ISMOR 23 A WASTE OF 37 YEARS? A career review by Geoff Hawkins - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

ismor 23 a waste of 37 years
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ISMOR 23 A WASTE OF 37 YEARS? A career review by Geoff Hawkins - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

ISMOR 23 A WASTE OF 37 YEARS? A career review by Geoff Hawkins science | innovation | technology Outline CV Studies and their influence Scrutiny and my impact International collaboration and my influence science | innovation | technology


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science | innovation | technology

ISMOR 23 A WASTE OF 37 YEARS?

A career review by Geoff Hawkins

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science | innovation | technology

Outline

CV Studies and their influence Scrutiny and my impact International collaboration and my influence

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CV (Organisations)

Defence Operational Analysis Establishment (DOAE) – Sept 1969 – Jul 1973 Defence Operational Analysis Organisation (Germany) – Jul 1973 – Sept 1975 DOAE – Sep 1975 – Nov 1979 SHAPE Technical Centre – Nov 1979 – Aug 1983 DOAE/DOAC – Aug 1993 – Nov 1993 MOD ACSA(C)/DG (Scrutiny & Analysis) –

– AD OA (Land) – Nov 1993 – Apr 1999 – AD OA (Policy & Programmes) – Apr 1999 – Aug 2006

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Studies

Army Command and Control study and data collection exercises Adequacy of 1(BR) Corps communications Harrier VSTOL Operations – survivability and hot refuelling Impact of information on decision making by military commanders Battalion level force mix Requirement for light support helicopters. SHAPE A/AA study

– Vector 2/CIA

NATO Equipment stockpile Battlefield Nuclear Weapons Chemical Warfare Suppression of Enemy Air Defences Harrier Attrition/I10 ISTAR Arms Control

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Scrutiny (1)

Land projects

– Phoenix/ESM – ATV(P) – Freewheel (CR2 up armouring) – Future Cargo Vehicle – TRACER

OA Capability

– C2 in models – SAM/PAM – CRI – conflict forecasting – Game Theory – CT model, CSA procurement problem

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Scrutiny (2)

PPSG

– Future Capability Requirements – Equipment Programme – Medical resources – Helicopters

Defence Planning Assumptions

– Combat intensity – Concurrency assumptions

Kosovo Strategic Planning group SDR – Tk Regts/Arty Medium Term workstrand – DD/FFs Future Army Structure Logistics Sustainability and Deployment Audit

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International collaboration

US/FR/GE - CFE RU/US/GE/FR - JOSIM US - Gulf War 1 NATO Panel 7/SAS EU HTF/STP MORS - training of S2O analysts

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International collaboration

RU/US/GE/FR - JOSIM

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International collaboration

US/FR/GE - CFE RU/US/GE/FR - JOSIM US - Gulf War 1 NATO Panel 7/SAS EU HTF/STP MORS - training of S2O analysts

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Observations

Studies usually have a delayed impact Studies are ahead of their time Confirmation of Decision Makers views worthwhile Quick (80%/20%) studies more effective Analysts are operating at arms length Best results come from personal contact/integration Importance of models overplayed Model users do no understand them Too little analysis Data problems still exist Too little emphasis on communicating findings

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Summary

I’ve enjoyed my 37 years I feel that I have contributed – especially in Main Building and internationally. You can decide!

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QUESTIONS?