Owner Cost Estimate Topics The estimate Life Cycle inside the owners - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Owner Cost Estimate Topics The estimate Life Cycle inside the owners - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

C ONSTRUCTION C OST E STIMATING S EPTEMBER 2017 Michael Dyer, Mike Myette, PE CCM, CPE, AVS MM Construction Port of Seattle Consulting, LLC Owner Cost Estimate Topics The estimate Life Cycle inside the owners upper management business


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CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATING

Michael Dyer, CCM, CPE, AVS Port of Seattle

SEPTEMBER 2017

Mike Myette, PE MM Construction Consulting, LLC

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Owner Cost Estimate Topics

  • The estimate Life Cycle inside the owner’s upper

management business process – slides

  • How to hire an estimating consultant
  • Handout tool reviews of the following:
  • New project estimate checklist
  • Sample capital planning estimating template
  • Soft costs Included?
  • Estimate assumptions and qualifications
  • When to Bid Matrix
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Estimate Process

Estimates are made up of 3 components

  • Known Scope – Facility concept/plans /final product / business
  • bjective
  • Contingency - know changes will occur but cannot quantify
  • Items that will be defined as design progresses
  • Risk - unknowns market conditions, subsurface conditions,

labor quality and availability The ideal estimate would have a balance of these three components and be to predict the final project cost at any stage of the life cycle

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Business Plan Prospective

  • Scope at concept level
  • Contingency and risk at maximums

Investment committee

  • Scope may be more advanced from Business Plan Perspective
  • Contingency and risk still high

Request design funds from Upper Management

  • Scope is defined a preliminary design level
  • Contingency better quantified as the defined building parameters

definition increases

  • Risk being reduced as the more the scope is defined

Estimating Life Cycle Time Line

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SLIDE 6
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How to Hire an Estimating Consultant

  • What to put in your RFQ
  • How to interview and select an estimating

consultant

  • Once hired, when should the estimating

consultant work on what stage of the project.

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SLIDE 8
  • New Project Estimate Checklist
  • Sample Capital Planning Estimating template
  • Soft Costs Included?
  • Estimate Assumptions and Qualifications
  • When to bid Matrix

Interactive Discussion of Handout Tools

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MYSTIQUE OF CONTRACTING

WHAT IS HAPPENING IN THEIR OFFICES?

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Contractors the Misunderstood?

  • Contractors-are we misunderstood or do we create

an air of misunderstanding?

  • Why are we secretive and to what end
  • Should we be transparent
  • What should we expect from the Owner/Consultant
  • Should they be transparent
  • Same goals
  • Goals of a project from Owner/Contractor/Designer

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Why we appear Tense and Uptight!

  • Work Long days
  • Have deadlines with the threat of LD’s
  • Concerns about bonding
  • Concerns about Insurance losses/No Insurance
  • Concerns about lines of credit
  • Concerns about meeting production rates
  • Concerns about unknown conditions
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Why we appear Tense and Uptight!

  • Concerns about Equipment breakdowns
  • Staffing/Unions/Non-Unions/Training Programs
  • Notice Provisions and making owners upset
  • Provide safe work environment for employees &

subcontractors

  • Meeting Minority/DBE subcontracting

requirements

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The Process For Bid-The Sources

  • The Daily Journal of Commerce
  • Construction Business Journals
  • Contacts From Our Industry
  • Trade Magazines
  • Plan Centers
  • Websites/Marketing
  • Networking With Associates and Industry Experts

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“Go/No Go” Decision Does this project fit our company?

Definition of a construction contract:

“A TRANSFER OF RISK FOR AN AGREED FEE”

  • How do you determine what risk is realistic/perceived, acceptable, and

manageable?

  • Can it be defined and quantified?
  • Does the client view the risk the same way? Are we looking at it from a

similar vantage?

