Ocean Salmon Industry Group Preseason Planning Meeting for Ocean - - PDF document

Ocean Salmon Industry Group Preseason Planning Meeting

for Ocean Recreational and Commercial Troll Salmon Fisheries off Oregon, 2007

BRIEFING DOCUMENTS: 2006 Season Summary 2007 Management Process Schedule 2006 Escapement Estimates 2007 Stock Abundance Forecasts and other materials Sponsored by Oregon Coastal Zone Management Association and Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife Hallmark Resort Newport, Oregon February 28, 2007

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• Nov. 1-

Dec 15

April 15-July 6

MAY JUNE JULY

• AUG. SEPT. OCT.

Nov-Dec

All salmon except coho, 2 per day. Chinook salmon only, 2 per day, no more than 4 in 7 days. Open in state waters (0-3 miles). Chinook salmon only, 1 per day, not more than 4 per season. Open in state waters (0-3 miles).

Ocean recreational salmon seasons, quotas, and landings off Oregon, 2006

Nov.1-15

Horse Mountain

Astoria

Tillamook

Newport

Cape Falcon Cape Blanco

Coos Bay

Humbug Mountain

Brookings

OREGON

CALIF.

Twin Rocks

Pyramid Rock Twin Rocks

No Quota Catch = 300 chinook

No Quota OR Catch = 400 chinook

No Quota

Mar-Apr

No Quota Catch = 200 chinook

• Oct. 1- 12

No Quota Leadbetter Pt. May 15 – June 16

March 15 – June 16 June 17 – July 31

All salmon, 2 per day. All coho must have a healed adipose fin clip. Chinook salmon only, 2 per day. Open in state waters (0-3 miles).

Tillamook Head

Quota = 36,600 coho Chinook Guideline = 8,300 chinook OR Catch = 500 chinook 5,400 coho WA Catch = 1,800 chinook 19,400 coho

All salmon, 2 per day, but no more than 1 chinook. All coho must have a healed adipose fin clip. Open Sunday-Thursday each week (July 3-August 10).

June 17- July 4 (600 coho and 600 chin)

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July 3 - Sept. 30

• Sept. 7 - Oct. 31

No Quota Catch = 3,400 chinook Selective Coho Season Quota = 20,000 coho Catch = 10,100 coho (700 Sept.) 5,800 chinook

Sept. 1-6 Aug. 1-31

No Quota Catch = 1,000 chinook

No Quota (100 coho and 600 chin)

• Sept. 1-6

All salmon, 2 per day. All coho must have a healed adipose fin clip. (August 11- September 30

50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Angler Trips (thousands)

79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 03 '04 '05 '06

Year

Ocean Sport Salmon Effort by Area

Columbia R. Tillamook Newport Coos Bay Brookings

Sport Effort by Port, 2006

Astoria 13% Garibaldi 23% Depoe Bay 5% Newport 12% Winchester Bay 19% Charleston 7% Bandon 1% Brookings 17% Gold Beach 0% Pacific City 3%

3

62,160 Angler-Trips

Sport Coho Landings by Port, 2006

Astoria 35% Garibaldi 6% Pacific City 3% Depoe Bay 6% Newport 23% Winchester Bay 19% Charleston 3% Other Ports 1% Brookings 4%

50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Coho (thousands)

79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06

Year

Ocean Sport Coho Landings by Area

Columbia R. Tillamook Newport Coos Bay Brookings

4

15,577 Coho

Sport Chinook Landings by Port, 2006

Astoria 4% Garibaldi 29% Depoe Bay 2% Newport 4% Winchester Bay 34% Charleston 10% Bandon 1% Brookings 15% Pacific City 1%

10 20 30 40 50 60

Chinook (thousands)

79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 03 '04 '05 '06

Year

Ocean Sport Chinook Landings by Area

Columbia R. Tillamook Newport Coos Bay Brookings

5

11,588 Chinook

Commercial ocean troll seasons, quotas, and landings off Oregon, 2006

Astoria

Tillamook

Newport

Cape Falcon

Coos Bay

Humbug Mountain

Brookings

OREGON

CALIF.

MAY JUNE

• AUG. SEPT. OCT.

NOV. JULY

All salmon except coho. All fish must be landed into Oregon. No more than 4 spreads per wire. Chinook minimum length 28” All salmon except coho. Vessels landing south of Leadbetter Pt., WA may only fish south of Leadbetter Pt. Special call-in requirements apply to ALL landings into Oregon. Landings restricted to within the open area and Garibaldi

• nly. Must land all catch within 24 hours of any closure. Chinook 28”minimum length.

