NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 1
National Commercial Bank Investor Presentation 3Q 2018 Results NCB - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
National Commercial Bank Investor Presentation 3Q 2018 Results NCB - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
National Commercial Bank Investor Presentation 3Q 2018 Results NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 1 Disclaimer The National Commercial Bank (NCB) prepared this presentation on a proprietary basis as general background
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 2
Disclaimer
The National Commercial Bank (NCB) prepared this presentation on a proprietary basis as general background information about the activities of NCB. The information contained herein is given in summary form and for discussion purposes only. Some of the information that is relied upon by NCB is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but NCB (nor any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates or subsidiaries) does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information, and disclaims all liability or responsibility for any loss or damage caused by any act taken as a result of the information. This presentation including the information covered therein is not intended either to be relied upon or construed as an advertisement for, or an offer, solicitation or invitation to sell or issue, or to subscribe, underwrite or
- therwise acquire any securities in any jurisdiction. It should and must not be treated as giving tax, legal, investment or other specialist advice or a recommendation to
investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. Neither shall any part of this information nor the fact of its distribution form part of or be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision or commitment relating thereto, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the subject of this presentation. All statements included in this presentation other than statements of historical facts, including, without limitation, those regarding financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and objectives) are forward-looking statements and may thus include words like "anticipate", "believe", "intend", "estimate", "expect", "will", "may", "project", "plan" and such other words of similar meaning. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding present and future business strategies and the relevant future business environment. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation and NCB expressly disclaims to the fullest extent permitted by law any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Nothing in the foregoing is intended to or shall exclude any liability for, or remedy in respect of, fraudulent misrepresentation. Due to rounding, numbers and percentages presented throughout this presentation may not add up precisely to the totals provided. NCB is not under any obligation to update, complete, amend, revise or keep current the information contained herein, and any opinions expressed herein are subject to change materially without notice. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made by NCB, their respective advisors or any such persons’ directors, officers or employees, or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation, and any reliance you place on them will be at your sole risk. Investors must rely solely on their own examinations of the Offering and relevant documentation in making a determination as to whether to invest in the securities described. An investor should seek independent professional advice when deciding if an investment is appropriate. Securities that may be discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Investors are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of NCB and its subsidiaries, the nature of the securities and the merits or suitability of the securities or any transaction to any investor’s particular situation and objectives, including the possible risks and benefits of purchasing any securities. Any such determination should involve an assessment of the legal, tax, accounting, regulatory, financial, credit or other related aspects of the offering or the securities. Without prejudice to the foregoing, NCB, their advisors and any such persons’ directors, officers or employees expressly disclaim any liability whatsoever, in negligence or otherwise, for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from use of, or reliance on, this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 3
Investor Presentation
Contents
04 12 18 29 51 59 NCB – The leading KSA bank Grow with KSA, Grow with NCB Strategy Overview Financial Results Highlights Segmental Overview Additional Information 37 Financial Results Details
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 4
The leading KSA bank 3Q 2018 Results National Commercial Bank
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 5
NCB is the leading banking group in Saudi Arabia (1)
Established in 1953; IPO in 2014
NCB Snapshot (9M 2018)
Jeddah HQ
7mn Clients
13, 3,293 3
Employees* SAR AR
45 459bn
Assets SAR AR
32 325bn
Deposits SAR AR
>130 130bn
Market Cap
Who hole lesale le b branch h in B Bahr hrain Offices: Si Singapor
- re, Se
Seou
- ul, Sh
Shanghai Subs bsidi diary ry in T n Turk rkey: y: Türk rkiye ye Fina nans ns Katılım B Bank nkası Subs bsidi diary ry in K n KSA: NCB CB Ca Capi pital
*Includes Alahli Esnad (1,541 employees) - fully owned subsidiary engaged in recruitment services within KSA
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 6
NCB is the leading banking group in Saudi Arabia (2)
NCB has a strong market and financial position (FY 2017)
444 343 228 216 193 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 NCB Rajhi Samba Riyad BSF
As Assets (S (SARb ARbn)
249 234 139 122 118 50 100 150 200 250 300 NCB Rajhi Riyad BSF Samba
Financing ( (SARbn)
309 273 168 154 151 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 NCB Rajhi Samba Riyad BSF
De Deposits (S (SARb ARbn)
Mar arket P Pos
- sition
- n
by by KSA SA
Overall banking Assets #1 Corporate banking Financing #1 Retail banking Financing #2 Treasury Investments #1 Asset Management AUMs #1 Brokerage Value Traded #3
Finan ancial al P Pos
- sition
- n
KSA SA GC GCC
Assets #1 #4 Financing #1 #4 Deposits #1 #3 Investments #1 #1 Total Operating Income #1 #3 Net Income #1 #3
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
SR SR ( (bn bn) 8. 8.7 9.8 9.8 +4%
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
2014 2017
16 6 18 8 +4%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
2014 2017
221 221 249 49 +4%
100 200 300 400 500
2014 2017
7
NCB is the leading banking group in Saudi Arabia (3)
Key KPIs compared to Saudi Arabian banking peers (FY 2017)
CAGR
Industry Peers (ex NCB) Total o l operating ing inc income Ne Net i income me attr ttributa utable to to equit ity h y hold lders
206 06 234 4 +4%
100 200 300 400 500
2014 2017
133 33 139 39 +1%
100 200 300 400 500
2014 2017
117 122 22 +2%
100 200 300 400 500
2014 2017
124 24 118
- 2%
100 200 300 400 500
2014 2017
1,045 45 1,129 29 +3%
500 1,000 1,500 2,000
2014 2017
14 4 16 6 +5%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
2014 2017
8 8 8 8 +0%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
2014 2017
6 6 7 7 +4%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
2014 2017
14 4 8 8
- 17%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
2014 2017
60 60 68 8 +5%
20 40 60 80 100 120
2014 2017
6.8 6.8 9.1 9.1 +10%
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
2014 2017
4. 4.4 4 3.9 3.9
- 3%
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
2014 2017
3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 +0%
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
2014 2017
5.0 .0 5.0 .0 +0%
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
2014 2017
Fina inanc ncing ing a and nd ad advan ances, n , net
32 32.8 .8 35 35.2 .2 +2%
10 20 30 40 50 60
2014 2017
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 8
NCB has a well-diversified business model
Total operating income contribution
Capital Markets
NCB Capital Largest Asset Manager in KSA Largest Shariah-compliant Asset Manager worldwide Top 3 Broker 22 locations 287 Employees
SAR 16.1bn 88%
NCB
401 branches, 3,624 ATMs 153 Remittance centers 7,714 Employees 96% Saudization 100% CEO DRs
7.9bn
43%
4.5bn
25%
3.8bn
20%
RETAIL CORPORATE TREASURY
1.6bn
9%
636mn
3% International
Türkiye Finans Katılım Bankası (TFKB) 301 branches, 600 ATMs 3,751 employees
Notes: KSA based recruitment services firm Alahli Esnad (fully owned subsidiary) employs 1,541 persons Operating Income as of FY 2107
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 9
NCB has a strong financial position
Key KPIs
CAGR CAGR
LCR is based on 4Q average numbers LCR was not reported before 2015 Capital ratios are based on Pillar I RWA
377 77 43 435 449 449 443 443 444 444 +4%
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Total As Assets (S (SARb ARbn)
43 43 47 47 56 56 60 60 64 4 +11%
20 40 60 80 100 120
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Total tal E Equity ty (SARbn)
17.1% 17.2% 17.2% 19.2% 20.0% 15.1% 16.9% 17.7% 16.2% 14.7% 13.5% 15.3% 15.7%
10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0% 22.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Cap apital al R Rati atios ( (%)
TC ratio T1 ratio CET1 ratio
152.3% 172.5% 177.3% 62.4% 66.3% 78.1% 80.3% 80.7%
1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Liq iquid idit ity Ratio ios ( (%)
Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) Financing to customer deposit ratio
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 10
NCB has a strong performance track record
Key KPIs
CAGR CAGR
10.1 11.4 12.6 13.5 13.7 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.1 4.7 14.9 .9 16.2 6.2 17.5 5 18.6 .6 18.3 .3 +5%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Total tal O Operati rating In Income me (SARbn)
Net special commission income Fee and other income
7.9 .9 8. 8.7 9.1 9.1 9.3 9.3 9.8 9.8 +6%
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Net In Income me Attri ttribute ted T To Equity ty Ho Holders rs ( (SARbn)
2.99% 2.91% 3.04% 3.35% 3.48%
0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Net Net Spec ecial C Commission M Margin (%) %)
39.0% 39.0% 37.4% 37.7% 35.2%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Cost to to In Income me R Rati atio ( (%)
20.0% 20.1% 19.2% 17.8% 17.4% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.1% 2.2%
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ret eturns ( (%) %)
ROE common shares (%) ROA (%)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18
Share hare p pri rice p perf rforman rmance since IP IPO (SAR) (Ad (Adj p price)
11
NCB Group listed on Tadawul in November 2014
Ranked third in Tadawul, S&P Pan Arab and MSCI Indices with significant weightings
MSCI CI Sau audi A Arab rabia Index ex
Floa
- at Adj. M
Mcap (U p (USDb) Weigh ghting ng (%) %)
SABIC 24.72 18.10 Al Rajhi Bank 18.30 13.40 Nat ational al Co Commercial al Ban Bank 14 14.08 10 10.31 Saudi Telecom (STC) 8.99 6.58 Samba Financial Group 8.19 6.00 Rati atings
LT LT ST ST Outlook
- ok
Nat ational al Co Commercial al Ban Bank S&P BBB+ A-2 Stable Fitch A- F1 Stable Moody’s* A1 P-1 Stable Capital Intelligence A+ A1 Negative Government of Saudi di Arabia bia S&P A- Stable Fitch A+ Stable Moody’s A1 Stable Capital Intelligence A+ Negative
*Moody’s rating is unsolicited Source: MSCI, 28 September 2018 Source: NCB, Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Share hare parame arameters rs
30 30 Se Sep 20 2018
Closing Price (SAR) 45.05 52 week range (SAR) 31-49 Free Float 36% Shares issued (mn) 3,000 Tangible Book Value (SARmn) 55.315 Tangible BVPS 18.44 P/TBV Ratio 2.4x P/E Ratio (FY 2017 earnings) 14.26x Div Yield (FY 2017 dividends) 2.52% 3m Avg Daily Volume (shares) 1,010.525
Trading commenced 12/11/2014. Day 1 at SAR 33
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
National Commercial Bank Grow with KSA, Grow with NCB 3Q 2018 Results
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 13
Improving economic conditions
Domestic economic and fiscal indicators continue to improve Global macro headwinds persist
Source: Thomson Reuters, Ministry of Finance, SAMA, Tadawul, and NCB Economics Forecasts
6.4 6.4%
- 2.3
.3%
- 14.
