New York State Teamsters Conference Pension and Retirement Fund
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New York State Teamsters Conference Pension and Retirement Fund 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
New York State Teamsters Conference Pension and Retirement Fund 1 Why Are We Here? Pension Fund is running out of money There are no other options If we wait, the problem only gets worse PBGC running out of money Other funds
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Year
Actives Retirees Terminated Vested Total Participants Contributing Employers Life Expectancy*
1990 23,883 10,150 3,920 37,953 490 72 1995 19,640 11,128 4,011 34,779 391 73 2000 16,827 14,198 3,866 34,891 308 74 2008 15,242 15,896 5,609 36,747 214 75 2016 11,575 15,976 6,908 34,459 184 76
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Year Contributions Benefits Paid Investment Return Needed to Cover Difference 1990 $60,011,653 $46,804,437 0.00% 1995 $58,872,901 $81,527,130 2.32% 2000 $68,970,712 $128,067,986 2.88% 2008 $101,062,928 $236,814,862 5.96% 2015 $118,741,696 $280,144,634 13.48%
Total Participants 37,953 34,779 34,891 36,747 34,595 Contributing Employers 490 391 308 214 184 Life Expectancy* 72 73 74 75 76
23,883 19,640 16,827 15,242 11,575 14,070 15,139 18,064 21,505 22,884 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000
1990 1995 2000 2008 2016
Changing Demographics Actives vs. Retirees & Terminated Vested
Actives Retirees & Terminated Vested
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Investment Return Needed to Cover Difference 0.00% 2.32% 2.88% 5.96% 13.48% $60,011,653 $58,872,901 $65,970,712 $101,062,928 $118,741,696 $46,804,437 $81,527,130 $128,067,986 $236,814,862 $280,144,634 $0 $50,000,000 $100,000,000 $150,000,000 $200,000,000 $250,000,000 $300,000,000 1990 1995 2000 2008 2016
Increasing Reliance on Investment Returns
Contributions Benefits Paid
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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% (2,000) (1,750) (1,500) (1,250) (1,000) (750) (500) (250) 250 500 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 6.1%
7.5% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 11,896 11,678 11,576 10,399 10,245 10,098 9,957 9,821 9,690 9,561 9,441 9,324 9,212 9,102 9,000 8,897 8,799 8,703 8,610 8,522 8,437 8,355 8,274 8,198 8,122 8,050 7,980 7,911 7,845 7,782 7,717 7,655 7,595 7,537 7,480
New York State Teamsters Conference Pension & Retirement Fund Funding Standard Account ($Million) = Left Axis Funded Percentage / PPA Zone = Right Axis
FSA at 12/31 (1) Plan Year beginning 1/1 (2) Asset Return during Year (3) Active Population
PPA Funded Percentage FSA at 12/31 ($ Million)
Census data as of January 1, 2016 No changes to Plan provisions
Color of Bar = PPA Status Height of Bar = Funded Percentage Blue Line = Credit Balance Trust Fund Exhausted During 2026 6
insured benefit if their pension plan failed. It is a stand-alone entity and currently receives no money from the federal government.
with projected insolvency within 10 years.
been worked and rate of benefit accrual that the Fund has credited. The maximum benefit the PBGC will guarantee is $35.75 for each year of service that has been earned. For a participant with 30 years, the maximum PBGC guarantee generally is $1,072.50 per month, annually $12,870.00
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Corporation’s multiemployer program to become bankrupt by 2025 under current law.
projected claims for financial aid filed with the Multiemployer Program from 2017 through 2026.
people that are covered by pension plans provided by groups of employers.
between the claims filed with the program and available resources to meet such insurance obligations.
would reach $101 billion on a fair value basis over the next 20 years.
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Edwards, Jane. August 3, 2016. CBO: Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.’s Multiemployer Program Faces Insolvency in 2025. Civilian Agencies.
The Trustees approved the filing of an application for benefit reductions under the Multiemployer Pension Reform Act of 2014 (MPRA). The application will be filed with the U.S. Department of the Treasury in the coming week, and will contain the details of the PPP. The PPP calls for the following benefit reductions (subject to certain MPRA limitations described later in this presentation):
and terminated vested participants, and all other Non-Active Participants. If the Fund’s application is approved, the PPP benefit reductions will become effective on July 1, 2017.
