OPPORTUNITY DAY Q3/2014
The Stock Exchange of Thailand
OPPORTUNITY DAY Q3/2014 AAPICO HITECH PLC [AH] Financial Performance - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The Stock Exchange of Thailand OPPORTUNITY DAY Q3/2014 AAPICO HITECH PLC [AH] Financial Performance for the 3 rd quarter of 2014 Ms. Yeap Xin Rhu December 8 th , 2014 Agenda 1. Company Profile 2. Industry Overview 3. Financial Performance
The Stock Exchange of Thailand
December 8th, 2014
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automobile parts, design, produce and install assembly jigs and stamping dies, as well as car dealership and car navigation businesses.
and 11 associates) in Thailand, Malaysia and China.
million, comprised of 322,583,844 ordinary shares at par value of Baht 1 each. AAPICO HITECH PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
Industry/Sector : Auto Average price : Baht 17.20* 52 weeks range : Baht 12.80 – 15.24 Market Cap : Baht 4,774 million P/E (YTD) : 14.17x* P/BV : 0.87x Dividend yield : 3.31%
* Data as of December 1st, 2014
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AH’s main shareholders are Mr. Yeap Swee Chuan and family holding 39.75% of total outstanding shares and Sojitz Corporation holding 15.76% of total outstanding shares.
* Data as of March 28th, 2014
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1985
Started as Ford Assembler and Distributor.
1995
Produced fuel tanks for Ford and Mazda pick ups.
1997
Established 1st JV with Sanoh Japan and a factory in Hitech Industrial Estate, Ayutthaya.
2002
Listed on SET.
2003
Purchased AAPICO Amata from Dana Corp., USA.
2004
Expanded to China with Kunshan Chaitai-Xincheng Precision Forging acquisition.
2005
Strategic partnership with Sojitz Corp., Japan
2006
Acquired Able ITS and set up AAPICO Hitech Parts
2007
Acquired KPN and renamed AAPICO Forging.
2008
Established JV with Minth Corp., China.
2009
Established AAPICO Structural Products.
2010
AAPICO 25th Anniversary and established JV with Thai Takagi Seiko.
2011
Completed Honda 3S showroom in Malaysia.
2012
Kunshan new factory in operation.
2013
Establish 4 JVs with Lemtech, Edscha, Sumino and Sodecia.
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Where do we want to go? How do we want people to remember us?
MANUFACTURING RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT CAR RETAILING
LEAN, GREEN AND HAPPY WORLD-CLASS CORPORATION
S – Safety Q – Quality C – Cost D – Delivery E – Engineering M - Management
Happy Customers Happy Employees
Teamwork Look at problems as opportunities Love Family, Company and Country Loyalty and Honesty Mutual Respect
Happy Public
Corporate Social Responsibility
Happy Shareholders
Profitability Reasonable Dividend
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Manufacturing of Automobile Parts Car Dealerships Car Navigation
Sales breakdown by Segment
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Manufacturing of Automobile Parts Car Dealerships Car Navigation
OEM Automobile Parts Assembly Jigs and Stamping Dies (Project base)
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Manufacturing of Automobile Parts Car Dealerships Car Navigation
Ford Dealer Thailand Mitsubishi Dealer Thailand Honda Dealer Malaysia
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Manufacturing of Automobile Parts Car Dealerships Car Navigation
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CHINA
Production: 2 factories Process: Forged & Machined parts Products: Connecting rods
Malaysia
Productions: 5 companies Process: Car dealership & Navigation Products: Honda, POWERMAP
Sales by Country
9M14 9M14,
9M13, 9M13 9M12,
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Bangkok Ayutthaya Rayong Chonburi Samutprakan
Production : 5 factories Products : Stamping Dies, Jigs, and Stamping parts, and Car navigation Production : 3 factories Products : Chassis Frames, Forged and machined parts.
Production :1 factory Products : Plastic parts
Production : 2 factories Products : Stamping parts and Plastic parts
Mitsubishi Dealers: Ramindra Navanakorn Ford Dealers: Ladprao Samutprakarn
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Technical Partners
Strategic Shareholder
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Top OEM Customer Profile
1. Auto Alliance (Thailand) Co., Ltd – a JV between Ford and Mazda. 2. SAIC-GM-Wulling Automobile – a JV between SAIC, GM and Liuzhou Wuling, based in China.