4.8%
- 12.
2.9%
- 9.2
9.2%
- 3.5
3.5% 18. 8.1% 9.7 9.7%
- 8.
8.7%
- 3.7
3.7% 2.2 .2% 11.3%
- 25.0%
- 15.0%
- 5.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017P 2018F
Twin Ba Balances es ( (%) %)
Budget Balance / GDP Current Account Balance / GDP 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 Dec-13 Jul-14 Feb-15 Sep-15 Apr-16 Nov-16 Jun-17 Jan-18 Aug-18
Stock M k Market ket
Tadawul Index
718 725 610 529 490 503
36 43 60 39 39 35
754 4 768 8 67 670 56 568 8 52 529 53 538 8
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 8M 2018
Forei eign R Res eser erves es ( (USDbn)
SAMA Banks 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2 4 6 8 10 12 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Title Title
Oil M Market ket
Saudi Oil Production, LHS Arabian Light Spot Price, RHS
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 14
Saudi banking sector
Banking profitability likely to remain resilient on the back of rising rates, as well as ongoing and upcoming government stimuli in support of private sector and individuals
Source: Thomson Reuters, SAMA, Banks’ Annual Reports
0.99 0.99% 2.72 72% 0.30 0.30% 2.40 40%
(0) (0)
2013 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016 2017 2018
Inter erbank R k Rates es ( (%) %)
3M SAR SAIBOR 3M USD LIBOR
1,402 2 1,5 ,576 76 1,605 605 1,6 ,617 7 1,61 619 9 1,636 636 11.2% 12.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 1.0%
- 10.0%
- 5.0%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M 2018
Ba Bank D k Dep eposits ( (SARb ARbn)
Deposits Growth Rate (YoY%)
1,121 21 1,25 251 1,362 362 1,400 00 1,3 ,387 7 1,430 30 12.0% 11.6% 8.9% 2.9%
- 1.0%
0.9%
- 30.0%
- 25.0%
- 20.0%
- 15.0%
- 10.0%
- 5.0%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M 2018
Ba Bank L k Len ending (SARbn)
Bank credit, private and public sectors Growth Rate (YoY%) 9M 2018
42.9 44.9 69.4 69.4 75. 5.8 80.0 0.0 83.1 3.1 86.6 6.6 6.8% 9.1% 5.7% 3.8% 4.3% 4.7%
- 9.9%
- 7.9%
- 5.9%
- 3.9%
- 1.9%
0.1% 2.1% 4.1% 6.1% 8.1% 10.1% 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Total tal O Operati rating In Income me (SARbn)
Profits (1H) Profits (FY) Growth Rate (YoY%)
23.0 25.1 37.6 41.5 43.7 41.3 45.0 7.2% 10.2% 5.4%
- 5.4%
8.7% 9.5%
- 8.0%
- 6.0%
- 4.0%
- 2.0%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Profits (S (SARb ARbn)
Profits (1H) Profits Growth Rate (YoY%)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 15
Vision 2030
Saudi Arabia’s vision 2030 establishes a clear roadmap to accelerate economic growth
A T Thriv ivin ing g Eco Economy my An n Ambit bitio ious Nati tion A Vibr Vibrant So Societ ety Pilla llars Sel Selec ected ed G Goals & & K KPIs Obj Objectiv ives
Strengthen Islamic values & national identity Offer a fulfilling & healthy life Grow & diversify the economy Increase employment Enhance government effectiveness Enable social responsibility
Vis Visio ion R Realiz izatio ion P Progr grams
Enriching the Hajj and Umrah Experience National Transformation Program PIF Program National Industrial Development and Logistics Program Financial Sector Development Program Lifestyle Improvement Program National Companies Promotion Program Strategic Partnerships Program The Housing Program Privatization Program Saudi Character Enrichment Program Fiscal Balance Program
- Lower the rate of unemployment from
11.6% to 7%
- Increase the Public Investment Fund’s
assets to over SAR 7 trillion
- Increase the private sector’s
contribution from 40% to 65% of GDP
- Raise the share of non-oil exports in
non-oil GDP from 16% to 50%
- Increase the localization of oil and
gas sectors from 40% to 75%
- Increase SME contribution to GDP
from 20% to 35%
- Increase FDI from 3.8% to the
international level of 5.7% of GDP
- Raise non-oil government revenue
from SAR 163 billion to SAR 1 trillion
- Increase women’s participation in the
workforce from 22% to 30%
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 16
NCB is aligned with Government priorities
NCB is a key contributor to economic transformation and the Financial Sector Development Program (FSDP) objectives
NCB lev evera erages es competit itiv iveness a and d scale to d del eliver er value t e to i its stakeh eholders ers and support rt the n natio ional age genda da Vis Visio ion 203 030 0 Obj Objectiv ives Di Directl tly R Relate ted to to th the FS FSDP DP Enabl blin ing g fin inancia ial insti titu tuti tions to to support rt pri rivate e sec ector r gr growt wth Dev evel eloping an ad advan anced c cap apital al mark rket et Promotin ing g and d enabl blin ing f g fin inancia ial plannin ing
- Leading lender for KSA companies with a portfolio of
SAR 133bn; 15% Corporate market share (2Q 2018)
- A leading supporter of the development of the SME
market, working with over 115,000 SMEs across KSA
- Primary Dealer in local government securities
- SAR 51bn KSA Gov. Bond investment portfolio
- Trusted partner and lead advisor in Capital Markets
and M&A Activities (KSA Government, ARAMCO, SEDCO Capital REIT Fund, Ma’aden Phosphate Company, Ma’aden Aluminum Company, Taiba Holding Company)
- Largest Corporate Savings Advisor, with
approximately 50,000 individual participants
- Provided home financing for more than 32,000
Saudi families with a portfolio of SAR 22.5bn
- Driving inclusive financial services access in KSA
through extensive branch network as well as digitization and mobile penetration
- Expanding participation in the financial services
sector with 6 million KSA based customers, large POS network and full suite of Takaful protection and savings products
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 17
Projected economic upturn
Rising government expenditure is expected to offset a higher interest rate environment Ongoing expansion of non-oil private GDP should reflect positively on banking growth
Source: Ministry of Finance, Fiscal Balance Program, and NCB Economics Forecasts
60 60 44 44 142 2 317 7 443 443 57 576 678 8 754 4 2% 2% 6% 13% 17% 19% 21% 24%
- 10%
- 5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F
Gover ernmen ent D Deb ebt (SARbn)
Domestic Public Debt Debt to GDP Ratio (%)
312 370 264 134 208 205 218 228 664 740 714 696 722 825 888 915 97 976 6 1,110 978 8 830 30 930 930 1,030 030 1,106 06 1,143
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017P 2018F 2019F 2020F
Gover ernmen ent E Expen enditure ( e (SARbn)
Capex Current Expenditure (Opex)
1,545 45 1,72 ,729 1,773 ,773 1,78 ,787 1,79 ,791 1,821 21 1,89 899 1,991 991 10.9 0.9% 11.9% 2.5 .5% 0.8 0.8% 0.2 0.2% 1.7 .7% 4. 4.3% 4. 4.8%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0%
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F
Money ey Supply ( (SARbn)
Money Supply Growth Rate (YoY%)
1,121 21 1,25 251 1,362 362 1,40 400 1,387 87 1,420 20 1,48 485 1,56 564 12.0% 11.6% 8.9% 2.9%
- 1.0% 2.4% 4.6% 5.4%
- 30.0%
- 25.0%
- 20.0%
- 15.0%
- 10.0%
- 5.0%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F
Ba Bank L k Len ending (SARbn)
Bank credit, private and public sectors Growth Rate (YoY%)
917 7 967 967 999 999 1,000 000 1,012 2 1,022 22 1,04 046 6 1,088 88 7. 7.0% 5. 5.4% 3.4 3.4% 0.1 0.1% 1.2 .2% 1.0 .0% 2.4 .4% 4. 4.0% 2.7 .7% 3.7 3.7% 4. 4.1% 1.7 .7%
- 0.8
0.8% 2.4 .4% 3.0 3.0% 1.8 .8%
- 20.0%
- 15.0%
- 10.0%
- 5.0%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0%
(100) 400 900 1,400 1,900 2,400 2,900 3,400
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F
Re Real G GDP DP - Tot
- tal v
l vs. n non
- n-oil p
pri rivate ate sector (S (SARb ARbn)
Non-Oil Private GDP Growth Rate (YoY%) Non-Oil private sector Growth Rate (YoY%) Real GDP
1,035 913 446 334 436 637 699 696 121 131 169 186 256 289 326 368 1,156 1,044 44 61 616 6 51 519 692 692 92 926 6 1,025 25 1,064 064 106 06 97 97 50 50 41 41 52 52 73 73 73 73 66 66
- 70
- 50
- 30
- 10
10 30 50 70 90 110
500 1,000 1,500 2,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017P 2018F 2019F 2020F
Gover ernmen ent R Rev even enue e (SARbn)
Oil Revenues Non-oil Revenues Average Oil Price (USD)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
National Commercial Bank Strategy Overview 3Q 2018 Results
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 19
NCB’s strategic plan is all about execution
Our strategic objectives are supported by productivity enablers
Retail il B Bankin ing Co Corporat ate Ban Banking TF TFKB KB Trea reasury ry NCBC CBC Lean D Dis istribu ibutio ion Digit igitiz izatio ion
Expan and s shar are of
- f retai
ail p prof
- fits
Grow in in V Vis isio ion 2030 030 target eted ed sec ectors a and res esilien ent S SME’s Incre rease pro rofit c t contri tributi tion Diversi sify f fun unding, sust sustain i invest stme ment retur urns a s and cr cross ss-sel ell Gen ener erate A e AUM UMs and cater er t to GRE’s g growing n need eeds Expand reach w ch with l h lean b branche ches Anyw nywhere, anyt nytime, ins nstant nt b bank nking ng Strategic
