Now Everyone Can Fly Now Everyone Can Fly 2005 Second Quarter - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Now Everyone Can Fly Now Everyone Can Fly 2005 Second Quarter - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Now Everyone Can Fly Now Everyone Can Fly 2005 Second Quarter Results 2005 Second Quarter Results 21 st February 2005 21 st February 2005 Disclaimer Now Everyone Can Fly Information contained in our presentation is intended solely
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Disclaimer
Information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your personal reference and is strictly confidential. Such information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information concerning the company. Neither we nor our advisors make any representation regarding, and assumes no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of, or any errors or omissions in, any information contained herein. In addition, the information contains projections and forward-looking statements that reflect the company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on current assumptions which are subject to various risks and which may change over
- time. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections
will be achieved, or that the company’s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected. This presentation is strictly not to be distributed without the explicit consent of Company management under any circumstance.
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Agenda
- 1. Highlight & Events
- 2. Results Commentary - Second Quarter 2005
- 3. Cost Management
- 4. Outlook
Question & Answers
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1. Highlight & Events 1. Highlight & Events
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Highlights and Events
5 new routes added in the quarter
- entered a new country (Macau)
Purchase Indonesian Airline
– securing foundation of growth potential in Indonesia
Thai-AirAsia (expanding the model outside of Malaysia) 80 Airbus Order Concluded
– guarantees continues supply of aircraft and secures low cost structure
Initial Public Offering Launched AirAsia to be inducted in MSCI Emerging Market Index, 1st March
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AirAsia in Snapshot
Growth Low Cost People Margin
AirAsia Brand
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Growth, Growth, Growth
1 ,561 2,924 1 ,354 2,839 1 ,481 61 1 291 M ar-2001 Jun-2002 Jun-2003 Jun-2004 1 Q-2005 2Q-2005 1 H-2005
Passengers Flown Passengers Flown ( (‘ ‘000) 000)
Market can’t have enough of our low fares
- first half passenger flown exceeded full year 2004 passenger carried
Passenger numbers rising despite increase in average fare Capacity rise did not undermine load factor
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Growth, Growth, Growth
Thailand Statistics Q2 -2005 Q1 -2005 Q4 -2004
84% 74% 230,831 99 2.83 182 247 3 369,340 99
Cost / ASK (US cents)
2.57 3.14 314 371
# aircraft (end)
6 4 77% 434,865 115 409 544
Average Load factor # Passengers Average fare (RM) RPK (mn) ASK (mn)
Within a year, we are now the market leaders in Thailand Strong passenger growth with improving yield and lowered cost
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Growth, Growth, Growth: Indonesia
Entry to Indonesia way ahead of initial timeline estimates Indonesia potential is enormous,
(>200 mill population, 17000 islands, minimal competition)
Fleet currently 2 planes, brought from the Malaysian operations Indonesia is not computed in prospectus
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“How is your Cost / ASK so low?”
Operating Expenses Cost/ ASK Reason (US cents) AA Others*
Staff cost 0.29 1.16 Superior productivity & low cost region Fuel and Oil 1.11 1.03 Positive oil hedge benefits Maintenance & Overhaul 0.17 0.38 LT contracts at attractive levels Cost of aircraft 0.25 0.50 Lock in aircraft at bottom cycle Depreciation & Amort’n 0.10 0.18 Fleet biased toward lease than owned
Others 0.21 2.58 Asian charges are much lower TOTAL cost per ASK 2.13 5.83 63% Cheaper than Direct Peers
Others: Gol, JetBlue, Southwest,, VirginBlue, EasyJet
It’s not a myth! It’s only a mirage if you can’t see it!
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Cost Management
2.1 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.4
2002 2003 2004 Q1 2005 Q2 2005
Cost / ASK (US cents) Cost / ASK (US cents) 1.3 cents cost reduction since begin operations
Superior cost containment and more to come – biggest caveat is oil price
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Cost – where we stack against industry?
