Motivating Actions to Reduce Storm Vulnerability James J Opaluch, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Motivating Actions to Reduce Storm Vulnerability James J Opaluch, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Oct 01, 2022 285 likes •663 views

Motivating Actions to Reduce Storm Vulnerability James J Opaluch, Austin Becker, Donald Robadue, Dawn Kotowicz, and Pamela Rubinoff CRC 2nd Annual Meeting The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Feb. 1-3, 2017 Rationale: Decision

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CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Motivating Actions to Reduce Storm Vulnerability

James J Opaluch, Austin Becker, Donald Robadue, Dawn Kotowicz, and Pamela Rubinoff

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SLIDE 2

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Rationale:

  • Decision Makers are Often Slow to Adopt Protective

Actions (“Adaptation Gap”)

  • Systematic Research Program is Needed to Improve our

Understanding of Barriers to Resilience

  • Project Focus on Coastal Organizations
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SLIDE 3

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

  • What are key organizational barriers to adaptation?
  • What policies & other interventions show promise

to overcoming barriers?

  • Test interventions and connect to end users

Identifying Barriers - Research Questions

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SLIDE 4

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

An Antici cipated Project ct Imp mpact ct

Surge Wind Wave Economic/

  • Env. Impacts

Identify Barriers & Interventions for Adoption of Protective Actions

Debris flows

Motivating Actions to Reduce Storm Vulnerability; User Testing & Outreach; Policy Simulation Tools

Regional 3D

Vi Visualizations

Local 3D

Modeling the combined coastal and inland hazards from high- impact hurricanes

Damage functions for infrastructure

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SLIDE 5

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

End User Engagement

  • Adopt “Whole Community” approach to

reduce vulnerability (FEMA, 2015)

“…emphasizes need for whole community

to work together” “… requires involvement of everyone—not just the government—in a systematic effort to keep the nation safe” “… empower individuals and communities to strengthen and sustain their

  • wn preparedness”
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SLIDE 6

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Ac Activities s to Date

  • Task 1. Literature review. Development of an annotated

bibliography.

  • Task 2. Group Decision Processes.

Organized/facilitated/participated in more than 25 public events

  • n coastal storm hazards (End User Engagement)
  • Task 3. Initial list of barriers and interventions
  • Task 4. Initial draft Policy Simulation tools
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SLIDE 7

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Ac Activities s to Date

  • Task 1. Literature review. Development of an annotated

bibliography.

  • Task 2. Group Decision Processes.

Organized/facilitated/participated in more than 25 public events

  • n coastal storm hazards (End User Engagement)
  • Task 3. Initial list of barriers and interventions
  • Task 4. Initial draft Policy Simulation tools
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SLIDE 8

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Ac Activities s to Date

  • Task 1. Literature review. Development of an annotated

bibliography.

  • Task 2. Group Decision Processes.

Organized/facilitated/participated in more than 25 public events

  • n coastal storm hazards (End User Engagement)
  • Task 3. Initial list of barriers and interventions
  • Task 4. Initial draft Policy Simulation tools
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SLIDE 9

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

”Whole Community” End Users

Private Sector Associations, Educational Institutions and Nonprofits: RI Realtors Association RI Builders Association Westerly Economic Development Committee RI Independent Insurers Association Save-the-Bay Homeowners Associations of Block Island & North Kingstown Salt Pond Coalition (Nonprofit Advocacy Group RI Nursery and Landscape Association American Society of Civil Engineers

  • Univ. of Albany

Quonset Development Corp ProvPort (Port Authority) Private firms on the waterfront FM Global (Global Insurer of Commercial & Industrial Property) Save-the-Bay CommerceRI (State of RI Business Promotion Agency) RI Marine Trades Association, Newport Maritime Association. Private Marinas. RI Sea Grant/Coastal Resources Center Federal/State/Local Government Agencies RI Department of Environmental Management RI Coastal Resources Management Council RI Division of Statewide Planning RI Flood Mitigation Association RI Emergency Management Agency. South County Communities (Town Representatives) RI Green Infrastructure Project US Army Corps of Engineers RI Coastal Resources Management Council RI Division of Planning Providence Department of Planning RI Emergency Management Agency US Marine Administration (MARAD) US Coast Guard US Army Corps of Engineers

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SLIDE 10

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Ac Activities s to Date

  • Task 1. Literature review. Development of an annotated

bibliography.

  • Task 2. Group Decision Processes.

Organized/facilitated/participated in more than 25 public events

  • n coastal storm hazards (End User Engagement)
  • Task 3. Initial list of barriers and interventions
  • Task 4. Initial draft Policy Simulation tools
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SLIDE 11

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Barrier: Th The Rush to Rebuild

  • The Immediate aftermath of storm is a “window of opportunity”
  • But there is strong pressure to get life back to normal
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SLIDE 12

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

In Inter erven entio tion: n: Storm Vulner ulnerability ability Audits udits

  • Provide free or mandatory Storm Vulnerability Audits
  • Recommend a set of protective actions
  • Provide incentives for adopting recommended protective actions
  • Expedite permits for rebuilding/repairs
  • Cost sharing and/or special financing (low interest loans)
  • Insurance discounts and/or requirements
  • Mortgage requirements
  • Cost of protective actions built into mortgages
  • Certified “Storm Resistant”
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SLIDE 13

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Barrier: Storm Th Threats Not “Real” Enough

  • Storm threats not on “radar screen” of decision makers
  • “More important things to think about”
  • Threat is “theoretical”
  • Intervention: Visualizations of damages to specific structures
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SLIDE 14

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Ac Activities s to Date

  • Task 1. Literature review. Development of an annotated

bibliography.