- bjectives
Strategic enablers
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 20
NCB continues to deliver on its strategic plan
9M 2018 Highlights
Retai ail por
- rtfol
- lio i
- increas
ased by 7% m mainly nly on n growth i in n mortgage inc nclu luding ng s strong ng progress o ss on REDF acq cqui uisi sition
Retail il B Bankin ing
Ac Achie ieved d double d dig igit it growth in in Corpo porate f fin inancin ing, up p 11 11%
Co Corporat ate Ban Banking
Maint ntaine ned s strong ng li liquidity y and nd capitali lization le n levels
- ls. I
Improved branc nch a and nd emplo loye yee product
- uctivity. Incr
crease sed l loan and d deposi sit ma market sha share
TF TFKB KB
Active P e Primary Dea Dealer er in local gover ernmen ent s sec ecurities es YoY NO NOR gr growth dr driven by by do doubl ble di digi git increase in NSC NSCI
Trea reasury ry
Continue ued g growth h in N Net I Inco come me f from Y m YoY AUM M incr crease se, whi hile ma maintaining co cost st dis iscipl iplin ine
NCBC CBC
Optimizat ation
- n of
- f bran
anch n networ
- rk f
for
- r p
prod
- ductivity on
- n goi
- ing,
, 3 3 new forma mat b branche ches s ad added year ar t to d
- dat
ate at at 6 6 FTEs Es
Lean D Dis istribu ibutio ion
Sust ustain incr crease se i in act ctive digital use users, s, w with d h digital cha channels s ca captur uring 97 97% o
- f branch
ch finan ancial al t tran ansac action
- ns
Digit igitiz izatio ion
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 21
Lean distribution
We accelerated expansion of our distribution platform in Saudi Arabia and are streamlining branch formats to enhance productivity gains
Strategic ic Im Impe perativ ives
- Continue expanding our distribution reach to acquire customers and
grow market share
- Expand with smaller branches that are headcount efficient
- Optimize costs of existing branch network
- Equip branches with self-service/assisted-service technologies
- Enhance the in-branch sales and service model to improve
customer experience
39.0 39.0% 35 35.2 .2%
- 10%
1 1 1
2014 2017
Cost to to In Income me R Rati atio ( (%)
342 42 400 00 +17%
100 200 300 400 500 600 700
2014 2017
Numb mber r of B Bran ranche hes
8,021 21 7,9 7,991
- 0%
2014 2017
Ba Bank k Hea eadcount ( (NC NCB B em employees ees)
12. 2.1 11.0 .0
- 9%
5 10 15 20
2014 2017
FTE TE / / br branch
60 60% 71 71% +18%
1 1 1 1 1
2014 2017
Fro ront / t / Bac ack Office R Rat atio (%) %)
1.65 .65 2.02 .02 +22%
1 1 2 2 3 3 4
2014 2017
Operati rating In Income me / / FTE (S (SARm ARmn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
8% 4%
- 21%
2014 2017
Bran ranch F h Finan ancial al T Tran ransac acti tions (% of tot
- f total)
l)
13.0 30.7 2.8 19.4 15. 5.8 8 50.1 0.1 +47%
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
2014 2017
Digital tal Tran ransac acti tions ( (mn mn)
Online Mobile
10% 37 37% +54%
1 1 1
2014 2017
Digital tal Tran ransac acto tors rs (% of to total tal b bas ase)
22
Digitization
Migrate customers to digital through superior user experiences
Strategic F Focus cus Areas
- Mobile first - anytime, anywhere
- Consistently lead KSA banks in functionality and user-
experience
- Expand end-to-end digital sales capability
- Expand subscription base and incentivize usage
- Leverage data and analytics to drive sales effectiveness
CAGR CAGR CAGR
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
74 4 89 89 17. 7.4% 19.5 9.5% +6%
10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
2014 2017
Consumer er Financing & & Advances es, n net et (S (SARb ARbn)
Market Share (%)
Retail Banking
We are transforming retail distribution to increase share of profits
Strategic F Focus cus Areas
- Grow market share in consumer finance
- Grow deposits in key segments (Mass/ Affluent/ GRE)
- Expand and optimize branch network
- Drive digital migration
- Continue improving customer satisfaction
CAGR CAGR CAGR
23
5. 5.7 8. 8.1 +12%
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
2014 2017
Oper erating I Income ( e (SARbn)
1.6 .6 3.8 3.8 +35%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
2014 2017
Net Net Income ( e (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 24
Corporate Banking
Grow selectively and increase risk-adjusted returns
Strategic F Focus cus Areas
- Build a deal pipeline in V2030 target sectors
- Cross sell treasury and cash management
- Focus on portfolio quality and proactively manage risk
- Drive migration to digital channels
- Expand collection capacity and increase recoveries
CAGR CAGR CAGR
108 8 124 24 +5%
50 100 150 200
2014 2017
Corporate e Financing & & A Advances es, net et (S (SARb ARbn)
3.7 3.7 4. 4.2 +4%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
2014 2017
Total tal O Operati rating In Income me (SARbn)
3.2 3.2 2. 2.1
- 13%
1 2 3 4 5
2014 2017
Net Net Income ( e (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
35 35% 26 26%
- 10%
1 1
2014 2017
In Investme tments ts as as % % o
- f T
Total tal Assets ts
94 94% 91 91%
- 1%
1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
2014 2017
Sau audi G Govern rnme ment an t and In Investme ment Grad rade In Investme tments ts as as % % o
- f T
Total tal
25
Treasury
Broaden and deepen liquidity access while sustaining investment returns and cross-sell
Strategic F Focus cus Areas
- Execute international hubs strategy
- Expand wholesale funding program
- Maintain the high quality/liquidity and profitability of the
investment book
- Support the development of the sukuk capital markets
- Underpin Islamic product innovation
CAGR CAGR
HQLA is group-wide 4Q average LCR shows 4Q average
100 00 95 5 152. 2.3% 177. 77.3%
0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% 140.0% 160.0% 180.0% 200.0%20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
2015 2017
HQ HQLA an and L Liquidity ty C Coverag rage (S (SARb ARbn/%)
High quality liquid assets (HQLA) Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
10.1 0.1% 17. 7.6% +7.5ppt
2014 2017
NCBC S Share hare of S Sector r Net Net I Income e (%) %) ( (SARbn)
490 90 198 8 11.4% 11.8%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0%100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000
2014 2017
NCBC Tr Trade ded V d Value (SARbn) & M Mark arket S t Share hare (%) %)
NCBC Traded Value Market Share (%)
26
NCB Capital
KSA’s leading investment bank and asset manager; well positioned to capture future growth
Strategic F Focus cus Areas
- Grow recurring revenues by gathering more AUMs, launching
new products, growing Corporate Savings business
- Set the stage for future market upturn by growing brokerage
market share and continuing to invest in NCBC capabilities
- Build on market leadership, landmark IB mandates to support
GREs as well as local and foreign institutional clients
- Continue to focus on increasing efficiency, improving
productivity to bolster resilience
2,1 ,147 7 836 36 8,333 333 7,2 7,226
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000
2014 2017
Tad adaw awul T Trad raded Val alue (S (SARb ARbn) ) & T TAS ASI I Index
Tadawul Traded Value TASI Index
55 55 129 29 +134%
50 100 150 200 250
2014 2017
NC NCBC BC A Asset ets under er Managem emen ent ( (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
34 4 39 39 +5%
10 20 30 40 50 60 70
2014 2017
Total A Asse ssets s (TRYbn) n)
1,446 446 1,914 +10%
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
2014 2017
Total tal O Operati rating In Income me (T (TRY RYmn)
334 334 375 5 +4%
100 200 300 400 500 600 700
2014 2017
Net Net Income ( e (TRYmn)
2.9 .9% 3.2 3.2% +3%
2014 2017
TFKB C Contri ributi tion t to NC NCB Net B Net I Income e (%) %)
27
Türkiye Finans Katılım Bankası
We are executing a transformation program to grow TFKB’s net income
Strategic F Focus cus Areas s
- Resume branch expansion and expand digital channels to
drive customer acquisition
- Strengthen underwriting and improve collections
- Increase automation and drive capacity optimization
- Instill NCB’s principles (Customer excellence, robust
governance, best-in-class technology)
CAGR CAGR CAGR CAGR
Note: Figures according to BRSA accounting standards
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
Grew Corporate loan portfolio by 11%
28
Three Strategic Priorities for 2018
NCB’s strategy continues to be all about execution
Grow Residential Finance Current Account and Capital Base Focus Position Corporate Banking for growth
- Position NCB as the preferred funding partner
- Leverage National housing initiatives
- Leverage branch expansion for customer acquisition
- Drive focus on current account growth to maintain funding
advantage
- Sustain capital base to support credit growth
- Win mandates in vision 2030 targeted sectors
- Resume growth in SMEs by targeting resilient sectors
- Optimize operating model to improve platform productivity
- Reduce cost of credit through proactive remedial
management and recoveries 2. 3. 1.
