Outcome Analysis Presentation Nigeria October 2018 Livelihood Zone - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Outcome Analysis Presentation Nigeria October 2018

Livelihood Zone Map

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Previous Livelihood zone Map

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Millet & Sesame Zone (MAS) Cotton, Groundnut & Cereals (CGC) Sorghum, Cowpea & Groundnut (MCG)

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Livelihood Zone and Areas Covered

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Livelihood Zones States LGA

Millet & Sesame LZ (MAS) Katsina Baure, Daura, Dutsi, Sandamu, Mashi & Zango Cotton Groundnut & Cowpea LZ (CGC) Zamfara Bungudu, Gusau, Maru & Tsafe Sorghum Cowpeas & Groundnut LZ (SCG) Zamfara Anka, Bukkuyum & Gumi Northern Floodplain Irrigated Rice Wheat & Vegetables LZ (NG11) Jigawa Auyo, Guri, Hadejia, Kafin Hausa, Kaugama, Kiri Kassama, Miga, Malam Madori Sahel Mixed Cereals & Livestock LZ (NG13) Jigawa Babura, Birniwa, Dutse, Dagarawa, Garki, Gwiwa, Gumel, Jahun, Kazaure, Kiyawa, Maigatari, Malam Madori, Ringim, Roni, Sule Tankarkar, Taura, Yankwashi Millet Cowpeas & Sesame LZ (MCS) Bauchi Misau, Katagum, Gaide, Gamawa, Darazo & Damban Maize Sorghum & Cotton LZ (MSC) Bauchi Alkaleri, Bogoro, Dass, Gamjuwa, Ningi, Toro & Tafawa Balewa North Central Maize Sorghum & Cotton LZ (NG10) Borno Abadam,Askira Uba, Biu, Chibok, Hawul, Kwaya Kusar, Mobbar, Shani Northeast Millet Cowpea & Sesame Borno Bama, Damboa, Dikwa, Gubio, Gwoza, Jere, Kaga, Kalabalge, Konduga, Mafa, Magumeri, Marte, Maiduguri, Monguno, Ngala

Data sources

Key Parameter Source Crop Production Agricultural Development Programme (ADP)- Ministry of Agriculture Market Price Agricultural Development Programme (ADP)- Ministry of Agriculture Livestock Production Village Key informants/ Consensus among workshop participants Other Income Sources (Price) Key Informants Other Income Sources (Access) Key informants/ Consensus among workshop participants

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The analysis team comprised of members from:

• NEMA
• NAERLS- National Agric. Extension & Research Liaison Services
• State Ministry of Agriculture
• National Bureau of Statistics
• Representatives of ADP from States
• Zamfara State Min of Budget and Economic planning
• National Programme for Food Security
• Save the Children
• Majesty Community Rural Development Foundation

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Analysis Team Composition

Result Summary

The period or consumption year covered by the current analysis is September 2018 – August 2019 for the seven livelihood zones but across 5 states as projected. The analysis shows that the very poor households in MAS, CGC and MCS livelihood zone would likely face a livelihood protection deficit 1%, 8% & 12% respectively with the very poor in MCS LZ also facing a survival deficits of 7%, while the remaining wealth groups across the other LZs are not expected to face any deficit. Households facing survival deficit would not be able to meet their daily food needs and therefore requires urgent support to meet their food needs during the deficit period, while households facing livelihood protection deficit would require support to meet their livelihood needs, this will also prevent the use high cost coping mechanism. While households not facing deficits would be able to access food and cash income to meet their normal food and non food needs within the projected period.

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OA Result Summary

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LZ description Baseline State LGAs Population Wealth Groups % Populatio Timing of Deficit Survival Deficit LP Deficit (%Kcal) VP 34% Apr- Aug, 2018 No deficit 1% P 32% No deficit No deficit No deficit M 19% No deficit No deficit No deficit BO 16% No deficit No deficit No deficit VP 26% Jul-Aug, 2018 No deficit 8% P 26% No deficit No deficit No deficit M 26% No deficit No deficit No deficit BO 22% No deficit No deficit No deficit VP 33% No deficit No deficit No deficit P 20% No deficit No deficit No deficit M 23% No deficit No deficit No deficit BO 24% No deficit No deficit No deficit VP 30% No deficit No deficit No deficit P 26% No deficit No deficit No deficit M 23% No deficit No deficit No deficit BO 21% No deficit No deficit No deficit VP 27% No deficit No deficit No deficit P 29% No deficit No deficit No deficit M 25% No deficit No deficit No deficit BO 18% No deficit No deficit No deficit Sorghum Cowpea and Groundnut LZ (SCG) Sept12- Aug13 2012-13 1,351,607 1,604,678 NW Cotton, Groundnuts & mixed Cereals LZ (CGC) Sept11- Aug12 Millet, Cowpeas and Sesame LZ (MCS) Maize, Sorghum and Cotton LZ (MSC) 2012-13 Millet & Sesame LZ (MAS) Sept09- Aug10 Katsina Zamfara Bauchi Bauchi Zamfara Baure, Daura, Dutsi, Mashi, Zango & Sandamu Bungudu, Gusau, Maru & Tsafe Alkaleri, Bogoro, Dass, Gamjuwa, Ningi, Toro & Tafawa Balewa Misau, Katagum, Gaide, Gamawa, Darazo & Damban Anka, Bukkuyum & Gumi 756,288 1,817,466 2,259,076

