MISO-AMEREN Modeling Process Improvement Initiative Sep 12, 2016 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

MISO-AMEREN

Modeling Process Improvement Initiative

Sep 12, 2016

Agenda

• Industry wide challenges
• Common objectives
• AMEREN

– Introduction – Key business drivers – Near term goals – Long term vision

• MISO

– Introduction – Key business drivers – Near term goals – Long term vision

2

Industry wide modeling challenges

3

Silos at Multiple levels

ISO/RTOs Utilities

Internal Silos

Technical Organizational

Multiple Tools/Systems

EMS FTR DTS Market Planning

• Duplicate efforts
• Synchronization issues
• Inconsistent solutions
• Difficult change management
• Multiple modeling practices &

processes

• Multiple users and maintainers
• Models are inherently different
• ISO – EMS, Planning, Market
• Utilities – EMS, Planning, Protection
• Transmission, Distribution
• Difficult model exchange

Common objectives

4

• Model accuracy & consistency
• Compatible solution results

Improved Compliance

• Avoid duplication
• Shorter Modeling cycle
• Process automation

Improved Efficiency

• Standard based data exchanges
• Common and consistent APIs

Improved Integration

AMEREN

Modeling practices and plan

Ameren - Introduction

6

Diversified regional electric and gas utility serving 2.4 million electric and 933,000 gas customers over 64,000 square miles in Missouri and Illinois.

• Expect strong ~6.5% compound annual rate base

growth from 2015 through 2020

• Expect 5% to 8% compound annual EPS growth

from 2016 through 2020

Long-Term Total Return Outlook

2015 to 2020 Regulated Infrastructure Rate Base

$7.1 $7.9 $2.4 $3.3 $1.2 $2.0 $12.1 $16.7

2015 2020E ($ Billions)

FERC-Regulated Transmission Ameren Illinois Gas Delivery Ameren Illinois Electric Delivery Ameren Missouri

2

$1.4 $3.5

'15-'20E

20% 11% 6% 2% 6.5%

5-Yr Rate Base CAGR

Key Business Drivers

7

• 2.6M Customers => 10M managed resources
• New solar resource goes online every 83 sec
• Converged T/D/IT systems

View of the Future

• Competition
• Invest in the Grid
• Aging Infrastructure
• New Standards
• NERC Alert Projects
• Changing Generation Mix
• Security = Physical & Cyber

Corporate Strategy

• 2010 $25M in T / 2016 $800M in T
• Can’t do things the same old way

Improved Efficiency

Near term objectives

8

• Terminology that translates across functions

(planning, operations, market, protection, maintenance, financial) and across entities Common Language Shared Commitment to Dialogue

• Standards-based (CIM) databases and

exchange formats

• Automation (APIs)

One Version of the Truth

Long term vision

9

• Cloud-based
• Apps (i.e. models)
• OS
• High Availability (i.e. 100%) - Backups
• Auto-detection of new devices
• Security

iNMM

• Systems and processes – think new devices every sec

Vertical Scalability

• 95+% of display work created by AI
• Validation (connectivity, ratings, etc.)
• Prediction – what will the system look like next hour,

tomorrow, next month, next year? Artificial Intelligence

• DLMPs (any point where two or more customers can

transact will be a market) Transactive Energy

MISO

Modeling practices and plan

MISO - Introduction

11

• Generation
• 175,436 MW (market)
• 200,906 MW (reliability)
• Load
• 126,337 MW (market)
• 132,893 MW (reliability)
• 65,757 miles of Transmission
• $20.3 billion in annual gross market

charges (2013)

• 400 Market Participants serving over 42

million people

• EMS Model
• Stations ~29000
• Network Buses ~44000
• Generating units ~6500
• Loads ~37000
• Line Segments ~42000
• SCADA points ~290000

Key Business Drivers

12

• Steady-State and Dynamic System Model Validation
• Improve operations and planning models accuracy and consistency
• Compatible solution results across multiple functional areas

Ensure Compliance

• Shorten modeling cycle
• Process automation – Expedited and reliable process flow
• Standardize model data submission and exchange

Improve Stakeholder Value

• Planning moving towards node-breaker model
• Coordinated data model formats
• Distributed Energy Resources
• Standard based common and consistent APIs

Capitalize on Technological Advancements

Near term objectives

13

Process review

• Engage model dependent upstream and downstream systems for process

requirements and timing to reduce cycle time

Stakeholder Outreach

• Engage Stakeholder community on model building process and timing

Industry Engagement

• Engage Neighboring RC community on data exchange timing and

requirements

Standardize Input

• Standardize Model Exchange format

Long term vision

14

Desired State

Customer Inputs

Centralized Model Management

Customer Inputs

TO 1 TO 2 TO n External Entity Needs MP 1 MP 2 MP n

Planning Studies Network Apps Market Apps

Current State

Planning Bus Branch

TO 1 TO 2 TO n External Entity Needs

Operations Node Breaker

Various data formats

MP 1 MP 2 MP n

Markets

Asset Ownership

Manual Collection and Translation Standardized Input Format Standardized Translation Inadequate integration across Planning, Operations, and Markets Automated Validation Inputs integrated across all models

Thank you