9M M 201 018 Updat ate
Grew mortgage portfolio by 13% Grew Current Accounts by 9%
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
National Commercial Bank Financial Results Highlights 3Q 2018 Results
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 30
Key messages
9M 2018 Results
- 3% increase in total assets
- Strong financing growth of 8%
- 2% investments growth
- 5% growth in customers’ deposits
- Deposit mix improved 2% towards CASA (79%)
- 10.7% growth of net income
- 3% NSCI growth
- Fee and other income stable
- 4% operating expenses increase
- Impairments improved by 36%
- CoR improved to 48bps
- Group NPL ratio at 1.8% NPL coverage at 154%
- Capital position: CET1 of 15.9% and T1 ratio of 17.8%
- Strong liquidity with LTD ratio of 82%,
- Average 3Q 2018 LCR of 184.4%
- Leverage Ratio of 12.9% at 3Q 2018
Fina nanc ncing ng (SAR ARbn) Deposi sits ( s (SAR ARbn) Net I t Inc ncome Attr ttribute ted to to Equity ty Holders Movement ( t (SAR ARbn) NPL PL & & Co CoR (%) %) CE CET1 1 and L LTD D (%) 249 49 268 68 +8%
100 200 300 400 500 6004Q 17 3Q 18 309 309 32 325 +5%
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 8004Q 17 3Q 18 1.9 .9% 1.8 .8% 0.7 0.7% 0.5 0.5%
- 0.1%
4Q 17 3Q 18
Group NPL ratio Group CoR YTD
15.7 .7% 15.9 .9% 81 81% 82 82%
20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%4Q 17 3Q 18
CET1 LTD
7.2 .25 0.34 0.34 (0.00 0.00) (0.1 0.18) 0.5 0.58 0.04 0.04 8.02 .02
1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
9M 17 NSCI Non-NSCI Expenses Impair- ments Other 9M 18
Balance Sheet Income Statement Asset Quality, Capital & Liquidity
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 31
Income Statement
Pro rofitab tability ty T Tre rends
SAR (mn) 3Q Q 20 2018 2Q Q 20 2018 3Q Q 20 2017 YoY % c % change nge 9M M 20 2018 9M M 20 2017 YoY % c % change nge Net special commission income 3,637 3,573 3,453 +5% 10,629 10,286 +3% Fee and other income 1,094 1,087 1,038 +5% 3,542 3,544
- 0%
Total o
- pera
rating ng inc ncome 4,73 ,732 4,661 661 4, 4,49 492 +5% 14,1 ,171 71 13, 3,830 30 +2% Operating expenses (1,606) (1,692) (1,587) +1% (4,972) (4,792) +4% Total impairment charge (616) (340) (709)
- 13%
(1,034) (1,611)
- 36%
Inc Income from o
- pera
rations ns, ne net 2, 2,510 2, 2,628 28 2, 2,195 +14% 8, 8,166 7,4 7,426 +10% Net inc ncome a attri ribu buted t d to equ quity h y holde ders rs 2,45 454 2,5 ,579 79 2, 2,126 26 +15% 8, 8,020 7,2 7,246 +11%
Higher 9M 2018 net income derived from higher operating income and lower impairments, partly offset by higher operating expenses
2,647 2,352 2,063 2,431 2,908 2,496 2,388
55 66 63 125 78 83 65
2,70 ,703 2, 2,417 2, 2,126 26 2,556 556 2,987 87 2,5 ,579 79 2,45 454 +15%
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
Net In Income me Attri ttribute ted to to Equity Ho Holders rs ( (SARmn mn)
International net income Domestic net income
4,472 4,085 4,086 4,108 4,407 4,234 4,331 388 393 406 407 372 427 401 4, 4,860 4, 4,47 478 4, 4,49 492 4, 4,516 4,779 ,779 4,661 661 4,73 ,732 +5%
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
Total tal O Operati rating In Income me (SARmn mn)
International Operating Income Domestic Operating Income
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
Domestic Deposits 94% International Deposits 6%
Custo tome mers rs' ' Deposits ts M Mix ( x (SARbn)
309 32 325
100 200 300 400 5004Q 17 3Q 18
32
Balance Sheet
Ba Balance e Sheet eet T Tren ends
SAR (mn) 3Q Q 20 2018 2Q Q 20 2018 3Q Q 20 2017 YoY % c % change nge FY Y 20 2017 YTD % c % change nge Investments, net 116,504 114,978 116,900
- 0%
114,578 +2% Financing and Advances, net 268,245 266,043 256,852 +4% 249,234 +8% Total al as assets 459 59,080 80 45 454, 4,374 446 446,191 +3% 443 443,866 +3% Due to banks and other financial institutions 48,112 50,024 57,833
- 17%
48,558
- 1%
Customers' deposits 325,461 317,653 302,593 +8% 308,942 +5% Debt securities issued 8,636 8,754 10,166
- 15%
10,250
- 16%
Total l lia iabil ilit itie ies 395 395,805 05 38 389, 9,34 342 383 83,456 56 +3% 37 379, 9,590 90 +4% Equ quity y attri ribu butabl ble to s share reholde ders rs 55, 55,50 504 57,0 7,007 54, 4,43 433 +2% 56, 6,04 041
- 1%
Total e equity 63,2 ,274 74 65 65,032 032 62,73 ,736 +1% 64,2 ,276 76
- 2%
3% increase in total assets; excluding 38% Turkish Lira depreciation the growth would have been 8%
130 132 131 120 123 131 133 88 90 91 93 93 95 99
9 8 8 10 12 16 16
27 27 27 26 25 24 20 254 54 257 57 257 57 249 49 253 53 266 66 268 68 +8%
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
Financing & A Advances es, n net et (SARbn)
Corporate Consumer and credit card Others International
236 248 232 238 237 251 258 66 55 59 58 61 53 55
12 12 12 13 11 13 12
31 314 31 315 303 303 309 309 309 309 31 318 32 325 +5%
100 200 300 400 500
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
Custo tome mers rs' D ' Deposits (SARbn)
CASA Time Others
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
Retail 51% Corporate 19% Treasury 18% Capital Market 3% International 9%
Total tal O Operati rating In Income me (SARbn)
Retail 47% Corporate 18% Treasury 23% Capital Market 4% International 8%
Total tal O Operati rating In Income me (SARbn)
33
Segmental Information (1/3)
9M 2018 Total operating income growth mainly from retail and treasury.
13, 3,830 30 62 620 (549 49) 161 61 97 97 13 14,171
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
9M 17 Retail Corporate Treasury Capital Market International 9M 18
9M M 18 18 Total tal O Operati rating In Income me M Moveme ment ( t (SARmn mn)
4, 4,49 492 45 452 (95 95) (112) 1 (5) 4,73 ,732
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
3Q 17 Retail Corporate Treasury Capital Market International 3Q 18
3Q Q 18 18 Total tal Operati rating In Income me M Moveme ment ( t (SARmn mn)
13.8 14. 4.2
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 209M 17 9M 18
4.5 4. 4.7
1 2 3 4 53Q 17 3Q 18
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
Retail 55% Corporate 7% Treasury 32% Capital Market 3% International 3%
Net In Income me Attri ttribute ted to to Equity Ho Holders rs ( (SARbn)
2.1 2.5
1 1 2 2 3 3 43Q 17 3Q 18
Retail 42% Corporate 16% Treasury 35% Capital Market 4% International 3%
Net In Income me Attri ttribute ted to to Equity Ho Holders rs ( (SARbn)
34
Segmental Information (2/3)
9M 2018 Net income growth driven by retail.
7,2 7,246 671 71 (126 26) 104 04 82 82 43 43 8,02 020
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000
9M 17 Retail Corporate Treasury Capital Market International 9M 18
9M M 18 18 Net In Income me Attri ttribute ted to to Equity Ho Holders rs Movem emen ent ( (SARmn)
2, 2,126 26 48 486 (74 74) (80 80) (7) 2 2,45 454 4
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
3Q 17 Retail Corporate Treasury Capital Market International 3Q 18
3Q Q 18 18 Net In Income me A Att ttri ribute ted to to E Equity ty Ho Holders rs Movem emen ent ( (SARmn)
7.2 8.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 109M 17 9M 18
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 35
Segmental Information (3/3)
9M 2018 financing growth mainly driven by Corporate and Retail segments
113 118 124 128 143 143 163 158 160
38 34 31
444 444 45 454 45 459 +3%
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Total As Assets (S (SARb ARbn)
Retail Corporate Treasury Capital Market International
93 95 99 120 131 133
26 24 20
249 49 266 66 268 68 +8%
100 200 300 400 500
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Financing a and A Advances es, net et ( (SARbn)
Consumer and credit card Corporate International Other
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- YTD 2018 Total assets increased by 3% due to higher Corporate
(+11%) and Retail (+7%) financing and investments (+2%).
