IPv6 Trends, Taiwan, Asia-Pacific and Worldwide: an update from 2014 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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IPv6 Trends, Taiwan, Asia-Pacific and Worldwide: an update from 2014 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

May 09, 2023 259 likes •820 views

IPv6 Trends, Taiwan, Asia-Pacific and Worldwide: an update from 2014 TWNIC OPM Taipei, 21 June 2018 1 APNIC A global, open, stable and secure Internet that serves the entire Asia Pacific community 2 Thanks! dg@apnic.net Back in

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IPv6 Trends, Taiwan, Asia-Pacific and Worldwide: an update from 2014

TWNIC OPM Taipei, 21 June 2018

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APNIC

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“A global, open, stable and secure Internet that serves the entire Asia Pacific community”

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Thanks!

dg@apnic.net

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Back in 2014…

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2014: Global IPv6 Capability

2.7%

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2014: IPv6 Capability in TW

0.8%

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Today…

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Today: IPv4 is nearly gone…

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Today: IPv4 is nearly gone…

  • Today’s IPv4 free poll is around 1.6 /8 blocks

– Projected to fully exhaust within 3 years

  • IPv4 address availability

– Rationing policies in AFRINIC, APNIC, LACNIC, RIPE NCC – Market transfers in some regions, and between APNIC and RIPE/ARIN

  • The time has come to move on from IPv4.
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Today: IPv6 is growing fast…

APNIC Labs Google 2014

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IPv6 routing – vs IPv4

IPv4 BGP IPv4 ASNs

Source: APNIC Labs

750,000 62,000

IPv6 BGP IPv6 ASNs

55,000 15,000 500,000 15,000 2014 8,000 45,000 2014

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Global IPv6 capability is now 18%

  • APNIC Labs measurement system

– 10+ million samples per day, worldwide – Measurement script (HTML5) embedded within Google Ad*

  • “Capable” means “has an IPv6 address”

– % of sampled users who can fetch an IPv6 addressed web object – “Preference” is slightly lower: 17.3%

  • Other measures place it slightly higher at 20%

– Consider APNIC a “low side” count

  • Lets rank the economies by IPv6 capability above and

below the world average

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Drilling down…

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CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42%

Global Average = 18%

EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%

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CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42%

Global Average = 18%

EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%

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CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42%

Global Average = 18%

EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%

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CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42%

Global Average = 18%

EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%

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Taiwan

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Taiwan

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Taiwan, E Asia

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 East Asia Taiwan

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Taiwan, E Asia, Asia

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Asia East Asia Taiwan

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Taiwan, E Asia, Asia, and the World

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 World Asia East Asia Taiwan

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Some cases…

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Australia, Taiwan, India, Viet Nam…

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Australia Taiwan India Vietnam

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Australia

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Australia Telstra Internode

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Australia

ASAS1221 - ASN-TELSTRA Telstra Pty Ltd ASAS4739 - INTERNODE-AS Internode Pty Ltd ASAS133612 - VODAFONE-AS-AP Vodafone Australia Pty Ltd ASAS4804 - MPX-AS Microplex PTY LTD ASAS7545 - TPG-INTERNET-AP TPG Telecom Limited ASAS9443 - INTERNETPRIMUS-AS-AP Primus Telecommunications 149 other ASN IPv6 IPv4

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Australia: Telstra and Internode

  • Telstra

– 464XLAT on Mobile, dualstack on Fiber – Multiple APN deployment in phases, long test period – iPhone support delayed during rollout pending iOS updates

  • Internode

– dualstack on Fiber and xDSL – First significant adopter of IPv6 in Australia – Long tail of old CPE directly owned by customers – Company acquired by iiNet and subsequently TPG and run as independent ISP, but no longer prioritizing IPv6

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India

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 India Reliance Bharti Mobile Hutchinson

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India

ASAS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited ASAS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services ASAS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited ASAS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service ASAS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 822 other ASN IPv6 IPv4

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India

  • Reliance

– 464XLAT on mobile, MAP-T and dual stack on Cable – Clean build LTE (4G) deployment went live as IPv6 – Dominant after highly aggressive promotion campaign – Others followed: Hutchison, Airtel, Idea

  • Bharti Airtel

– Dual stack on mobile

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Viet Nam

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Vietnam VNPT FPT

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Viet Nam

ASAS18403 - FPT-AS-AP The Corporation for Financing Promoting Technology ASAS45899 - VNPT-AS-VN VNPT Corp ASAS7552 - VIETEL-AS-AP Viettel Group ASAS24086 - VIETTEL-AS-VN Viettel Corporation IPv6 IPv4

