It All Ab t C h!
Nick Holland
Its All About Cash!
Chief Executive Officer
BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference 24 to 27 February 2013 Hollywood, Florida
It All Ab Its All About Cash! t C h! Nick Holland Chief - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
It All Ab Its All About Cash! t C h! Nick Holland Chief Executive Officer BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference 24 to 27 February 2013 Hollywood, Florida Forward Looking Statements Certain statements in this
Nick Holland
Chief Executive Officer
BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference 24 to 27 February 2013 Hollywood, Florida
Certain statements in this document constitute “forward looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934. In particular, the forward looking statements in this document include among others those relating to the Damang Exploration Target Statement; the Far Southeast Exploration Target Statement; commodity prices; demand for gold and other metals and minerals; interest rate expectations; exploration and production costs; levels of expected production; Gold Fields’ growth pipeline; levels and expected benefits of t d l d it l dit f t d th i li ti l l d th t t f t ffi i i d current and planned capital expenditures; future reserve, resource and other mineralisation levels; and the extent of cost efficiencies and savings to be achieved. Such forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the company to be materially different from the future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. Such risks, uncertainties and other important factors include among
efficiencies and other cost savings in connection with past and future acquisitions, exploration and development activities; decreases in the market price of gold and/or copper; hazards associated with underground and surface gold mining; labour disruptions; availability terms and deployment of capital or credit; changes in government regulations particularly taxation and environmental regulations; and new legislation deployment of capital or credit; changes in government regulations, particularly taxation and environmental regulations; and new legislation affecting mining and mineral rights; changes in exchange rates; currency devaluations; the availability and cost of raw and finished materials; the cost of energy and water; inflation and other macro-economic factors, industrial action, temporary stoppages of mines for safety and unplanned maintenance reasons; and the impact of the AIDS and other occupational health risks experienced by Gold Fields’ employees. These forward looking statements speak only as of the date of this document. Gold Fields undertakes no obligation to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this document or to reflect the
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 2
However, we have not met their expectations…..
e a e
et t e e pectat o s
Note: Data indexed to 13 January 2006; index made up of 8 major gold producers’ total return indexes weighted by market capitalisation; Major Gold producers defined as: AngloGold Ashanti, Barrick, Harmony, Kinross, Goldcorp, Gold Fields, Newmont and Newcrest Source: Bloomberg
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 3
Regaining Investor Confidence Requires a Paradigm Shift
Its not about ounces at any cost… ts
Focus on cash generation
1
Deliver South Deep
2
Financial gearing
3
Financial gearing Strong dividend
3
Leverage balance sheet for growth on a per share basis
Strong dividend policy
4
Sustainable development
5
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 4
Its All About Cash!
Unbundling Sibanye Gold U bu d g S ba ye Go d
Shareholders GFIMSA
Gold Fields
GFIMSA KDC Beatrix International Tarkwa Damang
Limited
Beatrix Service Entities Damang St Ives Agnew g Cerro Corona South Deep Other subsidiaries and Investments
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 5
Two Independent Companies
Unbundling Sibanye Gold - Rationale U bu d g S ba ye Go d at o a e
Create fit-for-purpose, sustainable, long-life operations Install a specialist, dedicated and focussed management team Ring-fence SA cash flows for SA projects and dividends Reverse declining production trends Reverse declining production trends Optimise extraction of reserves & resources and extend life of mines Harness technology for challenges of deep level, hard rock, labour intensive mining Act as catalyst for consolidation in SA gold industry
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 6
A New Future For KDC and Beatrix
Focus on Sustainable Cash Generation
Susta ab e Cas Ge e at o
Group
p p $ p St Ives
High cost heap leach operation closed
Agnew
Agnew g j pp
Tarkwa
Damang
