Lin inking Natural l Capit ital Acc ccounting in into In - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Lin inking Natural l Capit ital Acc ccounting in into In Indonesia ia Natio ional l Development Pla lan 2020-2024

• Dr. Medrilzam

Director for Environmental Affairs Ministry of National Development Planning/ National Development Planning Board (BAPPENAS)

2nd Policy Forum on Natural Capital Accounting for better decision making, the Hague, Netherlands, 22-23 November 2017

Preparation Schedule of Natio ional Development Pla lan 2020-2024:

Background Study

• f RPJMN

RPJMN approved by the selected President Writing of RPJMN Initial Preparation 2017 2018 2019 2020

MISSION: DEVELOP THE NEXT INDONESIA DEVELOPMENT PLAN BECOME GREENER AND LESS CARBON

HOW NCA COULD FIT IN INTO DEVELOPMENT PLANNING?

Lo Low Carbon Development Pla lan will be In Integrated in into National Development Pla lan 2020-2024 2024

“This is why our upcoming 5 year development plan, … will be Indonesia’s first low-carbon development plan. We want to use this plan to address sustainability challenges and unlock some of these opportunities which will be critical to achieving a prosperous, low- carbon growth path. We want to ensure that our growth, moving forward, continues to secure our natural assets, providing value in tandem with the creation of new opportunities for economic transformation and development….” (Prof. Bambang Brodjonegoro – Minister of National Deveopment Planning, Bonn COP 23 UNFCCC, 2017);

Pri rinciples applied to LCD Pla lanning for National Mid id- Term National 2020-2024:

1) Apply integrated and systemic approach among sectors – Evidence Based Policy 2) Put future carrying capacity (including GHG Emission) is part of priority concerns in development plan 3) Emphasise implication of various policies- planning-program Toward a balancing and trade-

• ff between economy, poverty and environment

goals 4) Apply HITS (Holistic, Integrated, Thematic, Spatial) 5) Involving development planners and environmental stakeholders

Lin inkages between Poli licies, , Carry rying Capacit itie ies, Sectors and Economy

Agricultures Energy and Mining Industries Settlements Forestry Fishery, other sectors (tbd) Water Land cover Emission Ocean IKLH Assmilative capacity Supportive Capacity Carrying Capacity Inter-related Human Activities Impacts/ Pressures GDP Poverty

Policy Intervention

(availability concept) Biodiversity Sectoral Target Trade off Trade off *) NCA should provide necessary information on stock and flow of Natural Resource and Carrying Capacity being assessed

WHERE NCA FITS IN INTO DEV’T PLAN 2020-2024 PROCESS?

System Dynamics Model (Non-Spatial) (Sectors: Agriculture, Forest, Mining, etc.)

Tabular (Statistics) dan Spatial Policy/Planning/ Programming in RPJMN 2020-2024

Green Economy

Green Job

Carrying Capacity Spatial Dynamics Analysis INTERFACE

World Bank (WAVES)

Natural Capital Stock-Flow

MAPS

Database Centre

Green Growth and Low Carbon Development Plan

• Econ. of Low Card. Dev

(Indonesia Stern Review) Investment Analysis

Low Carbon Development Model Structure for RPJMN 2020-2024

Economics stock- flows Social stock-flows Natural resources stock and flows Absortive capacity stock-flows

ECONOMY LAND USE FISHERY WATER ENERGY CLIMATE GHG EMISSION BIODIVERISTY POPULATION

POVERTY

NCA Contribution

Low Carbon Development modelling process requires Stock and flow information from NCA :

8

Land sectors Water sectors Energy Fishery Forest Account Mineral Account only Pilot Project Indonesia NCA/ SISNERLING WAVES SUPPORT Notes:

• Indonesia Statistics Agency (BPS)

leads the development of NCA in Indonesia

• Development of the NCA should be

based on the needs of policy and planning

• Strong collaboration is needed

between WAVES consultant and modelling team Full Account

Background Study

• f RPJMN

RPJMN approved by the selected President Writing of RPJMN Preparation 2017 2018 2019 2020

Model conceptualisation, integrated model and Database development SEA report for RPJMN 2020-2024 Policy communications Integrated model structure and Policy simulations SEA NCA DEVELOPMENT

… It is a good timing for NCA to be applied.. But delayed NCA process cannot be tolerated.. The clock is ticking….. !!

Further contact: Directorate for Environment Affairs Email: medril@bappenas.go.id or Medrilzam.Medrilzam@gmail.com Ph: +623900412 (Office), +62811802824 (Mobile)