Outcome Analysis Presentation Nigeria October 2019 Liv - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Outcome Analysis Presentation Nigeria October 2019

Liv Livelihood elihood Zone Zone Ma Map

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 7

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 8

Ar Area eas s co cover ered ed un unde der r the the Pr Previous vious Liv Livelihood elihood zon

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Ar Areas co eas cover ered ed under t under the he 201 2018 up 8 upda dated ted Liv Liveliho elihood

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zone Ma

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October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 9

Ma Map of p of Nigeria Nigeria sho showing wing Outcome Outcome Anal Analysis ysis October October result esult

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 10

Liv Livelih elihoo

• od Zo

d Zone ne an and Ar d Area eas s Co Cover ered ed

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 11

Livelihood Zones States LGA

Millet & Sesame LZ (MAS) Katsina Baure, Daura, Dutsi, Sandamu, Mashi & Zango Cotton Groundnut & Cowpea LZ (CGC) Zamfara Bungudu, Gusau, Maru & Tsafe Sorghum Cowpeas & Groundnut LZ (SCG) Zamfara Anka, Bukkuyum & Gumi Northern Floodplain Irrigated Rice Wheat & Vegetables LZ (NG11) Jigawa Auyo, Guri, Hadejia, Kafin Hausa, Kaugama, Kiri Kassama, Miga, Malam Madori Sahel Mixed Cereals & Livestock LZ (NG13) Jigawa Babura, Birniwa, Dutse, Dagarawa, Garki, Gwiwa, Gumel, Jahun, Kazaure, Kiyawa, Maigatari, Malam Madori, Ringim, Roni, Sule Tankarkar, Taura, Yankwashi Millet Cowpeas & Sesame LZ (MCS) Bauchi Misau, Katagum, Gaide, Gamawa, Darazo & Damban Maize Sorghum & Cotton LZ (MSC) Bauchi Alkaleri, Bogoro, Dass, Gamjuwa, Ningi, Toro & Tafawa Balewa North Central Maize Sorghum & Cotton LZ (NG10) Borno Abadam,Askira Uba, Biu, Chibok, Hawul, Kwaya Kusar, Mobbar, Shani Northeast Millet Cowpea & Sesame Borno Bama, Damboa, Dikwa, Gubio, Gwoza, Jere, Kaga, Kalabalge, Konduga, Mafa, Magumeri, Marte, Maiduguri, Monguno, Ngala

Liv Liveliho elihood

• d Zon

Zone a e and nd Ar Area eas s Co Cover ered ed

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 12

Livelihood Zones States LGA

North-East sahelian: Millet, Sesame, Cowpeas and Livestock LZ (NG04) Yobe Bursari, Jakusko,Yusufari, Nguru, Karasuwa, Machina and Yunusari Borno-Yobe-Bauchi; Millet, Cowpeas, Groundut and Sesame LZ (NG05) Yobe Fika, Potiskum,Fune, Nangere, Damaturu and Tarmuwa North-East Maize dominant with rice, Cowpeas, Soya beans and Groundnut LZ (NG15) Yobe Gujba Gulani

Da Data ta sou source ces

Key Parameter Source Crop Production Agricultural Development Programme (ADP)- Ministry of Agriculture Market Price Agricultural Development Programme (ADP)- Ministry of Agriculture Livestock Production Village Key informants/ Consensus among workshop participants Other Income Sources (Price) Key Informants Other Income Sources (Access) Key informants/ Consensus among workshop participants

October 2019 Ou Outco tcome me Analysis Result t Presen Presentati tation 13

The analysis team comprised of members from:

• NEMA (National Emergency Management Agency)
• NAERLS- National Agric. Extension & Research Liaison

Services

• Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development
• State Ministry of Agriculture
• Yobe state Min. of Budget and economic Planning
• Representatives of ADP from States
• Zamfara State Min of Budget and Economic planning
• National Programme for Food Security
• Save the Children
• Majesty Community Rural Development Foundation

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 14

Analysis Team Composition

Resu esult lt Sum Summa mary

The period or consumption year covered by the current analysis is Se Septembe ptember r 2019 2019 – Augu ugust st 2020 2020 for the ten livelihood zones but across 6 states as projected. This analysis for all the states was analyse per Local government area (LGA) The analysis shows that the very poor and poor households in Bungu, Maru, & Tsafe LGA of zamfara state) CGC livelihood zone would likely face a livelihood protection deficit (LPD) VP 33%, 34% & 34% and P 3%, 5% & 5% respectively. Borno State, comprising NG10 and NG12 was analysed by LGA following the level of insecurity within the state and the result shows that in Abadam & Mobbar LGA (NG10), the very poor and poor HHs would likely face a LPD of VP 73% & 71% P 16% & 16%

• respectively. In Kala Balge & Marte LGA (NG12) the analysis

shows that the very poor and poor HHs would likely face a LPD of VP 38% & 38%, P 26% & 26%.

