Needs and Defense Trends For TTCs Next -Generation ISR Symposium for - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Evolving EO/IR Commercial UAS Landscape: User Needs and Defense Trends For TTCs Next -Generation ISR Symposium for Military and Government Arlington, VA. December 15-16, 2016 Ron Stearns, Director, Business Development, Robotics and
Arlington,
Ron Stearns, Director, Business Development, Robotics and Unmanned Systems
Aircraft by Service Branch, 2015-2021 Fixed and Rotary Wing, 2015-2021 Aircraft by Category, 2015-2021
Source: Velocity Group analysis of DoD FY 2017 budget documents
With the inclusion of zero-hour rotary-wing programs (e.g. AH-64E, AH-1W to AH-1Z) and target drones (BQM-167, QF-16) there will be 3,037 DoD aircraft deliveries from FY 2015-2021. Rotary-wing aircraft are the major FYDP acquisition driver, owed in large part to operations tempo and airlift demand in United States Central Command
Source: Velocity Group analysis of DoD FY2017 budget documents
Source: Velocity Group analysis of DoD FY2017 budget documents
Source: Velocity Group analysis of DoD FY2017 budget documents
OH-58D: 368 AN/AAQ-11, LMT MX-15, MX-20 L-3/ Wescam MTS Family Raytheon
4,739 Aircraft as of calendar 2014
POP 300, IAI Alticam AC-10, Hoodtech
May, 2014: FAA accepts petitions for commercial UAS exemption under Section 333 of FAA Modernization and Reform Act of 2012 First six Section 333 exemptions are issued
television and film companies. 5,309 Section 333s approved as of June 8,2016). Blanket exemptions for test sites and 333 in increasing effect. AGL from 400-800 feet Moves toward Risk- based certification. Night operations under Section 333. Expedited, online commercial
released June 21, 2016
From inertia to normalized access in two years
“Progress in science is not linear, but rather exhibits periods of peaceful interludes punctuated by intellectually violent revolutions.”
(paraphrased from “The Structure of Scientific Revolutions”, 1962).
40-80 lb. range are surpassed every 18-24 months.
purchasing UAVs in twos to avoid fleet obsolescence
increasingly become a commoditized design space
an equal field – Form Factors, SWaP and costs slowly coming into agreement
production is not yet ready to scale manufacturing
Risk Class Aircraft Weight Example Aircraft NAS Access RC -6 15,000 lbs. and up 2020+ RC-5 5,000-15,000 lbs. 2020+ RC-4 1,500-5,000 lbs. 2020+ RC-3 55-1,500 lbs. 2019-2020 Exemptions RC-2 6-55 lbs. Part 107 RC-1 1-6 lbs. Part 107
Analyzed 647 organizations with active pursuit and/or participation in UAS markets and assigned to categories based upon stated core competency
Data Processing: video, imagery and analysis RF/Comms: wireless, nav., detection, antennas, satcomms EO/IR: manufacture of all modalities Services: insurance, training, measurement, legal, field
support, engineering, test, consultants
Embedded Products: GPS, PCB, computers, data storage Electronics: MEMS, cabling, circuits, solar, avionics, IMU,
switches, converters, connectors, motion control
Components: bearings, power, batteries, fasteners, servos,
hydraulics, tooling, chutes, cases, ground support
Canon DSLR = 3-4
lens, gantry assembly Humidity, salinity, particulates are no- fly deal breakers Current small camera mounting, approx. $1300
Weight wreaks havoc on small UAS
equal 15-minutes of flight time on a 40-lb, fixed-wing UAV with 20- hour endurance Performance penalties are worse for VTOL UAVs. With maximum endurance of roughly 30 minutes Desired Commercial EO/IR Sensor Properties: 1. ITAR Free – completely commercially- available, worldwide 2. Dynamically Stabilized 3. Environmentally robust: day-night and weather-tolerant (to be determined) 4. Independently powered, discreet – not tied to or pulling from UAV power 5. Less than 1.5 lbs. for entire on-board system 6. Much lower power draw 7. Store onboard or stream imagery 8. Modular, hot-swappable payload(s) 9. 3-4” diameter gimbal
DJI Inspire T600 with thermal imager $12,000 The Xenmuse (DJI) thermal camera (FLIR) retails as a standalone for $6,900 FLIRview Pro SUAS starts at $2,000 Size: 2.48" × 1.75" x 1.75“ Weight: 3.25-4 oz AeroVironment’s i23 gimbal
at $30,000 CloudCap (UTC Aerospace Systems) TASE 150 Aftermarket for $8000 1.98 lbs – 4.5” diameter ITAR Restricted M1-D PTZ UAV Infrared Camera List price: $9,995 4.5” diameter > 2 lbs.
commercially-dedicated Risk Class 2-4 UAVs are derived from representative list pricing
the Risk Class-2 VTOL market, where barriers to design and manufacture are low, and new technologies are spiraled about every 24 months
Risk Class 2 – Representative 12-bladed VTOL intended for industrial imaging. $50,000 and up 20-lb. payload 10 minutes flight time Risk Class 3 – Yamaha’s R-Max purely commercial imaging derivative 200 lb. MTOW $170,000/copy Risk Class 4 – Aurora Flight Sciences Centaur OPV Based on DA-42 GA Aircraft
$250,000 for OPV
MTOW
These represent the best commercial price/performance/cost ratios
Electrical Government Oil & Gas Agriculture Forestry VAR VAR VAR VAR Woolpert, OH Sewall, ME Merrick, CO Terra RS, WA Aerial Imagery Aerial Imagery Aerial Imagery Aerial Imagery Drone Imagery Drone Imagery Drone Imagery Drone Imagery Wholly-owned fleets, light twins, single heavies, exquisite sensors Will providers choose to own or lease drone fleets as projects dictate? Ownership introduces elements of variable costs and unpredictability Specialized value-added resellers incorporate and layer metadata over imagery Established imagery and information users comprise a roughly $4 billion annual U.S. data market
9x9” imager in C182 Aeryon’s Sky Ranger
Commercial Drones can flatten this information flow, with lower investment and technical barriers to aircraft ownership and data capture, but not processing and delivery. Mapping and surveying will remain specialized skill sets.
Aggregate needs, determine asset utilization, preposition assets for rapid response
Corridors stretch for up to 800 miles. There are programmed collections for vegetation encroachment, subsidence and clearances. In some cases these datasets must be collected twice annually. There are emergency needs during brownouts or weather-related damage to the distribution infrastructure. An ISO can lose millions in days if it cannot locate and
purchase power from outside networks. Even with a crewed Helicopter and an
no guarantee they’ll be able to fly. A UAV could do the dangerous work in remote areas to isolate unexpected outages, damage and/or hot spots.
Map of major natural gas and oil pipelines in the U.S. Hazardous liquid lines are in red, gas transmission lines in blue Concentration in Texas, Oklahoma and Gulf states will help to define UAS CONOPS as well as industry and political partnerships This represents a sophisticated, moneyed end-user set. UAS Requirements are understood and waiting for expanded BLoS airspace access
Source: Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration
Fixed fleet operating costs, data driven maintenance and upgrades Improving existing designs for performance, SWaP, and human factors Take new concepts from design to manufacture under one roof Keep fleet updated with latest technology Let you focus on selling your service or platform
www.velocityfast.com info@velocityfast.com ron.stearns@velocityfast.com