MODELLING IN MARINE Dieter Berg Munich Re HIGH EXPOSURES, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

modelling in marine
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MODELLING IN MARINE Dieter Berg Munich Re HIGH EXPOSURES, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

HIGH EXPOSURES, ACCUMULATION RISK AND MODELLING IN MARINE Dieter Berg Munich Re HIGH EXPOSURES, ACCUMULATION RISK AND MODELLING IN MARINE 2012 Two biggest Marine losses ever Costa Concordia - Single Risk Accumulation Storm Sandy -


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HIGH EXPOSURES, ACCUMULATION RISK AND MODELLING IN MARINE

Dieter Berg

Munich Re

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HIGH EXPOSURES, ACCUMULATION RISK AND MODELLING IN MARINE

2012 – Two biggest Marine losses ever

Source: Wikicommons

Costa Concordia - Single Risk Accumulation Storm Sandy - Natural Catastophe Multiline Accumulation

Source: Munich Re

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HIGH EXPOSURES, ACCUMULATION RISK AND MODELLING IN MARINE

2010 Chile earthquake

Source: dpa

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HIGH EXPOSURES, ACCUMULATION RISK AND MODELLING IN MARINE

2011 Japan earthquake and tsunami

Source: dpa Source: dpa

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HIGH EXPOSURES, ACCUMULATION RISK AND MODELLING IN MARINE

2011 Thailand flood

Source: Wikimedia Commons

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HIGH EXPOSURES, ACCUMULATION RISK AND MODELLING IN MARINE

2012 USA Storm Sandy

Source: Munich Re

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Take aways

Natural catastrophe modelling in Marine

  • Natural catastrophes cause large accumulation losses for

property – (casualty) – marine / offshore energy

  • Identifying worst case scenarios is of strategic importance
  • Cargo – warehouses, containers, car storage
  • Hull – brown water, pleasure craft / yachts
  • Marine misc – fine art, ports and terminals, liabilities, inland marine
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Take aways

Natural catastrophe modelling in Marine

  • Portfolio transparency is vital for accumulation control
  • Tool-based accumulation control by aligning geo data of the

risk locations to a corresponding map of natural hazards

  • Prevent ruin situation
  • Adequate cat pricing
  • Risk capital allocation
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HIGH EXPOSURES, ACCUMULATION RISK AND MODELLING IN MARINE

Thank you for your attention !

Dieter Berg

Munich Re