1
FSMART
Forth Smart Service PCL
Opportunity day 1Q2020 26 May 2020 1 Agenda Business Overview and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Forth Smart Service PCL FSMART Opportunity day 1Q2020 26 May 2020 1 Agenda Business Overview and Highlights Business Direction 1Q2020 Operating Results 2 FSMART Overview: High Dividend Yield with Strong Balance Sheet Year 2017 2018
1
Forth Smart Service PCL
2
0.42 0.55 0.62 0.66 2.2% 3.1% 10.6% 10.3%
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 2016 2017 2018 2019 Dividend per Share Dividend Yield 3
Key Information
Bt400mn (800 Million Shares)
Bt4,440mn or Bt5.55 per Share (As at Mar 25, 2020)
7.52 (As at Mar 25, 2020)
Policy: Not Less than 40% Net Profit
Shareholding Structure (As of Mar 6, 2020)
FORTH 49.52% Amatanon Family 6.67% FSMART (Treasury Stock) 3.46% Funds (Foreign/Local) 4.12% 36.23%
Dividend & Yield
Year
2017 2018 2019 1Q20
Revenue (Bt mn) 3,105 3,339 3,147 729 Net Profit (Bt mn) 543 583 584 127 EPS 0.68 0.74 0.75 0.16 IBD/E 1.13 0.99 0.70 0.78
4
Forth Smart Distribution* Forth Smart Service Forth Smart Trading Forth Smart Digital
99.99%
99.99% 99.99% 99.99% 99.99%
* New Subsidiary Company
99.99%
*
Customers Boonterm Kiosks Service Operators
Use services at Boonterm Kiosks Provide services to Boonterm Kiosks A Platform to Connect Customers and Service Operators with Total of 130,357 Boonterm Kiosks owned by FSMART
5
As of Mar 2020
Pay commission to FSMART Pay service charge to FSMART
6
As of Mar 2020
Mobile Top Up 59%
Money Tranfer 25%
E-Wallet 8% Bill Payment 4% VAS 2% Others 2%
7
NORTH 17 % CENTRAL 17 % NORTHEAST 29% BKK Metro 14 % SOUTH 13 % EAST 10% NORTHEAST
38,276 Kiosks
NORTH
21,737 Kiosks
CENTRAL
22,748 Kiosks
BANGKOK Metropolitan
18,060 Kiosks
SOUTH
16,309 Kiosks
EAST
13,227 Kiosks
Source: BOT, Public Company and Post Office Reports, and FSMART Analysis
FSMART’s Dominant Banking Agent Network Boonterm Kiosks’ Proportion in 1Q2020
is outside Bangkok Metropolitan Boonterm Kiosk, 130,357 No.1 Convenience Store, 11,983 No.1 Coffee Shop, 3,150 No.1 Post Office, 1,350
As of Mar 2020
8
Mom and Pop Shop 67,748 Residence 31,849
Convenience Store
13,415 Office Building 5,811 Service Business Area 3,068 Educational Institution 1,878 Petrol Station 1,655 Temple 1,488 Market 1,208 Department Store 1,315
Government Office 608
Transportation Station
314
As of Mar 2020
and IT services
Revenue Sharing
Commission from Operators Service Charge from Customers
9
10
Main Customers – 21 mn People
Secondary Customers – 30 mn People
Cashless Society – 17 mn People (Higher Revenue and Saving)
Source: Deposit Protection Agency, NESDB, BOT, FSMART Analysis
11
12
As of Mar 2020
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 13
24,859
Kiosks
65,867
Kiosks
92,082
Kiosks
124,563
Kiosks
130,053
Kiosks
130,481
Kiosks
132,000
Kiosks(Target)
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020(F)
Bt mn
Bt 9,632 mn in 1Q19
Actual Forecast Actual in 1Q19 ARPU > 6M Operating Kiosks
53% 47%
4Q19
14
Prepaid Market Value Value Share by Channels Total Kiosk Numbers
Source: Mobile Operators Public Information (MD&A), Industry Information, and FSMART Analysis
Number of Kiosk Share
26% 26% 48%
4Q19
Kiosk
Bt30,992mn
Others Mobile Banking and App
246,374 Kiosks
Boonterm Others 26% 21% 53%
1Q20
Kiosk
Bt28,191mn
Others Mobile Banking and App
51% 49%
1Q20
256,357 Kiosks
Boonterm Others
516 5,063 12,488 19,042 28,615 2017 2018 2019 2020F 2021F
15
24.4