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Viet Nam

  • FPT

– PPPoE dual stack deployment on Cable and Fiber – 6PE in MPLS core (RFC4798) – https://blog.apnic.net/2017/08/16/fpt-telecoms-ipv6-journey

  • VNPT

– Followed FPT after experiences integrated into national plan – 6PE/6VPE and dual stack, planning move to IPv6-only (464XLAT) – https://blog.apnic.net/2018/06/06/vnpts-deployment-of-ipv6-a- success/

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Other cases…

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United Kingdom

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 United Kingdom Sky BT Orange

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United Kingdom

ASAS5607 - BSKYB-BROADBAND-AS ASAS2856 - BT-UK-AS BTnet UK Regional network ASAS12576 - ORANGE-PCS ASAS13285 - OPALTELECOM-AS TalkTalk Communications Limited ASAS5089 - NTL ASAS6871 - PLUSNET UK Internet Service Provider ASAS9105 - TISCALI-UK ISP Network, UK 292 other ASN IPv6 IPv4

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United Kingdom

  • Sky

– Dualstack on Cable and Fiber – In-house MAP-T for own CPE – Deployment phased by CPE versions, applied nationally – https://blog.apnic.net/2018/04/04/connecting-5-million-users-to-ipv6/

  • BT

– 464XLAT on mobile

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Uruguay

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Uruguay Antel

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Uruguay

ASAS6057 - Administracion Nacional de Telecomunicaciones ASAS19422 - Telefonica Moviles del Uruguay SA ASAS11664 - Techtel LMDS Comunicaciones Interactivas S.A. IPv6 IPv4

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Malaysia

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Malaysia TMNet Maxis DIGIIX CelcomNet UMobile

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Malaysia

ASAS4818 - DIGIIX-AP DiGi Telecommunications Sdn. Bhd. ASAS4788 - TMNET-AS-AP TM Net, Internet Service Provider ASAS9534 - MAXIS-AS1-AP Binariang Berhad ASAS10030 - CELCOMNET-AP Celcom Internet Service Provider ASAS9930 - TTNET-MY TIME dotCom Berhad ASAS38466 - UMOBILE-AS-AP U Mobile Sdn Bhd IPv6 IPv4

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Back to Taiwan…

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Taiwan

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Taiwan TANET HINET EMOME chunghwa

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Taiwan (2018)

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Taiwan TANET HINET EMOME chunghwa

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Taiwan

ASAS17421 - EMOME-NET Mobile Business Group ASAS3462 - HINET Data Communication Business Group ASAS24158 - TAIWANMOBILE-AS Taiwan Mobile Co., Ltd. ASAS9674 - FET-TW Far EastTone Telecommunication Co., Ltd. ASAS131591 - AMBIT-AS-TW Ambit Microsystem Corporation ASAS24157 - VIBO-NET-AS Taiwan Star Telecom Corporation Limited.(Former Vibo Telecom Inc.) 51 other ASN IPv6 IPv4

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Taiwan

  • Recent signs of activity from two major ASN in the Chinese

region of Taiwan

– HINET Chunghwa Telecom (Landline, FTTx, xSDL) – EMOME (mobile division of Chunghwa)

  • Representing almost 50% of Taiwanese samples
  • Early stages of a very rapid deployment

– Signs of “competitive tension” in IPv6?

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What’s next?

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How much longer?

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https://hbr.org/2013/11/the-pace-of-technology-adoption-is-speeding-up

Sigmoid curves

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The next five years?

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Conclusions

  • IPv6 deployment is happening globally

– Ongoing sustained and accelerating growth – Evidence of competitive pressure

  • Hard to predict where and when

– We have strong, developed G8/G20 economies with little or no IPv6 – We have emerging Internet Economies with a lot of IPv6

  • A new digital divide?

– Lack of capital investment for deployment – Lack of competitive incentive? – Plan now, or pay later

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Finally…

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apnic.net/survey

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Next Conference

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conference.apnic.net/46 Call for Papers open now

https://conference.apnic.net/46/program/call-for-papers

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Later…

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APRICOT 2019 / APNIC 47 Daejeon, Republic of Korea 18 to 28 February 2019 APNIC 48 Chang Mai, Thailand 5 to 12 September 2019

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Stay in Touch!

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blog.apnic.net apnic.net/social

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Thanks!

dg@apnic.net