MASTER PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE (MPAC) Date: Wednesday, October 17, - - PDF document

▶
master plan advisory committee mpac
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

MASTER PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE (MPAC) Date: Wednesday, October 17, - - PDF document

Feb 13, 2024 429 likes •756 views

LMT Airport Master Plan Master Plan Advisory Committee (MPAC) Meeting #2 AGENDA: MEETING #2 MASTER PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE (MPAC) Date: Wednesday, October 17, 2018 Time: 10:00 am to 12 pm (2 Hours) Location: Airport Administrative

slide-1
SLIDE 1

LMT Airport Master Plan Master Plan Advisory Committee (MPAC) Meeting #2

9/11/2018 MPAC Meeting Agenda Packet

AGENDA: MEETING #2 MASTER PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE (MPAC)

Date: Wednesday, October 17, 2018 Time: 10:00 am to 12 pm (2 Hours) Location: Airport Administrative Building, Conference Room 6775 Arnold Avenue, Klamath Falls, OR 97603 Meeting Tasks and Timeline [2 Hours]:

1.

Project Updates and Status [15 Minutes]

2.

Chapter #1 (Inventory) – Review Findings [30 Minutes]

3.

Chapter #2 (Forecasts) – Activity Projections [60 Minutes]

4.

Next Steps / Open Discussion [15 Minutes] MPA Meeting #2 Action Items: Chapter #1 (Inventory) Collect MPAC Comments Chapter #2 (Aviation Forecasts) – MPAC Forecast Input Meeting Handouts:

  • Meeting Agenda
  • Forecast Influencers

Meeting materials will be emailed to the MPAC in advance of the meeting. Consultant available following meeting to address questions and comments. Thank You for Attending

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Master Plan Advisory Committee (MPAC) Meeting #2 October 17, 2018

Crater Lake-Klamath Regional Airport (LMT) Airport Master Plan

slide-3
SLIDE 3

Meeting Topics

Meeting Focus / Project Status 10 minutes Inventory Findings 15 minutes Forecast Outlook 60 minutes Crosswind Runway Options 30 minutes Next Steps 5 minutes

slide-4
SLIDE 4

CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM (CIP) AIRPORT LAYOUT DRAWINGS (ALP)

MPAC Meeting #2 Focus

slide-5
SLIDE 5

MPAC Meeting #2 Focus

Future Airport Activity and Facility Needs Future Crosswind Runway 7-25 and Taxiway F Disposition

LMT ALP (2015)

slide-6
SLIDE 6

MPAC Meeting #2 Focus

MPAC Meeting #2 Action Items:

□ Chapter #1 (Inventory): Collect Final MPAC Comments □ Forecast Outlook: MPAC Forecast Input □ Crosswind Runway Options: Preliminary MPAC Input

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Project Status

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Inventory Findings

MPAC Comments Airfield – Crosswind Analysis Airfield – Pavement Condition

slide-9
SLIDE 9
  • Runway 14/32 Does Not Meet 95% (93.8%) FAA Crosswind Coverage.

Therefore … Crosswind Runway 7/25 is FAA-Eligible.

Inventory Findings – Runway Crosswinds

10.5-Knot Component 13-Knot Component 16-Knot Component 20-Knot Component Piston Turboprops & Small Jets Turboprop & Large Jets Large Jet Transports

Runway 14-32 93.8% 96.5% 98.8% 99.7% Runway 7-25 90.1% 93.9% 97.4% 99.1% Runway 14-32 & Runway 7-25 Combined 99.0% 99.6% 99.9% 100.0% Runway 14-32 94.6% 96.7% 98.7% 99.6% Runway 7-25 94.7% 96.7% 98.6% 99.6% Runway 14-32 & Runway 7-25 Combined 99.1% 99.7% 99.9% 100.0% Runway 14-32 93.8% 96.5% 98.8% 99.7% Runway 7-25 90.1% 94.0% 97.5% 99.1% Runway 14-32 & Runway 7-25 Combined 99.0% 99.7% 99.9% 100.0%

Runway (Wind Component / Aircraft Acommodated) ALL-WEATHER WIND DATA OBSERVATIONS (PERCENT COVERAGE) INSTRUMENT (IFR) WIND DATA OBSERVATIONS (PERCENT COVERAGE) VISUAL (VFR) WIND DATA OBSERVATIONS (PERCENT COVERAGE) 10.5-Knot Component 13-Knot Component 16-Knot Component 20-Knot Component Piston Turboprops & Small Jets Turboprop & Large Jets Large Jet Transports

