Major market unease in the wake of the coronavirus Anna Breman - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Major market unease in the wake of the coronavirus Anna Breman - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Major market unease in the wake of the coronavirus Anna Breman Deputy Governor of the Riksbank Riksdag Committee on Finance 10 March 2020 Increased unease on financial markets 90 90 VIX index 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30
Increased unease on financial markets
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
VIX index
Implicit volatility S&P 500 Index Source: Bloomberg
Falling stock exchanges
Source: Macrobond Index, 2016-01-02=100
Increased demand for safe assets
Sources: National central banks, US Treasury and the Riksbank Per cent, 10-years government bond yields
Swedish krona normally affected in uncertain times
Sources: National sources and the Riksbank
Falling oil price
USD per barrel Source: Bloomberg
Increased uncertainty hits companies with lower credit ratings
High credit rating Lower credit rating
Basis points Sources: Bloomberg and Barclays
The Riksbank’s toolbox is not exhausted
- Loans to financial institutions to supply liquidity in a crisis
Emergency liquidity assistance
- But the interest rate is close to its effective lower bound
Policy rate
- Loans to companies via banks
- Purchase government, municipal, housing and corporate
bonds
- Foreign exchange interventions
- Forward guidance
Other measures
Scope to broaden bond purchases
Outstanding volume of bonds issues in SEK billions Sources: SCB, Kommuninvest, Covered Bond Label and the Riksbank
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Housing bonds Government bonds Corporate bonds Municipal bonds