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 7
No Marginal Ounces
Focus On Cash Generation – Case Study, Agnew Gold Mine
Cas Ge e at o Case Study, g e Go d e
Mi d hi h d Ki d l d M i &
Challenges
Withd f M i & R j h l d
Interventions
Rajah lodes
Staffing reduced by ~20%
grade Kim ‒ Staffing reduced by ~20% ‒ Mining fleet rationalised
H1 2012 H2 2012
Outlook
Gold produced
koz
74 102 38% C h t
A$/
920 710 23%
Cash costs
A$/oz
920 710 23% NCE
A$/oz
1,400 970 40%
‒ Extensions to Kim ‒ Parallel new ore body discovered
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 8
From The Worst Performer To The Best
Prioritise low risk, high return Brownfields Opportunities
s , g e u
es
Tarkwa Tarkwa Expansion Phase 6 (TEP6) D O ti i t ti f 10M b d Damang Optimise extraction of 10Moz ore body Cerro Corona Sulphides Expansion Project
Cerro Corona Oxides Project
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 9
Pursue Greenfields Projects Only For Superior Returns
Construction Decision
(+ve feasibility study)
u sue G ee e ds
e u s
Indicated and Inferred Resources
(+ve pre-feasibility study)
FS
1
APP Far Southeast Chucapaca
GFI Target Confirmed
(+ve scoping study)
Resource Development
4
Far Southeast Damang Yanfolila Talas
Economic Intersection
(with requisite size potential)
Advanced Drilling
3
Woodjam Salares Norte
Bedrock Drill Target Defined
(and available)
Initial Drilling
13
Target Definition
8
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 10
Greenfields Project Pipeline – December 2012
Pursue Greenfields Projects Only For Superior Returns u sue G ee e ds
y
etu s
Peru Chucapaca Project p j
Advance only projects with attractive returns
Philippines Far Southeast Project g g g
financial or technical partnerships Finland Arctic Platinum Project
Mali Yanfolila Project
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 11
No Unrealistic Production Targets
A Global Footprint
FINLAND Arctic Platinum Project
G oba
t
MALI Yanfolila GHANA PERU PHILIPPINES Vancouver Denver GHANA Tarkwa Damang PERU Cerro Corona Chucapaca AUSTRALIA Agnew St Ives Far Southeast Accra Lima Manila SOUTH AFRICA South Deep Perth Johannesburg Santiago
South Africa South America West Africa Australasia International Operations Total South Deep Cerro Corona Tarkwa Damang St Ives Agnew Resources1&2 Moz
81.4 7.7 15.1 10.0 5.3 3.8 41.9 123.3
Offices | Mines | Exploration Projects: GFI 100% | CIR Option | JV GFI Operated
Reserves1 Moz
39.6 6.1 10.3 3.4 2.8 1.3 23.9 63.5
2012 prod koz
270 342 719 166 450 177 1,854 2,124
LoM3 Yrs
50+ 18+ 14+ 21+ 6+ 7+ 15 4
2 Th t t l d ld i l t Mi l R t 31 D b 2011 l d th 32 2 illi d ld i l t f th th j t (Ch APP GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 12
Yanfolila, Talas)
Proforma results from operations
a esu ts
Proforma based on Results for Q4 2012 and F2012 Q4 2012 F2012 Attributable production
koz
534 2,031 Cash costs
US$/oz
793 784 NCE
US$/oz
1,365 1,365 NCE margin
%
19 18 EBITDA
US$m
506 1,868 Normalised earnings
US$m
143 447
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 13
A Cash Generative Portfolio
Focus on All-in Costs (NCE)
Costs ( C )
1 600 1 800 US$/oz
New GFI Excluding South Deep New GFI Including South Deep
1 600 1 800 US$/oz
19%
800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600
26% NCE Margin
800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600
19% NCE Margin
400 600 800
400 600 800 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Gold price Total cash costs NCE Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Gold price Total cash costs NCE
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 14
Targeting A 25% NCE Margin
Leverage the Balance Sheet
e e age t e a a ce S eet
1 000 1 200
Debt Maturity Post Unbundling
Financial Targets
720 1 000
400 600 800
$ million
the long end
40 40
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 GFI (excl. Sibanye) Sibanye
ratio ≤1.0x Liquidity and Funding Policy
GFI (excl. Sibanye) Sibanye
debt maturity profile
Proforma
All figures in US$ million
Gold Fields Sibanye Gold Net Debt – 31 Dec 2012 1,263 443
away from bank funding Balance Sheet C ti d bt t it h d l
Net Debt
31 Dec 2012
1,263 443 EBITDA – C2012 1,868 694 Net Debt/EBITDA – 31 Dec 2012 0.68 0.64
Committed unutilised facilities (Post unbundling) 700 207 Cash From Operations – C2012 962 480
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 15
Conservative Approach
Dividend Policy
38% 33%
35% 40%
1200
de d
re
Dividend Pay-out Ratio F2008 to F2012
2012 Dividends
578 529 1003 939
22% 26% 33% 25%
% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
400 600 800 1000
A cents per shar Pay-out ratio
150 130 140 330 235
396
0% 5% 10%
200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Dividend Normalised earnings Payout ratio
SA
Final dividend R0.75 per share