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groups/statuses
Active participants
equitable across statuses
suspensions?
suspension are equitable among Actives and Retirees
2000’s
current retiree but it will cost three times as much
Status Service at 2017 Benefit at 2017 Proposed Suspension Benefit at 2017 After Suspension Future Service Future Accruals Total Benefit After Suspension Retired 30+ Years $5,000 31% $3,450 0 Years $0 $3,450 Active 20 Years $3,050 20% $2,440 10 Years $1,050 $3,490 Active 10 Years $1,300 20% $1,040 20 Years $2,200 $3,240 Active 0 Years $0 20% $0 30 Years $3,350 $3,350
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proposed suspensions is shown in the table below
$355 million more for retirees and beneficiaries when compared to Actives
made to active Participants as part of the Rehabilitation Plan
Status Suspension % Change in Liability Active 20% $135 million Retiree & Beneficiaries 31% $490 million
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Active Participants only
million in benefits each year starting in 2011
reduce Active liability by approximately $485 million
result of the proposed benefit suspension
Rehab Plan Change Reduction in Liability as of 2011 Early Retirement Subsidies $190 million Reduction in Future Accruals $20 million per year
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do not include larger suspensions for orphan Participants
couldn’t pay its withdrawal liability
not
Reduction Protections under MPRA
guarantee if the Fund were to become insolvent.
benefit is below 110% of the PBGC guarantee.
protected and will not be reduced.
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Reduction Count Percent Cumulative % No Reduction 9,750 28.16% 28.16% 0 - 10.00% 6,348 18.33% 46.49% 10.01 – 20.00% 8,364 24.15% 70.64% 20.01 – 30.00% 1,547 4.47% 75.11% 30.01 – 40.00% 8,608 24.86% 99.97% 40.01 – 50.00% 10 .02% 99.99% 50.01 – 60.00% 2 .01% 100.00% Total 34,629 100.00% 100.00%
Retiree & Beneficiary Distribution January 1, 2016
Monthly Benefit Count Percent of Total Retirees & Ben’s Cumulative Percent of Total Count $1.00 - $499 5,364 33.72% 33.72% $500 - $999 2,992 18.81% 52.53% $1,000 - $1,499 1,753 11.02% 63.55% $1,500 - $1,999 1,460 9.18% 72.73% $2,000 - $2,499 1,034 6.50% 79.23% $2,500 - $2,999 893 5.61% 84.84% $3,000 - $3,499 591 3.72% 88.56% $3,500 - $3,999 389 2.45% 91.01% $4,000 - $4,499 368 2.31% 93.32% $4,500 - $4,999 556 3.50% 96.82% $5000 - $5,499 421 2.65% 99.47% $5,500 - $5,999 75 0.47% 99.94% $6,000 + 12 0.06% 100.00%
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Retiree & Beneficiary Distribution January 1, 2016
Monthly Benefit Count Monthly Distribution Percent of Monthly Distribution Cumulative Percent of Monthly Distribution $1.00 - $499 5,364 $1,360,592 5.85% 5.85% $500 - $999 2,992 $2,175,959 9.35% 15.19% $1,000 - $1,499 1,753 $2,157,882 9.27% 24.47% $1,500 - $1,999 1,460 $2,542,587 10.92% 35.39% $2,000 - $2,499 1,034 $2,319,940 9.97% 45.36% $2,500 - $2,999 893 $2,438,463 10.48% 55.83% $3,000 - $3,499 591 $1,912,373 8.22% 64.05% $3,500 - $3,999 389 $1,452,029 6.24% 70.29% $4,000 - $4,499 368 $1,571,035 6.75% 77.04% $4,500 - $4,999 556 $2,644,452 11.36% 88.40% $5000 - $5,499 421 $2,194,395 9.43% 97.83% $5,500 - $5,999 75 $427,003 1.83% 99.66% $6,000 + 12 $78,880 .03% 100.00% Total 15,908 $23,275,590
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$280M
$118M
$162M If Approved: Monthly Pension Reductions $5.2/month x 12 months: $62.4M Revised Annual Shortfall: $99.6M Assets Under Management 6/30/2016: $1.178B Asset Return Needed: 8.46%
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Retired Participant with No MPRA Protections