  • Is the risk worth taking on, and for what fee; or are we just gambling?
  • Do we have the experience and foresight to manage this risk?
  • Owner, our experience with him and his attitude  Yes

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“Go/No Go” Decision

  • Project size and value, managerial complexity
  • Regional market conditions
  • Current and projected workload
  • Type of client
  • Type of project.

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“A Go Decision”

Plan/Item Review for Resources. Calls to Prospective Subcontractors. Call to Prospective Material Suppliers.

WAIT FOR REPLIES(Week or Two Depending on Size of Project.)

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The Construction Team Size of Project determines Team.

  • Project Manager/Estimator
  • Project Manager/Estimator/Quantity Determinations.
  • Office Assistance (Bonding/Insurance)
  • Project Specific Personal(Subs, Material Quotes, Material

Suppliers, Other

  • Team Assembles As Material Resources are Obtained.
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Project Assignments for Team.

Project Manager Site Visit (Mandatory) Subcontractor Contacts (Bonding) Construction Team Building Construction Work Plan Project Schedule Analysis Project Engineer/Estimator

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Project Assignments for Team.

Site Visits Supplier/Vendor Contacts Spread Sheets Bid Book Read Documents Underlining and Outlining Unique Problems Geotechnical Reports

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Construction Team Meeting

 Assembling of Construction Bid Documents  Review of Appropriate Bid Documents  Review of Deadlines and Drop Dead Dates  Discussions of Pinch Points or Problems Areas  Discussions of Specialty Contractors  Special Construction Techniques  Schedule Analysis  Special Considerations( Access, Traffic, Interferences, Other Contractors, Fish Windows, Utility Delays/Windows)  Insurance/Bonding/Tax-Discussions

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Construction Bid Documents IMPORTANT”

 Schedules  Restrictions  Special Conditions  Utility Conflicts  DBE Requirements  Other Projects  Staged Construction Sequencing  Long Lead Items  Owner Supplied Items

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Bid Advert TIME PERIOD Task Task Task

Week 1 Bid Advertized Order Plans Provide to Bonding/Ins/L egal(if necessary) Plan Week1/2 NO GO TALK Call to or From Prospective Subs and Material Suppliers Subcontractor, Material Supply(Bid Data) Visit Project Site(Require) Spread Sheet/Data

  • Entry. Take-Offs

by Suppliers and Understanding by Subs(Same Procedures by Them> Week 3 Receiving Data Spread Sheet, Calls to Above Beginning of Data Entry Production Rate Analysis Week 4 Assemble Team for Bid Bid Assembled Production Rate Analysis Confusion, Cuts, Rationalization, Submit Bid.

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RCW 39.04.340

  • Bidder Responsibility (Mandatory)
  • Bidder Responsibility (Supplemental)

Basis for evaluation/deadline for appeal CPARB created RCW 39.10.220 suggested guidelines to assist state and municipalities in developing supplemental criteria Contractor’s Toughest Criteria already in place and very restrictive for contractors (BONDING AND INSURANCE)

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What it takes to “ask” for a bond?

 (Bond Prequalification)

 The last 3 years of your CPA produced financial statements. Preferably reviewed. (This statement can cost anywhere from $8K to $35K. This may not be required for jobs under $500K.)  Current in house financial statement year to date. Balance Sheet/ Income Statement.  Corresponding Work In Progress statement.  Resumes of owners and key personnel.  Bid Request Form.

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What it takes to “ask” for a bond?  Personal financial statement, accompanied by the willingness of you and your spouse to indemnify (guarantee) that the said insurance company will never have to pay out, and if they do…..your stuff is their stuff.  Bank Information {A BANKLINE OF CREDIT MAY BE NEEDED}

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What it takes to “ask” for a bond?  After the above is completed the surety still will not guarantee that you will be awarded a bond if you ask. This simply means that you qualify to apply. This information is digested by an underwriting team whose job is to view each case individually and with an open mind, but still maintain a zero loss ratio. {CHARACTER/CAPACITY/CAPITAL}  Much of these underwriting decisions can be streamlined and heavily influenced by having a qualified broker that is an expert in the process represent you.