50% 60%
Dividends as a % of EPS Full-year dividend R2.35 per share
10% 20% 30% 40% 0% 10%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Gold Fields Peer Average
* Peer average pay-out ratio based on Bloomberg estimates of peer group on 13/02 2012
Pay-out ratio 25%
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 16
Dividends enjoy priority – 25% to 35% of normalised earning
International Diversification International Diversification
Gold Fields Before Unbundling Gold Fields Post Unbundling
28% 13% 24% 40% 9% 17%
duction
anaged) 13% 43% 29% 35% 13%
C2012 C20161
8% 26%
Prod
(ma 43% 15%
RSA - Sibanye West Africa Australia South America RSA – South Deep
4% 6% 53% 18% 19% 4% 62% 22% 10% 6%
1 Adjusts 2012 production for South Deep at full production of 700koz 2 Reserves as at 31 December 2011 for New Gold Fields and as at 31 December 2012 for Sibanye Gold
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 17
A Global Footprint
Capital Projects Progress
Cap a
Ke Infrastr ct re Projects Completed On B dget and On Time Key Infrastructure Projects Completed : On Budget and On Time
2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E Status
94 Level Refrigeration Plant On schedule C i i d
Phase1 commissioned Commission machines 3, 4 and 5 with 100 and 105 Level BACs
Twin Vent Shaft Deepening Commissioned Oct 2012 Tailings Storage Facility Commissioned April 2011 Plant Expansion 330 Ktpm Commissioned
Hoisting builds up as per mine plan
Plant Expansion 330 Ktpm Nov 2012 Backfill Infrastructure Commissioned New Mine Development On-going
Backfill pipe extensions in the 95-1W, 95-2W and 95-3W GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 18
Transition to Build-up Underway
Conservative Yet Realistic Co se a e e ea s c
Managed production koz 1,910 to 1,990 Attributable production koz 1,825 to 1,900 Cash cost US$/oz R/kg 860 250,000 NCE US$/oz R/k 1,360 R395 000 NCE R/kg R395,000 Exchange rates US$:ZAR US$:A$ 1=9.00 1 = 0.962
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 19
Focus On Margins & Cash Flow
A smaller, more focussed, yet solid platform for growth A smaller, more focussed, yet solid platform for growth
Focus on cash generation and a superior return on all funds invested Cash generation takes priority over production targets
Dividends have first call on cash flows – 25% to 35% of normalised earnings Judiciously advance only low-risk, high return, brownfields and best greenfields projects Seek opportunistic M&A of in production assets where path to value is clear Maintain current approach to focus on gold and continue international diversification
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 20
Its All About Cash!
Investor Relations Contact
Willie Jacobsz Senior Vice President Head of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs Office: +27-11-562-9775 Mobile: +27-(0)82-971-9238 Willie.jacobsz@goldfields.co.za. Remmy Kawala Vice President, Investor Relations Office: +27-11-562-9844 Mobile: +27-(0)82-312-8692 Remmy.kawala@goldfields.co.za
www.goldfields.co.za
Transition Phase – Project to Mine a s o ase
70 80 90
Managed Production
Koz
F2012 F2011
Managed production
koz
270 273 EBITDA (operating profit)
US$ m
148 131
20 30 40 50 60 70
EBITDA (operating profit)
US$ m
148 131 Contribution to New GFI EBITDA % 8 7 Total cash cost
US$/oz
1,105 1,073 NCE
US$/oz
2,283 2,091
Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
Internal contribution to capital
%
52 55 Capex
US$m
315 275
2 000 2 500 3 000
Managing NCE
$/oz
Resource – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
81.4 Reserves – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
39.6 Life of Mine
years
≥50 years
1 000 1 500 2 000
2013 Guidance
Managed production
koz
305 to 320
Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Gold price Total cash costs NCE
Total cash costs
US$/oz R/kg
~1,100 ~317,000 NCE
US$/oz R/kg
1,800 520,000
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 22
* Exchange rate used for guidance: US$1=R9.00
A 100% Mechanised Mine
Two Years Of Heavy Inward Investment
ea y a d es e
60 70
Managed Production
Koz
F2012 F2011
Managed production
koz
166 218 EBITDA (operating profit)
US$ m
125 201
10 20 30 40 50
EBITDA (operating profit)
US$ m
125 201 Contribution to New GFI EBITDA 7% 10% Total cash cost
US$/oz
918 701 NCE
US$/oz
1,630 1,056
Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
NCE Margin
%
2 33 Resource – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
10.0 Reserves – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
3 4
1 400 1 600 1 800 2 000
Managing NCE
$/oz
Reserves 31 Dec 2011
Moz
3.4 Life of Mine
years
≥21
H 10 0M R iti
400 600 800 1 000 1 200
‒ Harness 10.0Moz Resource position ‒ Return production to ~200koz – 250koz p.a.