- Customers’ deposits increased by 5% from the Retail segment.
- Deposits mix improved with CASA balances at 79% of total deposits
at 3Q 2018 compared with 77% at 4Q 2017.
237 242 247 42 47 52
8 9 8 22 20 18
309 309 31 318 32 325 +5%
100 200 300 400 500 600
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Custo tome mers rs' D ' Deposits (SARbn)
Retail Corporate Treasury International
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 36
Outlook
Improved macroeconomic environment expected to drive growth
- Average Arabian light oil p
pri rice e
- f U
USD D 73 73 per barrel
- A total of four US Fed rate hikes
- f 25bps are expected in 2018
(Mar, Jun, Sep Sep, D Dec ec)
- Government’s exp
xpansio ionary budget et dri rives es c corp rpora rate e lendin ding a g activ ivit ity going forward
- Reside
identia ial fin inancin ing g dr driv ives consumer er len ending growth
- Budge
dget de defic icit it is is e exp xpected d to narro rrow to SAR 104bn
- Real GDP
DP g growth th is estimated to reach 2. 2.4%
- VAT and increased tariffs on
utilities increases in inflatio ion to around 2. 2.7%
201 018 8 Macro croeco conomic c Outloo
- ok
Financing growth
- 2%
+7.6% +5% t % to 8% Upper end of the range
FY Y 201 017 Rep eported ed 9M M 201 018 Rep eported ed FY Y 201 018 Gui uidance ce FY Y 2018 8 Outlook
- k
Tier 1 CAR 17.7% 17.8% 16 16% t % to 18 18% Upper end of the range Group Cost of Risk 0.7% 0.5% 0. 0.6% t % to 0. 0.8% Lower end of the range Balance Sheet Profitability Capitalization and Asset Quality NSCI margin 3.48% 3.60% +5 to
- 15
15bp bps Upper end of the range Cost to income 35.2% 35.1% Below low 35% Similar level to YTD
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
National Commercial Bank Financial Results Details 3Q 2018 Results
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 38
Operating Income Highlights
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- 9M 2018 total operating income increased by 2% YoY from 3%
higher net special commission income, while fee and other income remained stable YoY.
- International operating income increased by 1% despite 20%
depreciation of the average Turkish Lira rate as compared with 9M 2017.
- 3Q 2018 total operating income increased 5% YoY from a 5%
improvement in both net special commission income and fee and
- ther income.
- Excluding the International business, 3Q 2018 total operating
income was 6% higher YoY.
Higher 9M 2018 total operating income driven by net special commission income growth
10.29 10.63 3.54 3.54 13.8 3.83 14.17 +2%
5 10 15 20 25
9M 17 9M 18
13.8 3.83 0.39 0.39 (0.06 0.06) 0.01 0.01 14.17 12.97 1.20 12.64 1.19
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
9M 17 NSCI Fee and other income International NOR 9M 18
9M M 18 18 Total tal O Operati rating In Income me M Moveme ment ( t (SARbn)
Domestic International Domestic International
3.45 3.57 3.64 1.04 1.09 1.09 4. 4.49 49 4.66 .66 4. 4.73 +5%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
3Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Total tal O Operati rating In Income me (SARbn)
Fee and other income Net special commission income
4. 4.49 49 0.2 0.22 0.03 0.03 (0.01 0.01) 4. 4.73 4.33 0.40 4.09 0.41
1 1 2 2 3 3
3Q 17 NSCI Fee and other income International NOR 3Q 18
3Q Q 18 18 Total tal Operati rating In Income me M Moveme ment ( t (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 39
Net special commission income trends
9M 2018 net special commission income growth of 3%.
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- 9M 2018 NSCI improved by 3% on higher SCI
(+5%), despite 13% increase in cost of fund due mainly to higher SAIBOR/LIBOR, while 3Q 2018 NSCI improved by 4%.
- The 3Q 2018 net special commission margin
increased by 12bps YoY to 3.60% due to improved yields (+36bps).
- Funding cost for 3Q 2018 was 32% higher YoY
mainly due to higher SAIBOR/LIBOR rates. Net Special al C Commi mmission In Income me
SAR (mn)
3Q Q 201 018 2Q Q 201 018 3Q Q 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange 9M M 201 018 9M M 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange Special commission income 4,700 4,442 4,264 +10% 13,370 12,690 +5% Special commission expense (1,063) (869) (810) +31% (2,740) (2,404) +14% Net s t special c commission inc ncome 3, 3,637 637 3, 3,573 3, 3,453 +5% 10, 0,62 629 10,2 ,286 +3% Commission yield (%) 4.65% 4.50% 4.29% +8% 4.53% 4.32% +5% Funding cost (%) 1.14% 0.95% 0.87% +32% 1.00% 0.88% +13% Net t special commission m margin ( n (%) 3.60 3.60% 3.62 3.62% 3.4 3.48% +4% 3.60 3.60% 3.5 3.50% +3%
1.15% 1.30% 1.33% 1.69% 2.31% 2.34% 2.40% 1.74% 1.78% 1.79% 1.90% 2.27% 2.59% 2.72%
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
SAI AIBOR a R and LIBOR Ra R Rates (% (%)
3M USD LIBOR (%) 3M SAR SAIBOR (%)
4.08% 3.94% 3.92% 3.94% 4.06% 4.10% 4.19% 0.61% 0.49% 0.52% 0.51% 0.51% 0.58% 0.71% 7.55% 7.81% 8.19% 8.54% 8.47% 9.30% 11.07% 4.27% 4.11% 4.43% 5.94% 5.01% 5.10% 6.40%
(0)
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
Commission Y Yiel eld a and F Funding C Cost ( (%) %)
Domestic Yields Domestic COF International Yields International COF
3.48% 3.43% 3.46% 3.56% 3.53% 3.52% 3.52% 3.48% 3.41% 3.59% 3.62% 3.60% 3.55% 3.95% 4.01% 2.89% 3.69% 4.44% 4.66%
0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00% 4.50% 5.00%1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
Net Net Spec ecial C Commission M Margin (%) %)
Domestic Group International
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
2,385 2,464 890 920 638 466 (369) (308) 3,544 44 3,542 42
- 0%
(500) 500 1,500 2,500 3,500 4,500 5,500 6,500
9M 17 9M 18
793 809 802 281 289 369 97 86 22 (133) (96) (100) 1,038 038 1,087 87 1,094 094 +5%
(200) 300 800 1,300 1,800 2,300
3Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Fee ee and Other er I Income ( e (SARmn)
Other operating income (expenses), net Investment-related income Exchange Income, net Fee income from banking services, net
40
Fee and other income trends
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- Fee and other income for 9M 2018 was stable YoY as 3% growth in
fee and FX income was offset by lower investment income.
- 3Q 2018 fee and other income increased 5% YoY due to 1% growth
in fees from banking services, 25% lower other operating expenses which were offset by lower investment-related income (-77%).
- The higher fees from banking services in 3Q 2018 were mainly
driven by higher fees from investment management services and financing and lending, partly offset by lower trade finance fees and shares brokerage.
Higher 9M 2018 fee and exchange income, offset by lower Investment income
Fee Income
SAR (mn)
3Q Q 201 018 2Q Q 201 018 3Q Q 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange 9M M 201 018 9M M 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange Finance and lending 400 358 373 +7% 1,115 1,128
- 1%
Trade finance 109 121 131
- 17%
368 400
- 8%
Investment management services 129 133 117 +10% 426 311 +37% Shares brokerage 24 39 32
- 26%
122 133
- 8%
Credit cards 35 50 38
- 9%
122 112 +9% Others 106 109 101 +4% 310 300 +4% Fee inc ncome from bank nking ng services, ne net 802 02 809 09 793 93 +1% 2,4 ,464 2,3 ,385 +3%
2,385 85 104 04 (13) 10 (33 33) 11 2,46 464 2,297
167
2,171
214
(100) 400 900 1,400 1,900 2,400 2,900
9M 17 Brokerage & invmnt. Mngmnt. Finance & lending Credit cards Trade finance Other 9M 18
9M M 18 18 Driver ers of F Fee ee Income f e from Ba Banki king Ser ervices es Movem emen ent ( (SARmn)
Domestic International
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
2,578 2,662
568 572 501 464
1,144 1,274 4,79 ,792 4,9 ,972 72 +4%
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000
9M 17 9M 18
834 899 844
197 196 183 153 155 153
404 443 426 1,587 587 1,692 692 1,606 606 +1%
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
3Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Oper erating E Expen enses es (SARmn)
Other G&A Depreciation & amortization Rent & premises Employee-related
41
Expense highlights
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- 9M 2018 expenses grew by 4% YoY, while 3Q 2018 operating
expenses increased by 1% YoY.
- The cost to income ratio for 9M 2018 was 35.08%, higher by 43bps
compared to 9M 2017.
- The cost base incremental was relatively broad-based, reflecting
growing business, cost of living allowances to employees announced this year and the impact of VAT. These were partly
- ffset by the continued strides made in digitization and productivity
initiatives, and lower depreciation.
