statistically significant?
  • If so, checking whether it is accounted for by farmers in

their decision making process

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SLIDE 8

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Policy Implications

  • If marginal health cost not statistically significant,
  • A claim such as “farmers using too much of pesticides

than necessary” considered invalid

  • Pesticide blood testing not the right choice of policy to

tackle pesticide problem

  • Policies to be directed towards external costs of

pesticide use

15 International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Policy Implications (continued)

  • If significant marginal health cost, but not accounted

for,

  • Marginal health cost “saved/avoided” from using less

pesticides possibly considered benefit of pesticide blood testing, assuming changes in risk behavior of farmers after the blood test

  • Relevant cost-benefit analysis of pesticide blood testing

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SLIDE 9

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

International Health Policy Program -Thailand

Acknowledgement

  • Ministry of Public Health of Thailand
  • National Health Security Office
  • Health Systems Research Institute
  • Hat Asa Subdistrict Municipality, Chainat
  • Ubolratana Hospital, Khon Kaen
  • Hat Asa Health Promoting Hospital, Chainat
  • Sapphaya Hospital, Chainat

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