Accumulated Fully Depreciated Kiosks Number Depreciation Costs Saving (Bt mn)
27.3 28.1
16
Actual Transfer Value in 4Q19 Forecast Transfer Value Transactions Bt mn
40,045 68,332 166,810 318,226 439,968 602,638 723,983 846,320 821,548 891,968 925,191 975,436 954,173 983,456 1,159,351
1,407,181 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000
2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20
Actual Transfer Value Monthly Transaction Number at the End of Quarter
(Total 6 Banks) (KTB&KBANK&BAY)
1,407,181 Transactions per Month in 1Q20
44.3% YoY 21.4% QoQ 1Q20: 10.5% YoY 0.8% QoQ
17
3,497 Vending Machine 1,908 Vending Machine 1,582 Vending Machine
2018 2019 2020(F) 2017
0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 .0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20
3,794 Vending Machine Beverage Sales Bt87.96mn per Quarter
* Average Price 13-15 Baht/Can
Beverage Sales (Bt mn) Actual Beverage Sales (Bt mn) in 1Q20 Forecast Beverage Sales (Bt mn)
Bt mn
4,000 – 5,000 Vending Machine (Target) 7.11% QoQ 39.82% YoY
Million Cans per Month
18
19
A Free Voice Package A Free Data Package A Decrease of Electricity Charge
20
Temporary Credit to Boonterm Agents Personal Loan Installment Relief
21
22
to work from home Our Employees
23
24
25
Individual Entertainment (การใช้ความบันเทิงส่วนบุคคล) Online Streaming (บริการบันเทิง Streaming) Social Distance Practice (ระมัดระวังและมีระยะห่างในสังคม) Automated Kiosk (บริการอัตโนมัติ) Decrease in Purchasing Power (รายได้ลดลง ต้องประหยัดใช้จ่าย) Infrastructure Services (เน้นใช้จ่ายบริการพื้นฐาน) More Health Conscious (ใส่ใจสุขภาพมากยิ่งขึ้น) Insurance and Health-related Service (ประกันชีวิต สุขภาพ)
New Behavior New Economy
26
Business
Business
Business
Adding banks to the ecosystem e-KYC Deposit and Withdrawal Lending (Bt400-600mn Loan in 2020) Adding Services SIM Card Distributors Location Management
Vending Business
(4,000 – 5,000 Locations in 2020) Petrol Kiosk (2,000 Locations in 2020) EV Charger Station Product Distribution 709.9 713.3 690.1 667.3 613.6
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20
84.9 86.9 91.9 94.5 113.4
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20
4.0 4.1 4.8 4.8 4.9
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20
1Q20 Contribution
83.6% 15.7% 0.7%
CAGR -4% QoQ CAGR +8% QoQ CAGR +5% QoQ
27
28
Insurance Services
Entertainment Services Promotion Campaign
29
30
Adding Banks Adding Withdrawal Service
BANK
banking agent and increase number of transactions
Source:BOT as at Mar 20 and FSMART Analysis Money deposit and transfer Money withdrawal Money deposit and transfer Money withdrawal
Money Deposit and Withdrawal
20 161
1.4 ++ Boonterm ATM
(Million Transactions/month)
31
32
1,159,351 1,407,181
4Q19 1Q20 4Q20 (Target)
1.16 mn
40-45% from 2019
1.41 mn
2021F
Average Transaction Number per Month
eKYC
Money Withdrawal Banking Agent
++
33
89 140 500 74 95 4Q19 1Q20 2020F
Lending Amount (Bt mn)
Loan Amount Credit Outstanding
78,000+ Low Risk Accounts due to Business Relationship with FSMART
Personal Loan Target Customers (Phase 1)
400-600
28.4% QoQ
34
35
Vending Machines Network Management Product Distribution to Mom-and-pop Shops Petrol Kiosks
to mom-and-pop shops
services
2020, from current 3,700 machines
36
Online Top-Up & Payment Business
Insurance products
Banking Agent & Lending Business BANK
At least 1 more Banking Agent e-KYC Service Money withdrawal Service Games & Entertainment service (Song) Product Distribution
Distribution Platform Business
