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Palm Beach County Youth Violence Prevention Project Dr. Bill Bales Center for Criminology and Public Policy Research Subcommittee Meetings West Palm Beach, September 15-16, 2005 1 Presentation Outline n Purposes of the Project n Summary


  1. Palm Beach County Youth Violence Prevention Project Dr. Bill Bales Center for Criminology and Public Policy Research Subcommittee Meetings West Palm Beach, September 15-16, 2005 1

  2. Presentation Outline n Purposes of the Project n Summary of Previous Findings New Findings n Offender Demographics Recalculated to include Hispanic Population n Profile of Homicide and Violent Offenders n Time of Homicides and Violent Crimes n Homicide Victim Drug Use n Offender/Victim Relationship n Mapping 2

  3. Purposes of the Project Determine the historical and current 1. trends of violent crime in Palm Beach County, particularly aimed at predicting youth violence and incidents involving firearms Identify ways to decrease the amount of 2. violent youth crime within Palm Beach County 3

  4. Purposes of the Project Ensure that local agencies are involved 3. in identifying and prioritizing evidence based violence prevention strategies throughout Palm Beach County. Including the following agencies: Ø Prevention Ø Law Enforcement Ø Courts Ø Corrections 4

  5. Summary of Previous Findings n Reported crime rate in PBC (UCR) has been decreasing steadily over the past 15 years n Violent crime and violent crime involving firearms leveled off over the past five years n Homicide was declining moderately over the last 15 years; however 2004 had the second highest number of murders (89) since 1990 5

  6. Summary of Previous Findings n The use of firearms in homicides increased in last 5 years n The largest and fastest growing age group of homicide offenders is 20-24 years of age n Over the next 5 years, age and race groups that have a high risk of violent offending are projected to increase at a much faster rate than the overall population 6

  7. Characteristics of Individuals Arrested for Murder and Victims of Violent Crimes with Firearms in Palm Beach County 7

  8. Victims of Violent Crimes Committed with a Firearm by Age Groups 2000-2004 855 900 800 703 700 580 534 600 447 500 374 400 262 300 217 200 107 100 0 LE 14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-49 50-59 60-99 Data Source: PBC Law Enforcement Records 8

  9. Victims of Violent Crime Committed with a Firearm by Gender and Race 2000-2004 2954 3000 2500 1786 2000 1625 1500 1181 674 1000 500 0 Male Female White Black Hispanic Data Source: PBC Law Enforcement Records 9

  10. Offenders of Violent Crime Committed with a Firearm by Age Groups 2000-2004 642 700 618 600 500 400 300 209 200 97 74 74 64 57 100 11 0 LE 14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-49 50-59 60-99 Data Source: PBC Law Enforcement Records 10

  11. Offenders of Violent Crime Committed with a Firearm by Gender and Race 2000-2004 1741 1800 1600 1400 1115 1200 1000 800 541 600 120 202 400 200 0 Male Female White Black Hispanic Data Source: PBC Law Enforcement Records 11

  12. Murder Rates by Age Groups 2004-2005 40 36 35 30 25 20 17 16 15 8 8 8 10 7 5 5 2 0 LE 14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-49 50-59 60-99 Data Source: FDLE Computerized Criminal History Records 12

  13. Profile of Homicide and Violent Offenders (2004) 13

  14. Age at First Arrest for Homicide and Violent Offenders Arrested in 2004 Violent Offenders Homicide 31.9% 35 30 25.4% 23.1% 20.9% 25 20.7% 17.3% 20 13.7% 15 9.7% 10 5 0 LE 14 15-17 18-19 20-29 84% of Violent Offenders have an arrest record before the age of 30 79% of Homicide Offenders have an arrest record before the age of 30 Data Source: FDLE Computerized Criminal History Records 14

  15. Prior Offenses of Homicide and Violent Offenders Arrested in 2004 Violent Offenders Homicide 68.0% 70.0% 60.0% 51.5% 50.0% 28.5% 35.8% 40.0% 30.0% 33.6% 29.5% 24.6% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Violent Drugs Prob. Violation Firearms Data Source: FDLE Computerized Criminal History Records 15

  16. Victims of Homicide – Drug Use 16

  17. Homicides Involving a Firearm with A Victim Under 30 - Toxicology Results 45.3% of the 121 of Homicide Victims had some form of dangerous drugs in their system at the time of death 2000-2005 56.9% 60.0% 50.0% 37.9% 40.0% 30.0% 20.7% 20.0% 10.3% 3.4% 10.0% 0.0% Alcohol Cocaine Hallucinogen Marijuana Rx-Abuse Data Source: PBC Medical Examiner Records 17

  18. Characteristics of Homicide and Violent Crimes with a Firearm 18

  19. Weapons Used in Homicides 2000-2004 80.0% 70.1% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 4.9% 13.0% 3.2% 7.4% 20.0% 10.0% 1.4% 0.0% Handgun/Firearm Rifle/Shotgun Knife Blunt Object Hands Poison/Drugs Data Source: FDLE Supplemental Homicide Reports 19

  20. Percent of Violent Firearm Crimes by Day of the Week: 2000-2004 Sunday Saturday 14% 16% Monday 14% Friday 18% Tuesday Thursday 13% Wednesday 12% 13% Data Source: PBC Law Enforcement Records 20

  21. Percent of Violent Firearm Crimes by Time of Day: 2000-2004 12-3am 9-12pm 15% 3-6am 27% 7% 6-9am 4% 9-12am 6-9pm 8% 12-3pm 17% 3-6pm 10% 12% Data Source: PBC Law Enforcement Records 21

  22. Percent of Homicides Involving a Firearm by Time of Day: 2000-2004 12-3am 9-12pm 21% 21% 3-6am 6-9pm 17% 19% 6-9am 3-6pm 9-12am 12-3pm 8% 5% 0% 9% Data Source: PBC Medical Examiner Records 22

  23. Homicide Offender/Victim Relationships 23

  24. Homicide Offender/Victim Race 2000-2004 61.7% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 27.1% 30.0% 3.2% 7.9% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% W B W B l l a a h h c c i i t t k k e e / / / / B W W B l l a h a h c c i i t k t k e e Data Source: FDLE Supplemental Homicide Reports 24

  25. Homicide Offender/Victim Gender 2000-2004 64.1% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 23.3% 30.0% 7.1% 20.0% 5.5% 10.0% 0.0% M F M F e e a a m m l l e e a a / / l l M F e e e / / a F M m l e e a a m l l e e a l e Data Source: FDLE Supplemental Homicide Reports 25

  26. Homicide Offender/Victim Relative 16.3% of Homicide victims had some relationship to their offenders 2000-2004 35.0% 31.3% 30.0% 25.0% 25.0% 20.0% 14.6% 14.6% 15.0% 8.3% 10.0% 6.3% 5.0% 0.0% Spouse Child Other Family Co-Habitant Parent Sibling Data Source: FDLE Supplemental Homicide Reports 26

  27. Crime Mapping 27

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