34.7% 34.3% 34.6% 35.2% 35.0% 35.7% 35.1% 32.9% 32.3% 32.7% 33.3% 33.1% 34.1% 33.9%
1Q 17 1H 17 9M 17 FY 17 1Q 18 1H 18 9M 18
Cost to to In Income me R Rati atio ( (YTD % %)
Group (%) Excluding International (%)
4,79 ,792 84 84 4 (38 38) 130 30 4,9 ,972 72 4,399 573 4,139 653
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
9M 17 Employee-related Rent & premises Depreciation & amortization Other G&A 9M 18
9M M 18 18 Oper erating E Expen enses es Movem emen ent D Driver ers ( (SARmn)
Domestic International
VAT, cost of living allowances and growth plans largely contributed to higher expenses in 9M 2018
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
Financing and Advances, net 59% Investments, net 25% Cash, bank and SAMA balances 12% Other assets, net 4%
Total As Assets Mi Mix (S (SARb ARbn)
Retail 27% Corporate 31% Treasury 35% Capital Market 0% International 7%
Total Asset ets by S Seg egmen ent ( (SARbn)
42
Asset highlights and composition
3% growth in balance sheet as a result of increase in financing
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- Total assets increased 3% due to increase in financing.
- 8% Financing increase driven by 11% increase in domestic
financing, despite 22% decline in international financing impacted by 38% Turkish Lira depreciation.
- Overall financing trends were reflective of early signs of economic
recovery but muted by Turkish Lira depreciation.
- Investments increased by 2% as portfolio re-balancing and
participation in Saudi Government debt issuance continued.
249 266 268 115 115 117 60 54 55 444 444 45 454 45 459 +3%
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Total As Assets (S (SARb ARbn)
Financing and Advances, net Investments, net Cash, bank and SAMA balances Other assets, net
444 45 459
100 200 300 400 500 6004Q 17 3Q 18
444 45 459
100 200 300 400 500 6004Q 17 3Q 18
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
Consumer financing & credit cards 35% Commerce 13% Manufacturing 12% Services 9% Utilities & health 8% Building & construction 7% Others, across 6 sectors 16%
Financing a and A Advances es, gross b by Economic Sec ector (S (SARb ARbn)
43
Financing and advances
Financing growth driven by Corporate and Consumer segments
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- Domestically, financing grew for the Corporate Segment (+11%) and
Consumer segment (+7%) from 4Q 2017.
- Growth in the Corporate segment was driven across all economic
sectors apart from Commerce.
- International financing declined 22% in 3Q 2018 due principally to
the weakened Turkish Lira.
93 95 99 120 131 133
26 24 20 10 16 16
249 49 266 66 268 68 +8%
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Financing a and A Advances es, net et ( (SARbn)
Consumer and credit card Corporate International Other
256 276 76
50 100 150 200 250 300 3504Q 17 3Q 18
256 56 7.5 5 4. 4.8 (7. 7.7) 4.0 .0 3.3 3.3 1.6 .6 6.5 6.5 276 76
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
4Q 17 Building & construction Banking & financial Services Consumer financing & credit cards Transport & comms Commerce Other 3Q 18
Movem emen ent Financing, g gross b by E Economic Sec ector (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 44
Financing and advances credit quality (1/2)
Rise in Corporate NPLs and impairment allowances partly offset by lower International
2.12 2.34 2.59 2.84 2.80 2.94 3.51 0.50 0.49 0.56 0.53 0.52 0.53 0.51 1.48 1.50 1.52 1.40 1.40 1.26 1.03 4. 4.10 4.33 .33 4.67 .67 4. 4.77 4. 4.72 4. 4.75 5.06 .06 +6%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
NPL (S (SARb ARbn)
Corporate Consumer and credit card International Others
3.68 3.92 3.96 4.15 4.79 4.87 5.21 1.16 1.24 1.32 1.34 1.50 1.48 1.53 1.27 1.29 1.33 1.26 1.38 1.21 0.96 6.1 6.15 6.5 6.50 6.65 6.65 6.8 6.80 7. 7.77 77 7.66 .66 7. 7.79 79 +15%
2 4 6 8 10 12 14
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
Imp Impai airme rment A Allowan ances (SARbn)
Corporate Consumer and credit card International Others
0.26 0.25 0.47 0.14 (0.04) 0.12 0.49 0.08 0.17 0.17 0.03 (0.04) 0.12 0.03 0.08 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.11 0.14 0.4 0.42 0.4 0.48 0.7 0.71 0.2 0.26 (0.01 0.01) 0.34 0.34 0.61 0.61
- 14%
(0) 1 1 1 1
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
Imp Impai airme rment C Charg harge (SARbn)
Corporate Consumer and credit card International Others
4. 4.77 0.2 0.29 0.1 0.15 (0.05 0.05) 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 (0.08 0.08) (0.05 0.05) 5.06 .06
1 1 1 1
4Q 17 Building & construction Utilities & health Manufacturing Transport & comms Services Consumer financing & credit cards Other 3Q 18
Movem emen ent NP NPLs by Economic S Sec ector ( (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 45
Financing and advances credit quality (2/2)
Stable NPL ratio and higher NPL coverage
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- NPL ratio declined in 3Q 2018 vs 4Q 2017 driven by International
- NPL coverage was higher at 154% as at 3Q 2018 from write-offs as
well as higher provision stock as a result of IFRS9 adoption adjustments.
1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 5.3% 5.4% 5.4% 5.1% 5.3% 5.1% 4.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8%
(0)
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
NP NPL Ratios ( (%) %)
Domestic International Group NPL ratio
186% 184% 169% 164% 192% 185% 170% 86% 86% 87% 90% 99% 96% 93% 150% 150% 142% 143% 165% 161% 154%
1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
NP NPL C Cover erage e Ratios ( (%) %)
Domestic International Group NPL coverage ratio
0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7%
- 0.1%
0.1% 0.3% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5%
(0)
1Q 17 1H 17 9M 17 FY 17 1Q 18 1H 18 9M 18
CoR Ra R Ratios (Y (YTD % D %)
Domestic International Group CoR ratio
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 46
Domestic financing and advances credit quality
Corporate NPLs increased while Consumer NPLs were stable
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- The Corporate NPL ratio and cost of risk increased and NPL
coverage dropped in 3Q 2018, in part due to higher NPL inflows during the quarter. The 9M 2018 impact was limited by IFRS9 adjustments and write-offs during the period.
- Consumer and credit card risk metrics remained healthy during the
period.
1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
(0) (0)
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
NP NPL Ratios ( (%) %)
Corporate Consumer and credit card
174% 168% 153% 148% 171% 166% 149% 232% 254% 237% 236% 290% 279% 301%
1 2 2 3 3 4
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
NP NPL C Cover erage e Ratios ( (%) %)
Corporate Consumer and credit card
0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9%
- 0.1%
0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5%
- 0.2%
0.2% 0.1%
(0) (0)
1Q 17 1H 17 9M 17 FY 17 1Q 18 1H 18 9M 18
CoR Ra R Ratios (Y (YTD % D %)
Corporate Consumer and credit card
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
Saudi Government securities 44% Other investment grade 47% Non-investment grade 3% Unrated 6%
Inves estmen ents b by C Cred edit G Grade ( e (SARbn)
115 117
20 40 60 80 100 120 1404Q 17 3Q 18
Saudi Arabia 60% GCC and Middle East 17% Europe 1% Turkey 2% Other countries 20%
Inves estmen ents b by G Geo eography (SARbn)
Investments trends and composition
Investments increased 2% and quality remains strong; ~91% of the investment portfolio remains Saudi Government and investment grade
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- The investment portfolio is built on high quality securities with ~91%
being Saudi governments and investment grade.
- Since the resumption of KSA government debt issuance, NCB has
actively participated in issues of longer term debt securities.
- The portfolio has been re-balancing towards floating rate securities
in light of the rising interest-rate environment.
47
67 63 64 43 46 46
5 5 6
115 115 117 +2%
50 100 150 200
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Inves estmen ents ( (SARbn)
Equity instruments, Mutual Funds, Hedge Funds and Others Floating rate securities Fixed rate securities
115 117
20 40 60 80 100 120 1404Q 17 3Q 18
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
Due to banks and other financial institutions 12% Customers' deposits 82% Debt securities issued 2% Other liabilities 4%
Total Lia iabil ilit itie ies M Mix ix ( (SARbn)
48
Liabilities trends and composition
Higher total liability base and a improving deposit mix towards CASA balances (79%)
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- 4% Increase in total liabilities; excluding Turkish Lira depreciation,
the growth would have been 13%.
- Customers’ deposits are the main source of funding and rose by 4%
in 3Q 2018.
- CASA balances account for 79% of customers’ deposits compared
to 77% at 4Q 2017.
- Domestically, CASA balances grew by 8.5% and time deposits
declined by 5% from 4Q 2017.
309 318 325 49 50 48
10 9 9
380 80 389 89 396 396 +4%
100 200 300 400 500 600 700
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Total L Lia iabil ilit itie ies (SARbn)
Customers' deposits Due to banks and other financial institutions Debt securities issued Other liabilities
380 396 396
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 5004Q 17 3Q 18
231 244 251
7 7 7
43 40 44
15 13 11 13 13 12
309 309 31 318 32 325 +5%
100 200 300 400 500 600
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Custo tome mers rs' D ' Deposits (SARbn)
CASA - Domestic CASA - International Time - Domestic Time - International Others
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 49
Liquidity
NCB maintained a strong liquidity profile
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- As at 3Q 2018, the financing to customers’ deposit ratio was 82.4%
and comfortably below the regulatory guidelines.
- HQLA balances rose by 3% compared to 4Q 2017.
- The average quarterly LCR improved to 184.4% in 3Q 2018 from
177.3% in 4Q 2017.
- Basel III leverage ratio was stable at 12.9% as at 3Q 2018 relative to
13.0% at 4Q 2017.