$ 5,000.00
($1,550.00)
$ 3,450.00
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Guarantee-Based Limitation Protection – PBGC 110% rate
$ 1,300.00
( $ 403.00)
$ 897.00
$ 1,163.25 ($35.25 x 30 years of service X 110%)
($ 136.75)
$ 1,163.25
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Age-Based Protection (Age 75 – Age 79)
$ 3,686.58
($ 1,142.84)
78 years 5 months
0.3167
($ 361.94)
$ 3,324.64
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Active Participant with 20 years of service
(A) Benefit Subject to PPP
$3,050.00
($ 610.00)
$2,440.00 (B) Benefit After PPP
$ 50.00
$ 100.00
$ 100.00
$ 100.00
$ 100.00
$ 100.00
$ 100.00
$ 100.00
$ 100.00
$ 100.00
$ 100.00 (C) Total Benefit (A+B) $3,490.00 24
As your benefit is reduced under the PPP, the cost of providing a lesser Survivor Benefit is also reduced proportionately. For example:
Prior to PPP After PPP $2,175.38 Accrued benefit $1,501.01 (Less 31%) Accrued Benefit ($175.38) 50% J&S Reduction ($121.01) 50% J&S Reduction $2,000.00 Monthly Benefit $1,380.00 Month Benefit $1,000.00 Survivor Benefit $690.00 Survivor Benefit
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craft or industry covered under the Fund and in the Fund’s geographical area.
Contributing Employer of the Fund.
craft or industry covered under the Fund and in the Fund’s geographical area.
Contributing Employer of the Fund.
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Historical Legislative Actions Impacting the Pension Fund
Action Impact Trucking Industry Deregulation Loss of hundreds of trucking companies and jobs Excise tax on overfunding Unable to save for rainy day Shorter Vesting Requirements (i.e. 5 year) Additional Cost Cap on Employer Withdrawal Liability Unable to collect full amounts due Pension Protection Act of 2006 (“PPA”) Trustees required to reach mandated (improved) funding levels by increasing contributions and reduced benefits Multiemployer Pension Reform Act of 2014 (“MPRA”) Allows Trustees of Plans in Critical and Declining status to consider benefit suspensions for all participants. First time in history, includes those already in pay status (i.e. retired). Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (“PBGC”) Premiums Premium rate increased from $13 to $26 per participant for 2015. The 2016 rate is $27.
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funds
IMPORTANT:
stocks, bonds) in traditional investment portfolio
investment managers for each asset class
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Real Assets
(Real Estate, Infrastructure, Natural Resources)
High Yield Fixed Income
Private Equity
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Emerging Markets Debt 9.7% Commodities 25.9% Emerging Equity 55.8% Emerging Equity 25.6% Emerging Equity 34.0% Emerging Equity 32.2% Emerging Equity 39.4% Bonds 5.2% Emerging Equity 78.5% Emerging Equity 18.9% Real Estate 14.3% Emerging Equity 18.2% US Equity 32.4% Private Equity 17.6% Real Estate 10.1% Bonds 8.4% TIPS 17.0% EAFE Equity 39.1% Emerging Markets Debt 23.0% Private Equity 30.4% EAFE Equity 26.3% Private Equity 26.6% Cash 1.7% High Yield 58.2% Commodities 16.7% TIPS 14.1% EAFE Equity 17.3% EAFE Equity 22.8% US Equity 13.7% US Equity 1.4 % TIPS 8.0% Emerging Markets Debt 13.7% High Yield 29.0% EAFE Equity 20.6% Commodities 21.4% Private Equity 18.6% Emerging Markets Debt 18.1% TIPS
EAFE Equity 31.8% Private Equity 15.7% Private Equity 12.0% Emerging Markets Debt 16.8% Private Equity 18.1% Real Estate 11.8% Bonds 0.6% Real Estate 7.2% Bonds 10.2% US Equity 28.7% Private Equity 15.9% Real Estate 20.1% Real Estate 16.6% Commodities 16.2% Emerging Markets Debt