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 15

In Yobe state the analysis shows the following: In Yunusari LGA (NG04) the very poor would likely face a livelihood protection deficit LPD VP 33%. In Fika & Tarmua LGA (NG05) the very poor would be likely to face a livelihood protection deficit LPD of VP 4% and 22% respectively. In Gulani & Gujba LGA (NG15) the very poor would likely face a livelihood projection deficit LPD of VP 5% and 5% respectively. Other LGAs and LZs are not expected to face any deficit within the consumption year except there is a major shock that would like have an effect on household access to food and cash income.

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 16

Resu esult lt Summar Summary y Con Continue tinue

Resu esult lt sum summa mary y Co Continu ntinue

Households facing survival deficit are unable to meet their daily food needs and would require external assistance to meet their food needs during the deficit period, while households facing livelihood protection deficit would require external assistance to meet their livelihood needs, this will also prevent the use high cost coping mechanism. Households not facing deficits would be able to access both food and cash income required to meet their normal food and non food needs within the projected period.

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 17

OA A Resu esult lt Sum Summa mary

See At See Attac tachment hment

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 18

Resu esult lt- Bun Bungud gudu LGA GA -Zam Zamfar ara (NGCGC) (NGCGC) VP VP

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 19

District: Bungudu District: Bungudu Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

animal products cons. animal products sold

• wn crops consumed
• wn crops sold

animals sold labour - casual/payment in kind labour - formal emp self - employment small business wild foods gifts - food gifts - cash

• ther

food transfer - official labour - public works cash transfer - official Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Bungudu Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

Result esult- Bungud Bungudu LGA GA -Zamf Zamfar ara (NG (NGCGC) CGC) P

October 2018 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 20

District: Bungudu District: Bungudu Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: P Household type: P

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

• wn crops consumed
• wn crops sold

• ther

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Bungudu Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: P

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 21

Result esult- Mar Maru & & Tsaf safe LGA GA Zam Zamfar ara (NGCGC) NGCGC) VP VP

District: Maru District: Maru Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

• wn crops consumed
• wn crops sold

• ther

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Maru Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

Resu esult lt- Mar Maru & & Tsaf safe LGA GA Zamf Zamfar ara (NGCGC) (NGCGC) P

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 22

District: Maru Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: P

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

District: Maru District: Maru Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: P Household type: P

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

animal products cons. animal products sold

• wn crops consumed
• wn crops sold

animals sold labour - casual/payment in kind labour - formal emp self - employment small business wild foods gifts - food gifts - cash

• ther

food transfer - official labour - public works cash transfer - official Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 23

Result esult-Kala Kalabalge balge & & Mar Marte te LGA GA Bor Borno no(NG12)VP (NG12)VP

District: Kalabalge District: Kalabalge Livelihood Zone: NG12 Livelihood Zone: NG12 Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

milk milk sales crops crop sales livestock sales

• ag. labour

non ag. labour self employment small business gifts/remittances payment in kind wild foods/other food aid employment cash transfer Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Kalabalge Livelihood Zone: NG12 Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 24

Resu esult lt-Kala Kalabalge balge & & Mar Marte te LGA GA Bor Borno no (NG12) (NG12) P

District: Kalabalge District: Kalabalge Livelihood Zone: NG12 Livelihood Zone: NG12 Household type: P Household type: P

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

milk milk sales crops crop sales livestock sales

• ag. labour

non ag. labour self employment small business gifts/remittances payment in kind wild foods/other food aid employment cash transfer Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Kalabalge Livelihood Zone: NG12 Household type: P

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 25

Resu esult lt- Aba Abadam dam LGA GA Bo Borno no (NG10)VP (NG10)VP

District: Abadam District: Abadam Livelihood Zone: NG10 Livelihood Zone: NG10 Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

milk milk sales crops crop sales livestock sales

• ag. labour

non-ag local labour self employment small business gifts/remittances payment in kind wild foods/other food aid employment cash transfer Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Abadam Livelihood Zone: NG10 Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 26