Quarterly averages
102 02 96 96 91 91 95 95 97 97 99 99 98 98 163.8% 166.1% 172.5% 177.3% 198.6% 211.9% 184.4%
0.0% 50.0% 100.0% 150.0% 200.0% 250.0% 50 100 150 200
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
HQLA a and Aver erage L e Liquidity Cover erage ( e (SARbn/%) %)
High quality liquid assets (HQLA) Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR)
81.0% 81.6% 84.9% 80.7% 81.8% 83.8% 82.4%
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
Finan ancing to to Custo tome mer D r Deposit Rat atio ( (%)
12.4% 12.2% 12.7% 13.0% 13.5% 13.1% 12.9%
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
Bas asel III l III leverag rage Rati atio ( (%)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
72 72 72
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1004Q 17 3Q 18
Common equity tier 1 capital (CET1) 79% Additional tier 1 capital (AT1) 10% Tier 2 capital (T2) 11%
Total tal C Cap apital tal C Comp mpositi tion ( (SARbn)
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- Capitalization remained strong and comfortably above the regulatory
minima with CET1 at 15.9% and T1 at 17.8%
- Pillar I risk weighted assets remained stable in YTD 2018 despite
growth in financing, which was offset by lower charge on residential real estate financing as recently allowed by SAMA, and Turkish Lira depreciation.
- Common equity Tier 1 capital (CET1) is impacted by one time
IFRS9 adjustment adoption.
50
Capital
Capital position comfortably above regulatory minima
Capital ratios are based on Pillar I RWA
57 58 57 7 7 7
8 8 8
72 72 73 73 72 72 +0%
20 40 60 80 100 120 140
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Cap apital alisati ation ( (SARbn)
Tier 2 capital (T2) Additional tier 1 capital (AT1) Common equity tier 1 capital (CET1)
318 315 314 34 35 35
9 12 12
361 361 361 361 361 361
- 0%
100 200 300 400 500 600 700
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Pillar I Ri Risk We Weighted As Assets (S (SARb ARbn)
Credit risk Operational risk Market risk
14.6% 14.1% 14.5% 15.7% 16.2% 16.2% 15.9% 16.1% 16.0% 16.4% 17.7% 18.2% 18.1% 17.8% 18. 8.2% 18. 8.2% 18. 8.5% 20.0 0.0% 20.4 0.4% 20.3 0.3% 20.0 0.0%
1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 18 3Q 18
Cap apital al R Rati atios ( (%)
CET1 ratio T1 ratio TC ratio
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
National Commercial Bank Segmental Review 3Q 2018 Results
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 52
NCB Bank (standalone)
Strong 9% 9M 2018 net income growth resulting from operating income growth and lower impairment charge
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- 9M 2018 net income rose 9% YoY driven principally by 2% operating income growth
and a 49% improvement in the impairment charge, while operating expenses increased by 6% mainly due to VAT, Cost of living allowances and business growth.
- NSCI for 9M 2018 improved by 4% YoY due to increase in average earning assets and
better margins from higher CAs growth.
- 3Q 2018 net income rose 17% YoY driven principally by 6% operating income growth
and a 25% improvement in the impairment charge. Summary mmary Finan ancial al P Perf rforman rmance
SAR (mn) 3Q Q 201 018 2Q Q 201 018 3Q Q 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange 9M M 201 018 9M M 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange Total assets 426,410 418,494 405,667 +5% 426,410 405,667 +5% Tota tal operati ting ng i inc ncome 4, 4,17 176 4,05 057 3, 3,932 932 +6% 12 12,413 413 12 12,18 180 +2% Net special commission income 3,310 3,224 3,095 +7% 9,645 9,260 +4% Fee income from banking services, net 610 582 576 +6% 1,760 1,724 +2% Operating expenses (1,368) (1,400) (1,294) +6% (4,137) (3,885) +6% Impairment charge (473) (228) (629)
- 25%
(716) (1,393)
- 49%
Other income (expenses) (14) (17) (20)
- 29%
(54) (46) +18% Net i t inc ncome for th the p period 2,3 ,321 2,412 412 1,98 989 +17 17% 7,506 06 6, 6,857 +9% % of total assets 92.9% 92.1% 90.9% +2% 92.9% 90.9% +2% Cost to income (%) 32.8% 34.5% 32.9%
- 0%
33.3% 31.9% +4% NCL (%) 0.7% 0.4% 1.1%
- 31%
0.3% 0.8%
- 58%
ROA (%) 2.2% 2.4% 2.0% +13% 2.4% 2.3% +6% NIM (%) 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% +3% 3.6% 3.5% +2% NPL (%) 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% +18% 1.6% 1.3% +18% NPL Coverage Ratio (%) 170% 185% 169% +1% 170% 169% +1%
223 223 242 42 248 48 +11%
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Financing a and A Advances es, net et ( (SARbn)
287 87 298 98 307 307 +7%
100 200 300 400 500
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Custo tome mers rs' D ' Deposits (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 53
Retail Banking
Higher 9M 2018 net income from higher operating income and lower impairment charge
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- 9M 2018 net income increased by 25% YoY driven principally by 10% higher operating
income and a 76% improvement in impairment charges.
- NSCI for 9M 2018 improved by 8% YoY due to a 7% increase in retail financing and
better margins driven by higher current account growth.
- Fee income increased by 16% in 9M 2018 YoY, mainly from financing-related activity.
- 9M 2018 operating expenses increased 9% YoY and the cost to income ratio reached
46.6% from 47.1% a year earlier due to strong operating income growth.
- 3Q 2018 net income increased by 56% YoY driven by 23% higher operating income
and an 84% improvement in impairment charges. Summary mmary Finan ancial al P Perf rforman rmance
SAR (mn) 3Q Q 201 018 2Q Q 201 018 3Q Q 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange 9M M 201 018 9M M 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange Total assets 123,856 118,068 111,565 +11% 123,856 111,565 +11% Tota tal operati ting ng i inc ncome 2,4 ,427 2,1 ,188 1,97 975 +23% 6, 6,590 90 5,97 970 +10 10% Net special commission income 2,002 1,796 1,723 +16% 5,441 5,026 +8% Fee income from banking services, net 390 343 307 +27% 1,043 897 +16% Operating expenses (1,035) (1,055) (927) +12% (3,071) (2,810) +9% Impairment charge (26) (117) (167)
- 84%
(99) (416)
- 76%
Other income (expenses) (5) (7) (7)
- 23%
(18) (13) +39% Net i t inc ncome for th the p period 1,360 360 1,009 009 874 +56 56% 3, 3,402 02 2,7 ,731 +25% % of total assets 27.0% 26.0% 25.0% +8% 27.0% 25.0% +8% Cost to income (%) 42.6% 48.2% 47.0%
- 9%
46.6% 47.1%
- 1%
CoR 0.1% 0.5% 0.7%
- 86%
0.1% 0.6%
- 78%
ROA (%) 4.5% 3.6% 3.1% +45% 3.8% 3.3% +16%
93 93 95 95 99 99 +7%
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Financing & A Advances es, n net et (SARbn)
237 37 242 42 247 47 +4%
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Custo tome mers rs' D ' Deposits (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 54
Corporate Banking
9M 2018 net income reduced by 9% mainly on volume as average balances declined 5%
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- 9M 2018 net income decreased 9% YoY due to lower operating income (-18%) despite
lower impairments (-42%) and operating expenses (-2%).
- NSCI for 9M 2018 declined 18% YoY as a result of repayments in 4Q 2017 that reduced
average balances during the period by 5% compared with 9M 2017.
- Fee income decreased by 17% YoY mainly on lower lending and trade fees.
- The 9M 2018 impairment charge declined 42% YoY due mainly to a significant recovery
and one-time IFRS9 adoption adjustment to retained earnings permissible by IFRS9.
- 3Q 2018 net income decreased 31% YoY due to lower operating income (-10%) and
higher impairments (+5%), partly offset by lower operating expenses (-16%). Summary mmary Finan ancial al P Perf rforman rmance
SAR (mn) 3Q Q 201 018 2Q Q 201 018 3Q Q 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange 9M M 201 018 9M M 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange Total assets 142,725 142,800 139,843 +2% 142,725 139,843 +2% Tota tal operati ting ng i inc ncome 878 773 97 974
- 10
10% 2,5 ,572 3,1 ,121
- 18
18% Net special commission income 665 632 700
- 5%
1,950 2,368
- 18%
Fee income from banking services, net 201 201 243
- 17%
623 753
- 17%
Operating expenses (225) (228) (267)
- 16%
(720) (737)
- 2%
Impairment charge (488) (116) (465) +5% (563) (972)
- 42%
Other income (expenses) (4) (6) (6)
- 37%
(17) (14) +21% Net i t inc ncome for th the p period 162 62 42 424 236 36
- 31
31% 1,2 ,272 1,398 398
- 9%
% of total assets 31.1% 31.4% 31.3%
- 1%
31.1% 31.3%
- 1%
Cost to income (%) 25.6% 29.4% 27.4%
- 7%
28.0% 23.6% +19% CoR 1.4% 0.3% 1.4% +2% 0.5% 1.0%
- 44%
ROA (%) 0.5% 1.2% 0.7%
- 33%
1.3% 1.4%
- 7%
42 42 47 47 52 52 +23%
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Custo tome mers rs' D ' Deposits (SARbn)
120 20 131 31 133 33 +11%
50 100 150 200 250
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Financing & A Advances es, n net et (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 55
Treasury
Higher 9M 2018 net income driven by operating income growth
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- 9M 2018 net income improved by 4% YoY driven by 5% operating income growth, partly
- ffset by 2% higher expenses and higher investment impairment.
