Office of the Future of Work A new path forward The future of work - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Office of the Future of Work A new path forward The future of work - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Office of the Future of Work A new path forward The future of work refers to the impact of globalization, technological advances, changing demographics, and market forces on the work we do and how we do it. Specific Areas of Exploration


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Office of the Future of Work

A new path forward

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The future of work refers to the impact of globalization, technological advances, changing demographics, and market forces on the work we do and how we do it.

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Specific Areas of Exploration

Modern worker protections & benefits Prepare target populations for the future of work Digital transformation resources for individuals, employers, and communities

Future of Colorado

Vision: A future where all Coloradan workers have access to education and skill training that is connected to meaningful and sustainable employment.

Regional Diversity User-Centered Left Behind Coloradans

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COVID-19 FOW Shift - Goals

Modern worker protections & benefits Digital Transformation Prepare target populations

Modernize worker protections and the social safety net to support all types of workers and ensure their access to a living wage as work continues to evolve. Pre COVID: Establish a working group to explore modern worker protections and job quality. Post COVID: Explore models to sustain new benefits and identify mechanisms to incentivize return to work. Build awareness and equip Coloradans with tools and strategies to effectively understand what the future of work means for them and how to increase their resilience. Pre COVID Focus on regional engagement and tool/resource development. Post COVID: Virtual engagement, tool/resource development related to new normal (digital literacy, remote work, transitions), capitalizing on accelerated adoption of practices Understand the impact of the future of work on target populations, and realign government programs to better prepare them for success in the future of work. Pre COVID: Focus on: New Americans, people with disabilities, mid-career professionals, justice-involved, and mature workers. Post COVID: Same populations, but focused on strategies to connect them to training and employment.

Cross-Cutting Lens

User-Centered

Designing with the end-user in mind.

Left Behind Coloradans

Focusing on minority populations and Coloradans that feel left behind in Colorado’s economy.

Regional Diversity

Acknowledging the distinct needs of Colorado’s communities.

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COVID-19 Impact on Future of Work Trends

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ABCs of Recovery

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2020/05/04/the-abcs-of-the-post-covid-economic-recovery/ Most optimistic Most pessimistic (path of the great recession) Most likely

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Vulnerable jobs by region, industry, occupation (NW non-metropolitan area shown below)

https://covid-tracker.mckinsey.com/vulnerable-jobs/industry-occupation

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SLIDE 11 Other Services Accomo- Dation & Food Services Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Real Estate & Rental & Leasing Manufactur- ing Construction Retail Trade Transportation &Warehousing Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, & Hunting Wholesale Trade Utilities Finance & Insurance Educational Services Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation Administration & Support & Waste Management Government Health Care & Social Assistance Information Management
  • f
Companies & Enterprises Professional, Scientific & Technical Services

Task automation potential by industry (% of sector)

Source: Brookings analysis of BLS, Census, EMSI, Moodys, and McKinsey data, January 2019

Vulnerable jobs impacted by COVID-19 were also most at risk for displacement due to technology

https://www.brookings.edu/research/automation-and-artificial-intelligence-how-machines-affect-people-and-places/

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Unemployment Insurance Data

Top 5 industries with highest claims:

  • Accommodation and Food

Services: 4,008

  • Retail Trade: 2,811
  • Healthcare and Social

Service: 2,288

  • Administrative and Support

and Waste Management and Remediation Services: 1,666

  • Arts, Entertainment, and

Recreation:1,542

https://www.colmigateway.com/gsipub/index.asp?docid=807

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Key Takeaways Future of Work Forces

Globalization ▪ Pre: Slowly declining after years of growth. Opportunity for ‘on-shoring’ and strategic supply chain integration. ▪ Post: Accelerated de-globalization and supply chain considerations. Demographic Shifts ▪ Pre: Diversifying younger generations that are predominantly in low-wage

  • fields. Aging population that is

working longer. (Data re: aging) ▪ Post: Exacerbated challenges for certain populations especially those in low-wage professions.