Runway 14-32 93.8% 96.5% 98.8% 99.7% Runway 7-25 90.1% 93.9% 97.4% 99.1% Runway 14-32 & Runway 7-25 Combined 99.0% 99.6% 99.9% 100.0% Runway 14-32 94.6% 96.7% 98.7% 99.6% Runway 7-25 94.7% 96.7% 98.6% 99.6% Runway 14-32 & Runway 7-25 Combined 99.1% 99.7% 99.9% 100.0% Runway 14-32 93.8% 96.5% 98.8% 99.7% Runway 7-25 90.1% 94.0% 97.5% 99.1% Runway 14-32 & Runway 7-25 Combined 99.0% 99.7% 99.9% 100.0%

Runway (Wind Component / Aircraft Acommodated) ALL-WEATHER WIND DATA OBSERVATIONS (PERCENT COVERAGE) INSTRUMENT (IFR) WIND DATA OBSERVATIONS (PERCENT COVERAGE) VISUAL (VFR) WIND DATA OBSERVATIONS (PERCENT COVERAGE)

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Inventory Findings – Pavement Condition

RUNWAY 14/32

Focus on Pavement Repair

TWY G Airfield Pavements = 5.4 Million Square Feet (125 Acres)

Pavement Condition Index (PCI) Map, August 2016

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Inventory Findings – Pavement Condition

RUNWAY 14/32 TAXIWAY G

Pavement Condition Index (PCI) Map, August 2016

Priority #1 Taxiway G Priority #3 Runway 7/25 & Taxiway F Priority #2 Taxiway B/D Priority #4 GA Apron

Approximate 5 Year = $25 Million

slide-12
SLIDE 12

Aviation Forecasts

Forecast Outlook (By Component) Forecast Outcomes

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Forecast – Summary Overview

Purpose:

  • 20-Year Horizon (2019 to 2038)
  • Support Master Plan Facility and Service Recommendations

Outcome:

  • Looking for ‘Causation Factors’ and ‘Reasonableness’
  • One Forecast Scenario Carried-Forward
  • Approved by Federal Aviation Administration (FAA)
slide-14
SLIDE 14

Forecast – Summary Overview

  • Forecast Components:
  • Airline
  • Air Cargo
  • Aircraft Operations
  • Based Aircraft

Master Plan does not forecast Military (Guard) activity.

slide-15
SLIDE 15

Forecast – Summary Overview

LMT Historical Trends:

  • Airport Activity Fairly Consist
  • Economic Downturn Impacts Activity

LMT Forecast Projections (Low / High):

  • Majority of LMT Forecast Factors are Upward
  • Steady Growth
slide-16
SLIDE 16

Forecast Overview: Passenger Enplanements

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040

ANNUAL ENPLANEMENTS

Annual Passenger Enplanement (Boarding) Forecast

Historcial Baseline FAA TAF (Adjusted) True Market Retention Enplanement/ Population FAA TAF HISTORICAL PERIOD FORECAST PERIOD

Low Scenario 2038 = 15,500 High Scenario 2038 = 30,500 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040

ANNUAL ENPLANEMENTS

Annual Passenger Enplanement (Boarding) Forecast

Historcial Baseline FAA TAF (Adjusted) True Market Retention Enplanement/ Population FAA TAF HISTORICAL PERIOD FORECAST PERIOD

Low Scenario 2038 = 15,500 High Scenario 2038 = 30,500

  • Forecast Factors:
  • Regional Airline Industry
  • Historical Service
  • Air Service Options
  • Airline Catchment Area
  • LMT Passenger Demand
  • Essential Air Service

(EAS) Program

slide-17
SLIDE 17

Forecast Overview: Air Cargo (Pounds)

1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 2,000,000 2,200,000 2,400,000

2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040

TOTAL ANNUAL CARGO (POUNDS)

Air Cargo Forecast - Total Cargo Pounds (Inbound + Outbound)

Historical Cargo Volume (Pounds) Historic Trend Gross Regional Product (GRP) HISTORICAL PERIOD FORECAST PERIOD

Low Scenario 2038 = 1.56 Million Lbs. High Scenario 2038 = 1.96 Million Lbs. 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 2,000,000 2,200,000 2,400,000

2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040

TOTAL ANNUAL CARGO (POUNDS)

Air Cargo Forecast - Total Cargo Pounds (Inbound + Outbound)

Historical Cargo Volume (Pounds) Historic Trend Gross Regional Product (GRP) HISTORICAL PERIOD FORECAST PERIOD

Low Scenario 2038 = 1.56 Million Lbs. High Scenario 2038 = 1.96 Million Lbs.

