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Allan Hancock College: Our Students and the Community Presentation to the Allan Hancock Community Ambassadors Paul Murphy, Ph.D. Vice President Institutional Effectiveness Todays Presentation The Community Allan Hancock College


  1. Allan Hancock College: Our Students and the Community Presentation to the Allan Hancock Community Ambassadors Paul Murphy, Ph.D. Vice President Institutional Effectiveness

  2. Today’s Presentation • The Community • Allan Hancock College Student Profile • Current Enrollment Trends • Student Achievement As we discuss the data ask yourself, “why do I care?”

  3. The Community Allan Hancock College serves a community that comprises primarily northern Santa Barbara County and southern You are here San Luis Obispo County. Within the northern Santa Barbara ALLAN HANCOCK COLLEGE DISTRICT region there is considerable geographic variation in population size, race/ethnicity, and SES. The areas of Santa Maria and Guadalupe have experienced the largest rate of growth, with Santa Maria also showing the largest absolute increase in population from 2000 to 2010.

  4. Historical Population Data

  5. What is Ahead of Us? • “Never look back unless you are planning to go that way .” – Thoreau • “Don’t look back. Something might be gaining on you.” – Satchel Paige

  6. Service Area Cities and Towns Projections Projected Population Growth All Ages (2016-2021) 8% 7% 7.2% 6.7% 6% 5.7% 5.7% 5% 5.3% 5.1% 4.7% 4% 4.3% 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 3.6% 3% 2% 1% 0% Santa Ynez Orcutt Buelton Solvang Lompoc Nipomo Santa Santa Guadalupe Arroyo San Luis San Luis Barbara Maria Grande Obispo Obispo County County Source: ESRI

  7. Service Area Cities and Towns Projections Projected Population Growth Ages 18-24 (2016-2021) 10% 3.8% 5% 2.8% 0% -0.4% -0.5% -2.3% -2.5% -2.8% -5% -4.2% -5.6% -7.8% -10% -9.3% -15% -20% -18.6% -25% Buelton Santa San Luis Arroyo Lompoc Solvang San Luis Orcutt Guadalupe Santa Nipomo Santa Ynez Barbara Obispo Grande Obispo Maria County County Source: ESRI

  8. County 12 th Grade Enrollment Santa Barbara County Public High School 12th Grade Enrollment and Graduates (Actual and Projected 2004/05 - 2024/25) 6,000 5,500 Number of Students 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 Actual Graduates Projected Graduates Actual 12th Grade Enrollment Projected 12th Grade Enrollment Source: California Department of Education

  9. High School Going Rates First Semester Enrollment of Top Feeder High schools in Fall Enrollment at AHC by Top Feeder High Schools 2015 2016 4,000 50.0% 12th grade Entering 12th grade Entering 3,897 3,901 3,970 School Percent Percent 3,900 Enrollments AHC Enrollments AHC 3,817 45.0% 3,800 Pioneer Valley High 601 257 43% 625 291 47% 3,714 3,707 Righetti High 497 186 37% 510 223 44% 3,700 40.0% Santa Maria High 499 189 38% 599 219 37% 3,600 Lompoc High 305 126 41% 351 136 39% 3,500 35.0% 33.9% 33.5% Nipomo High 255 95 37% 230 99 43% 3,400 33.1% 33.2% 32.8% 30.0% Arroyo Grande High 513 82 16% 524 60 11% 3,300 Cabrillo High 297 94 32% 362 139 38% 3,200 25.0% Orcutt Academy High 146 81 55% 150 68 45% 3,100 St. Joseph High 78 26 33% 97 31 32% 3,000 20.0% 2102 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Delta High 278 54 19% 280 37 13% Santa Ynez High 245 39 16% 242 44 18% Total 12th Grade Enrollments Percent Enrolled at AHC Total 3,714 1,229 33.10% 3,970 1,347 33.90% Going Rate: % of 12 th grade students that enroll at AHC in the immediate fall term after exiting high school

  10. The Community Educational attainment in Santa Maria and Lompoc (the largest cities in the district) are lower than unincorporated areas, the county as a whole, and the state. Santa Maria and Lompoc have a larger percentage of adults with no high school degree (41% in Santa Maria and 25% in Lompoc) and fewer than 14% with a bachelor’s degree. Poverty is higher in these regions of low educational attainment as well.

  11. Community Socio-Economic Status Median Household Income (2016) Percentage of Population Living Below Poverty Level 35% $100,000 33% 30% $80,000 25% 20% 22% 21% 21% $60,000 15% 17% $40,000 15% 14% 14% 10% $102,663 10% 9% $84,069 $72,760 $66,423 $63,232 $62,656 $62,630 $58,701 $48,912 $48,880 $45,183 $41,655 $20,000 8% 5% 7% $- 0%

  12. Allan Hancock Student Profile Annual Headcount: Credit and Noncredit 29,000 27,133 26,795 27,000 25,000 24,588 24,096 23,000 What happened here? 20,861 21,000 20,933 20,213 19,000 17,000 15,000 What do you think happened in 2016-17?

  13. Allan Hancock Student Profile

  14. Allan Hancock Credit Students: Fall 2016 Ethnicity Full-Time/Part-Time Enrollment 2.68% Asian 2.28% 3.01% Filipino 2.92% FT 3.30% African Am 29% 4.06% PT 71% 36.19% White 27.70% 52.50% Hispanic/Latino 60.95% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% All First-Time Age Distribution First Generation: 43% 35 +, 13.64% Pell-Grant: 44% 25 to 34, 18.41% 18 to 24, 67.94%

  15. Incoming Cohort* Socio-Economic Trends 90% 80% 79% 80% 75% 75% 73% 72% 71% 68% 66% 70% 64% 62% 60% 52% 49% 46% 50% 45% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2005-06 to 2011-12 2006-07 to 2012-13 2007-08 to 2013-14 2008-09 to 2014-15 2009-10 to 2015-16 % Econ Disadvantaged % Underprepared & Econ Dis % Hispanic/Latino

  16. Allan Hancock Student Profile The college has continued to make aid available for students. From 2009-10 until 2013-14, total financial aid disbursements outpaced the increase in enrollment. Aid grew in 2014-15 at a rate that matched the increase in enrollment.

  17. Allan Hancock Student Achievement: Degrees, Certificates, and Wages

  18. Allan Hancock Student Achievement Transfers Official Transfer Count Annual Transfers to CSU, UC, ISP, and OoS 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 241 280 262 308 303 350 1,705 CSU 1800 1,689 1,609 1,570 UC 59 67 89 73 67 58 1600 1,435 119 109 104 101 88 71 In-State Private 1400 1,282 155 178 202 204 180 135 Out of State 1200 574 634 657 686 638 614 Total 1000 800 686 657 Transfers 634 638 614 Ever Attended AHC 574 600 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 400 CSU 463 559 463 473 442 454 200 UC 129 152 132 102 94 80 391 366 315 254 225 178 0 In-State Private 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 626 628 779 741 674 570 Out of State 1,609 1,705 1,689 1,570 1,435 1,282 Offical Count Ever attended AHC Total Cohort Transfer Rate: 2009-10 to 2014-15 35% Cohorts are first-time college students with a minimum of 12 33% 30% units earned who attempted a transfer level math or English 27% course. The outcome is transfer to a four-year institution within 25% a given time period subsequent to initial enrollment. 20% 19% 15% 10% 8.5% 5% 2% 0% 2 Years 3 Years 4 Years 5 Years 6 years

  19. Thank You Questions?

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