No more than 4 spreads per wire. Chinook minimum length 28”. Special notification restrictions apply if transporting fish away from port of landing. All salmon. All retained coho must have a healed adipose fin clip. Vessels landing south of Leadbetter Pt., WA may

• nly fish south of Leadbetter Pt. Special call-in requirements apply to ALL landings into Oregon. Landings restricted

to within the open area and Garibaldi only. Must land all catch within 24 hours of any closure. Gear restricted to 6” or larger plugs through Aug. 14. Chinook minimum length 28”, coho minimum length 16”

Florence South Jetty

• Sept. 3 – 30

May 1-2 with 75 chin/boat May 6-9; 13-16; 20-23; 27-30; June 3-6; & 10-13 with 80 chin/boat June 27-30 with 20 chin/boat

Pyramid Rock Twin Rocks

Nov. 1 - 15

Catch = 100 chinook

Humbug Mountain

Cape Blanco Catch = 1,900 chinook

Twin Rocks

• Oct. 13-

Nov.3

Quota = 1,000 chinook Catch = 700

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Quota = 22,450 chin OR Chinook Catch = 10,300 July 15-18 and 22-25 with 35 chin & 35 coho/boat July 29-Aug. 1 with 60 chin and 35 coho/boat

• Aug. 5-7 and 12-14 with 60 chin and 40 coho/boat
• Aug. 19-22; 26-29, & Sept. 2-5 with 80 chin and 40 coho/boat
• Sept. 8-15 with 160 chin and 80 coho/boat

Marked Coho quota = 6,800 Chinook quota = 11,550 OR Chinook Catch = 200 OR Coho Catch = 1,400

June 4-7; 11-14; 18-21; 25-28; July 9-11; 16-18; 23-25; and Aug. 1-3

Chinook Catch = 14,200

A A B B C C D D E E F G H

Chinook Catch = 4,200 Chinook Catch = 1,300

• Sept. 17 – 30
• Oct. 17 – 31

State Waters New “Bubble” Fisheries Open Periods: Sept. 1-16 & Oct. 1-16=A, B, C, D, & E;

• Sept. 1-30=F; Sept. 1-Oct. 16=G; and Sept. 1-15=H

Chinook Quotas: 2,000=A, D, & E; 1,500=G; 1,000=B, C, & F; 750=H Limited to 50 chinook per vessel per calendar week jointly with all depths seasons Chinook Catch: A=800, B=<50, C=100, D=400, E=<50, F=<50, G=<50, and H=<50 Landings limited to specific ports No more than 4 spreads per wire Chinook minimum length 28”

• Sept. 15-Dec.15

All salmon except coho. All fish must be landed in Port Orford. No more than 4 spreads per wire. Chinook minimum length 28” All salmon except coho. Single daily landing and possession limit of 25 fish per vessel. All fish must be landed in

• Brookings. No more than 4 spreads per wire. Chinook minimum length 28”

1 20 30 40 50 60 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06

Year

Troll Effort by Area

C

• lu

m b ia R . Tilla m

• ok

N e w p

• rt

C

• os Ba

y Brookin g s

Troll Effort (Deliveries) by Port, 2006

Astoria 10% Garibaldi 30% Newport 32% Winchester Bay 3% Charleston 4% Port Orford 12%

• ther ports

4% Brookings 5%

4,529 Boat-Days

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500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 '01 '03 '05 Vessels Landing Salmon Permit Cap Permitted Vessels

1,129 Permits in 2006 357 Made Landings in 2006

Average Lbs of Salmon per Troller for Top 10 and 100 Vessels

5 1 1 5 20 25 30 35 40 45

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

10 100 Avg Lbs per Vessel Total Lbs Salmon

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100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

Coho (thousands)

79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06

Year

Troll Coho Landings by Area

Columbia R. Tillamook Newport Coos Bay Brookings

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Troll Coho Landings by Port, 2006

Astoria 28% Gearhart-Cannon Beach 31% Garibaldi 41%

1,424 Coho

Troll Chinook Landings by Port, 2006

Winchester Bay 3% Charleston 7% Port Orford 5% Brookings 2%

• ther ports

2% Newport 44% Astoria 23% Garibaldi 14%

100 200 300 400 500 600

Chinook (thousands)

79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06

Year

Troll Chinook Landings by Area

Columbia R. Tillamook Newport Coos Bay Brookings

10

34,965 Chinook

Red Lion

• Mar. 26

PFMC Public Options Hearing Westport, WA

• Mar. 12

Vancouver, WA Water Resources (WDFW, ODFW, Public) Columbia River Fisheries Discussions