2013 Guidance
Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
Gold price Total cash costs NCE
Managed production
koz
165 to 180 Total cash costs
US$/oz
1,010 NCE
US$/oz
1,650
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 23
A Mine In Transition
Optimisation Phase Op sa o ase
200 250
Managed Production
Koz
F2012 F2011
Managed production
koz
719 717 EBITDA (operating profit)
US$ m
729 752
50 100 150
EBITDA (operating profit)
US$ m
729 752 Contribution to New GFI EBITDA 39 38 Total cash cost
US$/oz
673 556 NCE
US$/oz
1,049 913
Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
, NCE Margin
%
39 42 Resource – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
15.1 Reserves 31 Dec 2011
Moz
10 3
1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800
Managing NCE
$/oz
Reserves – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
10.3 Life of Mine
years
≥14
400 600 800 1 000 1 200
‒ CIL options to replace remaining heap leaches
2013 Guidance
Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Gold price Total cash costs NCE
Managed production
koz
640 to 650 Total cash costs
US$/oz
785 NCE
US$/oz
1,190
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 24
World Class Open Pit Operation
Its Pay-back Time s ay bac e
100 120
Managed Equivalent Production
Koz
F2012 F2011
Managed production
koz
342 383 EBITDA (operating profit)
US$ m
396 403
20 40 60 80
EBITDA (operating profit)
$
396 403 Contribution to New GFI EBITDA 21 20 Total cash cost
US$/oz
492 437 NCE
US$/oz
775 592
Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
NCE Margin
%
51 60 Resource – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
7.7 Reserves – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
6.1
1 400 1 600 1 800 2 000
Managing NCE
$/oz
Life of Mine
years
≥18
‒ Sulphide plant expansion
400 600 800 1 000 1 200
p p p ‒ 300koz oxide heap leach opportunity
2013 Guidance
Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
Gold price Total cash costs NCE
Managed production*
koz
270 to 280 Total cash costs
US$/oz
~600 NCE
US$/oz
~920
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 25
* Stated on an equivalent ounce basis based on a gold price of US$1,700 per ounce and a copper price of US$8,000 per tonne
World Class Open Pit Operation
Harvest Benefits of Owner Mining Conversion a es e e s o O e g Co e s o
125 130
Managed Production
Koz
F2012 F2011
Managed production
koz
450 465 EBITDA (operating profit)
US$ m
326 322
100 105 110 115 120
EBITDA (operating profit)
US$ m
326 322 Contribution to New GFI EBITDA 17 16 Total cash cost
US$/oz
931 901 NCE
US$/oz
1,608 1,287
95 100
Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
NCE Margin
%
4 19 Resource – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
5.3 Reserves – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
2.8
1 400 1 600 1 800 2 000
Managing NCE
$/oz
Life of Mine
years
≥6
400 600 800 1 000 1 200
High cost heap leach closed
2013 Guidance
Managed production
koz
380 to 400
Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
Gold price Total cash costs NCE
Total cash costs
US$/oz A$
970 930 NCE
US$/oz A$
1,405 1,350
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 26
Significant New Exploration Targets at Invincible & Greater Neptune
A Turn-around Story u a ou d S o y
50 60
Managed Production
Koz
F2012 F2011
Managed production
koz
177 194 EBITDA (operating profit)
US$ m
144 181
10 20 30 40
EBITDA (operating profit)
US$ m
144 181 Contribution to New GFI EBITDA 8 9 Total cash cost
US$/oz
827 696 NCE
US$/oz
1,191 1,096
Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
NCE Margin
%
29 32 Resource – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
3.8 Reserves – 31 Dec 2011
Moz
1.3
1 400 1 600 1 800 2 000
Managing NCE
$/oz
Life of Mine
years
≥7
400 600 800 1 000 1 200
Focus on high grade Kim lode
2013 Guidance
Managed production
koz
150 to 160
Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
Gold price Total cash costs NCE
Total cash costs
US$/oz A$
730 700 NCE
US$/oz A$
1,035 990
GFI | Its All About Cash! | BMO Capital Markets 22nd Global Metals & Mining Conference | 24 to 27 February 2013 | Hollywood, Florida
Page 27
Restructured For Cash Flow