Petrol and Vending Stations Vending and Coffee Machine
Sustainable Business Model for the “New Normal”
37
38
7,104 6,261 5,677 215 197 209 526 730 793 398 373 369 1,917 2,070 2,424 177 155 158
1Q19 4Q19 1Q20
30,158 30,674 27,129 833 611 1,760 2,445 781 1,470 1,595 4,073 7,111 7,834 551 966 660
2017 2018 2019
Mobile Top up VAS E-Wallet Bill payment Money Transfer Others Total transaction Value
10,337 9,786 9,630 Bt mn
Remark : Usage Amount = Service Amount + Service Charge 68.7% 64.0% 59.0% 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 3.9% 3.8% 3.8% 5.1% 7.5% 8.2% 18.5% 21.1% 25.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6%
1Q19 4Q19 1Q20
Mobile Top up VAS E-Wallet Bill payment Money Transfer Others
36,174 41,981 40,496 6.8% YoY 1.6% QoQ
15,8%
3.5%
Total Transaction Value decreased 6.8% YoY, but money transfer transactions in 1Q20 were 1.41 mn transactions per month, increasing 44.3% YoY
39
3,105 3,339 3,147 799 764 729 2017 2018 2019 1Q19 4Q19 1Q20
Revenue (Bt mn)
4.6% QoQ 8.8% YoY
76.2% 71.1% 66.9% 2.8% 2.4% 2.5% 6.9% 9.9% 11.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 10.6% 12.6% 15.8% 2.4% 2.9% 2.3% 1Q19 4Q19 1Q20
Mobile Top up VAS E-Wallet Bill payment Money Transfer Others
% Revenue by Services
40
732 708 656 169 165 143 2017 2018 2019 1Q19 4Q19 1Q20 543 583 584 150 146 127 2017 2018 2019 1Q19 4Q19 1Q20 17.5% 17.5% 18.6% 18.7% 19.1% 17.4% Net Profit
Net Profit (Bt mn) & Net Profit Margin
Net Profit Margin Gross Profit
Gross Profit (Bt mn) & Gross Profit Margin
13.3% QoQ 15.4% YoY
Gross Profit Margin
Gross Profit & Gross Profit Margin decreased due to declining in core revenue, kiosk improvement, and fully-depreciated kiosk maintenance Net Profit & Net Profit Margin decreased due to declining in gross profit, and adoption of TFRS9 and TFRS16 (Bt 1.4 mn), but net profit has been declining less than gross profit from financial cost saving (Bt 3.9 mn)
23.6% 21.2% 20.8% 21.2% 21.6% 19.7%
15.3% YoY 13.0% QoQ
41
1,334 1,251 1,336 1,401 1,336 1,097 1,506 1,245 941 1,075 941 850 1,420 1,420 1,243 1,377 1,243 1,485 2017 2018 2019 1Q19 4Q19 1Q20
Asset (Bt mn) Liabilities and Equity (Bt mn)
Other liabilities Equity IBD 4,260 3,916 3,520 3,853 3,520 3,432 2017 2018 2019 1Q19 4Q19 1Q20
Asset decreased due to:
Liabilities increased due to:
10.9% YoY Equity decreases due to:
2.5% QoQ
42
43.1% 45.1% 45.2% 44.5% 45.2% 48.0% 14.6% 14.3% 15.7% 15.2% 15.7% 16.8% 2017 2018 2019 1Q19 4Q19 1Q20 ROE ROA 2.19 2.12 1.64 1.75 1.64 2.13 1.13 0.99 0.70 0.77 0.70 0.78 2017 2018 2019 1Q19 4Q19 1Q20 D/E IBD/E
ROE / ROA Debt to Equity & Interest Bearing Debt to Equity
ROA increased due to increase in Asset Utilization Efficiency ROE increased due to:
Debt to Equity and Interest Bearing Debt to Equity decreased due to:
Statements included or incorporated in these materials that use the words "believe", "anticipate", "estimate", "target", or "hope", or that otherwise relate to objectives, strategies, plans, intentions, beliefs or expectations or that have been constructed as statements as to future performance or events, are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated at the time the forward-looking statements are made. FSMART undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. FSMART makes no representation whatsoever about the
third party opinions or statements and does not endorse or accept any responsibility for the content or the use
FSMART Investor Relations
www.boonterm.com E-mail : investor@forthsmart.co.th
44