US Equity 26.5% Emerging Markets Debt 15.7% Bonds 7.8% US Equity 16.0% Real Estate 11.0% Bonds 6.0% Private Equity N/A High Yield 5.3% Real Estate 6.7% Commodities 24.0% Real Estate 14.5% EAFE Equity 13.5% US Equity 15.8% Real Estate 15.8% Real Estate
Emerging Markets Debt 22.0% High Yield 15.1% High Yield 5.0% High Yield 15.8% Hedge Funds 8.7% TIPS 3.6% Cash 0.0% Hedge Funds 4.6% Cash 1.6% Hedge Funds 19.5% High Yield 11.1% Hedge Funds 9.3% Emerging Markets Debt 15.2% TIPS 11.6% Private Equity
Hedge Funds 20.0% US Equity 15.1% US Equity 2.1% Private Equity 14.5% High Yield 7.4% Hedge Funds 3.3% EAFE Equity
Cash 3.8% High Yield
Emerging Markets Debt 16.9% US Equity 10.8% Emerging Markets Debt 6.3% Hedge Funds 12.9% EAFE Equity 11.2% Hedge Funds
Commodities 18.9% Real Estate 13.1% Cash 0.1% Real Estate 10.5% Cash 0.0% High Yield 2.5% Hedge Funds
Emerging Equity
Hedge Funds
Real Estate 8.9% Commodities 9.2% US Equity 4.9% High Yield 11.9% Hedge Funds 10.0% High Yield
TIPS 10.0% Hedge Funds 10.2% Emerging Markets Debt
TIPS 7.3% Bonds
Emerging Markets Debt 0.9% TIPS
US Equity
Emerging Equity
TIPS 8.3% Hedge Funds 9.0% Cash 3.0% Cash 4.6% Bonds 7.0% Commodities
Bonds 5.9% EAFE Equity 7.8% Hedge Funds
Hedge Funds 6.4% Emerging Equity
Cash 0.0% High Yield
Commodities - 19.5% Private Equity
Private Equity 7.3% TIPS 8.5% TIPS 2.8% Bonds 4.3% US Equity 5.5% US Equity
Cash 0.1% Bonds 6.5% EAFE Equity
Bonds 4.2% Emerging Markets Debt
Emerging Equity
Emerging Markets Debt
EAFE Equity
EAFE Equity
Bonds 4.1% Bonds 4.3% High Yield 2.7% Commodities 2.1% Cash 4.7% EAFE Equity
Private Equity
TIPS 6.3% Commodities
Cash 0.1% TIPS
EAFE Equity
Emerging Equity
Private Equity
US Equity
Cash 1.0% Cash 1.2% Bonds 2.4% TIPS 0.5% High Yield 1.9% Emerging Equity
Real Estate
Cash 0.1% Emerging Equity
Commodities
Commodities
Commodities
Commodities
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$1,441.6 $1,452.0 $1,412.2 $1,361.6 $1,197.0 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 m Int'l Emerging Equity 15.6% Investment Grade Bonds 5.3% Domestic Equity 14.0% Bank Loans 3.2% Hedge Funds <0.1% Private Equity 19.6% Int'l Developed Equity 8.0% Real Estate 5.5% Emerging Market Debt 7.4% Infrastructure 8.1% High Yield Bonds 2.2% TIPS 3.6% Cash 0.4% Natural Resources & Commodities 7.3%
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What Is Private Equity?
investments in individual companies.
debt, and special situations. Why Invest In Private Equity?
Private Equity has been instrumental in expansion and creation of new industries:
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What Is Infrastructure?
community depends.
– Transportation ─ roads, bridges, airports – Environmental ─ water, waste, sanitation – Energy ─ pipelines, power generation and distribution – Communication ─ cable, internet, phone networks – Social ─ hospitals, schools, parks
Canada, and Australia.
Why Invest In Infrastructure?
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What is Real Estate?
stable cash flows.
retail (malls, shopping centers), and residential (apartments, condominiums).
markets. Why Invest In Real Estate?
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classes over the past five years.
Five Year Return as of June 30, 2016
13.5% 13.1% 10.4% 5.8% 5.4% 3.8% 3.2% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% Infrastructure Private Equity Real Estate High Yield Bonds Global Equity Investment Grade Bonds Natural Resources
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3.8%
0% 10% Real Estate (REITs) Global Equities Pension Fund High Yield Bonds Global Fixed Income
∙ During the global financial crisis, many asset classes produced sharply negative returns in 2008.