  • Task 2. Group Decision Processes.

Organized/facilitated/participated in more than 25 public events

  • n coastal storm hazards (End User Engagement)
  • Task 3. Initial list of barriers and interventions
  • Task 4. Initial draft Policy Simulation tools
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SLIDE 15

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

  • Purpose: Develop Visual Tools to Help Decision Makers Better

Understand Consequences of Storms and Protective Actions

  • Test in Context of Leveraged Case Studies
  • Use in Decision Simulation Exercises

Dr Draft P Policy licy S Sim imula latio ion T Tools ls

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SLIDE 16

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Photo: DaveCleaveland

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SLIDE 17

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Misquamicut Beach

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SLIDE 18

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

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SLIDE 19

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

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SLIDE 20

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

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SLIDE 21

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Mi Misquamicut t Case Stu tudy

  • In Collaboration with URI Ocean Engineering Capstone Led by
  • Drs. Malcolm Spaulding, Christopher Baxter & Craig Swanson
  • Goals:
  • Engage Econ. & Eng. Students in Interdisciplinary Learning

About Coastal Storm Hazards

  • Evaluate Protective Actions in Misquamicut Beach Area
  • Use Stated Choice Methods to Test Possible Interventions
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SLIDE 22
  • Identify Barriers to Adoption of Protective Actions,

and Interventions to Overcome Barriers

  • Test Interventions, as possible
  • Help Decision Makers Better Understand

Consequences of Storms and Protective Actions

An Anticipated ed P Projec

  • ject Im

Impacts

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SLIDE 23

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Da Data Dr Driven Vi Visualizati tions & & P Proposed Fu Futu ture Wo Work

  • 3D Disaster Visualizations by Dr. Austin Becker and Peter Stempel
  • Help Decision Makers Better Visualize Consequences of Storms and

Protective Actions

  • Test Effectiveness in Policy Simulation Exercises
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SLIDE 24

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

An Antici cipated Project ct Imp mpact ct

Surge Wind Wave Economic/

  • Env. Impacts

Identify Barriers & Interventions for Adoption of Protective Actions

Debris flows

Motivating Actions to Reduce Storm Vulnerability; User Testing & Outreach; Policy Simulation Tools

Regional 3D

Vi Visualizations

Local 3D

Modeling the combined coastal and inland hazards from high- impact hurricanes

Damage functions for infrastructure

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SLIDE 25

Research Agenda for Vi Visualizations (l (leveraged project)

  • Develop technical methods to connect local hydrodynamic modelling

and other simulations to visualization tools.

  • Establish ethical frameworks and methods of validating visualizations

that can be applied in transdisciplinary contexts.

  • Understand how the depiction of consequences influences

perceptions of risk among local and non-local stakeholders and experts.

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SLIDE 27
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SLIDE 28
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SLIDE 29

Image by Peter Stempel, Marine Affairs Visualization Lab

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SLIDE 30

Image by Peter Stempel, Marine Affairs Visualization Lab

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SLIDE 31

Image by Peter Stempel, Marine Affairs Visualization Lab

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SLIDE 33

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Example 1 – Understanding risk: Computational framework and interactive visualization for training and real-time hazard impact analysis

Proposed Follow-On Work

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SLIDE 34

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Ex Exam ample ple 2 – Sti timulati ting dialo dialogue ue for lo long ng-ra range planning - Po Port of Pro rovidence Vu Vulnerability Assessment

Private Firms Local Government Sims Metal Management Providence Emergency Management Agency Moran Shipping City of East Providence Planning Providence Working Waterfront Alliance City of Providence Planning* Narragansett Improvement State Government McAllister Towing RI Coastal Resources Management Council* Exxon Mobil RI Statewide Planning Shnitzer Steel Industries CommerceRI* Rhode Island Oil Heat Institute Narragansett Bay Commission Quonset/Davisville Development Corporation* Federal Government FM Global US Maritime Administration* National Grid Federal Highway Administration* Hudson Asphalts US Coast Guard* Capital Terminals US Army Corps of Engineers* Motiva Academia/NGO Northeast Pilots RI Coastal Resources Center/RI Sea Grant/GSO* P & W Railroad Save the Bay

8-3-15 workshop

Understand and comment on storm scenario & consequences Review long-range transformational resilience concept Review possible long-range “resilience goals” for the port and weigh importance of each using multi-criteria decision support tool

Proposed Follow-On Work

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SLIDE 35

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Ex Exam ample ple 3 – Te Testing resilience strategies against barriers in Policy Simulation Lab

Carry Out Policy Simulations under Controlled Laboratory Conditions Proposed Follow-On Work

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SLIDE 36

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

  • Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Questions? Motivating Actions to Reduce Storm Vulnerability

James J Opaluch, Austin Becker, Donald Robadue, Dawn Kotowicz, and Pamela Rubinoff