• Mar. 27

North of Falcon II (Public Meeting) Lynnwood, WA Embassy Suites * Continued negotiations * Public input on 2007 season options Center ODFW HQ

• Mar. 26

PFMC Public Options Hearing * Public input on 2007 season options

• Feb. 27

2007 Ocean Fishery Process Schedule

Newport, OR * 2007 Forecasts Hallmark Inn

• Feb. 28
• Mar. 5-9

Pacific Fishery Management Council Sacramento, CA * 2007 Salmon season discussions * Salmon season negotiations for Columbia River, Lacey Community * Adopt 2007 ocean salmon options for public review Doubletree Hotel * 2007 Salmon season discussions Salem, OR * Ocean and state waters salmon fishery options Coos Bay, OR

• Mar. 16

Center WDFW Public Meeting Olympia, WA * 2007 Forecasts North of Falcon I (Public Meeting) Lacey, WA Ocean Salmon Industry Group

• Mar. 27

PFMC Public Options Hearing * 2007 Salmon season discussions Puget Sound, Willapa Bay, Grays Harbor, and

• cean areas north of Cape Falcon, OR.
• Mar. 13

Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission * Public input on 2007 season options Santa Rosa, CA Seattle, WA Marriot - SeaTac

• Apr. 13

Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Salem, OR

• Apr. 2-6

Pacific Fishery Management Council * Adopt 2007 ocean salmon fishery regulations * Adopt state waters ocean salmon fishery regulations ODFW HQ

• Feb. 21

CDFG Public Meeting Santa Rosa, CA

• Feb. 28

* 2007 Forecasts Arcata, CA * Adopt certain coastal and inland salmon fishery regulations

Review of 2006 Salmon Spawning Escapements and Abundance

• Oregon Production Index (OPI) Coho
• Columbia River and Coastal Hatchery
• Oregon Coastal Natural (OCN)
• Columbia River Chinook
• Central Valley Index (CVI) Fall Chinook
• Sacramento River
• Klamath River Fall Chinook

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Annual Oregon Production Area Coho Abundance Estimates, 1970-2006

3,010 3,952 2,1782,152 3,309 1,895 4,354 1,215 1,981 1,789 1,436 1,525 1,792 991 937 1,265 3,119 1,277 2,048 1,941 919 2,030 636 364 249 217 265 224 242 390 756 1,617 958 1,239 841 594 528

500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 Year

Thousands of Coho .

Columbia River Hatchery Coho Escapement, 1970-2006

550 546 278 291 461 293 337 94 306 277 302 170 453 111 426 367 1,549 316 671 713 197 954 218 114 169 75 105 145 164 272 551 1,108 512 684 446 347 384

200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06

Year Thousands of Coho

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Oregon Coastal Hatchery Coho Returns, 1970-2006

36 29 13 18 35 5 39 7 6 22 22 21 15 10 29 16 36 12 34 37 16 40 23 20 23 25 23 18 15 13 15 38 31 16 13 10 10 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06

Year Thousands of Coho

OCN Coho Adult Spawner Escapements for Lakes and Rivers, 1990-2006

16.5 29.1 37.7 44.3 37.9 41.2 59.5 14.1 19.8 34.6 54.1 148 231.4 206.3 149.2 119.3 87.2 4.4 7.3 2.0 10.1 5.8 11.2 13.5 8.6 11.1 12.7 12.7 19.7 22.1 16.1 18.5 13.9 22.2

50 100 150 200 250 300 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06

Year Thousands of Coho .

Lakes Rivers

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OCN Spawner Escapement by Sub-Aggregate, 2004-2006 Including Full Seeding Levels

20 40 60 80 100 120

2004 2005 2006 Full Seeding

Thousands of Spawners North North-Central South-Central South

Columbia River Tule Chinook Ocean Escapement, 1984-2006

150 144 353 322 158 79 115 69 72 80 109 66 48 219 317 336 284 171 86 171 92 90 85

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06

Year Thousands of Chinook

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Klamath River Natural Fall Chinook Adult Spawner Escapement, 1978-2006

59 22 34 16 26 113 102 79 44 16 12 12 22 162 81 46 43 19 83 78 66 88 24 27 30 32 31 32 31

20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 Year Thousands of Chinook

Natural Spawner Floor 35,000

Sacramento River Adult Fall Chinook Escapements, 1970-2006

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 Year Thousands of Chinook

Goal Range of 122,000 - 180,000

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Coho Chinook Valley Index, CVI) Rogue Fall North Migrating

1/ Preseason expectations to the mouth of the Columbia River.

132,300 59,700 Declining survey results and returns. 86,200 230,400 18,100 92% 67% 78% Index - NA NA 435,400 87,700 68,900 age 3 - 44,100 Pre/Post 123% 113% 145% 50% 92% 91% 116,400 52% age 4 - 63,700 Preseason Expectations Oregon Production Index (OPI) Sacramento (Central OCN Klamath 632,500 60,800 398,800

2006 Ocean Abundance Estimates for Select Salmon Stocks, Preseason vs. Postseason

Hatchery 440,600 Postseason Oregon Coast Good Returns Fall Brights Lower River Wild 253,900 16,600 Tules 105,800 Columbia River 1/ Upriver Spring Willamette Spring 88,400 46,500

Review of 2007 Salmon Forecasts

• Oregon Production Index (OPI) Coho
• Columbia River and Coastal Hatchery
• Oregon Coastal Natural (OCN)
• Klamath River Fall Chinook
• Central Valley Index (CVI) Fall Chinook
• 2007 Forecasts
• Columbia River Chinook
• Comparison to Postseason Estimates and

Preseason Forecasts

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OPI Coho Abundance Forecast for 2007 with Comparison to Postseason Estimates and Preseason Forecasts

2,048 1,941 919 2,030 364 217 265 756 958 1,239 841 594 528 1,617 390 249 224 242 636 849 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 Year

Thousands of Coho Postseason Forecast

OPI Hatchery Coho Abundance Forecast for 2007 with Comparison to Postseason Estimates and Preseason Forecasts

718 1,875 544 262 148 178 198 335 945 623 441 205 1,415 659 672 202 390 593

200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 Year Thousands of Coho Postseason Forecast

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Preseason Forecasts of Columbia River Early and Late Hatchery Coho

142 207 326 326 1037 162 440 314 285 246 425 114 87 141 278 492 144 378 275 78 114 140 64 25

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Year Thousands of Coho

Late Early

OCN Coho Abundance Forecast for 2007 with Comparison to Postseason Estimates and Preseason Forecasts

76 83 91 99 46 62 81 26 33 51 72 181 289 260 197 150 116 255 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07

Year Thousands of Coho Postseason Forecast

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Columbia River Tule Chinook Ocean Escapement Forecast for 2007 with Comparison to Postseason Estimates and Preseason Forecasts

150 144 353 322 158 79 115 69 72 80 109 66 48 219 317 336 284 86 171 171 92 90 85 77

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 Year Thousands of Chinook .

Postseason Forecast

Klamath River Fall Chinook Age-3 Abundance Forecast for 2007 with Comparison to Postseason Estimates and Preseason Forecasts

191 141 358 515 399 161 202 88 130 619 155 480 225 176 85 350 187 209 171 72 186 44 515

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 Year Thousands of Chinook .

Postseason Abundance Preseason Forecast

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Klamath River Fall Chinook Age-4 Abundance Forecast for 2007 with Comparison to Postseason Estimates and Preseason Forecasts

226 63 30 134 100 193 105 38 69 45 44 269 54 46 79 39 247 144 132 135 49 64 26

50 100 150 200 250 300 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07

Year Thousands of Chinook .

Postseason Abundance Preseason Forecast

CVI Chinook Abundance Forecast for 2007 with Comparison to Postseason Estimates and Preseason Forecasts

515 667 920 825 1,237 667 568 451 316 504 626 1,344 799 1,105 646 792 1,085 881 1,292 897 870 854 435 500

200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800

84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 Year Thousands of Chinook

Postseason Forecast

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Coho Chinook Valley Index, CVI) Rogue Fall North Migrating

1/ Preseason expectations to the mouth of the Columbia River.

Good Returns age 4 - 26,100 41% of 2006 Forecast Hatchery 593,600 Oregon Production Index (OPI) Sacramento (Central 499,900 79% of 2006 Forecast

Preliminary 2007 Ocean Abundance Forecasts for Select Salmon Stocks

Comments Preseason Expectations 149% of 2006 Forecast OCN 255,400 Klamath ~12 times greater than 2006 Forecast age 3 - 515,400 420% of 2006 Forecast Tules 72% of 2006 Forecast 76,700 Index - 8,000 Different method in 2006 Decreasing spawner counts suggest declining trends. Columbia River 1/ Oregon Coast Fall Brights 73% of 2006 Forecast Lower River Wild 61% of 2006 Forecast 250,400 10,100 Upriver Spring 89% of 2006 Forecast Willamette Spring 112% of 2006 Forecast 78,500 52,000

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