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Bonding Projects

  • Sources of Bonding{Construction Broker}
  • Types of Bonding {Bid/P&P/Release of

Retention/Release of Lien/Supply Bond

  • Bond Calculation
  • When To Apply {Very Early}

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Insurance 2nd or 3rd largest Overhead Items

  • Sources of Insurance (Where to go for insurance)
  • Contractors can work with either a captive agent or

independent broker. Captive agents only represent one company while an independent broker represents you to multiple companies. Qualifications to look for:

  • Look for representatives who insure other contractors

and have industry experience,

  • educational credentials such as the CPCU/CRIS/EHH

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Insurance

 Types of Insurance – At a minimum Commercial General Liability is required. In addition the General Liability policy typically must include the following forms to be compliant with contractual specifications. Additional Insured Status (for both on-going & completed operations). Waiver of Subrogation

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Insurance

Primary & Non-Contributory Language Also, contracts may require: {All Separate Policies} Pollution or Professional liability Excess or Umbrella Liability Special case work comp coverage such as USL&H. Builder’s Risk

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Insurance

 Underwriting – Contractors typically must show the following to be acceptable risks: Industry Experience Sound financials Active safety and quality control policies for both job site and commercial fleet operations. Good loss history (past 3- 5 year review at a minimum). Use of contractual risk transfer to subcontractors performing work on their behalf. Receive positive marks from periodic loss control inspections.

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Pricing

Base Rate - Decided by the insurance industries overall experience with a specific classification of business to which the carrier adds their overhead and profit. All rates must be justified to, and approved by the Office of the Insurance Commissioner if an admitted carrier. Non- admitted carriers are not subject to approval. Experience Rating -A ratio applied to the base rate of losses & reserves divided by premium.

Insurance

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 Pricing Scheduled Rating – Discretionary debits or credits applied by the underwriter to the rate based upon impression of the contractors safety programs, management attitude and commitment to safety, maintenance and housekeeping. Policy Limits – Coverage limits stipulated in the contract will affect insurance charges to the project. Specific policies like Builder’s Risk will often be a direct cost to the project. Understand what you are requesting.

Insurance

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The Thought-The Plan-The Bid

  • Unit Item and Lump Sum Items
  • Incidentals
  • Fixed Price Contracts-
  • If using lump sum items adequate information must be

provided in the contract documents for the contractor to quantify the work, IE: topo information for lump sum earthwork or other type Lump Sum Items.

  • Please be informative (Tell us your concerns and your

limitations)

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Bid Ingredients

Labor/Equipment/Material/subs/bonding/insurance

  • Project Labor Agreements
  • Apprenticeship Requirements
  • Planned Equipment for Project
  • Establishing Equipment Rates for Work
  • Rental Equipment
  • Material Vendors
  • Specialty Contractors
  • Subcontractors
  • Bonding
  • Insurance

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Wage Development

Single most important Item in Bid

  • Review the existing prevailing wage requirements
  • Union wages
  • Non Union Wages
  • Supplier wage requirements

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Equipment Rate Development

  • In-House Rates-normally not with a fuel

factor

  • Developed rates –types of work (Hard vs.

Easy)

  • Availability of equipment
  • Do with less-
  • Adjust at bid time (Cuts are usually made

in this items)

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Material and Supplier Quotes

  • How were their numbers developed
  • Do they match the units in the contract (Ton vs. Cy)
  • Are there stipulations and/or limitations for their use

(Embankment in place in bid

  • Payment requirements
  • Delivery time schedule
  • Local Supplier
  • Minority/DBE requirements: Is there a premium to meet

these?