ISUZU 44% AAT 1 1 4% NISSAN 1 3% SGMW 2 4% TOYOTA 3% OTHERS - PARTS 22%
Jan-Sep 201 4
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0.29 0.38 0.47 0.60 0.82 0.87 0.95 0.97 0.67 1 .07 0.90 1 .45 1 .33 1 .04 0.85 0.1 6 0.1 7 0.25 0.30 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.40 0.31 0.55 0.54 0.96 1 .07 0.85 0.55 1.9
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 9M13 9M14
Forecast Others Passenger Car 1-Ton Pick-up/PPV
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Source: The Federation of Thai Industry (Automotive Industry Club) Unit: Million
For Jan-Sep 2014, Thailand vehicle production volume declined year-on-year by 27%, from 1.93 million units to 1.41 million units. The production of passenger cars was 548,758 units (-36% y-o-y) and 1-Ton pick up was 845,303 units (-18% y-o-y).
Global Financial Crisis Flood
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Source: The Federation of Thai Industry (Automotive Industry Club) Unit: Million
In Q3’14, the vehicle production volume increased from Q2’14 by 5% to 456,435 units, but was 22.5% or 132,864 units below Q3’13. Compared to last year, the production of passenger cars and 1-Ton pick up declined by 31.5% and 13.1% respectively.
0.26 0.25 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.21 0.29 0.11 0.35 0.33 0.37 0.40 0.38 0.34 0.32 0.30 0.31 0.26 0.27 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.12 0.18 0.06 0.14 0.22 0.28 0.32 0.33 0.27 0.26 0.22 0.21 0.17 0.18
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14
Others Passenger Car 1 -Ton Pick up / PPV
Flood 2011
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Unit: Million
Thailand Total Industry Volume for Jan-Sep 2014 was 648,410 units, compared to 1,034,279 units sold in Jan-Sep 2013. Compared to last year, the passenger car sales decreased by 45% and 1-Ton pick up car sales decreased by 31%.
0.1 7 0.24 0.31 0.37 0.47 0.45 0.41 0.33 0.28 0.39 0.37 0.67 0.59 0.45 0.31 0.1 0 0.1 3 0.1 8 0.21 0.1 9 0.1 9 0.1 7 0.23 0.23 0.35 0.36 0.67 0.63 0.50 0.27
0.9
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 9M13 9M14
Forecast Others Passenger Car 1-Ton Pick up/PPV
Global Financial Crisis Flood
Source: The Federation of Thai Industry (Automotive Industry Club)
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Unit: Million
Total industry volume declined by 4.3% compared to Q2’14 to 207,499 units in Q3’14 and was 29.3% below the sales volume of 293,484 units in Q3’13. Both passenger sales and 1- ton pick up car sales declined year-on-year by 38.3% and 20.4% respectively.
0.09 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.11 0.05 0.16 0.15 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.15 0.12 0.14 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.11 0.06 0.10 0.16 0.19 0.22 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.09 0.09 0.09
0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14
Others Passenger Car 1 -Ton Pick up/PPV
Source: The Federation of Thai Industry (Automotive Industry Club)
0.18 0.18 0.24 0.33 0.44 0.54 0.69 0.78 0.54 0.90 0.74 1.03 1.13 0.85 0.84 1.0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 9M13 9M13
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Unit: Million
Total export volume of the first nine months of 2014 was 838,952 units, which was 1% lower than the export volume in Jan-Sep 2013.
Global Financial Crisis Flood
Source: The Federation of Thai Industry (Automotive Industry Club)
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than the industry decline of 27%, thanks to growth in car dealerships in Malaysia.
to high level of fixed costs and increases of sales in car dealerships.
sales in automotive parts segment.
mainly from Hyundai and recent JVs.
lower debt and lower taxable income.
3.0% compared to 4.9% in Jan-Sep 2013.