- 3Q 2018 net income decreased by 9% YoY driven by lower non recurring revenues,
partly offset by reversal of credit losses. Summary mmary Finan ancial al P Perf rforman rmance
SAR (mn) 3Q Q 201 018 2Q Q 201 018 3Q Q 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange 9M M 201 018 9M M 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange Total assets 159,829 157,626 154,259 +4% 159,829 154,259 +4% Tota tal operati ting ng i inc ncome 871 1,096 096 98 983
- 11
11% 3,2 ,251 3, 3,090 090 +5% Net special commission income 643 797 672
- 4%
2,254 1,866 +21% Fee income from banking services, net 20 37 26
- 24%
94 74 +27% Other operating income 209 262 285
- 27%
903 1,150
- 21%
Operating expenses (109) (118) (100) +9% (346) (338) +2% Impairment charge 41 5 2 +1664% (54) (5) +1084% Other income (expenses) (5) (4) (7)
- 30%
(19) (19) +2% Net i t inc ncome for th the p period 798 98 97 979 879
- 9%
2,8 ,833 2,7 ,728 +4% Cost to income (%) 12.5% 10.8% 10.1% +23% 10.6% 10.9%
- 3%
% of total assets 34.8% 34.7% 34.6% +1% 34.8% 34.6% +1% ROA (%) 2.0% 2.5% 2.3%
- 11%
2.3% 2.3%
- 0%
115 115 117 +2%
50 100 150 200
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Inves estmen ents, n net et ( (SARbn)
672 797 643 311 300 228 983 83 1,096 096 87 871
- 11%
500 1,000 1,500 2,000
3Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Total tal O Operati rating In Income me (SARmn mn)
Net special commission income Fee and other income
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 56
Capital Markets
Higher 9M 2018 net income growth, driven by asset management
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- 9M 2018 operating income increased by 21% from higher AUM related and other fees,
which combined with improving operating efficiency drove strong 40% net income growth YoY.
- 3Q 2018 net income decreased by 9% YoY due to higher operating expenses (+7%) on
stable total operating income. Summary mmary Finan ancial al P Perf rforman rmance
SAR (mn) 3Q Q 201 018 2Q Q 201 018 3Q Q 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange 9M M 201 018 9M M 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange Assets Under Management 140,269 143,850 139,660 +0% 140,269 139,660 +0% Brokerages Volume 30,047 48,510 39,500
- 24%
125,547 148,920
- 16%
Tota tal operati ting ng i inc ncome 15 155 176 15 154 +0% 559 559 462 62 +21% AUM Related Fee Income 118 123 108 +8% 397 315 +26% Brokerage Related Fee Income 23 38 31
- 26%
100 111
- 10%
Other fee income 7 6 8
- 11%
40 21 +90% Fee income, net 148 167 148 +0% 537 447 +20% Operating expenses (85) (88) (79) +7% (262) (254) +3% Other income (expenses) (0) 1
- 100%
2
- 100%
Net i t inc ncome 70 88 88 76
- 9%
296 96 210 10 +41 41% Non-controlling interests (2) (4) (2) +6% (9) (5) +72% Net i t inc ncome attr ttribute ted to to e equity ty holders rs 68 68 84 84 74
- 9%
287 87 205 05 +40 40% Cost to income (%) 55.0% 50.1% 51.4% +7% 46.9% 54.9%
- 15%
129 29 144 44 140 40 +9%
50 100 150 200 250
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Asset ets Under er M Managem emen ent ( (SARbn)
40 40 49 49 30 30
- 24%
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
3Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Br Broker kerages es Volume ( e (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 57
International (in SAR)
9M 2018 net income improved 23% YoY due to slightly higher operating income and improved
- perating efficiency
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- 9M 2018 net income rose by 23% driven by modest 1% operating income growth and
12% lower operating expenses, despite 45% higher impairment charges.
- The financial performance was impacted by a 40% drop YoY in the 9M average
TRY/SAR rate, and 15% decline in the TRY/SAR spot rate since 4Q 2017.
- 3Q 2018 net income improved 4% YoY on stable operating income and improved
- perating efficiency.
Summary mmary Finan ancial al P Perf rforman rmance
SAR (mn) 3Q Q 201 018 2Q Q 201 018 3Q Q 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange 9M M 201 018 9M M 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange Total assets 31,003 34,306 38,962
- 20%
31,003 38,962
- 20%
Tota tal operati ting ng i inc ncome 401 01 42 427 406 06
- 1%
1,2 ,200 1, 1,18 187 +1% Net special commission income 324 347 358
- 9%
977 1,023
- 4%
Fee income from banking services, net 44 60 70
- 36%
167 214
- 22%
Operating expenses (153) (204) (214)
- 29%
(573) (653)
- 12%
Impairment charge (143) (112) (80) +79% (318) (219) +45% Other income (expenses) (8) 13 (17)
- 54%
30 (39)
- 177%
Net i t inc ncome 97 97 12 124 94 94 +3% 339 339 277 +22% Non-controlling interests (32) (41) (31) +2% (112) (93) +21% Net i t inc ncome attr ttribute ted to to e equity ty holders rs 65 65 83 83 63 63 +4% 227 18 184 +23% % of total assets 6.8% 7.6% 8.7%
- 23%
6.8% 8.7%
- 23%
Cost to income (%) 38.1% 47.8% 52.8%
- 28%
47.8% 55.0%
- 13%
CoR (%) 2.6% 1.8% 1.1% +132% 2.0% 1.0% +90% ROA (%) 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% +24% 1.3% 0.9% +41% NSCI margin (%) 4.7% 4.4% 4.0% +16% 4.2% 3.8% +10% NPL (%) 4.8% 5.1% 5.4%
- 10%
4.8% 5.4%
- 10%
NPL Coverage Ratio (%) 93% 96% 87% +6% 93% 87% +6%
26 6 24 4 20 20
- 22%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Financing & A Advances es, n net et (SARbn)
22 22 20 20 18
- 18%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
4Q 17 2Q 18 3Q 18
Custo tome mers rs' D ' Deposits (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 58
International (in TRY)
9M 2018 net income grew by 50% YoY due to higher operating income despite higher credit costs
Ma Manageme ment C Comme mmentary
- 9M 2018 net income grew by 50% YoY driven by 19% higher NSCI, despite higher
- perating (+10%) and credit (+81%) charges.
- Notwithstanding the higher operating expenses, the 9M 2018 cost to income ratio
improved to reach 47.8% from 54.6% in 9M 2017 from very strong income growth.
- 3Q 2018 net income increased by 62% YoY due to 44% higher NSCI, partly offset by
higher operating (+14%) and credit (+183%) costs.
- FX translation also impacted credit costs
Summary mmary Finan ancial al P Perf rforman rmance
TRY (mn) 3Q Q 201 018 2Q Q 201 018 3Q Q 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange 9M M 201 018 9M M 201 017 Yo YoY Y % ch chan ange Total assets 50,224 41,867 36,868 +36% 50,224 36,868 +36% Tota tal operati ting ng i inc ncome 596 96 496 96 38 380 +57 57% 1, 1,43 432 1, 1,13 137 +26% Net special commission income 482 403 335 +44% 1,166 980 +19% Fee income from banking services, net 66 70 65 +1% 199 205
- 3%
Operating expenses (227) (237) (199) +14% (684) (621) +10% Impairment charge (212) (130) (75) +183% (379) (209) +81% Other income (expenses) (12) 16 (16)
- 28%
36 (37)
- 195%
Net i t inc ncome 145 145 145 145 89 89 +62 62% 404 04 270 +50 50% Non-controlling interests (48) (48) (29) +63% (134) (89) +50% Net i t inc ncome attr ttribute ted to to e equity ty holders rs 97 97 97 97 60 60 +62 62% 271 18 181 +50 50% Cost to income (%) 38.1% 47.8% 52.5%
- 27%
47.8% 54.6%
- 13%
ROA (%) 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% +30% 1.2% 1.0% +27% CAR % 19.4% 18.8% 18.3% +6% 19.4% 18.3% +6% Tier 1 CAR % 13.4% 13.7% 14.5%
- 8%
13.4% 14.5%
- 8%
LTD ratio % 114% 119% 124%
- 8%
114% 124%
- 8%
Note: Figures according to IFRS accounting standards 1.2 .2 5.2 .2 FX translation impact 3Q 18 Reported Growth at constant FX 4Q 17 Reported 3Q 18 Underlying 26.5 6.5 27.7 .7 32 32.9 .9
+5% +24 24%
Financing & & A Advances es, net et ( (TR TRYbn bn) Custo tome mers rs’ Deposits ( (TR TRYbn bn)
0.7 0.7 6.6 6.6 4Q 17 Reported 3Q 18 Reported FX translation impact Growth at constant FX 3Q 18 Underlying 22.8 23.5 3.5 30.0 30.0
+3% +32 32%
43% 43% 49% 60% % in foreign currency xx%
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation
National Commercial Bank Additional Information 3Q 2018 Results
NCB Investor Relations 3Q 2018 Investor Presentation 60
Additional Information
Please don’t hesitate to contact NCB Group Investor Relations
More re i informat rmation Download copies of National Commercial Bank’s:
- Financial statements
- Earnings release
- Investor presentation
- Financial data pack (Excel)
Visit: http://www.alahli.com/en-us/Investor_Relation Mr
- Mr. Abdu
bdulba badi die Aly lyafi fi Head, Investor Relations P: +966 12 646 3988 E: investorrelations@alahli.com National Commercial Bank P.O. Box 3555 21481 Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia