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NPP SITING IN WESTERN PART OF NPP SITING IN WESTERN PART OF JAVA ISLAND INDONESIA: JAVA ISLAND INDONESIA: REGIONAL ANALYSIS STAGE REGIONAL ANALYSIS STAGE A. Sarwiyana Sastratenaya Yuliastuti Presented at OECD NEA CNRA International


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NPP SITING IN WESTERN PART OF NPP SITING IN WESTERN PART OF JAVA ISLAND INDONESIA: JAVA ISLAND INDONESIA: REGIONAL ANALYSIS STAGE REGIONAL ANALYSIS STAGE

NATIONAL NUCLEAR ENERGY AGENCY OF INDONESIA (BATAN)

  • A. Sarwiyana Sastratenaya

Yuliastuti

Presented at OECD NEA CNRA International Workshop on “New Reactor Siting, Licensing and Construction Experience” September 14-17, 2010 , Prague, Czech Republic

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Content

  • 1. General Information of Indonesia
  • 2. Site Selection Process
  • 3. Regional Analysis
  • A. Coverage area
  • B. Methodology
  • C. Topical & Integrated Regional

Analysis

  • 4. Summary & Recommendation
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  • 1. GENERAL INFORMATION
  • An archipelago with 17,508 islands
  • 1.9 million square miles total
  • Fourth most populous country in the world, 223

million people (2006), 1.49% growth rate

  • 59% of population reside in Java, in a 7% total area
  • 400 volcanoes, 100 active, 112 in Java island
  • Air temperature : 27.6° to 36.8° C (day) and 14.6° to

24.6° C (night)

  • Humidity: 63% to 83%
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Map of Indonesia

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  • 2. SITE SELECTION PROCESS

R&D / Government OWNER

SDR SER Site Permit

Site Survey

Regional Analysis Screening Comparison & Ranking

Site Evaluation Pre-Operational Pre-Survey

Interest Regions

Potential Sites Selected Candidate Sites Preferred Candidate Sites

Design Basis Parameter

Readiness of the site for Construction

2 thn

Scope of the paper

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Coverage Area on Site Selection Process

Site area

(~1 km2)

(Map scale 1: 100,000-50,000) 150 km (Map scale 1/250,000 -100,000) (Map scale 1:25,000-5,000)

Regional

Near regional Site vicinity

25 – 50 km 5 km

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Aspect of Study

SITE SITE SELECTION SELECTION

Safety Related Aspect Non Safety Related Aspect

Public Education Extern. Events Impact of NPP to Envrmnt.

  • Surface Faulting
  • Seismicity
  • Subsurface material
  • Volcanism
  • River Flooding
  • Coastal Flooding (incl. tsunami)
  • Other External Hazard
  • Human Induced Events
  • Dispersion
  • Demography
  • Infrastructure
  • Spatial Planning
  • Ecology, Social, Economy, Culture
  • Dissemination of nuclear energy and

technology information (socialization, art performance), etc.

Scope of the paper

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  • 3. REGIONAL ANAL

YSIS

U

Bojonegara

  • P. Panjang
  • T. Kait
  • T. Pontang

Daerah Interes

Cibuaya Cilamaya

Batas Survei Regional

  • U. Pemanukan

Bandar Lampung SUMEDANG BANDUNG SUKABUMI BOGOR PANDEGLANG CIREBON Cilegon INDRAMAYU 139 141

Interest Area

Note: DKI Jakarta and Lampung area were not as site target , but data of the area were needed for comprehensive analysis.

Coverage study area with radius 150 km

  • A. Coverage Area
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  • B. Methodology

Integrated Regional Analysis I (IRA I)

GROUP I DATA OF NATURAL EXTERNAL EVENTS

Accepted Area based on Nat. External Events Criteria

IRA II IRA III

GROUP II DATA OF HUMAN INDUCED EVENTS Accepted Area based on Human Induced Events Criteria GROUP III DATA OF POPULATION AND DISPERSION Area can be accepted based on Population and Dispersion Cons.

IRA

POTENTIAL SITES Spatial Planning, Infrastructure and Environmental Consideration

Aspects of Group I :

  • 1. Surface faulting
  • 2. Seismicity
  • 3. Subsurface material
  • 4. Volcanism
  • 5. Other external events
  • 6. Coastal Flooding
  • 7. River Flooding

General Criteria

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 a b c d e

Scope of the Paper

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1) Surface Faulting

Acceptance criteria:

  • Distance of active fault (considered as supposed

capable fault) to potential site should be ≥ 5 km

  • Capable faults is not toward to the site

Note : Fault is considered to be capable if younger than 120,000 years old or younger than Middle Pleistocene.

  • C. Topical & Integrated Regional Analysis
  • a. Natural External Events
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 Identification of Supposed Capable Fault

SRTM : Satellite Radar Terrain Map Publication Satellite Imagery: Landsat, SRTM, Quickbird Seismic reflection intepretation Land & Marine Supposed Capable Fault

Data Source

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Supposed Capable Faults Hazard Zone

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2) Seismicity

 Acceptance criterion:

 Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) is defined to be ≤ 0.4 g,

in order to minimize the NPP construction cost

 The data used in the seismicity analysis are obtained from

the earthquake catalog data in Indonesia. The data has been tabulated by the Incorporated Research Institute for Seismology (IRIS) since 1964 to 2008 from various sources, such as the USGS / NEIC, ISC, Harvard, and other

  • databases. Other data obtained from the Novosibirsk

Tsunami Laboratory of the year 1770 to 2001, and from the damage earthquake catalog of Geology Board from 1833 to 2006, and the calculated data of focal mechanism solutions from Harvard CMT catalog.

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 Seismic Zone For Area of Study

Earthquake distribution Geodynamics setting Faults Pattern completed with its focal mechanism

Zone 1: Subduction Zona 2: Fore Arc Zona 3: Sumatera Fault Zona 4: Lampung Fault Zona 5: Panaitan Fault Zona 6 :Banten Fault Zona 7: Bayah Fault Zona 8: Citarik Fault Zona 9: Baribis–Bumiayu Fault Zona 10: Cimandiri – Citanduy Ft Zona 11: Pegunungan Selatan Ft Zona 12: Java north fault

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PGA Map of 250 Years of Exceedance Using Uncertainty of 0.15

Bojonegara : 0.3 g

  • P. Panjang : 0.28 g
  • Tj. Pontang : 0.26 g

Pamanukan : 0.135 g

  • Tj. Kait : 0.2 g

Cibuaya : 0.131 g Cilamaya :0.140 g

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3) Subsurface Material

 The purpose of subsurface material investigation is to acquire the

geotechnical characteristics and the soil profile of the site

 Based on the secondary data available, it can be concluded that:

 North coast of Banten and West Java Province is lying on alluvial deposits

which are defined as from unconsolidated to semi consolidated material. Meanwhile, the land of Pulau Panjang, a small island in the northern Banten Province, is lying on the coral reefs which are regarded as relatively hard material

 Sediment on the north coast of Banten and West Java Province is more than

200 m thick. Quarternary rocks compose of clay with sand intercalation are at depth 0-230 m.

 The whole interest area are not in danger of ground movement events  Bojonegara, Pulau Panjang, Tanjung Pontang and Cibuaya area are not lie in

liquefaction zone.

 Liquefaction events on the north coast of Banten and West Java Province have never

been reported.

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Bedrock and Quaternary Rocks Distribution Map

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4) Volcanism

 Definition of Capable Volcano:

Historical volcanic activity (volcanic activity 1600 a.d., Indonesia type A)

Manifestation of magmatic activity at present (Indonesia: Type B and C). Type B is characterized by its cone morphology, while type C is characterized by fumarolic activity but unclear cone morphology

Last activity time < maximum repose interval

Quaternary Composite Type, Pliocene Caldera Type

 Criteria

Potential site is not laid in the SDV radius of capable volcano such as phyroclastic flow, phyroclastic fall, lava flow

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Flowchart of Volcanic Hazard Analysis

Initial scoping Characterize sources

  • f volcanic activity

as initiating events Hazards screening Evaluate hazards at site Volcanism <10Myr In appropriate region? Is there current volcanic activity? Is there Holocene volcanic activity? Site suitability decision, inputs for design basis

Not a design basis event: no further investigation needed

Yes Yes Yes No No No Potential for any volcanic hazard at the site? Develop site- specific Volcanic Hazard Model

STAGE 1 STAGE 2 STAGE 3 STAGE 4

Yes No Yes If not, (i.e. 10 Myr to 0.01 Myr), is future volcanic activity credible?

Increasing need for substantiation

Volcano(s) capable No

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Volcanic Hazard Zone

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5) Coastal Flooding

  • 1. Eustacy
  • 2. Tsunami
  • 3. Tides
  • 4. Extreme weather condition
  • 5. Land subsidence

The site is not flooded as high as 1 meter or more in 100 years coming not affected by tsunami wave due to historical tectonic earthquake and undersea volcanic activity

Influenced items Acceptance Criteria

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 Eustacy

Eustacy of sea-level rise is caused by the addition of the water volume due to ice melting as well as thermal expansion due to increased water temperature

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Coastal Flooding Modelling in Area of Study Caused by Eustacy

The modelling was based on worst scenario of global sea level rising of 1cm/year after 100 years

* The red color presents the flooded area

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 Tsunami

  • Tsunami attributable to volcanic which was caused by the collapse of

Krakatoa caldera in year 1883 occurred in Sunda Strait.

  • Tsunami attributable to tectonic was caused by tectonics related to

subduction zone happened in the far south.

  • Tectonic tsunami which is not related to subduction zone occurred in

Sunda Strait such as the Panaitan tsunami. Flooded Area Affected by Krakatoa Tsunami

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6) River Flooding

Acceptance criterion: The site is not flooded by river flooding as high as 1 meter or more with return period of 100 year.

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7) Other External Hazard

Other External Hazard Zone Other external hazard consist of coastal abration, uplifting, extreme meteorological events, gas emission and forest fires.

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Hazard zone for seven natural external event aspects

  • b. Integrated Regional Analysis of Natural External Events

(IRA – I)

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c. Human Induced External Events

Item Screening Distance value (SDV) radius Stationary Source

  • Large & busy airport

16 km

  • Small-medium airport

10-20 km

  • Permanent & large military facility

30 km

  • Small-medium military facility

10-20 km

  • Oil/gas refinery, power generation and

petrochemical industries 3 - 5 km

  • Large harbor

3 - 5 km Mobile Source

  • Toll/Artery road and railway

0,5 -1 km

  • Gas or oil pipe line

1 km

  • Cruise line

4 km

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Stationary Source Hazard Zone

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Mobile Source Hazard Zone

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  • d. Integrated Regional Analysis of Natural & Human Induced

External Events (IRA- I & II)

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Two Potential Sites Kramatwatu – Bojonegara & Pulau Panjang

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  • 4. SUMMARY & RECOMMENDATION
  • Combining the hazard zone of natural and human induced

external event would produce a free-hazard zone. Furthermore, it can be defined and delineated to 2 (two) potential sites namely Kramatwatu-Bojonegara and Pulau Panjang.

  • However, those potential sites to become a selected candidate

site as the results of near regional analysis stage, need further investigation and some field works in order to achieve appropriate data, especially on verification of supposed capable faults and deep investigation of capable volcanoes in the radius of 50 km from the site.

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Thank You