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Jan-Sep 2014 Highlights
In Million Baht
Jan-Sep 2012 Jan-Sep 2013 Jan-Sep 2014 Revenues
Growth%
11,783
+34%
12,659
+7%
11,599
GM
GM%
761
6.8%
915
7.5%
499
4.5%
SG&A 688 652 566 Associate 193 197 108
258 239 176 Net Profit
NP%
550
4.6%
623
4.9%
353
3.0%
ROE (%)*
19.1% 6.5% ROA (%)*
7.3% 2.9% D/E (x) 1.24 0.91 0.67
* ROE and ROA is calculated based on 12 months trailing.
9,513 7,366 11,758 10,786 16,811 16,998 12,659 11,600 230 (116) 394 (392) 927 634 623 353 (3,000) 2,000 7,000 12,000 17,000 22,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 9M13 9M14
Total Revenues Net Profit
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Net Profit % 2.4%
3.4%
5.5% 3.7% 4.9% 3.0% Sales Growth%
+60%
+56% +1% +7%
Note: 2013 results included Bt.903 m. insurance income and Bt.852 m. impairment loss; 2012 results included Bt.145 m. insurance income.
Global Financial Crisis Flood
Unit: Million Baht
3,173 4,049 4,561 5,028 4,685 4,047 3,927 4,338 3,692 3,869 4,039 12,659 11,600
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 9M13 9M14
Auto Parts Dealers Other income Insurance
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Q3 Revenues increased 4% q-o-q, in line with the industry wide growth of 5%., attributable to higher sales in auto parts segment. Compared to last year, sales grew 3%, driven by growth in car dealerships in Malaysia.
For Jan-Sep 2014, total revenues were 8% lower than Jan-Sep 2013, which was better than the industry decline of 27%, supported by higher sales in car dealerships in Malaysia.
Unit: Million Baht
9M12, 79% 9M12, 21% 9M13, 73% 9M13, 27%
9M14, 62% 9M14, 38%
Auto Parts Dealers
2,469 3,032 2,943 3,559 3,295 2,919 2,708 2,139 2,336 2,086 2,487 8,922 6,909 613 324
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 9M13 9M14
Sales EBIT
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Unit: Million Baht
For Jan-Sep 2014, auto parts sales were 22.6% below last year, compared to the industry decline of 27.0%. For Q3’14, sales increased 19% q-o-q, driven by industry growth and project sales, however, Q3 sales were 8% below last year. EBIT for Jan-Sep 2014 decreased y-o-y, largely due to lower sales. As percentage of sales, EBIT margin dropped to 4.7% of sales, compared to 6.9% of sales for Jan-Sep 2013.
TH 92% CN 8%
Jan-Sep 201 4
534 902 1,361 1,320 1,248 983 1,104 1,231 1,238 1,548 1,416 3,335 4,202 52 98
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 9M13 9M14
Sales EBIT
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Unit: Million Baht
For Jan-Sep 2014, car dealerships sales grew 26%, driven by strong growth in Malaysia (+45%). Thailand sales were in line with last year. For Q3’14, sales slightly down 9% q-o-q but were still 28% higher than last year. EBIT for Jan-Sep 2014 increased Baht 46 million y-o-y, driven by higher sales. EBIT margin also improved to 2.3% of sales, compared to 1.6% of sales for Jan-Sep 2013.
TH 33% MY 67%
Jan-Sep 201 4
2.1% 4.5% 5.4% 5.8% 6.2% 5.0% 3.7% 1.1% 4.4% 3.3% 3.2% 5.0% 3.6% 7.7% 10.8% 10.5% 10.7% 10.0% 10.4% 8.5% 6.3% 9.2% 7.9% 7.6% 9.7% 8.2%
0.0% 4.0% 8.0% 12.0% 16.0% 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 9M13 9M14
EBIT% EBITDA%
243 436 478 538 470 422 334 274 341 305 307 1,226 953
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 9M13 9M14
EBIT Insurance/Impairment Depreciation
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Unit: Million Baht or as % of revenues
3.2% 6.8% 3.8% 7.5% 6.1% 4.7% 3.8% 0.3% 4.2% 2.8% 2.3% 4.9% 3.0%
0.0% 3.0% 6.0% 9.0% 12.0% 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 9M13 9M14
Net Profit% Net Profit% (excl. insurance/impairment)
100 276 174 377 284 189 150 11 154 107 92 623 353
400 600 800 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 9M13 9M14
Net Profit (Core) Associate Income Insurance/Impairment
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Unit: Million Baht or as % of revenues
9.0% 7.1% 8.0%
18.7% 21.4% 19.1% 18.5% 11.6% 9.0% 7.5% 6.4%
0% 20% 40% 60% 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 ROE (In the Quarter) ROE (Seasonally adjusted)
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Return on Equity (ROE) decreased to 6.4% in Q3’14, compared to 7.5% in Q2’14, due to lower profit, in line with the slowdown of automotive industry. The ratio in Q3’13 at 18.5% included positive impact of the tax rebate scheme for first-time car buyer.