Source: CSFB
CSFB acknowledge AirAsia as the lowest cost airline company
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People, People, People
Focus on quality and service is essential to ensure continuous supply of quality staff and avoid slip-up Training Centre aka AirAsia Academy
- ensure high quality rollout of staff without major cost exposure
- continuous improvement courses to ensure we’re always up to date
- keen-eye to improve quality, wherever possible
Aircraft simulator
- investment for future indigenous pilots
- Pioneer ‘Pilot Cadet Program’ batch will graduate in June 2005
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Training – The Bottleneck of Growth
Own flight simulator complex under construction at KLIA 10-year aviation agreement with CAE Labuan Alleviates AirAsia’s dependence on third parties for it’s pilots type-rating training
Flight Simulator Center Flight Simulator Center Cadet Pilot Training School Cadet Pilot Training School
Introduced own Pilot Cadet Training Program in December 2003 Cadet pilots are recruited and enrolled in the Malaysian Flying Academy First group of 17 pilots are expected to graduate in May 2005
Engineer Recruitment Engineer Recruitment
Arrangement with Aero Precision Resources Training center uses AirAsia’s aircraft and facilities to train potential engineers Allows AirAsia to identify and select engineers for recruitment Selected engineers are given an allowance for type-rating training, with a bond to AirAsia for 3 - 5 years
“ “Training engine Training engine” ” that produces quality pilots and engineers to support our plann that produces quality pilots and engineers to support our planned future ed future growth growth
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Simulator Updates
- Scheduled completion: June 26th 2005
- Commencement of Operations : July 1st 2005 (from April)
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Recruiting the Best People
- adding value to our organization
Kathleen Tan (Executive Vice President – Commercial)
- Specialist in arrears of marketing, communications, brand
- management. Over 20 years experience in Asia-Pacific region.
Senjaya (Chief Executive Officer; Indonesia)
- Previously in the music industry. Impeccable brand development
aptitude and management skills Rozman (Chief Financial Officer; Indonesia)
- Sound financial experience; previously in KLIA
John Chang (Executive Vice President – Greater China & North Asia)
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But how about your Profit Margins?
Profitability Margin (% ) Air Asia Ryan air Easy Jet Virgin Blue Jet Blue South West AVERAGE
EBIT 25 25 5 11 9 9
13.9
Source: AirAsia; Bloomberg; latest company reports
AirAsia possesses among the best profit margins
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2. Second Quarter Results Commentary 2. Second Quarter Results Commentary
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Financial Highlights – Q2 2005
Year End : June
Figures in RM ‘000, unless otherwise stated
Q2 2005 Q1 2005 Q2 2004 ∆
Q2:Q1(O5)
∆
Q2:Q2(04) 106,477 + 42% + 107% + 156% + 194% + 80% + 323%
+ 24%
39,631 + 68% + 71% + 84% + 68% + 64% 28,448 27,195 26,976
842 + 95%
125,479 32,786 20,442 15,508 (3,300) 10,478
1326 Revenue
178,633
EBI TDAR
67,843
EBI TDA
52,242
EBI T
45,713
Net I ncome
44,361
Share of Associates
(720)
ASK (million) 1645
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Performance Indicator
Figures in % Q2 2005 Q1 2005 Q2 2004 FY 2004
26 12 11 37 26 25 29 16 15
EBI TDAR Margin EBI T Margin Net I ncome Margin
38 26 25
Consistent EBITDAR margin improvement Profitability intact despite loses in Thai AirAsia This is in-line with seasonality issues of October to December
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Balance Sheet
Note: (*) For the 15 months ended June 30, 2002
Balance Sheet Balance Sheet (RM (RM’ ’ million) million)
899 60 35 46 29 17
- 582
- 105
150 161 49 3 Mar-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Sep-04 Dec-04 SHR Equity Net Debt
(*)
Post IPO
IPO proceeds renders a very strong balance sheet
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Cash Generating Machine
Note: (*) For the 15 months ended June 30, 2002
Cashflow from Operating Activities Cashflow from Operating Activities (RM (RM’ ’ million) million)
15 29 56 7
- 3
- 12
- 19
82 Mar-00 Mar-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Q1-05 Q2-05
(*)
“Normalized CFO” is RM82m. RM75m is paid for aircraft and fuel
- deposits. Therefore CFO is ‘superficially’ depressed at RM7m
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Operational Statistics
Operational Statistics Q2 -2005 Q1 -2005
75% 77% 984,621 122 1017 1326 2.48 3.27 2.08 12
# aircraft (end)
19 15 1,126,393 153 1230 1645 2.86 3.82