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13.8% 10.8% 4.3% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% Global Equities Pension Fund Global Fixed Income
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1 Pension Fund returns based on actual returns provided by custodian through August 31, 2016 and estimated for September and October based on index returns.
(through October 11, 2016)
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8.6% 6.6% 5.2% 0.3% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Pens ion Fund Domes tic E quity Inves tment Grade Bonds International Developed E quity
Plan Filing Date Proposed Suspension Overview Status Central States Pension Plan 9/25/15 Recalculation of benefits to approximately 1.00%
Denied Road Carriers Local 707 3/15/16 Reduce benefits to 110% of the PBGC guarantee Denied Ironworkers Local 16 3/26/16 Recalculation of benefits with a max of 50% reduction In Review Teamsters Local 469 3/31/16 Reduce benefits by 45% for all participants In Review Bricklayers Local 7 6/28/16 Recalculation of benefits to approximately 1.30%
In Review Iron Workers Local 17 7/29/16 Recalculation of benefits and applying early retirement reductions in the case of subsidized benefits In Review Bricklayers Local 5 8/4/16 Reduce to 110% of the PBGC guarantee after restoring (previously reduced) adjustable benefits In Review
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and an individualized benefit statement.
reductions within 30 days after approval. Treasury administers the vote.
will go into effect on July 1, 2017.
with a present value of projected PBGC financial assistance payments that exceeds $1 billion), Treasury can approve the Fund’s proposed reductions, or a modified version of the proposed reductions, regardless of whether the participants vote to reject the PPP.
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Additional Information
www.nytfund.org
Department at the following address: Department of the Treasury Attn: MPRA Office Room 1001 1500 Pennsylvania Avenue NW Washington, DC 20220
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asset pool.
goals and concerns with the realities of the capital markets.
investment policies that reflect real-world experience.
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Control Risk Using The Three D’s: Discipline, Diligence, and Diversification
Discipline:
policy.
Diligence:
Diversification:
fail and lead to a loss).
and classes, investment strategies and managers, and time.
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exhibit modest or low correlations with each other.
reward (return).
also offer high potential returns over time. Other asset classes, like cash, experience very little volatility, but offer limited return potential.
pool is its overall asset allocation; each asset class (e.g., equity, fixed income, real estate) exhibits unique risk and return behavior, with varying correlation to other asset classes.
expected return, and can create a multi-asset portfolio tailored to a unique set of objectives.
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Why Is Asset Allocation important?
explained by asset allocation; further, that asset allocation explains more than 100% of the level
How does Asset Allocation affect aggregate performance?
differently with other asset classes .
move together in the same direction is limited, with the movement of one asset class often offsetting another’s.
risk and return of their portfolio, and to benefit from the reduction in volatility that stems from diversification.
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The asset allocation policy:
addition to the expectations for capital market behavior.
include ranges around which the allocation may vary without necessitating deliberate rebalancing.
monitored at an aggregate level.
constraints, changes in capital market environment, etc.).
investment managers.
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Asset Class Top Performing Years (since 2000)1 US E quities 2013, 2014 International Developed E quities 2003, 2006, 2012, 2013 E merging Market E quities 2003-2007, 2009, 2010, 2012 High Yield Bonds 2009 Investment Grade Bonds 2001, 2008 Private E quity 2000, 2011, 2014, 2015 Real E state 2011, 2015
∙ Diversified portfolio ensures exposure to some of strongest asset classes each year. ∙ Also ensures assets never concentrated in weakest asset classes.
1 Defined as one of top two performing asset classes for respective year compared to 14 total asset classes/proxies.
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Investment Committee Structure ∙ We maintain dedicated resources across all public & private markets asset classes. ∙ Our due diligence teams report to the firm’s Marketable Securities and Private Markets Investment Committees. ∙ Investment Committee structure draws on the expertise of the firm’s senior professionals.
