Overall activities in FY 2018 2019 Toshihiko MASUI National - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

overall activities in fy 2018 2019
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Overall activities in FY 2018 2019 Toshihiko MASUI National - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Overall activities in FY 2018 2019 Toshihiko MASUI National Institute for Environmental Studies The 25th AIM International Workshop Ohyama Memorial Hall, NIES, Japan November 18, 2019 Welcome the 25th AIM International Workshop! The 24th AIM


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Overall activities in FY 2018‐2019

Toshihiko MASUI

National Institute for Environmental Studies

The 25th AIM International Workshop

Ohyama Memorial Hall, NIES, Japan November 18, 2019

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Welcome the 25th AIM International Workshop!

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The 24th AIM International Workshop @NIES, Japan, Nov 5‐6, 2018

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The 25th AIM International Workshop, Agenda

Day 1 (November 18)

Session 1: Opening Session 2: Climate Mitigation in Asia Photo session and Lunch Session 3: Global Sustainability Session 4: Nation‐scale Impact and Adaptation Research Session 5: Poster and reception

Day 2 (November 19)

Session 6: Climate Mitigation in Asia and Africa Session 7: Research on Climate Mitigation at NIES Lunch Session 8: Discussion on Low Carbon Development Strategy and Stakeholder Dialogue Session 9: Discussion on research collaboration among Asian countries Session 10: Closing Dinner

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Discussions at Session 8 & 9

  • Session 8: Discussion on Low Carbon Development Strategy and

Stakeholder Dialogue

  • How to proceed activities on model implementation.
  • Session 9: Discussion on research collaboration among Asian

countries

  • How to collaborate among the AIM team and proceed new research topics.

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Open symposium: Toward Decarbonized Society from Low Carbon Society

  • Venue: TKP Gardencity Premium Akihabara, Tokyo
  • Date: 14:00 – 17:00, November 20, 2019
  • Program

14:00 Welcome Address (Mr. Mobuhiro Kino; MOEJ, Japan) 14:05 Purpose of this symposium (Dr. Toshihiko Masui; NIES, Japan) 14:10 Keynote speech (1): Activities of IPCC toward AR6 (Prof. P. R. Shukla; IPCC, WGIII) 14:30 Keynote speech (2): The transition to 1.5 (Dr, Jae Edmonds (PNNL, USA) 14:50 Keynote speech (3): Activities to realize decarbonization in Japan (Mr. Go Hibino; MHIR, Japan) 15:10 Break 15:20 Panel Discussion Short presentation 1 (Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi; NIES, Japan) Short presentation 2 (Prof. Kejun Jiang; ERI, China) Short presentation 3 (Prof. Bundit Limmeechokchai; SIIT‐TU, Thailand) Short presentation 4 (Prof. Rizaldi Boer; IPB, Indonesia)

  • Prof. P. R. Shukla; Dr, Jae Edmonds; Mr. Go Hibino

16:55 Closing address (Dr. Tsuyoshi Fujita; NIES, Japan)

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The 25th AIM International Workshop

  • Quarter of a century has already

passed.

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http://www.nies.go.jp/kanko/kankyogi/74/74.pdf

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Brief History of AIM and its application

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AR6 SAR TAR AR4 AR5 SR1.5 SRES

Development

  • f Sustainable

Low/Zero- Carbon Society

EMF IAMC International model comparison Eco-Asia Japan mid target / INDC MA

AIM/Air Snapshot tool & ExSS AIM/Climate AIM/CGE [Global] AIM/CGE [Japan]

Carbon tax policy assessemnt in Japan based on AIM/Enduse and CGE Long-term GHG emissions scenarios IPCC SRES / RCPs / SSPs

AIM/Enduse [Japan] and application to Asian countries AIM/Enduse [Global]

20 07 20 08

Impact assessment models

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FAR

UNEP/GEO Long-term LCS

COP3 COP21 COP8

NIES 4th 5-yr plan NIES 3rd 5-yr plan NIES 2nd 5-yr plan NIES 1st 5-yr plan 21 00 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 20 50 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 09 20 10 20 20 20 30 20 40 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 03 20 04 20 19 20 05 20 06 LLGHG&SLCP (‐FY2018) Asia LCS Project (‐FY2013) Long‐term strategies Start of AIM Project (FY1990‐) Japan LCS Project (‐FY2008) AIM Training WS (FY1997‐) COP Side Event (FY2005‐) SATREPS (‐FY2015) AIM Workshop (FY1995‐) Fukushima JCM BOCM‐ MRV LoCARNet Low‐Carbon Vision LCS‐RNet Japan UK Joint Project (‐FY2007)

Center for CC Adaptation

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Japan・ Mid/Long‐term [‐80% in 2050/ net zero GHG in 20xx] Global・ Long‐term [2℃/1.5℃]

Social issues confronted in Japan Sustainable development

Mitigation models for national scale analyses Mitigation and environmental models for global analyses Implication of LCS policies on other social issues Mitigation targets Theme1:Global climate policy analyses Theme2・3:Japanese mitigation policy analyses

Global scenarios consistent with Paris agreement and SDGs Domestic mitigation scenarios consistent with global scenarios

Tool development Proposition of integrated scenarios

Integrated Analyses of Climate Policies for Simultaneous Realization of the Paris Agreement and the SDGs (ERTDF 2‐1702)

Internatio nal model comparis

  • n

projects IPCC / ipbes etc Collaboration with France and Germany Various stakehold ers

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Sub 3 Sub 2 Sub 1 Countries in Asia 【ExSS & CGE model】

Increased GHG reduction in 2030 2/1.5℃ target Long-term low carbon development strategies in 2050

Global GHG emission pathways to achieve 2/1.5℃ target 【Global CGE model】 Lifestyle change, Industrial structure change, Service demand

Synergy & trade-off Air pollution, solid wastes, land use, etc. 【Model improvement】

Change of GHG emission factors by introducing advanced technologies GHG emission reduction target in Asian countries corresponding to 2/1.5℃ target

Assessment of Further Reduction of GHG Emissions in Asian Countries and Benefit to Japan by Assisting their Reduction Efforts (ERTDF 2‐1908)

Goals of this research:

Quantification of

  • Contribution to achieve 2℃ target
  • Benefits to Japan
  • Sustainable development

by reinforcement of GHG reduction efforts in Asian countries Technology Transfer Foreign Direct Investment (including JCM) Export of ene-saving goods

Information collection and discussion on simulation results with experts in each country

Assessment of macroeconomy Assessment of reduction potential

【Enduse model】

Provision of GHG reduction credits Environmental quality improvement

THA IDN CHN IND VNM MYS BTN :

JAPAN 【CGE model】

  • Env. Basic Plan

Future Investment Strategy

Benefit to Japan

Effort of Japan to global GHG emission reduction target GHG reduction by assistance to activities in Asia

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Training workshops since 24th AIM International Workshop

  • India: Enduse
  • hosted by MANIT (Bhopal)
  • 2018/12/3‐12/7
  • China: Enduse
  • hosted by BUAA (Beijing)
  • 2019/6/27‐7/4
  • back‐to‐back BUAA‐NIES Bilateral

Workshop on Integrated Assessment of Health Co‐benefits

  • f Climate Change Mitigation Policy

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Policy dialogue

  • AIM team supported policy

dialogues in Asia.

  • Thailand (following photos),

Indonesia, Lao, ...

  • At LCS‐RNet in Rome and

LoCARNet in Beijing, we discussed how to communicate with policy makers and other stakeholders.

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Let's discuss

  • ur future research topics,

policy dialogue, model training, etc. toward low/zero carbon society during the workshop.

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