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Subcontractor Quotes

  • Returning your calls (Did they do it in time)
  • What are their scopes (Are they full work or partial work)
  • Are they clear on exclusions and inclusions
  • Time schedules to do the work
  • Bonding/Insurance
  • ******Familiarity with them and their work
  • History in doing the type of work they are quoting
  • Are they financial secure with a bond and Insurance
  • Minority/DBE requirements: Is there a premium to meet these?
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Building the bid

  • Analysis of Construction Items
  • Availability of Personnel
  • Experience Factors for Crewing
  • Supporting our Subs
  • Supporting our Vendors
  • Lay Down Areas
  • Support from Outside of Onsite Office

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WHAT IS OUR FAVORITE MEHTOD OF BIDDING?

  • Unit Price
  • Lump Sum
  • Cost not to Exceed
  • Cost plus a Fee Price
  • Guaranteed Maximum Price
  • Worst method- FA-Bad for Owner/Contractor

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Review of items

  • Look at big tickets items-What controls bid
  • Incidentals (Price incidentals)-maybe/maybe not
  • Check Owners/Designers Quantities
  • Hard work/Easier Work
  • Weighted averages for Pricing
  • What can we self-Perform?

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Production analysis

  • Historical-Similar projects only
  • Means/Cat/Euclid handbook/Civil Handbook
  • Other sources-( PW published data)
  • Example of project-Data from project

documents (Geo-report/notices of estimators)

  • Staff input
  • Project field review and sample testing

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Bidding the Project

  • Item analysis-
  • Production Analysis
  • Production analysis-sets ingredients
  • Labor/Equipment/Materials/Subs/taxe

s

  • Spread sheets/other bidding forms
  • Overhead and Profit ??????

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Productivity a guess or a fact! transparency

  • Productivity is the leading risk factor in a

construction estimate

  • Historical Data
  • No two projects the same/Not

current/Accurate data from job site/inefficiencies are included

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Productivity a guess or a fact! transparency

  • Work Study
  • Select the work to be studied
  • Break work down (PRODUCTIVE AND NON-

PRODUCTIVE)

  • Record Facts(EXAMINE THE FACTS CRITICALL)
  • Develop new methods

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Productivity the key for the Estimate

  • DETERMINE THE QUANTITY OF WORK
  • SELF-PERFORMING OF WORK
  • IDENTIFY THE PRODUCTIVITY RATES TO BE USED
  • CALCULATE THE UNIT COST OF THE RESOURCES
  • FACTORS IMPACTING PRODUCTION
  • Climate
  • Schedule-tight schedules foster low productivity as

progress trumps efficiency

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Productivity is the key to the estimate

  • JOB LOCATION
  • SUPERVISION
  • ACCESS TO SITE
  • GEOTECHNICAL DATA
  • EQUIPMENT/CREW EXPERIENCE
  • HOURS OF WORK –WEIGHTED AVERAGES $/HOUR
  • SELF –PERFORMING WORK

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Productivity is the key to the estimate

BID SHEET (Takes many forms)

  • QUANTITY/PRODUCTION RATE/CREW/EQUIPMENT

COSTS

  • WAGES/HOURS WORKED/TAXES/O AND P
  • MATERIAL COSTS/SUBCONTRACTORS-O AND P
  • TAXES

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EXHIBIT A

Review and Analysis of Work Plans 800lf/day Page 1 NISQUALLY TO PARADISE ROAD PAHSE 1

Catepillar Performance Handbook Edition 42 Source Document ** Beginning work station 25+80 Plan Sheets End work station 346+00 Length of project 32, 020 by station Length of trench by Bid item 32,700 Source Station of dump site 190+00 construction inspector report 3/17/2014 Cycle time Analysis cycle time at excavation site ** 42-203 Distance Sec Min Hard digging and asphalt removal Load bucket **8 Ft/sec swing **0.1 MPH paved 15mph 22.5 dump **0.1 MPH Gravel 10mph 15 swing **0.1 Within Site 5mph 8 To 190+00 16,420 729.7778 731 12 25+80 to 190+00 in Gravel to dump 1500 100 100 2 in Travel within Site 400 slow 50 1