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Key Takeaways Future of Work Forces

Technological Advances ▪ Pre: Routine/non cognitive tasks at risk for displacement. Digital literacy gaps. Same professions that are low-wage and held by target demographics. ▪ Post: Possible acceleration. Industries at high risk for displacement faring worse. Market Forces ▪ Pre: Focused mostly on communities transitioning from coal. ▪ Post: Shifted market demands

  • immediately. Reliance and

awareness of gig workeras. Exacerbated pressure felt by rural communities and industries in decline. Small businesses suffering most. (Another article)

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Note on gig workers...

Myths: ▪ It’s a new phenomenon enabled by technology ▪ It’s just a side hustle ▪ It’s all app-based ▪ Millenials make up most of the workers ▪ They’re taking over COVID-19 Impact: ▪ Access to unemployment assistance for the first time ▪ Value and skills of workers on display ▪ Challenges faced by workers and small businesses that use gig workers are on display too Considerations for the future: ▪ How might we better acknowledge the skills gig workers build? ▪ How do we transition workers interested in different types of employment? ▪ How do we increase access to worker protections for all workers? ▪ Thinking of app-based gig workers, how do we support locally driven

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Future of Work Mindsets and Skills

https://www.burning-glass.com/research-project/new-foun dational-skills/ Email katherine.keegan@state.co.us for report

Skills that are uniquely human

Digital literacy

Work-based learning

Lifelong learning mindset

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Near term projects (by June 30)

Projects

Mod. Prot. Target Pop. Digital Trans.

Resources for Displaced Workers - OnwardCO, training/resources for coaches, ensuring awareness of resources with an emphasis on gig workers and transitioning low wage workforce to better pathways.

X X Location Neutral Employment/Remote Work - Packaging resources to ensure individuals living in rural areas take advantage of location neutral jobs through training, technology, and coaching (5th deliverable for FOW WIG) X X Policy Development (short session) - Develop policy and program recommendations that reflect the lessons learned from COVID-19 and modernize worker protections X X Data Gathering and Information Sharing - Facilitate conversations about the new future of work and inform paths forward for service providers, communities, and other stakeholders. X X X

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2020-21 Projects

Projects

MP TP DT

Digital Literacy - Better define levels of digital literacy, measure current rates, identify key partners, build curriculum and resources to improve rates across the state

X X

Employer of Choice - Support CDLE in adoption of best practices for future of work including skills-based practices, remote work, on-the-job training, and innovative retention strategies for state government workers and their service delivery

X X Pilot Projects/Original Research: Identify 3 pilot projects to support adoption of best practices,

apply research, and develop frameworks for other communities to work with state government ▪ Strategic supply chain integration and increasing rural economic complexity ▪ Evolution of work-share to support employee retention ▪ Skills-based practices

X X Data Gathering and Information Sharing - Facilitate conversations about the new future of work and inform paths forward for service providers, communities, and other stakeholders. X X X

Policies and Resources for Independent Contractors - Develop policy recommendations that reduce misclassification, integrate independent contractors into current systems for worker support and protection

X

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Thanks!

Any questions? Contact Katherine Keegan at katherine.keegan@state.co.us

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Interventions to Consider

Individuals ▪ Access to benefits (policy and awareness) ▪ Navigation & coaching ▪ Skill translation and development (especially digital literacy) ▪ Career-connected learning and placement ▪ Best practices for targeted populations

https://www.brookings.edu/research/realism-about-reskilling/

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Interventions to Consider

Employers ▪ Guidance and resources to open according to public health best practices ▪ Policies and stimulus to support business viability ▪ Workforce planning support – succession planning, supply chain management, hiring/retention/upskilling, flexible work policies ▪ Targeted employer assistance to navigate federal/state/local resources and access benefits ▪ Incentivize innovative models to promote employee retention – work share, joint employment, work-based learning, shorter work-weeks, location neutral employment

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Interventions to Consider

Communities ▪ Location neutral employment ▪ Emergency response and preparation for next pandemic as part of job creation ▪ Infrastructure development as job creation ▪ Capitalize on movement out of cities ▪ Build for an all-delivery economy ▪ Growth in cybersecurity, technological infrastructure needs as part

  • f job creation

▪ Increase economic complexity and strategic supply chain integration

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Other resources

▪ McKinsey - The Future is not what it used to be ▪ Brookings - Redesign Required: Principles for reimagining rural policy in the COVID-19 era