3.6% 2.8% 3.0%
6.7% 8.0% 7.4% 7.6% 5.0% 4.0% 3.3% 3.0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 ROA (In the Quarter) ROA (Seasonally adjusted)
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Return on Asset (ROA) as of Q2’14 was 3.0%, compared to 3.3% as of Q2’14 and 7.6% as of Q3’13. Lower profit was the main reason of the ratio decline.
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3.80 3.16 3.30 (0.25) (0.26) 0.61 0.70 4.34 5.00 4.77 4.69 3.59 3.17 2.94 2.87
0.0 5.0 10.0 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 Interest Coverage Ratio (In the Quarter) Interest Coverage Ratio (Seasonally adjusted)
Interest Coverage Ratio decreased from 4.69x as of Q3’13 and 2.94x as of Q2’14 to 2.87x as of Q3’14. The ratio decline was mainly due to the decrease of profit, which was more than the lower financing costs.
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Unit: Million Baht
Interest-bearing Debt
Total bank debt decreased Baht 558 million during Q3, mainly in short-term, to Baht 3.8 billion as of Sep’14, compared to Baht 4.9 billion as of Sep’13.
Net interest-bearing debt to equity ratio as end of Sep’14 declined to 0.67x, in line with the plan to reduce bank
1.12x compared to 1.41x in Sep’13.
Short
19% CP- LTD 37% Long- term 47%
0.93 1.20 1.07 1.00 0.97 0.91 0.85 0.78 0.77 0.67 1.36 1.72 1.74 1.64 1.52 1.41 1.25 1.23 1.18 1.12
0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2010 2011 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14
Cash & Current Inv. Debt Equity D/E (L-C)/E
1,649 1,145 1,237 734 387 491 387
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 9M13 9M14
Capex Forecast
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Capital expenditures for the first 9 months
Jan-Sep 2013 capex at Baht 491 million. Lower capex was in line with the investment plan for the year 2014. Capital expenditures in Q3’14 were Baht 157 million compared to Baht 143 million in Q3’13.
167 181 143 243 197 34 157
100 150 200 250 300 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14
Capex
CAPEX (Annual)
CAPEX (Quarter)
450
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0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.0 1.6 1.5 2.5 2.5 1.4 0.5 2.2 2.6 3.0
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Production Forecast Domestic Export
Source: The Federation of Thai Industry (Automotive Industry Club)
Global Financial Crisis Flood
Source: The Federation of Thai Industry (Automotive Industry Club)
The forecasted vehicle production volume for 2014 had been revised down, from 2.1 million units to about 1.9 million units, with estimated full year domestic car sales at around 900,000 units and export car sales at around 1,000,000 units.
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To be a leading automobile parts manufacturer in Asia, a Thailand footprint for world-class global manufacturer.
AMERICA
JAPAN
CHINA INDIA
THAILAND MALAYSIA PHILLIPPINES INDONESIA
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Maximize shareholder value
Shareholder portfolio and generate return to shareholders Portfolio diversification Cash flow management Improve profitability through margin management
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Some statements made in this material are forward-looking statements with the relevant assumptions, which are subjected to various risks and uncertainties. These include statements with respect to our corporate plans, strategies, and beliefs and other statements that are not historical facts. These statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may”, “will”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “estimate”, “continue”, “plan” or other similar words. The statements are based on our management’s assumptions and beliefs in light of the information currently available to us. These assumptions involve risks and uncertainties which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Please note that the company and executives/staffs do not control and cannot guarantee the relevance, timeliness, or accuracy of these statements. AAPICO HITECH PLC ir@aapico.com Tel: 66 (0) 2613-1504