Resu esult lt- Mob Mobbar bar LGA GA Bor Borno no (NG10)VP (NG10)VP

District: Mobbar District: Mobbar Livelihood Zone: NG10 Livelihood Zone: NG10 Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

milk milk sales crops crop sales livestock sales

• ag. labour

non-ag local labour self employment small business gifts/remittances payment in kind wild foods/other food aid employment cash transfer Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Mobbar Livelihood Zone: NG10 Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 27

Result esult- Abada Abadam & & Mob Mobbar bar LGA GA Bor Borno no (NG10& (NG10&12) 12) P

District: Abadam District: Abadam Livelihood Zone: NG10 Livelihood Zone: NG10 Household type: P Household type: P

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

milk milk sales crops crop sales livestock sales

• ag. labour

non-ag local labour self employment small business gifts/remittances payment in kind wild foods/other food aid employment cash transfer Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Abadam Livelihood Zone: NG10 Household type: P

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 28

Resu esult lt- Yunu unusari sari LGA GA Yobe

• be (NG04)

(NG04) VP VP

District: Yunusari District: Yunusari Livelihood Zone: NG04 Livelihood Zone: NG04 Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

milk milk sales crops crop sales livestock sales migrant labour local labour self employment small business gifts/remittances payment in kind wild foods/other food aid employment cash transfer Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income District: Yunusari Livelihood Zone: NG04 Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 29

Resu esult lt- Fika Fika LGA GA Yobe

• be (NG

(NG05) 05) VP VP

District: Fika District: Fika Livelihood Zone: NG05 Livelihood Zone: NG05 Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

milk milk sales crops crop sales livestock sales migrant labour local labour self employment small business gifts/remittances payment in kind wild foods/other food aid employment cash transfer Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Fika Livelihood Zone: NG05 Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 30

Resu esult lt- Tar armua mua LGA GA Yobe

• be (NG

(NG05) 05) VP VP

District: Tarmuwa District: Tarmuwa Livelihood Zone: NG05 Livelihood Zone: NG05 Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

milk milk sales crops crop sales livestock sales migrant labour local labour self employment small business gifts/remittances payment in kind wild foods/other food aid employment cash transfer Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income District: Tarmuwa Livelihood Zone: NG05 Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 31

Resu esult lt- Gulani Gulani & & Gujba Gujba LGA GA Yobe

• be (NG

(NG15) 15) VP VP

District: Gujiba Livelihood Zone: NG15 Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

District: Gujiba District: Gujiba Livelihood Zone: NG15 Livelihood Zone: NG15 Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

milk milk sales crops crop sales livestock sales migrant labour local labour self employment small business gifts/remittances payment in kind wild foods/other food aid employment cash transfer Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

Quantifica Quantification tion of

• f F

Food Needs

• od Needs in

in Ar Areas of eas of Deficits Deficits

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 32

State Livelihood Zone Beneficiaries In need of Support Food needs in Metric T

• nnes

Borno Northeast Millet Cowpea & Sesame LZ (NG12) 26,499

• Borno

North Central Maize Sorghum & Cotton LZ (NG10) 43,975 490 Zamfara NW Cotton Groundnut & mixed Cereals LZ (CGC) 580,324 6,514 Yobe North-East sahelian: Millet, Sesame, Cowpeas and Livestock LZ (NG04) 17,632

Quantifica Quantification tion of

• f F

Food Needs

• od Needs in

in Ar Areas of eas of Deficits Deficits

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 33

State Livelihood Zone Beneficiaries In need of Support Food needs in Metric T

• nnes

Yobe Borno-Yobe-Bauchi; Millet, Cowpeas, Groundnut and Sesame LZ (NG05) 36449

• Yobe

North-East Maize dominant with rice, Cowpeas, Soya beans and Groundnut LZ (NG15) 40661

• TOTAL

745,540

Co Conc nclusion lusion & & Rec ecom

• mme

mend ndation tion

Although there are several humanitarian intervention in Borno (northeast) by partners, some HHs still face food insecurity within the LGAs, as some communities remain inaccessible following the persistence of security challenge with the region. Very poor households in CGC LZ as well as some LGAs in Borno state would require support to meet their non food needs. Persistent armed bandits attack in CGC & SCG LZ (Zamfara state), resulting to kidnapping/killing in some communities has significantly affected activities within the zone and the entire state of Zamfara, this activity is gradually affecting neighbouring state katsina and if this continues the very poor and poor HHS might be affected and would not be able to provide its basic food and non food requirement. Government to intensify effort to improve the security situation in Nigeria. Focus on development interventions to improve resilience among the vulnerable households. Continuous monitoring of the security situation as well as staple food prices as the lean season progresses.

October 2019 Outcome Analysis Result Presentation 34