OA Result Summary

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VP 28% No deficit No deficit No deficit P 26% No deficit No deficit No deficit M 29% No deficit No deficit No deficit BO 18% No deficit No deficit No deficit VP 34% No deficit No deficit No deficit P 29% No deficit No deficit No deficit M 21% No deficit No deficit No deficit BO 16% No deficit No deficit No deficit VP 25% No deficit No deficit No deficit P 27% No deficit No deficit No deficit M 25% No deficit No deficit No deficit BO 23% No deficit No deficit No deficit VP 38% Jun - Aug, 2019 7% 12% P 26% No deficit No deficit No deficit M 21% No deficit No deficit No deficit BO 14% No deficit No deficit No deficit Sept16- Aug17 Northern Floodplains Irrigated Rice Wheat and Jigawa Auyo, Guri, Hadejia, Kafin Hausa, Kaugama, Kirikasama, Miga, Malam Madori Sahel Mixd Cereals and Livestock (NG13) Jigawa Babura, Birniwa, Dutse, Dagarawa, Garki, Gwiwa, Gumel, Jahun, Kazaure, Kiyawa, 3,761,296 Sept16- Aug17 Borno Northeast Millet Cowpea and Sesame (NG12) Bama, Damboa, Dikwa, Gubio, Gwoza, Jere, Kaga, Kalabalge, Konduga, Mafa, 4,014,959 1,773,540 North Central Maize Sorghum and Cotton LZ (NG10) Sept16- Aug17 Borno Abadam, Askira Uba, Biu, Chibok, Hawul, Kwaya Kusar, Mobbar, Shani 1,742,757 Sept16- Aug17

Result- Borno NG12

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District: Bama District: Bama Livelihood Zone: NG12 Livelihood Zone: NG12 Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

milk milk sales crops crop sales livestock sales

• ag. labour

non ag. labour self employment small business gifts/remittances payment in kind wild foods/other food aid employment cash transfer Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180%

ref.year curr.year thresholds

% minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Bama Livelihood Zone: NG12 Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

Result- Katsina (MAS LZ)

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District: Baure District: Baure Livelihood Zone: NGMAS Livelihood Zone: NGMAS Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

animal products cons. animal products sold

• wn crops consumed
• wn crops sold

animals sold labour - casual/payment in kind labour - formal emp self - employment small business wild foods gifts - food gifts - cash

• ther

food transfer - official labour - public works cash transfer - official Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160%

ref.year curr.year thresholds

% minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Baure Livelihood Zone: NGMAS Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

Result- Zamfara (CGC)

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District: Bungudu District: Bungudu Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: VP Household type: VP

Total Income (food+cash) Total Income (food+cash)

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% ref.year curr.year thresholds % minimum food needs

animal products cons. animal products sold

• wn crops consumed
• wn crops sold

animals sold labour - casual/payment in kind labour - formal emp self - employment small business wild foods gifts - food gifts - cash

• ther

food transfer - official labour - public works cash transfer - official Thresholds survival l/hoods protection

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250%

ref.year curr.year thresholds

% minimum food needs

survival l/hoods protection Threshold total income

District: Bungudu Livelihood Zone: NGCGC Household type: VP

Seasonal Expenditure (Food+Cash)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% S O N D J F M A M J J A S O % min. food energy needs

total expenditure deficit

Quantification of Food Needs in Areas of Deficits

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State Livelihood Zone Beneficiaries In need of Support Food needs in Metric T

• nnes

Borno Northeast Millet Cowpea & Sesame LZ (NG12) 1,527,855 63,332 Katsina Millet & sesame LZ 457,018 2,944 Zamfara NW Cotton Groundnut & mixed Cereals LZ (CGC) 416,028 6,858 TOTAL 2,400,901 73,134

Conclusion & Recommendation

There has been various humanitarian intervention in Borno (northeast), however some persons still face food insecurity as some LGAs remain inaccessible following the persistence of security challenge with the region. Very poor households in CGC and MAS LZs would as well require support to meet their livelihood needs with the deficit period to prevent the use of non acceptable/high cost coping mechanism. High level of insecurity, previously cattle rustling in CGC LZ (Zamfara state) but has further deteriorated to kidnapping/killing in some communities within zone. This has significantly affected activities within the area. Government to intensify effort to improve the security situation in Nigeria. Focus on development interventions to improve resilience among the vulnerable households. Given the on-going harvest of some crops, an update of the OA would be done in March to account for these changes and staple food prices would be constantly monitored as the leans season progresses.

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