  • ut

dump Stopped and dump 120 2 Travel within Site 400 slow 50 1 Gravel to 190 1500 100 2 190 to excavation 16440 731 12 total

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total project length bid item 32,700 Depth of trench 3.5 24" HD 2 Cy in trench 8500 bank cy bcy/lineal ft. 0.26 Cy/lineal ft. 800LF/DAY 208 CY/day One truck cy/day use 8lcy/truck 8hours/day 480 min load/day/truck 12 96 lcy/truck/ day Contractor work plan 800 lf/day lCy/day Trucks/haul Contractor work plan 208 bcy 250 2.604167 say 3 trucks on excavation 20% May consider (1) spar 4 trucks Contractor work plan 4 trucks As we move through out the site trucks are either added or removed based on proximity to dump area-Exhibit A page 2 The contractor approximated in Work Plan 4 solo's. The cycle time study above indicates 3 trucks with a normally planned spare.

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8/27/2018 MM Construction Consulting LLC Mike Myette President 51 Bid Item Quanity Unit Duration Unit Production Roadway Excavation 6000 cy Neat line 5 days Shift 8 hrs/day 66.66667 Load 2 min 1000 ft Equipment # Shifts # of shifts Rate Amount Haul 2 min 10 miles/hour Backhoe 1 8 5 100.00 $ 4,000.00 $ Dump 3 min 15 ft/sec Compactor 1 8 5 55.00 $ 2,200.00 $ Haul 2 min Tks 2 8 5 45.00 $ 1,800.00 $ 9 min/load 7 use 7 Grader 1 8 5 85.00 $ 3,400.00 $ 7trips/hr/tr cat 2 8 5 65.00 $ 2,600.00 $ Truck 12 Pick-up 2 8 5 20.00 $ 800.00 $ Trips 7 84 cy/hr/tr 14,800.00 $ Truck 672 Labor 2truck 1344 Operators 6 8 5 65.00 $ 2,600.00 $ Overhead/Profit ????? Grade Checker 1 8 5 50.00 $ 2,000.00 $ Foreman 1 8 5 75.00 $ 3,000.00 $ teamsters 2 8 5 75.00 $ 3,000.00 $ 10,600.00 $ Unit price 4.23 $

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Another look at - do we bid?

  • ANALYSIS OF ITEMS
  • LABOR/EQUIP/SUBS/MATERIALS WITHOUT MARKUPS
  • HOW MUCH DO I GIVE TO OTHERS?
  • HOW MUCH DO I TAKE HOME?
  • IS MY LABOR REASONABLE BASED ON THE TOTAL?
  • IS MY EQUIPMENT REASONABLE BASED ON THE TOTAL?

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Another look at - do we bid?

ANALYSIS OF ITEMS

  • HOW DO I DO BETTER? (SUBS/MATERIAL QUOTES)
  • DO I RECALL TO GET THEIR FINAL NUMBERS?
  • DO I RELOOK AT PRODUCTION RATES?
  • REMEMBER THIS IS A GUESS CARRIED TO TWO PLACES
  • WHERE DO I CUT FOR MY FINAL NUMBER?

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Handouts

  • When to Bid Matrix
  • Constructions Cost Estimate Qualifications Exclusions
  • New Project Estimate Checklist
  • Owner’s Total Project Cost Estimate Summary Checklist
  • SPM_ Managed Historical Percentage 2008-2015

Handouts available in native format upon request.

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Questions? Contact…

Michael Dyer CCM, CPE, AVS Capital Project Estimator Port of Seattle Phone: 206-787-3839 Email: dyer.m@portseattle.org Mike Myette President MM Construction Consulting, LLC Phone: 206-510-6536 Email: goblueguy@outlook.com