  • Forecast Factors:
  • Regional Cargo Industry
  • Klamath Cargo Demand
slide-18
SLIDE 18

Forecast Overview: Civilian Aircraft Operations

10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040

ANNUAL AIRPORT OPERATIONS

Annual Aircraft Operations Forecast (Civilian Only Traffic)

Baseline FAA TAF Trend - Percents Trend - Additives HISTORICAL PERIOD FORECAST PERIOD

High Scenario 2038 = 37,800 Low Scenario 2038 = 32,600 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040

ANNUAL AIRPORT OPERATIONS

Annual Aircraft Operations Forecast (Civilian Only Traffic)

Baseline FAA TAF Trend - Percents Trend - Additives HISTORICAL PERIOD FORECAST PERIOD

High Scenario 2038 = 37,800 Low Scenario 2038 = 32,600

  • Forecast Factors:
  • General Aviation Industry
  • LMT Local Factors
  • Adversary Air
  • Flight Training
slide-19
SLIDE 19

Forecast Overview: Civilian Based Aircraft

50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190 210

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040

BASED AIRCRAFT (CIVILIAN)

Based Aircraft Forecast - Civilian Aircraft Only

Actual Based FAA TAF FAA TAF (Indexed) FAA Growth Hangar Schedule HISTORICAL PERIOD FORECAST PERIOD

Low Scenario 2038 = 79 High Scenario 2038 = 111 50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190 210

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040

BASED AIRCRAFT (CIVILIAN)

Based Aircraft Forecast - Civilian Aircraft Only

Actual Based FAA TAF FAA TAF (Indexed) FAA Growth Hangar Schedule HISTORICAL PERIOD FORECAST PERIOD

Low Scenario 2038 = 79 High Scenario 2038 = 111

  • Forecast Factors:
  • General Aviation Industry
  • LMT Local Factors
slide-20
SLIDE 20

Forecast – Outcome

MPAC Forecast Preference:

  • Low/High Scenario
  • Other Scenario

Next Steps:

  • Prepare Full Forecast Chapter
  • Airport Staff / MPAC Review
  • FAA Review & Approval
slide-21
SLIDE 21

Crosswind/Secondary Runway

Traffic and Critical Aircraft Runway Length and Extension Options Correct Displaced Thresholds Runway Width Parallel Taxiway System Options

slide-22
SLIDE 22

Crosswind Runway – Traffic and Aircraft Types

Ag-Spray Turboprop Small Business Jet Air Cargo Twin Turboprop

Crosswind Runway 7/25 = 10% Airport Traffic = ±6,000 Annual Operations

slide-23
SLIDE 23

Crosswind Runway – Length Options

Existing Length:

  • 5,260’ (Including 818’ Displaced Landing Thresholds)

Proposed Length(s):

  • 5,500’ = FAA Recommend Length: 83F @ 4,095’ Field Elevation
  • 8,000’ = Guard IDP Length (6,500’ Maximum to Railroad)
  • 4,600’± = Correct Displaced Landing Thresholds / Taxiways
slide-24
SLIDE 24

Crosswind Runway – Existing Condition (5,260’)

475’ 306’ 512’

slide-25
SLIDE 25

Crosswind Runway – Extension Options

Potential paved stopways/overruns not depicted.

slide-26
SLIDE 26

Crosswind Runway – Correct Thresholds (±4,600’)

slide-27
SLIDE 27

Crosswind Runway ±4,600’: Taxiway Option A

slide-28
SLIDE 28

Crosswind Runway ±4,600’: Taxiway Option B

slide-29
SLIDE 29

Next Steps

Project Schedule

slide-30
SLIDE 30

Project Schedule

  • Chapter #1 (Inventory)
  • Complete (LMT Website Post): October 26, 2018
  • Chapter #2 (Forecasts)
  • Draft Report (Airport/MPAC Review): November 3, 2018
  • FAA Review/Approval: December 15, 2018
  • Chapter #3 / #4 (Draft Facilities and Alternatives)
  • MPAC Meeting #3: January 2019
  • Draft Report: January/February 2019
slide-31
SLIDE 31

Thank You

Comments…