Cost/ ASK (US cents)
2.13 + 2.4%
Average # aircraft
16.7 18
∆ q-o-q Average Load factor # Passengers
+ 14%
Average fare (RM)
+ 25%
RPK (mn)
+ 21%
ASK (mn)
+ 24%
Rev/ ASK (US cents)
+ 15%
Rev/ RPK (US cents)
+ 17%
# aircraft (beginning)
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Operational Statistics
Passenger volumes increased by 14% over preceding quarter Load factor affected by huge inputs of new capacity, markets requires time to consume new capacity ASK increased by 24% as a relation to new aircrafts, increased frequency and addition of new destinations Superior cost containment despite rising fuel price. Cost savings attained via economies of scale and increased productivity Yields improved due to strong demands
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3. Cost Management 3. Cost Management
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Operating Expenses
Operating Expenses (RM ‘000) First Half -2005 % Revenue 304,112
11.2 37.4 4.8 9.8 3.8
33.1
9.2
EBI TDA
- Depreciation & Amortisation
82,685
(11,464)
27.2
3.8
20.8
(33,940) (113,613) (14,645) (29,859) (11,426)
100,632
(27,945)
EBI T 63,327 Revenue − Staff Cost − Fuel and Oil − User & Station Charges − Maintenance & Overhaul − Others EBI TDAR
- Cost of aircraft
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Cost / ASK – what changed from last year to this year?
Q2 2005 : 2.44 vs. Q2 2004 : 2.13 ( 13.0% improvement )
(US cents) Cost per Contribution Reasons ASK (% )
Staff cost 0.29
- 8.8 Improved productivity
Maintenance & Overhaul 0.17
- 12.9 Good LT contracts
Other costs 0.07
- 6.3 Disciplined cost containment
Cost of aircraft 0.25
- 4.1 Economies of scale benefits
Fuel and Oil 1.11 13.0 Oil Hedge benefits User & Station Charges 0.14 3.6 More regional routes Depreciation & Amortization 0.10 2.7
Total Cost per ASK 2.13
- 13.0%
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What did we say all these time?
LOWEST COST + LOWEST FARES = RECIPE FOR SUCCESS
We will keep to our winning ways!
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4. Outlook 4. Outlook
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Expanding Ancillary Income
Go Holiday – AirAsia’s holiday package option
- customers increasingly comfortable with Go-Holiday
- developing other opportunities
Advertising – paying homage to our strong brand AirAsia credit card – partner with RHB and DBS Snack Attack – AirAsia’s onboard food & drinks Merchandise – duty free options and company souvenirs New sources under consideration
- insurance (travel & life)
- car rental
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Current Trading Conditions and Outlook
Aircraft delivery schedule under backlog
- Availability of attractively priced Boeing 737-300 is increasingly
scarce and lease rates have been hardening
- demand for B737-300 is rising, particularly from Cargo airlines
- delay in aircraft delivery will have a financial impact
- current fleet 28 aircraft; another 12 aircraft LOI already signed
but delayed delivery up to August Will not sacrifice business philosophy High fuel price – AirAsia is hedged until June 2005 looking for the opportune moment to renew hedge
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Trading Conditions & Outlook: Thailand
Aircraft planned for Thailand deployed to Indonesia & Malaysia
- less critical mass but less aircraft
Yield and load factors improved, further potential in store
- more rationale competition
- our brand has achieved dominion status
Model is working well but less aircraft Final stages before launching flights to China, Indo-China Assuming talks with Government proceeds smoothly, we will commence flights within the short-term
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LCC Terminal Resolution
Government Announcement : Wednesday 23rd February either way, it will be good news for AirAsia Government has listened to us tentatively and gathered inputs, should new terminal be built in KLIA
- low cost facilities (potential to save up to 30% of manpower cost)
- simplicity of design to ensure high operational efficiency
- should mimic or similar cost structure if operate from Subang
- construction should be swift, <1 year
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Concluding Remarks
Very strong quarter (good volume growth, strong average fare, good profit margins) Excellent cost control (despite the oil price boom) Low fares + lowest cost = impressive margins Business outlook reliant to these factors
- aircraft delivery schedule
- sentiments for travel
- oil price (high oil price is a concern)
We will stick to our model. Do not believe sacrificing MODEL in order to address short-term cyclical aversions. Long-term benefit for the business is paramount!
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