Public Equities
Global U.S. Developed Markets Emerging Markets Frontier Markets Long/Short
Fixed Income
Investment Grade TIPS High Yield Bank Loans Global Emerging Markets
Marketable Alternatives
Hedge Funds GTAA Natural Resources Commodities REITs Infrastructure
Private Equity
Buyouts Venture Capital Special Situations Secondaries
Private Debt
Mezzanine Distressed Opportunistic
Real Assets
Natural Resources Infrastructure Real Estate
Private Markets Investment Committee Marketable Securities Investment Committee
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Public Markets Manager Research
The Five Key Areas of the Meketa Investment Manager Evaluation Process
Organization
∙ Stability ∙ Focus ∙ Employee ownership ∙ Investment driven culture ∙ Operationally sound
Investment Team
∙ Experience ∙ Depth of resources ∙ Team-oriented, performance driven ∙ Stock selection ability ∙ Investment intuition
Performance & Fees
∙ Validates process ∙ Long-term record ∙ Risk-adjusted returns ∙ Reasonable fees
Investment Process & Risk Management
∙ Straightforward ∙ Level of due diligence ∙ Thought process assessment ∙ Communication ∙ Decision-making and portfolio construction ∙ Self-evaluation / lessons learned ∙ Risk controls
Investment Philosophy
∙ Set of beliefs ∙ Stock price determinants ∙ Reasons for mispricings ∙ How to add value ∙ Competitive edge
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Manager Evaluation, Selection & Monitoring
Continuous Monitoring and Evaluation of Investment Managers
Reconciliation
manager’s reported inves tment performance Detailed analysis of trends, s trategies, and tactics Frequent, in-person,
visits Quarterly ques tionnaire Reconciliation
manager’s reported inves tment performance Detailed analysis of trends, s trategies, and tactics Frequent, in-person,
visits Quarterly ques tionnaire
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Optimal Investment Structure
Index funds in efficient markets
World class active managers
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Representative Public Markets Managers
Benchmark Plus
Loomis, Sayles & Company
Artisan Partners
Aberdeen Asset Management
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Private Markets Pipeline
Private Markets Investment Review
will be appropriate for the strategy: Screen: 500+ per year Phase I: 350+ per year Phase II: 35+ per year Phase III: 25+ per year Discretionary Commitments: 20 per year
Database with over 1,000 managers which is supplemented by outside databases including Thomson Reuters and Preqin.
Phase III Phase II Phase I Commitments
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Private Markets Due Diligence: Rigorous Process
Initial Review of investment
PM sub- committe e Review Broad outreach to GPs, including those not actively fundraising Office meetings with General Partners PM sub- committe e Review PMIC Review Construct analysis for review GP completes our comprehensive “Due Diligence Questionnaire” Reference checks On-site inspections Extensive evaluation of firm’s investment track record PMIC Review Extensive “Investment Memorandum” developed Legal review and additional due diligence Not Approved Not Approved Not Approved Not Approved Negotiation of legal documentation Establish communication, banking & accounting relationships b/w GP and Client Negotiation of side letter providing specific investor rights
Investment Sourcing PPM Review Phase I Phase III Phase II Execute Documents
Approval Anonymous Scoring
before any investment is approved for our clients. Private Markets Investment Analysis ∙ We apply a rigorous review process to identify and evaluate the highest quality managers.
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year-end.
1 Defined as one of top two performing asset classes for respective year compared to 14 total asset classes/proxies.
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returns.
S&P 500 Total Return Index Returns January 1, 1988 – August 17, 2015 Growth of $100 January 1, 1988 – August 17, 2015
Period/Missing Days Annualized Return (%) All s ample (6,966 days ) 10.4 Mis s ing top day 9.9 Mis s ing top 5 days 9.0 Mis s ing top 10 days 7.8 Mis s ing top 21 days 5.8 Mis s ing top 63 days 0.0
Annualized Return Mkt Value as of August 2015 10.4% $1,468 7.8% $770
1 Return is calculated assuming a return of 0% for the missing days.
2 21 trading days equals one month and 63 trading days equals one quarter.
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Market Reversals After Large Declines
decline of 17%.
– Markets often experience smaller but continued declines after a sharp move down, before reversing sharply in a relatively short period of time.
Source: Bloomberg.com; January 26, 2016
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Performance Chasing Detracts Value
that effectively translates into buying high and selling low.
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